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Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Cashing Out Before the Market Rebound!

Market Analysis
Patungan Cavite Philippines

Last week, we saw a sharp rebound in all markets (stocks, bonds, crypto, REITs, etc), which was not unexpected given how oversold most markets were.

That is why we decided to cash out by closing all positions and taking profits. This includes my high 6-figure USD/SGD long positions.

The plan was to wait for the rebound to be over before entering all the same positions again, which happened in the later part of the week.

This week, we have already positioned ourselves for the market, and the major news of the week will be the CPI report coming out on 13 October.

No doubt September was one of our best trading months, with many traders making 10-15% profits on their portfolios, but if the market continues falling, I won’t be surprised if we exceed that record in the next 2 months.

If you want to join us in swing trading the market with 15 minutes a day, join our Daily Trading Signals Telegram channel. See you on the inside!

 

Patungan Cavite Philippines

[Photo: Patungan, Cavite, Philippines – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly market outlook 031022

Weekly Market Outlook (3 October 2022)
? Long-term bearish for stocks, crypto, REITs, commods, etc. Deeply in the money now, but closed all positions as market feels a bit too climatic.
? Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank may face liquidity issues – will this drag down the bond and stock markets?
? Long-term bullish for USD

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 041022

Weekly Portfolio Update (3 October 2022)

Playing defensive this week, and waiting for better trading opportunities. Closed most positions and rotated all USD to SGD.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals EURUSD 061022

1.000 parity level has now become a support-turned-resistance level for the EURUSD. Will be expecting it to continue falling when USD resumes the uptrend.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 061022

After cashing out on my USD near this cluster of pinbars, I am waiting for USDSGD to fall to the previous support level to re-enter.

I have placed some price alerts near the area, so we will know immediately when that happens. Stay tuned!

 

Trading Signals UK news 021022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/britains-financial-disaster-is-a-warning-to-the-world-11664596851

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals investor banks 031022

*A LARGE INVESTOR THAT DEALS WITH CREDIT SUISSE SAYS THE INVESTMENT BANK IS A DISASTER, CDS TRADING LIKE A 'LEHMAN MOMENT' ABOUT TO HIT – FBN#CreditSuisse ???? pic.twitter.com/UiG0FzRucA

— Investing.com (@Investingcom) October 2, 2022

 

Trading Signals Markets 051022

Why are markets so sensitive to data that would normally be regarded as merely an imprecise guide to the economy, to be taken in the context of other reports? Here are three theories:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/markets-are-stuck-in-overreaction-mode-11664894767

 

Trading Signals T bills 031022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/battered-investors-now-find-thrills-in-t-bills-11664676704

 

Trading Signals NASDAQ100 061022

After taking profit on our shorts near the exact bottom, the NASDAQ 100 (US100) is now having a dead cat bounce.

I am waiting for price action to turn bearish again so I can short. This might happen near the 50-EMA or the top of the bearish trendline.

I have placed price alerts at key levels, so we will know when the time is ripe. Stay tuned!

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 061022

Ethereum (ETHUSD) is still trading in a narrow range, but it is very near the neckline resistance and the 20-EMA.

Based on technicals alone, it is a bearish picture.

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Patungan-Cavite-Philippines.jpg 1504 2016 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-10-09 19:30:242022-10-11 12:50:23Weekly Market Wrap: Cashing Out Before the Market Rebound!
Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Taking Profit on Short Positions!

Market Analysis
Deset Safari Dubai UAE

Last week, we saw the bearish trend continue for stocks, crypto and REITs, as well as the bullish trend for USD.

Since we have been holding these positions for quite a while, and they are all deeply in the money, I have decided to close these positions and take profits.

Some of these positions were also getting a bit overbought/oversold, and some were nearing support/resistance, so I thought it would be a good idea to take profits and stand aside to see if there is any rebound, where we can re-enter the market at a better price.

This month has been one of the most profitable for our portfolio, and there is a good chance that the long-term trends will continue till the end of the year.

Want to know when to re-enter the market?

Join our Daily Trading Signals Telegram channel for real-time market updates and the best trading opportunities!

