Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

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thumbnail 7 April

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week’s labor market update offered mixed interpretations, showcasing the ongoing robustness of employment growth with 303,000 jobs added in March, suggesting a strong but moderating labor market.

Despite expectations of a softening employment environment, the market remains resilient, with unemployment at a historically low 3.8%.

This backdrop maintains consumer spending strength, although job openings have started to decline, hinting at a gradual market cooling.

Meanwhile, wage growth has slowed to 4.1%, signaling easing inflationary pressures but complicating Fed’s rate cut expectations.

Market reactions were notably measured, with stocks dipping in response to signs of a strengthening economy, potentially delaying anticipated Fed rate cuts.

The upcoming CPI report will be critical for adjusting expectations around the Fed’s policy moves, especially if core CPI trends cooler, bolstering the case for a summer rate cut.

Amidst this, the labor market’s enduring vitality, coupled with moderating wage increases, presents a nuanced picture for investors, balancing between continued economic growth and the potential for easing monetary policy.

This week’s financial landscape is brimming with pivotal updates that could sway market sentiments.

The release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for March on Wednesday is particularly significant, with Federal Reserve officials scrutinizing the figures to inform potential adjustments to interest rate policies.

Additionally, remarks from several Fed officials throughout the week, along with insights from the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes and the Michigan consumer sentiment survey results, are anticipated to offer valuable perspectives on the economic outlook and monetary policy direction.

Simultaneously, the onset of the 2024 first-quarter earnings season promises to shed light on the financial health of the nation’s banking sector, with JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup set to disclose their financial performances.

These reports could provide critical insights into the banking industry’s resilience and profitability, further influencing market trends and investor strategies in the context of ongoing economic uncertainties and the Fed’s monetary policy trajectory.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals XLE 030424

Energy Stocks ETF (XLE) – Strong +22.37% run-up on this ETF, which I mentioned in previous videos. Took some profits on it.

 

Trading Signals GOOG 020424

Trading Signals GOOG part 1 020424

Trading Signals GOOG part 2 020424

Definitely possible, with a SL below the breakout point

 

commodities 1 daily trading signals 090424

commodities 2 daily trading signals 090424

Many people were asking me why I loaded up on commodities a few months ago when stocks and crypto were so bullish. My answer is I prefer to diversify, but I also saw that commodities were cyclical and felt “under-valued”.

Fast forward to today, almost all the top-performing asset classes/indices over the past 20-days are commodities.

 

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Thumbnail US labor

Thumbnail US labor

Subscribe for real-time alerts and weekly videos:
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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week reflected on the Silicon Valley Bank collapse’s one-year anniversary, comparing its aftermath with the financial stability seen today.

In 1995, similar economic conditions led to a historic rally after a strategic Fed pivot to rate cuts, reminiscent of the current financial landscape.

With major central banks planning rate reductions, the comparison to the mid-’90s suggests a hopeful outcome for a similar soft landing, despite distinct macroeconomic backgrounds.

The Fed’s recent meeting underscored this optimism, leaving rates unchanged while signaling a forthcoming rate-cutting cycle, aiming for a softer policy rate by 2026.

This move was well-received, pushing markets to new highs amid easier financial conditions than when rate hikes began.

The focus on productivity as a driving force for growth and inflation control parallels the ’90s, yet with modern dynamics around AI’s potential impact.

While concerns of speculative bubbles loom, broader market participation and strong earnings suggest a healthier rally, with an eye on inflation as a possible disruptor to the anticipated soft landing.

This week, the financial markets are poised for a comprehensive assessment of the labor market, with a spotlight on the U.S. payroll report due Friday.

The report’s findings will offer crucial insights into employment trends, potentially influencing Federal Reserve policy decisions.

Additionally, the week is packed with Federal Reserve speakers, including notable appearances from San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, whose comments will be closely analyzed for any shifts in monetary policy outlook.

Investors are also gearing up for earnings reports from a diverse group of companies, including Paychex, Dave & Buster’s Entertainment, Levi Strauss, and BlackBerry Limited, which could provide a deeper look into various sectors of the economy.

