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Understand behavioral science and psychology to boost your consistency and results!

Spencer Li

How to Build Confidence in Trading

Trading Psychology
How to Build Confidence in Trading 1

How to Build Confidence in Trading (Without Faking It)

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


You build confidence in trading the same way you build it anywhere else: by stacking small wins until the evidence outweighs the fear. It does not come from a motivational speech, a bigger account, or convincing yourself you are good. It comes from a track record. You take small, low-risk trades, you follow your system exactly, and you let the results pile up. Real confidence in trading has two separate parts: confidence in your ability (you can read the chart and pull the trigger) and confidence in your system (the rules make money over many trades). You need both, and they are built differently. Ability is built by repetition. System confidence is built by sample size. The fastest way to get unstuck after a loss is not analysis, it is one good trade taken cleanly by the rules, win or lose.

Here is how that works, bullet by bullet, and how to break the two habits that quietly kill most traders’ confidence.

Why does success breed confidence (and how do you start)?

Confidence follows results, not the other way round. You cannot think your way into feeling confident before you have done the thing. So the order matters: take the small win first, and the feeling shows up after.

This is why “baby steps to giant strides” is not a cliche here, it is the actual mechanism. If you size up before you have a track record, one normal losing streak wipes out a fragile confidence you had not earned yet. Start small enough that a loss does not hurt and a win does not go to your head. Then let the wins compound, and let your size grow only as the evidence grows.

Personally, I would rather a trader take fifty tiny trades and build a real base than take five big ones and build a story.

The two kinds of confidence: ability vs system

Most traders lump confidence into one feeling. It is actually two, and mixing them up is where the trouble starts.

Confidence in your abilityConfidence in your system
What it meansYou can read the chart, spot the setup, and pull the triggerThe rules produce a positive result over many trades
Built byRepetition, screen time, reps on the same setupsSample size, a track record of following the rules
What breaks itA run of hesitation or sloppy executionA losing streak that feels like the system is broken
The fixTake more small reps until the action is automaticZoom out to the full sample, not the last three trades

The reason this split matters: when you lose a trade, you need to know which confidence took the hit. If your execution was clean and the rules just did not work this time, that is normal variance, your system confidence is fine, do nothing. If you froze, second-guessed, or broke your own rule, that is an ability problem, and the answer is more reps, not a new system.

Do note that, a string of losses taken correctly is not evidence your system is broken. Losing trades are a cost of doing business, not a verdict on you.

“Hesitation to pull the trigger” and one more bar syndrome

Here is the most common confidence leak I see. The setup is there, the rules say enter, and you wait. You tell yourself you want “just one more bar” of confirmation. The bar prints, the trade is gone, and you watch it run without you.

That is one more bar syndrome, and it is almost never about the chart. It is about fear of being wrong. The cruel part is that waiting for more confirmation does not make you more right, it just makes your entry worse and your stop wider, which makes the trade scarier, which makes you hesitate more next time. The hesitation feeds itself.

The cure is mechanical, not emotional. Define the exact trigger in advance (this candle closes here, I enter). When it triggers, you enter, no debate. You are not trying to feel ready. You are executing a pre-made decision. Confidence in the moment is unreliable. A written rule is not.

“Burnt finger anxiety”: trading scared after a loss

The other big leak is the opposite problem. You took a loss, it stung, and now you are gun-shy. You skip the next valid setup because the last one burned you, and of course the one you skip is the one that would have paid for the loss. That is burnt finger anxiety.

This one is dangerous because it disguises itself as discipline. Sitting out feels prudent. But you are not sitting out the bad trades, you are sitting out the next trade purely because of the last one, and those two trades have nothing to do with each other. The market does not remember your last loss, and your edge only shows up if you take the whole sample.

The fix is the same idea from the other direction: trust the rules over the feeling. If the setup is valid by your system, the recent loss is irrelevant to whether you take it.