 

Deset Safari Dubai UAE

[Photo: Desert Safari, Dubai, UAE – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly Market Video 240922

Weekly Market Outlook (23 September 2022)
? Rates went up by 0.75% during FOMC on 21 Sept – more rate hikes coming!
? Long-term bearish for stocks, crypto, REITs, commods, etc. Deeply in the money now, continue to add more short positions on pullbacks.
? Long-term bullish for USD

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 240922

Weekly Portfolio Update (23 September 2022)

Still bearish on stocks, REITs, and crypto, accumulating short positions. Almost all of cash is held in USD since it is the strongest.

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals USDSGD 240922

Now that the second target for USDSGD has been hit, it might be a good idea to take profits since it is at the top of the large trading range.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 290922

Following up on USDSGD, it has exhibited 2 bearish pin bars. Likely to have a correction soon.

 

Trading Signals GBPUSD news 240922

Parity with USD next?

https://twitter.com/thestalwart/status/1574203631456292864

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals mortgage rates 300922

https://www.wsj.com/articles/mortgage-rates-rise-to-6-7-highest-since-2007-11664460015

 

Trading Signals US100 240922
For those still short on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), might be a good idea to take some profits since prices have dropped a lot in a short period of time, and a rebound is likely.

 

Trading Signals REET 240922

The global REIT ETF (REET) is turning out to be one of my best shorts this year, and I might start to take some profits as the drop is looking a bit too climatic.

 

Trading Signals SP500 News 240922

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-cuts-2022-target-091339381.html

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 240922

Looks like a good time to take some shorts on Ethereum (ETHUSD), after prices tested the resistance level and rejected it with a pinbar.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Deset-Safari-Dubai-UAE.jpg 869 1558 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-29 14:58:542022-10-03 05:12:18Weekly Market Wrap: Taking Profit on Short Positions!
Spencer Li

What is a Crypto Blockchain 51% Attack? (Compared to 34% Attack?)

Blockchain & Crypto
Thumbnail What is a Crypto Blockchain 51 Attack

What Is a 51% Attack on a Blockchain? (And How It Is Prevented)

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


A 51% attack happens when a single miner or group gains control of more than 50% of a blockchain’s mining power (its “hash rate”), which lets them mine faster than everyone else and rewrite recent transaction history. With that majority, an attacker can stop new transactions from confirming and double-spend their own coins (spend the same coin twice). What they cannot do is steal coins out of your wallet or reverse a transaction that is already deep in the chain. So the damage is real, but it is mostly temporary and limited to recent, unconfirmed activity.

The catch is scale. On a huge network like Bitcoin or Ethereum, buying more than half the mining power is so expensive that it is, in practice, not worth it. The real-world victims have always been smaller coins (Grin, Vertcoin, Bitcoin Gold, Ethereum Classic), where hash rate is cheap enough to rent. The two main defences are simple: keep mining power spread out so no one passes 50%, or switch the network to Proof of Stake, where an attacker has to risk their own money to misbehave.

Here is how the attack works, what it can and cannot do, the real cases, and how networks defend against it.

What is a 51% attack?

A 51% attack occurs when one party in a blockchain network controls more than 50% of its computational power. That majority lets them mine new blocks faster than the rest of the network combined.

Why does that matter? Because the chain follows the longest valid version. If you can build blocks faster than everyone else, you can produce a longer chain and force the network to accept your version of events. You can alter recent data or stop transactions from confirming without getting consensus from anyone else.

Blockchains are secure by design, but they are not perfect. There is no way to guarantee every participant is honest. On Bitcoin, miners decide which transactions go into the next block, so a miner could choose to leave out transactions that do not suit them.

For most large cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, this stays theoretical. The computing power needed to out-mine an established network is impossibly large. You mostly see selfish miner behaviour in smaller skirmishes like “penny wars,” where small players spam low-value transactions to push up the per-kilobyte fee they earn. To handle this, most blockchains build in hard fork protocols that can change the rules if needed.

What can a 51% attacker actually do?

This is where most explanations overstate the danger, so let me be precise. A majority attacker can do a specific list of things, and there is an equally specific list they cannot do.

Can doCannot do
Double-spend their own coins (spend the same coin twice)Steal coins from your wallet directly
Block or delay new transactions from confirmingReverse a transaction already buried deep in the chain
Reorganise recent blocks and run an alternate historyCreate coins out of thin air or change old, settled balances
Redirect their own transactions (broadcast one, mine another)Break the network’s cryptography

So an attacker with majority hash rate can form their own consensus, run a different version of recent history, and double-spend. They can also block transactions they do not want confirmed. All of this hurts end users, because someone with majority power can bend the chain’s near-term rules in ways nobody signed up for.