Furthermore, the release of purchasing managers index (PMI) reports on manufacturing and service sectors will offer valuable data on the state of economic activity, helping to shape market expectations for the coming months.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals RDDT part 1 020424
Trading Signals RDDT 020424

Reddit (RDDT) – Holding my short position which is in the money by 28% so far. 💪🏻🔥💰

 

 

Trading Signals URA pt 1 080324
Trading Signals URA pt 2 030424

Uranium ETF (URA) – Strong recovery and breakout today, with prices moving up +4.47% in one day! 💪🏻🔥💰

 

cgc daily trading signals 030424

Checking out some of the top-performing stocks over the past 20 days.

As expected, many are crypto-related, but strangely there are quite a few cannabis-related counters.

Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) – This cannabis stock is starting to move on high volume.

 

Stock picks from our members:

Trading Signals IR part 1 260324
Trading Signals IR part 2 260324

Ingersoll Rand (IR) – Very strong uptrend, and a recent breakout from a small rectangle pattern.

Since the trend is so strong, I think if you want to enter you can just enter any time and place a tight SL.

 

 

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As we look back on 2023 and look forward to the rest of 2024, what are some of the best investment and trading opportunities across various asset classes that we can invest in at the moment?

In this video collaboration with XM brokerage,  I will cover various asset classes such as stocks, stock sectors, bonds, commodities, cryptocurrencies, and analyse which ones give the best upside potential.

For this blog post, the first part will be a review of 2023, looking at what the investment themes were, and how various asset classes performed.

The second part will be looking at the investment themes for 2024, macro-economic outlook, and lasted the projected market performance of each asset class, and whether it will be a good investment.

 

Overview of 2023

2023 marked a significant year in the world of finance, characterized by recovery and realignment in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Technology and consumer discretionary sectors notably rebounded, outperforming defensive sectors as they adapted to post-pandemic economic conditions and shifts in consumer behavior. 

Central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, played a pivotal role in this landscape through strategic interest rate adjustments in response to previous high inflation rates. These policy shifts greatly influenced bond markets, especially those sensitive to interest rates, while commodities like oil, gas, and gold saw notable price movements reflecting global economic trends and investor sentiment towards safe-haven assets.

The year also witnessed challenges in the banking sector, highlighted by a regional banking crisis in spring 2023, which tested financial system resilience and prompted intervention by central banks and authorities. 

Geopolitical tensions further shaped the financial narrative, affecting currency values and investment strategies globally. Cryptocurrencies experienced a resurgence, highlighting renewed investor interest and confidence in digital assets. 

Overall, 2023 was a testament to the adaptability and resilience of global financial markets, navigating through a complex mix of economic challenges, policy shifts, and geopolitical events. This review encapsulates these developments, providing insights into market performances and implications for the future.

 

Top Investment Themes of 2023

Revival of Technology Stocks: The year 2023 witnessed a remarkable resurgence in technology stocks, with the leading “Magnificent 7” mega-cap tech stocks, including Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft, propelling the sector forward. This renaissance in tech stocks, after a period of relative underperformance, underscored the sector’s resilience and innovation capacity.

Generative AI Revolution: Another significant investment theme was the surge in interest in generative AI technologies. Companies involved in AI development and application attracted substantial investment, indicating the market’s recognition of AI’s potential as a transformative force in the economy.

Cryptocurrency Recovery: The cryptocurrency market rebounded in 2023, marking an end to the previous year’s downturn. This recovery was partly fueled by expectations around the introduction of a Bitcoin ETF, which boosted investor confidence and prices.

 

Market Performance of Various Asset Classes in 2023

Equities
Technology and Consumer Discretionary Sectors: In 2023, the equity market was led by a remarkable comeback in technology and consumer discretionary stocks. The rebound was fueled by investor optimism about future growth prospects, technological innovations, and a shift in consumer spending patterns. Tech giants, often referred to as the “Magnificent 7,” including Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft, demonstrated strong performance, significantly outperforming the broader market. This resurgence indicated investor confidence in the tech sector’s ability to navigate through economic uncertainties.

