Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Milan Italy

The latest CPI data showed that inflation was almost flat for the month of July, which suggested the possibility that inflation had peaked, and might be turning down soon. But is this scenario likely?

Since there are so many factors that affect inflation, it is really impossible to tell at this point, so a simple way is to wait for the next 2-3 months and see if the CPI continues to make new lows, or proceeds to make new highs.

Because long-term trends like these take months or years to play out, so trying to predict the trend using 1 month of data is not very useful.

If we look at risk assets like stocks and crypto, they have all rallied a lot since the lows, so I’m not sure how much more they can go from these levels even if the Fed decides to keep the current interest rate levels at status quo.

This is because the impact of increased interest rates are still gradually taking effect throughout the economy, and might lead to further bearish impact. And the Fed is also unlikely to start cutting rates so soon either.

At this point I am more inclined to look for potential shorting opportunities in the stock market, but I will not pull the trigger until the trade signals are given.

Stay tuned!

 

Milan Italy

[Photo: Milan, Italy – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 110822

On the forex front, the USD has weakened considerably in recent weeks, which is why I hedged my USD exposure by diversifying in these other currencies.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 110822

This AUDUSD trade is almost 400 pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 110822

This NZDUSD trade is now 300+ pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals USDCHF 110822

This USDCHF trade is now 150+ pips profit in the money! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals ICLN 090822

Keeping an eye on the Clean Energy ETF (ICLN) weekly chart as a potential long-term investment, since the US is looking to reduce its reliance on oil.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 090822

Not much change on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), so we need to exercise patience and not act rashly if the market is not moving much. If price start breaking lower, we can get ready to short.

 

Trading Signals economy 080822

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/08/the-michael-scott-economy/

 

Trading Signals stock news 110822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/feds-inflation-battle-is-far-from-won-11660144110

 

Trading Signals Bed Bath and Beyond News 090822

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/08/bed-bath-beyond-shares-jump-30percent-as-message-board-mentions-soar.html

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 110822

Looking at Ethereum (ETHUSD), the short and medium term trend is actually pretty bullish, with prices above the 20 and 50 EMA.

We can also see where the 20 and 50 EMA crossed over in the red circle.

As long as the momentum is bullish, I would avoid going short, and either stay out, or take small swing trades (buying on pullbacks and selling after small moves).

Do note that prices are still below the 200-EMA, hence long term trend is still bearish, and I have not switched into aggressive accumulation mode.

 

Trading Signals crypto news 100822

https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2022/08/07/opening-the-floodgates-crypto-braced-for-a-10-trillion-earthquake-as-the-price-of-bitcoin-ethereum-bnb-xrp-solana-cardano-and-dogecoin-swing/

 

Trading Signals Fatman Terra 110822

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Berlin Germany

Over the last 3-4 weeks, we have seen an impressive rally in the stock market, with the main US stock indices rallying 15-20% from the recent lows.

However, in the long run, the Fed is planning to continue raising interest rates, which is bearish for stocks, so I am not sure how long more this rally can sustain.

Personally I have decided to take some small short positions, to see if the market starts tipping over. I have also placed alerts to tell me when the downtrend resumes so that I can add more short positions.

Stayed tuned for more updates in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Berlin Germany

[Photo: Brandenburg Gate, Berlin, Germany – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 030822

Portfolio Updates (03 Aug 2022)

Very defensive portfolio now, since most markets have rallied within a bear trend, and it is not clear if the rebound will continue or the bear trend will resume.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 020822

USD continues to weaken, with other currencies starting to gain strength.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 020822

AUDUSD trade is also in the money, up 200+ pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals GBPUSD 020822

GBPUSD trade is in the money, up 300+ pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 020822

NZDUSD trade is also in the money, up 150+ pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals USDCHF 020822

USDCHF has broken a major support level, we might see prices heading lower.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 020822

Now that the first TP for Gold (XAUUSD) is hit, it is a good idea to take at least half profits or full profits, because price is at a strong resistance level. 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals GTC 020822

The commodities ETF (GCC) looks like it might be resuming its downward swing soon.

 

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals REET 030822

Looking at the global REIT ETF (REET), I have decided to take a small short position, with a stop above the prior swing high.

 

Trading Signals US100 020822

The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is currently at a crucial price level, bear the top of the channel and at resistance.

We will need to see which way it breaks out from. I am about 65% bearish and 35% bullish.

I have placed price alerts so we will know once it breaks out from either side, and I will likely go short if it breaks the swing low.

 

Trading Signals US100 050822

The NASDAQ 100 (US100) has reached the top of the trend channel, and is also at the 200-EMA.