This is one reason some people prefer off-chain solutions like Segregated Witness (SegWit) or the Lightning Network for everyday Bitcoin payments. Those move activity off the main chain, so they do not depend on heavy on-chain hashing to settle.

How a 51% attack disrupts the network

Most large networks, including Bitcoin and Ethereum’s original design, run on Proof of Work (PoW). Under PoW, the network aims to add a new block roughly every 10 minutes. To add one, a miner has to solve a hard mathematical puzzle, which is near-impossible without serious computing power.

In a 51% attack, the attacker uses their majority to interfere with unconfirmed blocks and transactions. That is the disruption: not stealing settled funds, but jamming and rewriting the recent edge of the chain. Users can lose access to digital assets in the short term, which understandably shakes trust in the network’s reliability.

Is the damage permanent?

Do note that the damage is usually temporary. A 51% attacker can disrupt the chain and invalidate recent transactions, but they generally cannot rewrite settled history.

Here is the part that calms people down. If you already sent Bitcoin to another person or a merchant and that transaction is buried in the chain, an attacker cannot reverse it. They can stop future transactions from confirming, and they can double-spend their own coins, but those are different things from reaching into a settled payment and undoing it. Once the attack ends, normal access to funds returns.

So even if it looks like money has vanished during an attack, it does not stay gone forever.

51% attack vs 34% attack: what is the difference?

People sometimes confuse the two, so here is the clean line between them.

34% attack51% attack
Share of mining powerLess than half, but a large minorityMore than half (majority)
What it can doTamper with the ledger to a limited degreeRun an alternate chain, double-spend, block transactions
SeverityLimitedFar more severe
Why it worksEnough power to interfereEnough power to outpace the entire main network

A 34% attacker can meddle with the ledger but cannot dominate it. A 51% attacker, with more than half the power available, can create competing versions of the chain and out-mine the main network. That is the difference between vandalism and control.

Real 51% attacks: the case file

The theory matters less than the track record. Every real attack has hit a smaller coin, because smaller coins have cheaper hash rate. Here are the four from the original post.

CoinWhat happenedNetwork response
GrinAn unknown miner took 57% of Grin’s hash power. The attacker’s intent was never clear.Grin shut off payouts, told miners to pause, then re-established the network with extra safeguards.
VertcoinAttacked several times. In one, attackers replaced genuine blocks with their own.Switched to a more robust PoW system and cut out powerful mining chips to keep mining community-based.
Bitcoin Gold (BTG)Uses Equihash and GPU mining instead of ASICs. An unknown miner took over 51% of hash rate in 2018; another attack in 2020 caused two chain reorganisations in two days, with a large sum double-spent.The community pushed for a more secure algorithm. There was suspicion that hidden ASIC devices were involved.
Ethereum Classic (ETC)Attacked three times in a single month in 2020. ETC’s decentralised PoW makes 51% attacks hard to mitigate.Prices were not badly hit, but user trust in the network fell.

Notice the common thread: privacy coins, forks, and minority networks. None of these were Bitcoin or Ethereum proper. The size of the network is itself the security.

Can a 51% attack be prevented?

Blockchain is decentralised, but it is not immune to attack. There are two practical defences.

Keep mining power spread out. The simplest protection is to make sure no single miner or pool ever holds more than 50% of total hash rate. If no one can pass the line, no one can run the attack. This is partly social and partly built into how a healthy network distributes its mining.

Use Proof of Stake (PoS) instead of Proof of Work. Under PoS, validators (not miners) produce blocks, and they have to lock up their own cryptocurrency as a stake. To attack the network, they would have to risk forfeiting that entire stake. The bigger the stake at risk, the less rational it is to misbehave. This is a large part of why Ethereum moved to Proof of Stake.

Hence, the strongest network is not the one with the cleverest cryptography. It is the one where attacking it costs more than it could ever pay, either because the hash rate is too expensive to corner, or because the attacker’s own money is on the line.

Where the human edge comes in

A scanner can tell you a coin’s hash rate is concentrated, or that its market cap is small enough to rent an attack against. That data is free now. What it will not do is supply the judgment to size your exposure to a thin, attackable network smaller than you would a blue-chip one, or to treat “cheap to attack” as a real risk rather than a footnote. The chain’s security is the easy part to look up. Pricing that security into your own position is the judgment, and judgment is the first of the Five Edges no tool can trade for you.