Defensive Sectors: In contrast, defensive sectors such as utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples underperformed. This trend was largely attributed to their sensitivity to rising interest rates and a general shift in investor preference towards more growth-oriented stocks. Investors typically turn to defensive stocks for stability and consistent dividends, but in 2023, the focus was clearly on growth and recovery potential.

Bonds
Interest Rate Sensitivity: The bond market in 2023 was significantly impacted by the economic landscape, particularly the rising interest rates. Government bonds and other interest rate-sensitive bonds saw a decline in value. As central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, continued to adjust interest rates to combat inflation, bond prices moved inversely. The yield on these bonds rose, reflecting increased risk and reduced demand.

Commodities
Oil and Gas Stocks: The commodities market, especially oil and gas stocks, experienced a strong year. High energy prices were a key driver of this performance, influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply constraints. Energy companies benefited from increased demand as global economies recovered from the pandemic-induced slowdown, leading to higher revenues and stock prices.

Gold
Safe-Haven Appeal: Gold witnessed a significant rally in 2023, with prices reaching levels not seen since 2020. This surge was primarily driven by investors seeking safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties and inflation concerns. Gold’s traditional role as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation came into play, as investors diversified their portfolios away from more volatile assets.

Oil
Robust Prices: Oil prices remained strong throughout 2023. This robustness can be attributed to a combination of factors, including sustained global demand, geopolitical tensions, and supply-side constraints. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East, and OPEC’s supply management contributed to the price stability and strength in the oil market.

USD and Crypto
USD Fluctuations: The U.S. dollar experienced fluctuations as a result of the geopolitical tensions and varying economic policies across different nations. While traditionally a safe-haven currency, the dollar’s value was influenced by domestic inflation concerns and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions.

Cryptocurrency Recovery: Cryptocurrencies rebounded from their previous downturn, witnessing significant gains in 2023. This recovery was spurred by growing mainstream adoption, the potential launch of Bitcoin ETFs, and an increasing perception of cryptocurrencies as alternative investment vehicles. Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies regained investor interest, suggesting a more stable footing for the crypto market going forward.

This detailed analysis of various asset classes in 2023 highlights a complex financial landscape shaped by macroeconomic factors, geopolitical tensions, and shifting investor sentiments. Each asset class responded uniquely to these dynamics, reflecting the diverse and interconnected nature of global financial markets.

 

Top Investment Themes of 2024

Emergence of AI as a Key Driver: The year 2024 is set to see artificial intelligence (AI) solidify its position as a dominant investment theme. Following a surge in AI-related investments in 2023, companies in the tech sector, particularly those involved in semiconductors, computer hardware, and software, are expected to lead the charge. The focus is likely to shift towards companies that adopt AI for enhancing productivity across various industries.

Renewed Interest in Specific Stock Sectors: The real estate and financial sectors, having experienced turbulent times in the recent past, are anticipated to make a strong comeback. These sectors are poised to benefit from the easing monetary policies and are expected to outperform the broader market.

Growing Significance of Cryptocurrency: After a period of recovery and regulatory shifts in 2023, digital currencies are expected to gain further traction. This resurgence is likely driven by increasing mainstream adoption, innovations in blockchain technology, and a growing recognition of cryptocurrencies as alternative investment vehicles. With regulatory frameworks becoming clearer and more investor-friendly, the crypto market could see enhanced stability and growth, attracting both retail and institutional investors.

 

Macroeconomic Outlook & Important Factors

Modest Global Economic Growth: The global economic landscape in 2024 is expected to be characterized by gradual yet steady growth. Analysts predict this trend to persist until at least mid-2025, marking a phase of elongated expansion, albeit at a subdued pace compared to previous years. The U.S. economy, in particular, is expected to play a crucial role in this scenario. Its ability to effectively manage and navigate through ongoing inflationary pressures will be critical. If the U.S. succeeds in balancing growth with inflation control, it could set a positive tone for the global economy. However, the risk remains that aggressive measures to combat inflation could inadvertently lead to a slowdown or even a recession.

