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Spencer Li

Best Trading Tips & Quotes from Ed Seykota

Trading Tips
Best Trading Tips Quotes from Ed Seykota

Ed Seykota’s Best Trading Tips and Quotes (Explained for Real Traders)

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


Ed Seykota is the trend-follower who turned $5,000 into $15,000,000 over twelve years, and his most-quoted lesson is the simplest one in trading: cut your losses. When asked for the elements of good trading, he gave three rules, and all three were “cut losses.” His other famous lines orbit the same idea: keep your bets small, ride your winners, follow your rules, and manage your own emotions before you manage the market. If you can’t take a small loss, he warned, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses. That single sentence is worth more than most trading courses. Below I have collected his best tips and quotes, grouped by what they actually teach, so you can use them instead of just admiring them.

Here is the short version, then the quotes themselves with my notes on how to apply each one.

Who is Ed Seykota?

Ed Seykota (born August 7, 1946) is a commodities trader who pioneered one of the first computerized trading systems for the futures market, built for the brokerage house he worked for. Trading as a trend follower (someone who buys strength and rides the existing trend rather than predicting tops and bottoms), he turned $5,000 into $15,000,000 over a twelve-year period. He later left to manage a handful of client accounts on his own, and the brokerage adopted his system for their own trades.

He is best known to most traders through his interview in Market Wizards, where he delivered a string of one-liners that have outlived almost everything else in the book. The reason they stuck is that they are not motivational fluff. They are operating instructions.

The core idea in one line

If I had to compress Seykota into a single sentence, it would be this: the market is not the hard part, you are. His rules are about risk and psychology, not about predicting price. Notice how little of what follows is about picking trades, and how much is about sizing them and surviving the losers.

Ed Seykota’s best trading tips, grouped by theme

ThemeThe quoteWhat it means for you
Cut losses“The elements of good trading are: 1, cutting losses. 2, cutting losses. And 3, cutting losses.”Your survival depends far more on how you handle losers than on how you pick winners.
Cut losses“If you can’t take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.”A small loss is a cost of doing business. A refused small loss becomes an account-ending one.
Bet sizing“Risk no more than you can afford to lose, and also risk enough so that a win is meaningful.”Position size has a floor and a ceiling. Too small and winning does nothing; too big and losing ends you.
Bet sizing“Speculate with less than 10% of your liquid net worth. Risk less than 1% of your speculative account on a trade.”Two separate dials: how much of your wealth is even in play, and how much of that you risk per trade.
Follow the trend“If I am bullish, I neither buy on a reaction, nor wait for strength; I am already in.”A trend follower is positioned before the move is obvious, not chasing after it.
Follow the trend“In order of importance: 1) the long term trend, 2) the current chart pattern, and 3) picking a good spot to buy or sell.”Get the trend right first. Entry timing is the smallest of the three decisions.
System discipline“Systems don’t need to be changed. The trick is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible.”Most “broken systems” are fine. The trader just couldn’t sit through the drawdown.
Psychology“Pride is a great banana peel, as are hope, fear, and greed.”Your worst trades will arrive dressed as emotions, right after you get attached to a position.
Psychology“The positive intention of fear is risk control.”Fear is not your enemy. It is a signal to size down, not to freeze.

Those are the load-bearing ones. Here is the fuller collection, kept verbatim, with my notes.

The full list of Ed Seykota quotes, with my notes

On cutting losses (the heart of it):

The elements of good trading are: 1, cutting losses. 2, cutting losses. And 3, cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance.

If you can’t take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.

Losing a position is aggravating, whereas losing your nerve is devastating.

Personally, this is the cluster I would tattoo on the inside of my eyelids. Notice he separates two different losses: losing money on a position (normal, survivable) and losing your nerve (the thing that actually blows people up). Protect the second one and the first takes care of itself.

On his actual rules:

The trading rules I live by are: 1. Cut losses. 2. Ride winners. 3. Keep bets small. 4. Follow the rules without question. 5. Know when to break the rules.

Rules 4 and 5 look like a contradiction, and that tension is the whole game. Follow the rules mechanically almost all the time. Reserve the override for rare, deliberate moments, not for whenever you feel like it.

On bet sizing and survival:

Risk no more than you can afford to lose, and also risk enough so that a win is meaningful.

Speculate with less than 10% of your liquid net worth. Risk less than 1% of your speculative account on a trade. This tends to keep the fluctuations in the trading account small, relative to net worth.