The mental reset: one good trade

So how do you get unstuck, whether you are frozen by hesitation or shaken by a loss? Not with more screen time, more journaling, or a weekend of soul-searching. The fastest reset is one good trade.

By a good trade, I do not mean a winner. I mean a trade you took cleanly, exactly by your rules, sized correctly, exit and all. The outcome does not matter for the reset. What matters is that you proved to yourself you can still execute. One clean trade breaks the spell. It replaces the story in your head (“I keep messing up”) with a fresh piece of evidence (“I just did it right”). That single rep is worth more than hours of analysis, because confidence is built from doing, and you just did.

Hence, when you feel the confidence draining, do not size up to win it back and do not step away to “clear your head.” Take the smallest valid trade you can find and execute it perfectly. Let that be the first brick in the next stack.

Where the human edge comes in

A backtest can hand you a profitable system on a plate. It cannot make you pull the trigger when the setup is live, sit out the trade that the last loss made scary, or stop you from sizing up to chase your money back. The rules are the easy part to write down. Following them under fear is the hard part, and that is discipline, the part of trading no tool can do for you. Confidence is just the byproduct of doing it correctly enough times.

FAQ

How long does it take to become a confident trader?
There is no fixed timeline, because confidence tracks your track record, not the calendar. It is built by stacking small wins taken correctly, so the more reps you take (and the smaller you keep them early), the faster the evidence accumulates. Trading scared or oversizing both slow it down.

Why do I hesitate to enter trades even when the setup is good?
Usually it is fear of being wrong, dressed up as wanting “one more bar” of confirmation. Waiting does not make you more right, it just worsens your entry. The fix is to define the exact entry trigger in advance and execute it mechanically, with no in-the-moment debate.

How do I get my confidence back after a big loss?
Take one good trade, meaning one you execute cleanly and correctly by your rules, regardless of whether it wins. The clean rep proves you can still follow your process and breaks the “I keep messing up” story. Avoid sizing up to win the money back, which is how a loss becomes a losing streak.

Is confidence in my ability the same as confidence in my system?
No, and treating them as one thing causes problems. Ability confidence (you can execute) is built by repetition. System confidence (the rules make money over many trades) is built by sample size. When a trade loses, figure out which one took the hit before you react.

Should I trade bigger to feel more confident?
No. Real confidence comes before the size increase, not from it. Size up only as your track record grows, so a normal losing streak cannot wipe out confidence you have not earned yet.


Confidence is not a feeling you summon before you trade. It is the residue of trades taken correctly. Start small, follow the rules, and let the evidence do the convincing.

For the full picture on the mental side of the game, read the pillar: The Complete Guide to Trading Psychology.

Want the routine that makes confidence easier to build? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact once-a-day process I use to scan, decide, and execute any market in 15 minutes, with the rules written down so you are not relying on how you feel in the moment.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

The Complete Guide to Trading Psychology (pillar) · Patience and discipline in trading · How to manage losing trades · New insights on trading psychology

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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Spencer Li

What is Your Circle of Control in Trading?

Trading Psychology
What is Your Circle of Control in Trading 1

The Circle of Control in Trading: Focus on Your Actions, Not the Outcome

Last updated: 2026-06-14 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


The circle of control in trading means spending your energy only on the things you can actually control, your process and your behaviour, and letting go of the one thing you cannot, the outcome of any single trade. You do not control whether a position wins or loses. You do not control where the market goes tomorrow. What you control is your entry rules, your position size, your stop, and how you react when the screen turns red. So that is where your attention belongs. Judge yourself on whether you followed your plan, not on whether the trade made money, because a good decision can lose and a bad decision can win. Do that consistently, and the P&L (profit and loss) takes care of itself over a large enough sample. Chase the P&L directly, and you start breaking your own rules to force it.

Here is what falls inside the circle, what falls outside, and how to keep your focus on the right side of the line.

What is the circle of control?