European Economy: Europe’s economic outlook for 2024 appears more complex. High energy prices, partly driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, are likely to pose significant challenges. These factors could constrain consumer spending and business investment, leading to subdued economic growth. The UK, however, might stand out as an exception. Its economy shows potential for optimism, supported by robust sector compositions that could attract investment and offer valuation support. This optimism in the UK could be driven by a combination of fiscal policies, a responsive monetary framework, and a potentially more stable political environment post-Brexit.

Global Supply Chain Dynamics: Supply chain disruptions have been a key factor affecting global economies since the pandemic. In 2024, the extent to which these supply chains recover or face further disruptions due to geopolitical tensions or other factors will impact production costs, inflation rates, and overall economic growth.

Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies: Ongoing conflicts, such as the situation in Ukraine and the Middle East, can affect global trade and economic stability. Additionally, trade policies and relations, particularly involving major economies like the U.S., China, and the EU, will influence global economic dynamics.

Technological Advancements and Digital Transformation: Rapid advancements in technology, especially in fields like AI, 5G, and green energy, could lead to increased productivity and open new markets. However, they also pose challenges related to workforce adaptation and potential job displacements.

Labor Market Trends: The nature of the labor market recovery post-COVID-19, including workforce participation rates, wage growth, and remote working trends, will be crucial. These factors affect consumer spending, business investment decisions, and overall economic health.

Environmental Concerns and Sustainability Initiatives: Climate change and sustainability are increasingly influencing economic policies. Initiatives for green energy and sustainable practices could drive investment in new sectors but also imply transitions for traditional industries.

Fiscal Policies of Governments: Government spending and debt levels, particularly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, will continue to have significant implications. How governments manage fiscal policies to stimulate growth or combat inflation without exacerbating debt levels will be crucial.

Consumer Behavior and Confidence: Consumer spending is a major driver of economic growth. Changes in consumer behavior, influenced by factors like digitalization, health concerns, and economic confidence, will play a key role in shaping economic outcomes.

Healthcare Developments: While the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic might be over, the global health landscape continues to evolve. Any new health crises or significant developments in healthcare could have economic implications.

Central Bank Independence and Credibility: The ability of central banks to act independently and credibly manage monetary policy is essential for economic stability. Any perceived or actual loss of independence could impact financial markets and economic confidence.

Cybersecurity and Data Privacy: With the increasing digitalization of economies, cybersecurity threats and data privacy concerns could impact consumer confidence, corporate investment, and the integrity of financial systems.

US Presidential Election: Historically, U.S. stock markets have performed well in presidential election years. The outcome of the 2024 election could have significant implications for market sentiment and economic policy.

 

Inflation and Interest Rates

In 2024, a key focus will be on the monetary policy stance of major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve. With inflation expected to continue its downward trajectory, partly due to easing energy pressures and a stabilizing labor market, the anticipation is for a series of interest rate cuts. However, the path to these reductions is fraught with uncertainties.

The Federal Reserve and other central banks will likely tread cautiously, balancing the need to support economic growth with the imperative to ensure inflation is under control. The timing and extent of these rate cuts will depend on a range of factors, including inflation trends, labor market conditions, and overall economic health. 

There’s a potential scenario where rate cuts could be implemented more swiftly if there’s clear evidence of recessionary pressures or a significant easing of inflation, however if inflation remains a concern, then rate cuts could be delayed.

 

Potential Recession: Hard or Soft Landing?

The Federal Reserve’s Balancing Act
The Federal Reserve faces a critical challenge in 2024: achieving a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy. This involves slowing down economic growth sufficiently to control inflation without pushing the economy into a recession. The task is daunting, especially considering the rapid pace of interest rate hikes witnessed recently. These hikes were a response to inflation rates that soared to multi-decade highs, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) peaking at 9.1% in June 2022 before gradually declining.

Economic Growth vs. Inflation
The U.S. economy’s growth rate in 2023 was robust, with a 5.2% annualized increase in GDP in Q3, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This growth, however, was accompanied by inflationary pressures. The Fed’s aggressive interest rate hikes aimed to cool down these inflationary trends. The central question for 2024 is whether these policies will result in a controlled slowdown or tip the economy into a recession.