I intend to risk below 5 percent on a trade, allowing for poor executions.

The key to long-term survival and prosperity has a lot to do with the money management techniques incorporated into the technical system.

Pyramiding instructions appear on dollar bills. Add smaller and smaller amounts on the way up. Keep your eye open at the top.

Do note that “risk enough so that a win is meaningful” is the half most beginners ignore. They are so scared of losing that they size so small the winners never matter. There is a floor as well as a ceiling.

On the trend and the system:

If I am bullish, I neither buy on a reaction, nor wait for strength; I am already in. I turn bullish at the instant my buy stop is hit, and stay bullish until my sell stop is hit. Being bullish and not being long is illogical.

Fundamentalists figure things out and anticipate change. Trend followers join the trend of the moment.

In order of importance to me are: 1) the long term trend, 2) the current chart pattern, and 3) picking a good spot to buy or sell.

Systems don’t need to be changed. The trick is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible.

Systems trading is ultimately discretionary. The manager still has to decide how much risk to accept, which markets to play, and how aggressively to increase and decrease the trading base.

I would add that I consider myself and how I do things as a kind of system which, by definition, I always follow.

The markets are the same now as they were five to ten years ago because they keep changing, just like they did then.

To avoid whipsaw losses, stop trading.

That last line reads like a joke, and it half is, but there is a real lesson in it. If the market is chopping you up, the right size is sometimes zero. Standing aside is a position.

On stops and execution:

I set protective stops at the same time I enter a trade. I normally move these stops in to lock in a profit as the trend continues. Sometimes, I take profits when a market gets wild.

Before I enter a trade, I set stops at a point at which the chart sours.

It can be very expensive to try to convince the markets you are right.

The market is always right.

Hence the homely beach analogy he is famous for:

If you want to know everything about the market, go to the beach. Push and pull your hands with the waves. Some are bigger waves, some are smaller. But if you try to push the wave out when it’s coming in, it’ll never happen. The market is always right.

On psychology and emotion (where most of his edge lives):

Trading requires skill at reading the markets and at managing your own anxieties.

The positive intention of fear is risk control.

Be sensitive to subtle differences between ‘intuition’ and ‘into wishing’.

Dramatic and emotional trading experiences tend to be negative. Pride is a great banana peel, as are hope, fear, and greed. My biggest slip-ups occurred shortly after I got emotionally involved with positions.

Trying to trade during a losing streak is emotionally devastating. Trying to play “catch up” is lethal.

One alternative is to keep bets small and then to systematically keep reducing risk during equity drawdowns. That way you have a gentle financial and emotional touchdown.

The feelings we accept and enjoy rarely interfere with trading.

Our work is not so much to treat or to cure feelings, as to accept and celebrate them.

The “gentle touchdown” idea is underrated. When you are losing, cut size automatically rather than doubling up to win it back. The math protects the money and the smaller swings protect your nerve.

On measurement, luck, and self-knowledge:

If you can’t measure it, you probably can’t manage it. Things you measure tend to improve.

Luck plays an enormous role in trading success. Some people were lucky enough to be born smart, while others were even smarter and got born lucky.

A losing trader can do little to transform himself into a winning trader. A losing trader is not going to want to transform himself. That’s the kind of thing winning traders do.

Win or lose, everybody gets what they want out of the market. Some people seem to like to lose, so they win by losing money.

There are old traders and there are bold traders, but there are very few old, bold traders.

Markets are fundamentally volatile. No way around it. Your problem is not in the math. There is no math to get you out of having to experience uncertainty.

I don’t judge success, I celebrate it. I think success has to do with finding and following one’s calling regardless of financial gain.

On information and noise:

Having a quote machine is like having a slot machine at your desk, you end up feeding it all day long. I get my price data after the close each day.

Fundamentals that you read about are typically useless as the market has already discounted the price, and I call them “funny-mentals”. However, if you catch on early, before others believe, you might have valuable “surprise-a-mentals”.

I usually ignore advice from other traders, especially the ones who believe they are on to a “sure thing”. The old timers, who talk about “maybe there is a chance of so and so,” are often right and early.

That quote-machine line is decades old and more true now, not less. Replace “slot machine at your desk” with the app in your pocket and you have described most modern traders. This is exactly why I teach checking the market once a day, after the close, in about fifteen minutes.