FAQ

What is a 51% attack in simple terms?
It is when one party controls more than half of a blockchain’s mining power and uses that majority to mine faster than everyone else, letting them rewrite recent transactions and double-spend their own coins. They cannot steal funds from your wallet or reverse settled payments.

Can Bitcoin suffer a 51% attack?
In theory, yes. In practice, no one has done it, because buying more than half of Bitcoin’s mining power would cost an impossibly large amount. The networks that have actually been attacked are much smaller coins like Grin, Vertcoin, Bitcoin Gold, and Ethereum Classic.

Is my money safe during a 51% attack?
Mostly. An attacker can block new transactions and double-spend their own coins, but they cannot reverse a payment that is already deep in the chain or steal coins out of your wallet. Once the attack ends, normal access returns.

What is the difference between a 51% attack and a 34% attack?
A 34% attacker has a large minority of mining power and can tamper with the ledger to a limited degree. A 51% attacker has the majority, which is far more severe: they can run an alternate chain, block transactions, and double-spend.

How do you prevent a 51% attack?
Keep mining power spread out so no single party passes 50%, or switch the network to Proof of Stake, where attackers must risk forfeiting their own staked cryptocurrency to misbehave.


Now that you know what a 51% attack can and cannot do, can you tell which small tokens are most exposed to one? Let me know in the comments.

And if you want the full picture of how blockchains and crypto fit together, read the pillar: The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies.

Want a calmer way to trade crypto and any other market? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact routine I use to scan once a day and trade any market in 15 minutes.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies (pillar) · What is Proof of Stake vs Proof of Work · What is a blockchain fork · How to value a cryptocurrency

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Thumbnail-What-is-a-Crypto-Blockchain-51-Attack.png 720 1280 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-28 14:15:202026-07-06 01:52:10What is a Crypto Blockchain 51% Attack? (Compared to 34% Attack?)
Spencer Li

What are Blockchain Forks & How do they Affect Your Trading Platform?

Blockchain & Crypto
Thumbnail What are Blockchain Forks How do they Affect Your Trading Platform

Blockchain Forks Explained: Soft Fork vs Hard Fork (and What It Means for Your Crypto)

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


A blockchain fork is when a cryptocurrency’s chain splits into two paths because the network’s software rules changed. A soft fork is backward-compatible: old nodes (computers running the network) still work, so the chain stays as one. A hard fork is not backward-compatible: it creates a permanent new chain, and you end up holding coins on both the old and the new chain. That is the whole thing in two sentences. A soft fork is an upgrade everyone can live with; a hard fork is a divorce. Bitcoin Cash splitting from Bitcoin in 2017 was a hard fork. SegWit on Bitcoin was a soft fork. As a holder, the practical question is simple: a soft fork rarely needs you to do anything, while a hard fork forces a choice (old chain, new chain, or claim both).

Here is what each fork actually is, why developers choose one over the other, and how it affects your holdings and your exchange.

What is a blockchain fork?

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) run on decentralized, open-source software called a blockchain (a shared ledger of transactions that anyone can read and contribute code to). Because it is open-source, the network relies on its community of developers to keep the code current.

A fork is when that chain of data suddenly diverges into two branches. The new branch shares all of the earlier branch’s history, then heads off in its own direction. From the split point on, each branch goes its own way.

Forks happen for many reasons, but they fall into two buckets:

  • Accidental forks. Thousands of miners (the computers that race to add new blocks) are working at once. Sometimes two of them mine the same block at nearly the same moment. The network resolves this on its own: it keeps building on the longer chain and abandons the shorter one. No drama, no new coin.
  • Intentional forks. Here the network does not reconverge. Developers deliberately change the protocol (the blockchain’s core rulebook), for example to alter the block size, reduce block time, or test a new consensus algorithm. Intentional forks are the ones worth understanding, and they come in two flavours: soft and hard.

Soft fork vs hard fork: what is the difference?

The whole distinction comes down to one word: compatibility.

A hard fork is a permanent divergence that creates a brand-new chain and makes the old rules invalid on it. Every node has to adopt the new rules to stay on the new chain. Nodes on the two chains can no longer talk to each other. This usually happens when developers simply cannot agree on a proposed change. When it happens, users and miners face a decision: keep running the old software (stay on the legacy chain) or upgrade to the new one. Either way, you now hold coins on both chains. You still own the legacy coin, and you can claim the new chain’s coin. Any node that refuses to upgrade gets kicked off the new main chain, because it cannot process the new consensus rules.