Historical Context and Predictive Indicators
Historically, rapid rate hikes have often preceded economic downturns. For example, before the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed raised rates 17 times from 2004 to 2006. The current situation, however, differs due to unique post-pandemic economic conditions, including supply chain disruptions and a sudden surge in consumer demand.

One predictive indicator of a recession is the yield curve inversion, which has preceded every U.S. recession since 1955 with only one false signal. As of late 2023, parts of the U.S. Treasury yield curve have inverted, which traditionally signals market expectations of a future economic slowdown.

Labor Market Considerations
The labor market remains a critical factor. As of late 2023, unemployment rates were low, but there were signs of cooling. The job market’s resilience will be a key determinant of whether the economy can achieve a soft landing. A significant rise in unemployment could signal a move towards recession, whereas stable employment could support a soft landing.

Sector-Specific Impacts
Different economic sectors may react differently to the Fed’s policies. For instance, the housing market, often sensitive to interest rate changes, has already shown signs of slowing down in 2023. Conversely, sectors like technology might continue to thrive or recover quickly, partly due to continued innovation and demand for digital services.

Global Economic Influences
The U.S. economy does not operate in isolation. Global economic conditions, including European economic stability, China’s economic policies, and international trade relations, will also influence the U.S.’s ability to achieve a soft landing.

The Path Forward
For 2024, much depends on the interplay between continued inflation control and maintaining economic growth. Analyst forecasts vary, with some expecting slow yet positive growth and others cautioning about the risk of a mild recession. The Federal Reserve’s actions in the first half of 2024 will be particularly pivotal.

If inflation rates continue to decline and economic indicators like consumer spending and manufacturing output remain healthy, the likelihood of a soft landing increases. Conversely, if inflation remains stubbornly high or if economic indicators weaken significantly, the Fed may face tough choices, potentially leading to a hard landing scenario.

While the Federal Reserve aims for a soft landing of the U.S. economy in 2024, the outcome is far from certain. It will depend on a range of factors, including inflation trends, labor market conditions, sectoral health, and global economic influences. As such, economists, policymakers, and investors will be closely monitoring these developments throughout the year.

 

Projected Market Performance of Various Asset Classes

Stocks and Specific Sectors
S&P 500 Projections: The S&P 500, after a strong showing in 2023, is expected to see more moderate gains in 2024. Analysts forecast an 8-9% increase, slightly below the historical average of about 10%. The key drivers are projected to be AI and technology stocks.

AI and Technology Stocks: Companies like Nvidia, which surged 234% in 2023, are poised to continue their growth trajectory, driven by the demand for AI applications in various sectors. Other notable AI-related stocks include C3.ai and Palantir Technologies. Big tech firms like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft are also expected to remain pivotal.

Large-Cap Resilience vs. Small/Mid-Cap Challenges: Large-cap stocks, particularly in the technology sector, are expected to be more resilient. In contrast, small and mid-cap stocks may struggle due to higher financing costs and economic slowdown. The performance of the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF and the Direxion Nasdaq 100 Equal Weighted ETF could be indicative of this trend.

Emerging Markets
Volatility and Attractiveness: Emerging markets are predicted to experience initial volatility but could become increasingly attractive, especially if the U.S. dollar weakens. This attractiveness could be enhanced if growth in emerging markets outpaces that in developed markets.

Regional Prospects: Asian emerging markets, in particular, may see growth acceleration, potentially outweighing steady growth in EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) and a slowdown in Latin America. China’s economy, after a period of lag in 2023, is expected to perform better if growth momentum picks up and geopolitical risks remain contained.

Bonds
Lower Interest Rate Environment: With expectations of rate cuts in 2024, bonds, particularly government bonds, could regain their appeal. The performance of bonds will be closely tied to the trajectory of inflation and economic growth.

Yield Predictions: Analysts predict that 10-year yields could decrease to around 3.75% by the end of 2024, from the mid-year forecast of 4.25%.