Where the human edge comes in

A computer can run Seykota’s trend system. He built one himself, fifty years ago. What the computer never solved, and what he spent most of his interview talking about, is the person operating it. Cutting the loss, sizing down in a drawdown, sitting on your hands through the chop, telling apart intuition from “into wishing.” Those are judgment and discipline, the first two of the Five Edges a machine cannot trade for you. The rules are simple to read and brutal to follow, and that gap is the entire job.

FAQ

Who is Ed Seykota and what is he famous for?
Ed Seykota is a commodities trader and trend-following pioneer who built one of the first computerized futures-trading systems. He is famous for turning $5,000 into roughly $15,000,000 over twelve years and for his quotes in Market Wizards, especially “cut losses.”

What is Ed Seykota’s most famous quote?
His best-known line is his answer for the elements of good trading: “1, cutting losses. 2, cutting losses. And 3, cutting losses.” A close second is “If you can’t take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.”

What are Ed Seykota’s trading rules?
He lives by five: 1. Cut losses. 2. Ride winners. 3. Keep bets small. 4. Follow the rules without question. 5. Know when to break the rules.

How much did Ed Seykota risk per trade?
He aimed to risk less than 1% of his speculative account per trade (and below 5% allowing for poor executions), while keeping his whole speculative account under 10% of his liquid net worth.

Is Ed Seykota a fundamental or technical trader?
He is a technical trend follower. He ranked the long-term trend first, the current chart pattern second, and the precise entry third, and dismissed most published fundamentals as already priced in, which he called “funny-mentals.”


So, which of Seykota’s lines lands hardest for you? Mine is “losing a position is aggravating, whereas losing your nerve is devastating.” Let me know yours in the comments.

If you want more of these, read the companion roundup: Best Trading Tips and Quotes from Legendary Top Traders. And to see how the psychology behind these rules actually works in practice, start with the pillar: The Trading Psychology Guide.

Want the system behind the discipline? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It’s the exact once-a-day, after-the-close routine I use to scan and trade any market in 15 minutes, the same “get your data after the close” habit Seykota swore by.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

Trading Psychology Guide (pillar) · Best Trading Tips and Quotes from Legendary Top Traders · How to cut losses and let winners run · Position sizing and risk management

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Spencer Li

Best Trading Tips & Quotes from Jesse Livermore

Trading Tips
Best Trading Tips Quotes from Jesse Livermore

Jesse Livermore’s Trading Rules: His Best Tips and Quotes, Explained

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


Jesse Livermore’s trading rules come down to five ideas: trade the main trend not the daily noise, wait for confirmation before you act, cut losses fast and never average down, sit tight once you are right, and control your emotions above everything. Livermore (1877 to 1940) was the trader behind Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, famous for shorting the 1907 panic and the 1929 crash. He made and lost millions several times over, which is exactly why his rules are worth reading: they are written by someone who learned them the expensive way. His single most quoted line says it best: “It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting.” The lesson is that finding a good trade is the easy part. Holding it, and surviving the bad ones, is where the money is actually made or lost.

Below are his best tips and quotes, grouped into the lessons they teach, with what each one means in practice.

What are Jesse Livermore’s most important trading rules?

If you only take five things from Livermore, take these. The quotes below are his own words; the “what it means” column is the practical translation.

RuleLivermore’s wordsWhat it means in practice
Trade the trend, not the ticks“The big money was not in the individual fluctuations but in the main movements.”Stop scalping the noise. Position for the larger move and let it run.
Wait for confirmation“Don’t take action with a trade until the market itself confirms your opinion. Being a little late is insurance that your opinion is correct.”Let the market prove you right before you commit. Late and correct beats early and wrong.
Cut losses, never average down“Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit.”Take the small loss immediately. Adding to a loser is the fastest way to a big one.
Sit tight when you are right“Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon.”The hard part is not the entry. It is doing nothing while a winner works.
Control your emotions“Emotional control is the most essential factor in playing the market.”Greed, fear, and boredom lose more money than bad analysis ever does.

Everything else he wrote is a variation on one of these five. Here they are in full.

Trade the trend, not the daily noise

Livermore’s core insight is that the real money is in the main movement, not the wiggles.

“The big money was not in the individual fluctuations but in the main movements, that is, not in reading the tape but in sizing up the entire market and its trend.”

This is the famous “Mr. Partridge” lesson from Reminiscences. An old trader kept telling everyone “this is a bull market,” and what he meant was: stop fussing over every up-tick, you are in a bull market, so be long and stay long.

“Nobody can catch all the fluctuations. In a bull market your game is to buy and hold until you believe that the bull market is near its end.”