It has rallied an impressive 21% since the low in June. But is this a bull trap?

I am hesitant to go long at this price level, so I will watch and wait a while more. I will also want to see some bearish price action before going short.

 

Trading Signals market inflation 030822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-fear-stock-market-rally-will-be-short-lived-11659304749

 

Trading Signals tech stocks 010822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/individual-investors-ramp-up-bets-on-tech-stocks-11659221897

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 020822

Looking at Ethereum (ETHUSD), the trend for crypto is not very clear, so I will be staying out and waiting for a better opportunity.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Zakopane Poland

Last week, the stock and crypto market continued to rally, despite the rate hikes by the Fed, and the mixed bag of company earnings.

If this is indeed a bear market rally (aka. temporary rebound), stocks have gone up 10-20% from the lows, while crypto has gone up 30-100% from the lows.

We seem to have a strange situation where there is a lot of bad news – inflation, rate hikes, recession, bad earnings, companies firing staff, higher oil prices, war, etc, but the markets seem to keep rebounding higher.

So could it be a case where the experts are wrong and the market has already bottomed, or is this rally simply a bull trap before another sell-down?

Stay tuned for more real-time updates and trading opportunities in my “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Zakopane Poland

[Photo: Zakopane, Poland – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 290722

Portfolio Updates (29 Jul 2022)

 

portfolio update 300722

Portfolio Updates (30 Jul 2022)

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals strength 300722

USD seems to have weakened in recent weeks, relative to other currencies.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 280722

USDSGD Crossing 1.38216
US Dollar vs. Singapore Dollar
Reached bottom of trend channel

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 300722

After hitting the target at the bottom of the channel, the USDSGD looks like it might resume the uptrend.

I have set the alert to trigger once it breaks a new swing high.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 220722

Now that Gold (XAUUSD) has hit strong support, we could see a rebound.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals futures 270722

Stock Futures Rise Ahead of Fed Decision.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-07-27-2022-11658907223

 

Trading Signals inflation 280722

Markets largely expected the move after Fed officials telegraphed the increase in a series of statements since the June meeting. Stocks hit their highs after Fed Chair Jerome Powell left the door open about its next move at the September meeting, saying it would depend on the data. Central bankers have emphasized the importance of bringing down inflation even if it means slowing the economy.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/27/fed-decision-july-2022-.html

 

Trading Signals stock news 2 300722

The S&P just had a record two-day, post-Fed meeting rally, gaining nearly 4% today and yesterday. The second biggest post-Fed rally was in March, followed by the meeting in August 1971.

 

Trading Signals stock news 300722

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-07-29-2022-11659080320

 

Trading Signals US100 230722

For stocks the direction of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) is also not very clear, so in times like this it is best to close positions and stay out, especially since there will be rate hikes next week.

I have placed alerts on this chart so we will know the moment prices break up or down.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 220722 1

Does Ethereum (ETHUSD) look like a potential rising 3 methods pattern?

 

trading signals rising 3 methods

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 260722

Decided to take some short positions on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD), let’s see how it turns out!

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD question 260722

SL on the chart is hit, I think now it’s bullish.

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 280722

After the failed downside breakout of Ethereum (ETHUSD), it now looks bullish. Can consider taking a small long position instead.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Bialowieza Primeval Forest Hajnowka Poland

The last 1-2 weeks, we have seen sizable rallies (20-40%) in various market like stocks, crypto, etc. Does this mean the bear market is over?

It is actually quite common to see such large rallies during a bear market, but personally I won’t be going too aggressive since it could just be in the middle of a bear market.

The better approach would be to stay nimble, taking swing trading positions to ride these bear market rallies, but always be ready to get out the moment the bear market resumes.

The last few weeks have been very good for crypto trading, and I counted 9 successful profitable swing trades in a row so far, so stay tuned to continue watching how far this winning streak can go!

I will be posting daily portfolio updates and trading opportunities in my “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram group, so join us if you want to start profiting with us!

 

Bialowieza Primeval Forest Hajnowka Poland

[Photo: Bialowieza Primeval Forest, Hajnówka, Poland – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 200722

Portfolio updates (20 Jul 2022)

Currently have about 6% in stocks and 6% crypto to ride the current bullish momentum.

 

Trading Signals Portfolio 210722

More detailed portfolio notes, will be sharing this more often in future for quick and easy reference.