Commodities
Oil and Gold in Focus: Oil prices are anticipated to stabilize, with Brent forecasted to average around $83 per barrel in 2024. Gold prices, on the other hand, are expected to see significant gains, potentially reaching an average of $2,175/oz by Q4 2024.

Supply-Demand Dynamics: The balance in the oil market will likely hinge on OPEC+ production decisions. Gold’s appeal as a hedge against economic uncertainty and inflation will underpin its price movements.

USD and Forex
Strength of the U.S. Dollar: The dollar’s performance will be influenced by the Fed’s rate decisions and the 2024 U.S. presidential election. It is expected to remain strong, potentially yielding more than many global currencies.

Currency Pair Forecasts: Key currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY will reflect the broader economic sentiment and geopolitical developments. The euro is expected to underperform against the dollar, with the euro/dollar pair hovering between parity and 1.05 in the first half of 2024.

Cryptocurrencies
Continued Recovery: Cryptocurrencies are likely to continue their recovery trajectory, influenced by regulatory developments and increasing mainstream adoption. However, their performance will be contingent on broader market sentiments and technological advancements in the blockchain sector.

Regulatory Impact: The regulatory landscape will be a critical factor, with potential new policies either bolstering or hindering the growth of cryptocurrencies.

Overall, the 2024 financial landscape presents a nuanced picture. While AI and technology stocks are expected to lead gains in equities, emerging markets may offer attractive opportunities later in the year. Bonds could benefit from a lower interest rate environment, and commodities like oil and gold will remain crucial in portfolios. The strength of the U.S. dollar will influence forex markets, and the trajectory of cryptocurrencies will depend on regulatory and market developments. 

 

Concluding Thoughts

In 2023, global financial markets witnessed a robust recovery post-COVID-19, with the S&P 500 surging by 24%, a remarkable turnaround from the 19.4% drop in 2022. This upswing was largely fueled by the tech sector, particularly AI-driven companies like Nvidia, though gains beyond the top tech giants were more moderate. The Nasdaq Composite also saw a significant rebound. 

Looking ahead to 2024, moderate global economic growth is expected, with the U.S. at the forefront of managing inflation and fostering growth. The European economy presents a varied picture, grappling with high energy costs and geopolitical challenges, though the UK shows promising signs.

Central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, are likely to commence rate cuts, adapting to the easing inflation and stable labor markets. The timing and scale of these cuts are, however, uncertain, given the recent rapid rate hikes. 

AI is projected to remain a key growth driver in the tech sector, with real estate and financial sectors also anticipated to benefit from relaxed monetary policies. Cryptocurrencies could see increased adoption amid evolving regulations and growing acceptance. 

A critical focus for 2024 is the U.S. economy’s ability to achieve a soft landing, balancing inflation control without triggering a recession. 

Geopolitical tensions, notably in Ukraine and Gaza, along with the U.S. presidential election, are expected to significantly influence economic and market trends, while global supply chain shifts, technological advances, and changing consumer behaviors will also be key factors.

Here are some interesting questions to ponder for 2024:

1. How will the interplay between technological advancements and geopolitical tensions shape global investment strategies in 2024?

2. With the Federal Reserve poised to cut interest rates, what sectors or asset classes could potentially offer the best investment opportunities in a changing economic environment?

3. Considering the potential for both a soft and hard economic landing, how should investors adjust their portfolios to mitigate risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities in 2024?

Let me know your answers in the comments below.

Thumbnail Federal Rates

Thumbnail Federal Rates

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week’s Federal Reserve meeting and subsequent press conference, alongside the release of updated economic projections, reinforced a dovish tilt in monetary policy.

Keeping the fed funds rate steady, the Fed signaled a multiyear rate-cutting cycle starting this year, with expectations to lower the rate to around 3.1% by 2026.

This announcement was met positively by the markets, driving stocks to new highs and softening Treasury yields.

The Fed’s upgraded economic outlook for 2024-2026 and continued assertion that inflation will gradually decrease bolstered confidence in a stable financial environment.

Additionally, global central banks, including the Bank of Japan’s historic rate increase, highlighted a global shift towards adjusting monetary policies.