He also told traders to stop chasing perfection at the edges:

“One of the most helpful things that anybody can learn is to give up trying to catch the last eighth, or the first. These two are the most expensive eighths in the world.”

An eighth was the old fractional price tick (stocks used to trade in eighths of a dollar). His point: trying to nail the exact top and exact bottom costs more than it ever earns. Get the middle of the move and you have done your job.

Personally, this is the Livermore lesson I lean on most. A lot of new traders confuse activity with progress. The chart moves, so they feel they should be doing something. Livermore’s answer is that the chart moving is not a reason to trade. The trend changing is.

Wait for the market to confirm you

Livermore drew a hard line between guessing and waiting.

“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.”

“Don’t take action with a trade until the market itself confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don’t be an impatient trader.”

He had a name for the spot where he would finally act: the Pivotal Point (his term for a key price level where the trend’s direction gets confirmed, the same idea we now call support, resistance, or a breakout level).

“Whenever I have had the patience to wait for the market to arrive at what I call a Pivotal Point before I started to trade, I have always made money in my operations.”

And in a sideways market, his rule was simply to wait for the range to break:

“In a narrow market, when prices move within a narrow range, there is no sense in trying to anticipate what the next big movement is going to be. The thing to do is to watch the market, determine the limits of the get-nowhere prices, and make up your mind that you will not take an interest until the price breaks through the limit in either direction.”

Do note that “being a little late” is not the same as being slow or lazy. He is saying: give up the first sliver of the move in exchange for proof the move is real. That trade is worth making every time.

Cut losses fast, and never average down

If there is one rule Livermore repeats more than any other, it is this one.

“It is foolhardy to make a second trade if your first trade shows you a loss. Never average losses. Let this thought be written indelibly upon your mind.”

“Of all the speculative blunders there are few greater than trying to average a losing game. Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit.”

He even confessed his own version of the mistake, the one almost every trader makes:

“I did precisely the wrong thing. The cotton showed me a loss and I kept it. The wheat showed me a profit and I sold it out.”

That is loss aversion in one sentence: we hold our losers hoping they come back, and we sell our winners to lock in a small gain. Livermore is telling you to do the exact opposite. And the loss itself is not the problem:

“A loss never bothers me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong, not taking the loss, that is what does the damage to the pocketbook and to the soul.”

The mechanism he points to is the stop-loss:

“The lucky trader is one who minimizes mistakes and, if they do make a mistake, acts to minimize the damage by exiting from the situation quickly. In practice this means having a written plan for each trade you enter, the most important element of which is the stop-loss.”

Hence the order of operations he is really teaching: decide where you are wrong before you enter, write it down, and obey it without arguing. The stop is not a guess about the future. It is the line where your idea is disproven.

Sit tight when you are right

Cutting losses is half the job. The other half is the opposite skill, and Livermore thought it was rarer.

“It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!”

“Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make big money.”

“The market does not beat them. They beat themselves, because though they have brains they cannot sit tight.”

This is the part most people skip when they quote Livermore. Everyone loves “cut your losses.” Far fewer can run a winner without flinching out at the first pullback. He is explicit that the second skill is harder, and that it is where the big money actually lives.

“Experience has proved to me that real money made in speculating has been in commitments showing a profit right from the start.”

In other words: a good entry tends to work quickly. If a trade is dragging from the open, that is information, not an invitation to wait and hope.

Control your emotions, and know when to do nothing

Livermore was blunt that the market is mostly a psychology test.

“Emotional control is the most essential factor in playing the market. Never lose control of your emotions when the market moves against you. Don’t get too confident over your wins or too despondent over your losses.”

“Instead of hoping he must fear, and instead of fearing he must hope. He must fear that his loss may develop into a much bigger loss, and hope that his profit may become a big profit.”

That line is worth re-reading. Most traders feel hope on their losers (it will come back) and fear on their winners (I had better take this before it vanishes). Livermore says flip both.

He was equally clear that not trading is a position.

“There is a time to go long. There is a time to go short. There is a time to go fishing.”

“Remember this: when you are doing nothing, those speculators who feel they must trade day in and day out are laying the foundation for your next venture. You will reap benefits from their mistakes.”

“Play the market only when all factors are in your favour. No person can play the market all the time and win.”

The enemy he names is the urge to act for the sake of acting:

“The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses on Wall Street, even among the professionals, who feel that they must take home some money every day, as though they were working for regular wages.”