ST = short-term
MT = medium-term
LT = long-term

 

Trading Signals Portfolio 220722

Portfolio Updates (22 Jul 2022)

Taking profits off long positions in stocks and crypto, especially the latter which has a strong run-up the past few days.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 190722

Currency strength is shifting away from the USD for now.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 190722 1

The AUDUSD is currently resting on strong support, might have a rebound within the range.

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 190722

The NZDUSD might also be having a rebound, but in the form of a falling wedge.

 

Trading Signals GBPUSD 190722

Similar to the NZDUSD, the GBPUSD is also forming a similar wedge shape.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 220722

The USDSGD looks like it is correcting back to the bottom of the uptrend channel.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals Inflation High 180722

So in 1981 consumers were looking at 10% savings account yields, 17% mortgages, 10% bond yields and 9% inflation.

Today it’s 1% savings account yields, 5% mortgages, 3% bond yields and 9% inflation.

The last time inflation was this high it basically took two recessions in short order to slow the rapid rate of change in prices.

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/07/the-last-time-inflation-was-this-high/

 

Trading Signals ARKK 210722

Solid breakout for ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), we might see the bullish momentum continue for a while.

I have been accumulating longs on this for quite a while, might add on a little more. 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals US100 200722

2 possible ways it could play out for the NASDAQ 100 (US100), but currently it looks more likely to head up to test the top of the trend channel.

There will be another major rate hike in about a week’s time, so be wary of volatile price moves as we get nearer.

 

Trading Signals bull market news 220722

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-new-bull-market-cant-start-until-investors-give-up-11658482203

 

Trading Signals Stock Market 210722

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-stock-market-is-on-sale-that-doesnt-make-it-cheap-11658388069

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 190722

Can consider taking a small position on Ethereum (ETHUSD) to ride the rebound, with a tight SL around $1250.

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 200722

Ethereum (ETHUSD) is now above $1500, congrats to all those who took this trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD profits 220722

Taking profits from my recent Ethereum (ETHUSD) long positions. 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 220722

Tricky situation for Ethereum (ETHUSD) because after the breakout to new highs there wasn’t very strong follow-through, so I decided to take my profits and wait on the sideline till I get a better setup.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Sapa Vietnam

Last week, the market continued to whipsaw, but for short-term traders, this provided many good swing trades on markets such as stocks, crypto, commodities, etc.

Most of my portfolio is still held in cash, because I do not want to risk my capital in such volatile markets, but using just a small percent of my portfolio to swing trade is enough to generate $10-20k of monthly profits as some side income while waiting for the markets to stabilise.

The next major thing to look out for is the upcoming rate hike, with an expected 100 basis points, so we will need to see how the markets react to that.

Strangely, the prices of commodities have already started to come down, so that might help tame inflation.

Stay tuned in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel for more daily profit opportunities!

 

Sapa Vietnam

[Photo: Sapa, Vietnam – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals portfolio 140722

Portfolio updates

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals GCC 130722

Following up on the Commodity ETF (GCC), it has formed a bear flag, and looks ready to continue plunging.

Will be adding on my short positions! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals Eurozone 150722

Eurozone’s reliance on Russian gas and a closer examination of bond markets suggest there is little immediate upside for the single currency

https://www.wsj.com/articles/parity-is-unlikely-to-be-the-bottom-for-the-euro-11657810219

 

Trading Signals Inflation 130722

Inflation Rose Over 9% Over the Last Year (Source: Crossing Wall Street)

 

Trading Signals Global inflation rate 140722

Global inflation rates table

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 US500 120722

Now that the short positions we took on crypto are already in the money, today I decided to take a small short position on the S&P 500 (US500) and NASDAQ (US100) as well.

Let’s see how this swing trade goes! 🙏🏻

 

Trading Signals US100 US500 150722

The stock markets (US100, US500) look pretty choppy, will be taking profits on my short positions for now.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals BTCUSD 130722

Taking profits from my Bitcoin (BTCUSD) trade over the weekend! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 130722

Taking profits from my Ethereum (ETHUSD) trade over the weekend! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals Mystery Trade 130722

Mystery trade 😉

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 100722

Decided to take a small short position on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD), let’s see how it turns out! 🙏🏻

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 150722

Have had 4 excellent swing trades on Ethereum (ETHUSD) in recent times, since the market is rather choppy.

Now, I’m net long on crypto and waiting to see if it can breakout of that range.

 

Trading Signals Opensea 150722

OpenSea, one of the largest marketplaces for NFTs (nonfungible tokens), said Thursday it would cut a fifth of its staff as the crash in cryptocurrency prices continued to wreak havoc on digital-asset firms.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nft-marketplace-opensea-to-lay-off-20-of-employees-11657830342

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!