This broadening market leadership, spurred by the anticipation of rate cuts and improved economic growth, suggests a healthy dynamic for continued investment opportunities.

This week, amidst a shorter trading period due to the Good Friday holiday, the financial markets are poised for a series of important updates.

Key among these are new inflation figures, insights into consumer sentiment, developments in the housing market, and a selection of significant corporate earnings reports.

Despite the holiday closure, the late-week release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be closely watched.

This data, crucial for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, will indicate if inflation is continuing its expected decline.

Additionally, the spotlight will be on earnings announcements from notable companies, including GameStop, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Cintas, Carnival, and Jefferies Financial Group, providing a pulse on various sectors of the economy as investors gauge market health and future trends.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals Gold part 1 210324

Trading Signals Gold part 2 210324

Gold (XAUUSD) – Just 2 days after i posted this, we saw an impressive 3% breakout!

Congrats to those who bought! 💪🏻🔥💰

 

Trading Signals DBA part 1 200324
Trading Signals DBA part 2 200324

Agriculture ETF (DBA) – Following up on this weekly chart, prices have gone up 10% since the breakout. Can continue to hold and accumulate on pullbacks. 💪🏻🔥💰

 

 

Trading Signals PHO part 1 210324

Trading Signals PHO part 2 210324

Water Resources ETF (PHO) – Following up on this, prices just broke new highs as predicted, and we are up about 12% from our first buy-in! 💪🏻🔥💰

Looking to add more now since there was a good small price consolidation followed by a controlled breakout, meaning there is still room for more upside.

 

Stock picks from our members:

Trading Signals DOV 170324

Dover (DOV) – A very strong stock as seen on the weekly chart, and currently testing new ATHs.

A good idea to wait for a pullback before or after the breakout for a lower risk entry.

 

 

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Thumbnail design for 17 March 2024

Thumbnail design for 17 March 2024

Subscribe for real-time alerts and weekly videos:
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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week marked the one-year anniversary of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, a pivotal moment that briefly ignited a banking crisis, unsettling the financial markets and leading to the downfall of several regional banks.

Reflecting on the tumultuous period, the contrast couldn’t be starker a year later; from the depths of a bear market and the worst year on record for bonds, the markets have rebounded into a robust bull rally reminiscent of the 1990s. This turnaround highlights the critical importance of maintaining a steady investment approach during periods of market panic.

The banking sector, which was at the heart of last year’s crisis, has seen significant improvements, with 2023’s challenges largely in the rearview mirror.

Interest rates have moderated, easing the unrealized losses in banks’ bond portfolios, and while the sector still navigates cyclical challenges like loan delinquencies, the systemic threats have subsided.

On the broader economic front, the resilience of the U.S. economy continues to shine through, defying the gravitational pull of prior rate hikes.

With the Fed shifting its stance towards potential rate cuts, the outlook for the banking system and the broader financial landscape appears markedly more stable than just a year ago, offering a steadier footing for continued growth and investment opportunities.

This week, attention is pivoted towards Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Fed’s interest rate decision on Wednesday, expected to hold steady, shaping market sentiment in the near term.

Additionally, the looming deadline on Friday for the passage of several crucial government spending bills poses the threat of a governmental shutdown, should legislative action falter.

On the corporate front, a slate of earnings reports is anticipated from key players across various sectors, including Micron Technology, General Mills, Nike, FedEx, and Xpeng. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s annual Global Processing Unit Technology Conference for AI developers, starting Monday with a keynote from CEO Jensen Huang, is set to spotlight innovations and possibly influence tech market dynamics.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Here is an example of our Solana trade which we started accumulating since $74 and rode it up to $200+, giving us a +176% profit to date!

solana SOL 1 daily trading signals 180324

solana SOL 2 daily trading signals 180324

solana SOL 3 daily trading signals 180324

solana SOL 4 daily trading signals 180324

 

Screenshot 18 march A1

 

Screenshot 18 march A

Screenshot 18 march B

 

Screenshot 18 march 1

Screenshot 18 march 2

 

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