This is the single most useful idea for a part-time trader. You do not get paid for screen time. Sitting on your hands through a market with no edge is not laziness. It is the discipline that funds the trades that do have an edge.

Think for yourself, and don’t believe in tips

Livermore had no patience for traders who outsource their decisions.

“A man must believe in himself and his judgement if he expects to make a living at this game. That is why I don’t believe in tips.”

“If I buy stocks on Smith’s tip I must sell those same stocks on Smith’s tip. I am depending on him. Suppose Smith is away on a holiday when the selling time comes around?”

That second quote is the whole problem with tips in one image. A tip gives you an entry and nothing else. No exit, no plan, no way to manage the trade when it moves. He was just as hard on people who read about trading and confused it with doing it:

“The semi-sucker had read books about trading, usually written by yet higher grade suckers, but he did not realise that reading books was not the same as trading experience.”

Yes, that includes posts like this one. Reading Livermore is not trading Livermore. The quotes are a map. You still have to walk the ground.

Where the human edge comes in

A scanner will find Livermore’s Pivotal Point for you in a second. An algorithm can flag the breakout, draw the trend, and even size the position. What no tool will do for you is sit tight through a winner you are itching to close, take the small loss without arguing with the screen, or go fishing in a market that offers you nothing. Every rule Livermore wrote is a psychology rule wearing a price-action costume. The pattern is the easy part. The discipline to follow your own plan when fear and hope are both pulling at you is the judgment, and it is the first of the Five Edges no machine can trade for you. Livermore figured that out a century ago, with a pencil and a ticker tape.

FAQ

What is Jesse Livermore’s most famous trading quote?
“It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting.” It captures his core lesson: holding a good position is harder, and more profitable, than finding one.

What were Jesse Livermore’s main trading rules?
Trade the main trend rather than daily noise, wait for the market to confirm your opinion before acting, cut losses quickly and never average down, sit tight while a winner runs, and keep tight emotional control. He also refused to trade on tips, insisting traders rely on their own judgement.

What did Livermore mean by a “Pivotal Point”?
A Pivotal Point was Livermore’s term for a key price level where the trend’s direction is confirmed. He would wait for price to reach that level before entering, which maps onto what modern traders call support, resistance, and breakout levels.

Did Jesse Livermore really say “sell down to the sleeping point”?
The line comes from a story he tells of a trader who could not sleep because of an oversized cotton position. The advice was to “sell down to the sleeping point.” The lesson: if a position is too big to let you rest, it is too big, so cut it until you can.

Are Livermore’s rules still relevant today?
Yes, because they are about human behaviour, not a specific era’s technology. As he put it, “There is nothing new on Wall Street. What has happened in the past will happen again, because human nature does not change.” Greed, fear, and impatience still move markets the same way.


Now that you have his rules in one place, which one is hardest for you to follow? For me it is sitting tight on a winner. Let me know in the comments.

If you want to see how these timeless ideas turn into a repeatable modern method, start with the pillar: The Definitive Guide to Trading Psychology and Discipline.

Want the system behind the discipline? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It’s the exact routine I use to scan once a day and trade any market in 15 minutes, stop-loss written before I enter, just like Livermore taught.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

Definitive Guide to Trading Psychology and Discipline (pillar) · Best Trading Tips and Quotes from Legendary Top Traders · How to Cut Losses and Let Winners Run · Reminiscences of a Stock Operator: Book Summary

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Is the Recent Rally a Bull Trap?

Market Analysis
Bialowieza Primeval Forest Hajnowka Poland

The last 1-2 weeks, we have seen sizable rallies (20-40%) in various market like stocks, crypto, etc. Does this mean the bear market is over?

It is actually quite common to see such large rallies during a bear market, but personally I won’t be going too aggressive since it could just be in the middle of a bear market.

The better approach would be to stay nimble, taking swing trading positions to ride these bear market rallies, but always be ready to get out the moment the bear market resumes.

The last few weeks have been very good for crypto trading, and I counted 9 successful profitable swing trades in a row so far, so stay tuned to continue watching how far this winning streak can go!

I will be posting daily portfolio updates and trading opportunities in my “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram group, so join us if you want to start profiting with us!

 

Bialowieza Primeval Forest Hajnowka Poland

[Photo: Bialowieza Primeval Forest, Hajnówka, Poland – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 200722

Portfolio updates (20 Jul 2022)

Currently have about 6% in stocks and 6% crypto to ride the current bullish momentum.

 

Trading Signals Portfolio 210722

More detailed portfolio notes, will be sharing this more often in future for quick and easy reference.