Picture two circles. The inner one holds everything you control. The outer one holds everything you do not. Most traders spend their day staring at the outer circle, the price, the P&L, the news, and almost no time on the inner one, where all their actual power sits.

The idea is old. The Stoics called it the dichotomy of control. In trading it lands hard, because the market gives you constant, vivid feedback on the one thing you cannot steer, and almost none on the things you can.

Inside your control (your job)Outside your control (let it go)
Your entry and exit rulesWhether any single trade wins or loses
Your position size and risk per tradeWhere the market goes next
Where you place your stopToday’s news, gaps, and surprises
Whether you follow your planYour short-term P&L swings
How you react to a lossWhat other traders are doing

Read the table left to right. Everything on the left is a decision you make before and during the trade. Everything on the right happens to you. The whole skill is keeping your attention, and your self-judgement, on the left column.

Why you should let go of the outcome

A single trade tells you almost nothing. You can follow your plan perfectly and still lose, because the market handed that trade to the other side. You can break every rule, get lucky, and win. If you judge yourself by the result, you will learn the wrong lesson both times. You punish the good trade that lost and reward the reckless one that won.

So separate the decision from the outcome. Ask one question after every trade: did I follow my process? If yes, it was a good trade, win or lose. If no, it was a bad trade, even if it made money. Grade the decision, not the dice roll.

This is why I tell traders to stop watching the dollar figure tick up and down. The P&L fluctuation on an open position is the loudest, least useful number on your screen. It pulls you toward cutting winners early out of fear and holding losers too long out of hope, the exact opposite of what your plan told you to do. Watch your rules instead. Let the number be the byproduct.

The sports analogy: do not watch the scoreboard

Here is the homely version. A tennis player who stares at the scoreboard between every point plays worse, not better. The score is the outcome. It is already decided by the points that are done. The only thing the player controls is the next shot, the footwork, the toss, the follow-through. Watch the scoreboard and you tighten up. Watch the ball and you play.

Trading is the same. The P&L is your scoreboard. It is the result of trades that are already on or already closed. Glancing at it every few minutes does not change a single thing on the right side of that table above. It only feeds the anxiety that makes you abandon your plan. Keep your eyes on the next decision, on the ball, and the score moves on its own.

Why individual trades do not matter

Zoom out. Your edge does not live in any one trade. It lives in a large sample of trades, taken the same disciplined way, where a positive expectancy plays out over dozens or hundreds of repetitions. (Expectancy is your average profit per trade across many trades, factoring in both your win rate and your reward-to-risk.)

In a casino, the house does not care about any single spin of the wheel. It can lose the next spin badly. It cares about the edge holding across ten thousand spins. You want to think the same way. (I wrote a whole piece on this, Is trading really risky like gambling?, on how to flip from being the gambler to being the house.)

Once you genuinely believe the next trade does not matter, two things change. You stop oversizing, because no single bet is worth blowing up the account. And you stop revenge trading, because a loss is just one data point in a long series, not a verdict on you.

How to keep your focus inside the circle

A few habits that move your attention to the left column:

  • Pre-decide everything you can. Set your entry, stop, size, and target before you click buy. Once the trade is on, your job is only to execute the plan, not to renegotiate it while the P&L swings.
  • Grade the process, not the result. Keep a journal that asks “did I follow my rules?” before it asks “did I make money?” Over time you want a clean record of good decisions, regardless of how each one paid out.
  • Hide the open P&L if it is hijacking you. If the live dollar figure makes you exit early or freeze, take it off the screen. Trade the chart and your rules, check the number at the end of the day.
  • Size so no single trade can hurt you. When the worst case on any trade is small and survivable, it is far easier to let go of the outcome. Risk control is what makes detachment possible.

Where the human edge comes in

A scanner or an AI can find the setup and even place the order. What it cannot do for you is sit calmly through an open loss without breaking the plan, or refuse to revenge trade after a bad day. The circle of control is, in the end, a psychology problem, the discipline to act on your process while the outcome is still uncertain. That self-management is one of the Five Edges no tool can trade for you, and it is the one that separates the traders who survive from the ones who do not.