ST = short-term
MT = medium-term
LT = long-term

 

Trading Signals Portfolio 220722

Portfolio Updates (22 Jul 2022)

Taking profits off long positions in stocks and crypto, especially the latter which has a strong run-up the past few days.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 190722

Currency strength is shifting away from the USD for now.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 190722 1

The AUDUSD is currently resting on strong support, might have a rebound within the range.

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 190722

The NZDUSD might also be having a rebound, but in the form of a falling wedge.

 

Trading Signals GBPUSD 190722

Similar to the NZDUSD, the GBPUSD is also forming a similar wedge shape.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 220722

The USDSGD looks like it is correcting back to the bottom of the uptrend channel.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals Inflation High 180722

So in 1981 consumers were looking at 10% savings account yields, 17% mortgages, 10% bond yields and 9% inflation.

Today it’s 1% savings account yields, 5% mortgages, 3% bond yields and 9% inflation.

The last time inflation was this high it basically took two recessions in short order to slow the rapid rate of change in prices.

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/07/the-last-time-inflation-was-this-high/

 

Trading Signals ARKK 210722

Solid breakout for ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), we might see the bullish momentum continue for a while.

I have been accumulating longs on this for quite a while, might add on a little more. ????

 

Trading Signals US100 200722

2 possible ways it could play out for the NASDAQ 100 (US100), but currently it looks more likely to head up to test the top of the trend channel.

There will be another major rate hike in about a week’s time, so be wary of volatile price moves as we get nearer.

 

Trading Signals bull market news 220722

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-new-bull-market-cant-start-until-investors-give-up-11658482203

 

Trading Signals Stock Market 210722

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-stock-market-is-on-sale-that-doesnt-make-it-cheap-11658388069

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 190722

Can consider taking a small position on Ethereum (ETHUSD) to ride the rebound, with a tight SL around $1250.

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 200722

Ethereum (ETHUSD) is now above $1500, congrats to all those who took this trade! ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD profits 220722

Taking profits from my recent Ethereum (ETHUSD) long positions. ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 220722

Tricky situation for Ethereum (ETHUSD) because after the breakout to new highs there wasn’t very strong follow-through, so I decided to take my profits and wait on the sideline till I get a better setup.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Bialowieza-Primeval-Forest-Hajnowka-Poland.jpg 1536 2048 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-07-23 14:12:442022-07-23 17:27:48Weekly Market Wrap: Is the Recent Rally a Bull Trap?
Spencer Li

Expanding Triangle Pattern Trading Strategy Guide (Updated 2025)

Price Chart Patterns
Thumbnail Expanding Triangle Price Pattern Strategy Guide

Have you faced a market where there are large price swings and high volatility? How do you profit from such markets?

The expanding triangle pattern is one such example, where buyers and sellers fight for control, until one side capitulates and the other side takes control of the market.

While this fight is going on, there are several ways to take advantage and profit from these large price movements, either by trading the swing themselves, or waiting till a clear direction is established before taking a position.

In this post, I will show you how to take advantage of the expanding triangle pattern to trade ranges, breakouts, and reversals, by using the best trading strategies for this price pattern.

 

expanding triangle INFOGRAPHIC confirmed

What is an Expanding Triangle?

The expanding triangle, as its name suggests, is a triangle, but it differs from the other 3 types of triangle patterns which we covered in the previous chapter.

All triangle patterns consist of 2 lines, but in the previous 3 triangles (symmetrical, ascending, descending), the lines were converging, whereas for the expanding triangle, the lines are diverging.

This means that instead of compressing prices into a fixed breakout point some time within the pattern, this pattern sees prices moving further and further away from each line in the pattern.

This ultimately leads to wider swings (higher highs and lower lows) and increased volatility, making it harder to predict when a breakout will happen. Also, since it neither exhibits higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) nor lower highs and lower lows (downtrend), this makes it hard to pinpoint the current trend.

Historically, it also has many names associated with the same pattern:

  • Expanding triangle
  • Broadening triangle
  • Megaphone formation
  • Broadening formation

The expanding triangle can be either bullish or bearish, giving rise to the bullish expanding triangle or the bearish expanding triangle.

For stock markets, the bearish version seems to be more common, since market bottoms tend to be faster (due to the faster decrease of prices during the crash), so we tend to see it more during market tops.

 

Expanding Triangle Psychology

When you see the expanding triangle and its widening swings, it is a clear sign of uncertainty in the market.

Bulls and bears are fighting to gain control, but it is not clear which side is winning because each time price makes a new high or low, it appears that either side is winning, only to see the other side gain back control.

expanding triangle psychology

This makes it hard for market players to fully commit until there is more clarity.

The reason why this is classified as a reversal pattern is because the larger and larger swings point to increasing uncertainty, and the higher the uncertainty, the more chance that the prior trend will reverse.

 

Expanding Triangle Trading Strategies

There are 3 main strategies, of which the first exploits the wide swings to attempt range trading, while the other two attempt to trade the breakout of prices.

  1. Range trading (using the swings)
  2. Breakout (with trend)
  3. Reversal (change of trend)

Since this pattern is inherently uncertain (and hence risky), good risk management and precision of entry is important to get a good entry price, because the chance of getting stopped out is high if your entry is less than ideal.

Now, let’s go through each strategy in greater detail.

 

Expanding Triangle Trading Strategy #1

Our first strategy for the expanding triangle pattern is make use of the wide swings between the range of the triangle pattern, and aim to take positions near the extremes of the swings.

This is very similar to range trading, or a rectangle pattern, where we go long near support levels and go short near resistance levels, except that this time the support and resistance levels are diverging lines instead of horizontal lines.

In the example above, we see that prices bounce off the lines on both sides, and I have highlighted the potential buying and selling opportunities with green and red arrows respectively.

For trading, we would look to enter near the lines of the expanding triangle, while using a wider stoploss, since this pattern is know for its high volatility. 

As the lines diverge and the swings get wider, the reward to risk for each trade actually becomes better, because the risk remains the same (based on your entry technique), but the reward increases as the target moves further away.

Do note, however, that eventually the pattern will lead to a breakout, so remember to manage your trading position as prices move within the expanding triangle.

 

Expanding Triangle Trading Strategy #2

In the first strategy, we treated the expanding triangle as a trading range, and traded the price movements within the range.

The second strategy we are going for is to treat the expanding triangle as a continuation pattern, and look for a breakout in the same direction as the prior trend.

Personally, I do not like this strategy, as I feel that the odds are not as good, and it is hard to find many instances of a successful breakout. The probability of a reversal is higher due to uncertainty of the pattern.

As such, I was unable to find a good chart example, and I have simulated a price breakout instead.

In the example above, we see a prior uptrend, followed by the expanding triangle, then we see prices break out (simulated prices in blue dotted lines).

The breakout is inherently challenging because prices are trying to break above a line which is sloping upwards, which means prices need to move up a lot in a short period of time. If the breakout is too gradual, it will appear to just be moving along the edge of the line, making it hard to tell whether a real breakout has taken place.

The best breakdown will be one in which prices shoot past the line, then pulls back to form a stable base.

For trading, we would look to enter near the stable base once it has been established, to act as a launchpad for the next leg of movement upwards.

Note that this strategy works just as well in a downtrend, you’ll just have to flip the pattern around for a downside breakout.

This strategy works best if the prior trend (before forming the triangle pattern) is strong, and has a higher chance of success if the triangle is smaller, in terms of height and duration.

 

Expanding Triangle Trading Strategy #3

In our final strategy, instead of looking for a breakout in the prior trend direction (strategy #2), we now look for a breakout in the opposite direction, in other words a trend reversal.

To be more specific, we are not looking for a breakout per se, but rather an opportunity to initiate a position in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend.

This means that instead of a breakout, we can look for a low-risk entry point for our first entry. Recall the technique we used in strategy #1 for trading the range, and entering near the extreme swing.

In the example above, which features the same chart as strategy #2, instead of looking for an upside breakout, we will be looking for a reversal trade opportunity.

For trading, we can initiate a low-risk short position near the upper bound of the range, indicated by the yellow highlight and red arrow. As prices start to form lower highs and lower lows (thus confirming the downtrend), we can choose to add short positions.

Note that this strategy works just as well in a bullish trend reversal, you’ll just have to flip the pattern around for an upside reversal.

This strategy works best if the prior trend (before forming the triangle pattern) is weak and in a relatively late stage, and has a higher chance of success if the triangle is larger, in terms of height and duration.

 

Profit Target for Expanding Triangle

Once an expanding triangle pattern is completed, one of the most useful things about it is its ability to provide a price projection, which can be used to estimate a minimum profit target for your trade.

This can be done by taking the maximum height of the triangle, and projecting that distance from the breakout point.

expanding triangle profit target

In the chart above, the maximum height of the expanding triangle is indicated by the blue rectangular box, which is then used as a price projection at the breakout point.