FAQ

What does the circle of control mean in trading?
It means focusing only on what you can control, your entry rules, position size, stop placement, and your own behaviour, and letting go of what you cannot control, the outcome of any single trade and where the market goes next.

Should I stop looking at my P&L while trading?
Watch your rules, not the live P&L. The open profit-and-loss figure on a position is the loudest and least useful number on your screen, and staring at it tends to push you into cutting winners early and holding losers too long.

How do I judge a trade if I ignore the outcome?
Ask whether you followed your process. A trade that follows your plan is a good trade even if it loses, and a trade that breaks your plan is a bad trade even if it wins. Grade the decision, not the result.

Why do individual trades not matter?
Your edge plays out over a large sample, not any single trade. Like a casino, you want your positive expectancy to hold across hundreds of repetitions, so no one result, good or bad, should change how you behave.

Is the circle of control the same as the Stoic dichotomy of control?
Yes, it is the same idea applied to markets. The Stoics taught focusing on what is within your power and accepting what is not, which maps directly onto controlling your process while letting go of outcomes.


So here is the honest question to sit with: when you look at your screen, are your eyes on the ball or on the scoreboard? Be specific with yourself about it, that answer tells you a lot.

If you want to go deeper on the mindset side, read the pillar: The Complete Guide to Investing and Trading Psychology.

Want the system that makes detachment easy? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact routine I use to scan once a day and trade any market in 15 minutes, with the rules pre-decided so you are not fighting the P&L in the moment.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

The Complete Guide to Investing and Trading Psychology (pillar) · Is trading really risky like gambling? (Trade like a casino) · Trading discipline and process

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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Spencer Li

How to Manage Winning Trades with the Correct Trading Psychology

Trading Psychology
How to Manage Winning Trades with the Correct Trading Psychology

Do not take profits until there is a good reason to do so
The Chicken parable
Do not count your profits until they are realised
Accept that you will have to give some profits back to the market
Do not become complacent or greedy after a huge windfall or winning streak

 

complete guide to investing and trading psychology cover

If you would like to learn more about trading psychology, also check out: “The Complete Guide to Investing & Trading Psychology”

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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Spencer Li

How to Develop Mental Agility in Trading

Trading Psychology
How to Develop Mental Agility in Trading

Mental Agility in Trading: 5 Rules to Stay Objective With Open Positions

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


Mental agility in trading is the ability to drop an opinion the moment the market disagrees with it, even when you are holding the position that opinion put you in. It rests on five rules: trade what you see, not what you think; stay objective despite having an open position; anticipate a move, but only act once the market confirms it; when you see danger, get out first and ask questions later; and clear your positions whenever you need a neutral, un-anchored frame of mind. The thread running through all five is the same. Your job is to read the market as it is, not to defend the trade you already put on. The trader who can change his mind in one bar keeps far more of his account than the one who needs to be right.

Here is each rule, what it protects you from, and how to actually run it.

What is mental agility in trading?

Mental agility is the gap between what the market is doing and how fast you are willing to update on it. A trade is a hypothesis. The moment you click buy, something quietly changes: you stop being a neutral reader of the chart and start being a part-owner of one outcome. That ownership is where the damage starts. You begin to see the evidence that says you are right and skim past the evidence that says you are wrong.

Agility is the discipline of refusing that. It is holding your view loosely enough that price can talk you out of it in seconds, not days. Note that this is not the same as being indecisive. You still take a firm position. You just refuse to marry it.

The 5 rules, side by side

RuleWhat it meansWhat it protects you from
1. Trade what you see, not what you thinkAct on price action on the chart, not on your forecast or your storyConfirmation bias (seeing only what fits your view)
2. Stay objective with open positionsRead the chart the same way you would if you held nothingOwnership bias (defending the trade instead of the trade idea)
3. Anticipate, act on confirmationPlan the move early, enter only once the market confirmsFront-running a setup that never arrives
4. See danger, get out firstExit on the warning sign, review the reasoning afterwardHesitation turning a small loss into a large one
5. Clear positions for a neutral mindFlatten the book when you need to think without biasAnchoring (a position quietly skewing every read after)

The table is the summary. The rest of this post is each rule unpacked, because the wording is short but the habit is hard.

Rule 1: Trade what you see, not what you think

Your opinion about where the market should go is the most expensive thing you bring to the screen. The chart does not owe your thesis anything.

So separate the two. “What I think” is the forecast: rates are too high, this stock is overvalued, the trend has to break soon. “What I see” is the price action in front of you right now: the actual high, the actual low, the actual close. You trade the second one. The first one is for deciding which charts to watch, not for overriding what those charts are printing.

When the two disagree, the chart wins. Every time. Personally, this is the rule I had to learn the hard way, because being early on a good call still feels like being right, and the account does not care how it feels.

Rule 2: How do you stay objective when you already hold a position?

This is the hard one, and it is the reason agility is rare. The instant you have an open position, you have an incentive to be right. You start reading the chart as a shareholder, not as an analyst.

The fix is a simple mental test. Ask yourself: if I held nothing right now, flat and neutral, would I put this trade on at this price? If the honest answer is no, the only reason you are still in it is that you are already in it. That is not a reason. That is the position reading the chart for you.

Hence the discipline: judge the trade, not your involvement in it. The market does not know you are long, and it will not reward you for loyalty.

Rule 3: Anticipate, but only act on confirmation

Good traders anticipate. They see the level building, the pattern forming, the setup that is about to trigger, and they get ready. That part is fine. Anticipation is how you avoid chasing.

The error is acting on the anticipation alone. You see the setup coming, you jump in before it confirms, and you are now in a trade the market never actually gave you. Half the time the move you anticipated never arrives, and you are sitting in a position built entirely on your own forecast (which Rule 1 already told you not to trade).

So hold the two apart. Anticipate freely. Act only when price confirms (the breakout closes, the level holds, the candle finishes). Plan early, pull the trigger late.

Rule 4: When you see danger, get out first

When something on the chart tells you the trade is wrong, the instinct is to investigate. To check the news, to find a reason, to talk yourself into holding “just to see.” That delay is where small losses become large ones.

Flip the order. Get out first, then ask questions. If you exit and it turns out the danger was nothing, the cost is a small commission and you can always get back in. If you stay to investigate and the danger was real, the cost is the part of your account you spent finding out. Those two mistakes are not symmetrical, so do not treat them as if they are.

This is the one rule where speed beats analysis. Protect the capital, review the decision later, with the position already closed and your head clear.

Rule 5: Clear all positions for a neutral frame of mind

Sometimes the best position is none. When you notice you can no longer read the chart cleanly, when every glance is coloured by what you are holding, the move is to flatten the book and reset.

A flat trader sees the market as it is. A positioned trader sees the market through the position. So when a decision really matters, or when you have been chewed up and your judgement feels off, close everything and look again from zero. The cost of being flat for an hour is nothing. The cost of making a big call through a biased lens can be a great deal.

Do note that, this is not a trade signal. It is a reset button. Use it when your objectivity, not your analysis, is the thing that has broken.

Where the human edge comes in

A scanner will flag the setup, calculate the levels, and fire the alert faster than you ever could. What it will not do is notice that you have quietly started defending a losing trade because it is yours. The mechanics of trading are being automated away. The mental agility to update on new information, to get out first and ask later, to flatten the book when your own head is the problem, is the part no tool trades for you. That is psychology and discipline, and it is squarely in the Five Edges a machine cannot supply.

FAQ

What is mental agility in trading?
It is the ability to change your mind quickly when the market disagrees with you, even while holding an open position. You read price as it is, instead of defending the trade you already put on.