The black horizontal arrow indicates the price level which serves as the minimum profit target for the expanding triangle pattern breakout.

This price projection technique can be used in conjunction with other methods, such as support and resistance levels, and if there is any confluence, gives an added layer of confirmation.

 

Tips from the Trading Desk

  1. With much uncertainty surround this pattern, it is better to look for low risk entries to enter early into the trend reversal, rather than look for breakouts to continue the existing trend
  2. Look to fade both sides (trade within the range) if there are extreme moves
  3. Avoid trading when price is in the middle of the range

avoid middle expanding triangle

When prices are in the middle of the expanding triangle, there is no edge because the odds of going up or down are about 50-50.

And as you can see in the yellow circles, when prices are in the middle, they can “look” like they are breaking out in one direction, and make a 180 U-turn just a few bars later.

This means that if you try to trade these breakouts in the middle of the range, you will get whipsawed terribly.

Hence, it is better to avoid taking a position when prices are in the middle of the pattern, and instead wait till there is a good setup.

 

Now that I have shared the various trading strategies for the expanding triangle price pattern, which is your favourite strategy?

Let me know in the comments below.

 

thumbnail the definitive guide to trading price chart patterns

If you would like to learn all the different price chart patterns, also check out: “The Definitive Guide to Trading Price Chart Patterns”

2 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Thumbnail-Expanding-Triangle-Price-Pattern-Strategy-Guide.png 720 1280 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-07-18 15:26:042025-01-09 10:10:23Expanding Triangle Pattern Trading Strategy Guide (Updated 2025)
Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Easy Profits from Swing Trading Crypto

Market Analysis
Sapa Vietnam

Last week, the market continued to whipsaw, but for short-term traders, this provided many good swing trades on markets such as stocks, crypto, commodities, etc.

Most of my portfolio is still held in cash, because I do not want to risk my capital in such volatile markets, but using just a small percent of my portfolio to swing trade is enough to generate $10-20k of monthly profits as some side income while waiting for the markets to stabilise.

The next major thing to look out for is the upcoming rate hike, with an expected 100 basis points, so we will need to see how the markets react to that.

Strangely, the prices of commodities have already started to come down, so that might help tame inflation.

Stay tuned in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel for more daily profit opportunities!

 

Sapa Vietnam

[Photo: Sapa, Vietnam – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals portfolio 140722

Portfolio updates

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals GCC 130722

Following up on the Commodity ETF (GCC), it has formed a bear flag, and looks ready to continue plunging.

Will be adding on my short positions! ????

 

Trading Signals Eurozone 150722

Eurozone’s reliance on Russian gas and a closer examination of bond markets suggest there is little immediate upside for the single currency

https://www.wsj.com/articles/parity-is-unlikely-to-be-the-bottom-for-the-euro-11657810219

 

Trading Signals Inflation 130722

Inflation Rose Over 9% Over the Last Year (Source: Crossing Wall Street)

 

Trading Signals Global inflation rate 140722

Global inflation rates table

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 US500 120722

Now that the short positions we took on crypto are already in the money, today I decided to take a small short position on the S&P 500 (US500) and NASDAQ (US100) as well.

Let’s see how this swing trade goes! ??

 

Trading Signals US100 US500 150722

The stock markets (US100, US500) look pretty choppy, will be taking profits on my short positions for now.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals BTCUSD 130722

Taking profits from my Bitcoin (BTCUSD) trade over the weekend! ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 130722

Taking profits from my Ethereum (ETHUSD) trade over the weekend! ????

 

Trading Signals Mystery Trade 130722

Mystery trade ?

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 100722

Decided to take a small short position on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD), let’s see how it turns out! ??

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 150722

Have had 4 excellent swing trades on Ethereum (ETHUSD) in recent times, since the market is rather choppy.

Now, I’m net long on crypto and waiting to see if it can breakout of that range.

 

Trading Signals Opensea 150722

OpenSea, one of the largest marketplaces for NFTs (nonfungible tokens), said Thursday it would cut a fifth of its staff as the crash in cryptocurrency prices continued to wreak havoc on digital-asset firms.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nft-marketplace-opensea-to-lay-off-20-of-employees-11657830342

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Sapa-Vietnam.jpg 1536 2048 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-07-15 16:30:222022-07-23 17:55:05Weekly Market Wrap: Easy Profits from Swing Trading Crypto
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