How do you stay objective when you have an open position?
Ask yourself whether you would enter the same trade right now if you held nothing. If the answer is no, the only thing keeping you in is the position itself, which is not a reason to stay.

Should I act as soon as I anticipate a move?
No. Anticipate freely, but act only once the market confirms the move (the breakout closes, the level holds). Acting on anticipation alone means trading your forecast instead of the chart.

Why should I exit before investigating a warning sign?
Because hesitation is asymmetric. Exiting wrongly costs a small commission and you can re-enter; staying wrongly can cost a large part of your account. Get out first, review the reasoning afterward.

When should I clear all my positions?
When your objectivity has broken, not your analysis. If every read is coloured by what you hold, flatten the book, reset to a neutral frame of mind, and look at the chart again from zero.


Which of the five is hardest for you? For most traders it is Rule 2, staying objective with money on the line. Tell me in the comments.

For the full treatment of how the mind sabotages a trade and how to build the discipline around it, read the pillar: The Complete Guide to Investing and Trading Psychology.

Want the routine that makes this automatic? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact once-a-day process I use so I am not staring at the screen long enough to fall in love with a position.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

The Complete Guide to Investing and Trading Psychology (pillar) · New insights on trading psychology · Habits and trading psychology

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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Spencer Li

How to Manage Losing Trades with the Correct Trading Psychology

Trading Psychology
How to Manage Losing Trades with the Correct Trading Psychology

Many new to trading have the tendency to liquidate positions that show a small profit, yet they keep those positions that show a loss as are unwilling to take a loss, in hope that prices will rebound.

Such a counter-intuitive strategy will result in small wins and large losses, but why do people still do it?

 

Emotional value of losses

Given a choice, which would you pick? (Profits) 

  1. Sure profit of $1,000, or
  2. 50% chance of $2,000 profit, 50% chance of $0?

Given a choice, which would you pick? (Losses)

  1. Sure loss of $1,000, or
  2. 50% chance of $2,000 loss, 50% chance of $0?

Mathematically, both choice in each scenario give the same expected value, E(x).

You can calculate this by taking (% chance of 1st event x value of 1st event) + (% chance of 2nd event x value of 2nd event).

For example in the first question, (50% x $2000) + (50% x $0) = $1000, which is equivalent to the sure profit of $1000.

In the second question, (50% x -$2000) + (50% x -$0) = -$1000, which is equivalent to the sure loss of $1000.

However, most people will pick option 1 for the first question (profits), and pick option 2 for the second question (losses).

Why is this so?

 

Loss Aversion / Breakeven effect

With its roots from prospect theory, this refers to investors’ tendency to strongly prefer avoiding losses to acquiring gains.

For loss aversion, investors prefer an uncertain gamble to a certain loss as long as the gamble has the possibility of no loss, even though the expected value of the uncertain loss is lower than the certain loss.

For the breakeven effect, investors prefer a gamble that offers the potential of recovering to finish at an aspiration level rather than a certain rate of return.

Some studies suggest that losses are twice as powerful, psychologically, as gains.

Hence, investors will cling to the hope (including rationalization) that prices will rebound to their entry price, which they have now established as a reference point.

However, this reference point is illogical, since their entry point does not affect the future direction of prices.

One question to ask is, “if you don’t have a position now, would you open a new position?”

If prices fall past their stoploss (showing that their analysis was wrong), it means that the odds are now against them.

If prices fall but do not hit their stop, and subsequently rises back to breakeven, it actually shows that their initial analysis is still correct (not proven wrong), which means that exiting at breakeven is in fact destroying their winning trades.

This will lower their hitrate by causing them to exit winners prematurely.

 

Loss Aversion / Breakeven effect

Disposition Effect

According to the disposition effect, investors are less willing to recognize losses (which they would be forced to do if they sold assets which had fallen in value), but are more willing to recognize gains.

This can be explained by the value function curve, where investors turn more risk-seeking as the stock depreciates.

As shown by studies on ex-post returns, it would be more profitable to cut losses fast and let profits run.

Hence, investors should treat unrealized losses as a sunk cost, and focus on reducing prospective costs (likelihood of more losses).

Unfortunately, irrational hope destroys any edge their analysis provides, thus resulting in an unfair gamble.

 

Do You Have the Ability to Accept Losses?

Before taking any trade, you should already have the exact risk of the trade defined in the trading plan.

This means that you know in advance exactly how much you are risking on each trade, and exactly how much you will lose if the trade goes against you (and hits your stoploss).

Theoretically, this should prevent anyone from having large losses. But why does it not work for everyone?

The problem lies not in the theory or the trading plan, but in the person.

There won’t be any problem if you just stick to the plan, and watch the trade play out, even if it hits your stoploss.

However, most people do not have the mental ability to accept loses. Most people are conditioned to embrace winning, so they cannot stand losses.

For example, if you have calculated that the risk on a trade is $200, and you go ahead and place the trade, you know that in the worst-case scenario, you will only lose $200 of the trade hits your stoploss.

But the question is, deep down in your heart, have you really accepted that risk (potential loss)?

You will find out the answer when price comes close to hitting your stoploss.

If you have truly accepted the risk, and trust your analysis and trading plan, you will be able to sit there calmly and wait to see if your stoploss gets hit.

On the other hand, if you have not fully accepted the risk, then once price comes close to your stoploss, you will start second-guessing your plan:

  • “Should I shift my stoploss to give the trade more room for error?”
  • “Should I remove my stoploss?”
  • “Should I buy more so that i can get out at breakeven on the next rebound?”

If these are the thoughts running through your head, and you feel extremely stressed and end up watching prices like a hawk, then it means you have not truly accepted the risk of trading.

You cannot expect to win 100% of the time.

So in order to win in the long run, you have to accept that you will lose some of the time.

 

The Purpose of the Stoploss

There are actually 2 main goals of the stoploss:

  1. To keep your losses small
  2. To give you a peace of mind

As we mentioned earlier, once you have learnt that losses are part and parcel of trading, and that you cannot win without the risk of loss, you will come to truly accept the risk of each trade.

Once you have that acceptance, the stoploss will no longer be a source of stress, and instead give you a peace of mind.

Because you will no longer have to monitor your trade 24/7. Once you place your trade, you can just walk away from the screen because you know exactly how much you can lose, so there is no fear of “blowing your whole account” on a bad trade.

If you follow your trading plan, it will help you get out when the loss is small. It is better to take a small loss than a big loss.

One of the most dangerous thing you can do as a trader is to average down and hope to get out of the trade at breakeven.

Averaging down refers to adding new positions to a trade that has gone against you, so that you can get in at a “better” price. This increases your risk several fold, depending how how many times you continue to average down, and turns a small loss into a big loss.

This is just another way of trying to avoid losses. (Which shows you have not truly accepted the risk.)

 

Best Ways to Manage Losses

Traders should keep mind that trading with an edge will increase their wealth over time, but it is not possible to be right on every trade. The number of times you win or lose doesn’t matter.

It is how much you lose when you are wrong and how much you win when you are right that matters.

One should also separate decision-making from execution, meaning to “plan the trade” and “trade the plan.”

This means creating the plan during a low-stress period (when the market is not open), and sticking to the plan during a high-stress period (when the market is open).

Make sure you really trust and commit to the plan, and accept the downside risks, before you even place the first trade.

A good way to manage risk is to use a stoploss to limit your downside, and pick trades with good reward-to-risk ratio so that the profits from your winning trades will be more than the losses from your losing trades.

This will allow you to cut your losses fast, and let your winners run.

 

complete guide to investing and trading psychology cover

If you would like to learn more about trading psychology, also check out: “The Complete Guide to Investing & Trading Psychology”

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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