A soft fork is the gentle version. Its changes are backward-compatible with the pre-fork blocks. Blocks created under the new rules are still valid under the old rules, so nodes do not have to upgrade. You can keep running the old software and still take part in the network. Soft forks tighten the rulebook rather than rewrite it, so the community is nudged onto the new rules instead of being forced. If you never update, things keep working and you still interact with everyone who did update.

Here is the side-by-side.

Soft forkHard fork
CompatibilityBackward-compatible (new blocks still valid under old rules)Not compatible (old and new chains cannot communicate)
Must nodes upgrade?No, old software still worksYes, to stay on the new chain
ResultOne chain, upgradedTwo permanent chains
New coin created?NoYes, holders end up with coins on both chains
Typical useRoutine upgrades and improvementsMajor rule changes, or an unresolved community split
ExamplesBitcoin SegWitBitcoin Cash, Ethereum Classic

What are the different types of soft forks?

Not all soft forks activate the same way. There are two:

  • User-activated soft fork (UASF). Nodes agree to switch on the new rules at a specified block height (a point in the chain’s count). Once activated, those nodes enforce the new rules on every block from then on and reject blocks built under the old rules. A UASF only activates once a majority of hash power (mining power) has signalled support. The risk: if a lot of hash power stays on the old version, you can get a replay attack, where a transaction made on one chain also appears on the other.
  • Miner-activated soft fork (MASF). This one activates at an agreed-upon block number, triggered by nodes and miners at regular intervals, so there is a built-in delay before full activation. MASFs are generally less disruptive than UASFs because they do not interfere with how users create transactions.

Blockchain forks in practice: the real examples

Most coins have an independent developer community responsible for upgrading the network, so forks happen whenever they add features or harden security. Developers can also use a fork to spin off an entirely new currency and ecosystem. The most famous splits:

EventTypeWhenWhat changed
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)Hard forkMid-2017Forked from Bitcoin; block size limit raised from 1 MB to 8 MB, later to 32 MB
Ethereum Classic (ETC)Hard forkOctober 2016A group rejected the new hard-fork rules and kept running the old Ethereum chain, later renamed ETC
Bitcoin SegWitSoft fork2017Segregated Witness restructured transactions without splitting the chain; un-upgraded nodes still participate
Ethereum to EthashSoft fork,Moved off Bitcoin’s SHA256 algorithm to Ethash via a forward-compatible upgrade

A couple of things to notice from these.

Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum Classic both came from disagreement. BCH split off after the community could not agree on how to upgrade Bitcoin’s software, so the BCH side loosened the restrictions on what you could do. ETC was the opposite reflex: a group that rejected a hard-fork change and chose to keep the old chain alive. Same mechanism, opposite motivations.

SegWit is the instructive one. It was widely assumed that changing Bitcoin’s transaction structure would need a hard fork. The developers found a forward-compatible way to ship it as a soft fork instead, so nodes that never updated still work on the network. That is the pattern: because a hard fork can split the community in two, developers usually try to solve the problem with a soft fork first, and only hard-fork when there is no compatible path.

If a coin you hold goes through a hard fork, this is the knowledge that lets you decide which branch to follow.

How do forks affect a trading platform?

This is the part that touches your money directly. A hard fork can change how you buy, sell, or trade a coin, because it briefly turns one asset into two.

Not every exchange handles this the same way. Some platforms only list coins they consider viable to trade, which means an upcoming hard fork might be unsupported or trading might be disabled entirely while it resolves. Other platforms support all hard forks. A few even let you buy during a fork by giving you access to the funds and the new coin before trading opens elsewhere, which can give you an early read on how the change will hit your portfolio. The practical takeaway: before a known fork, check how your specific platform plans to handle it, because “do nothing and it sorts itself out” is true for a soft fork and not always true for a hard fork.

Where the human edge comes in

Here is the honest bit. Knowing the mechanics of a fork is the easy half, and frankly an AI can recite the soft-vs-hard difference for you in a second. What the textbook will not do is sit you down before a contentious hard fork and ask whether you actually want exposure to a brand-new coin born out of a community that just fractured, or whether the cleaner move for your book is to step aside through the noise and reassess after the dust settles. That call is judgment, sizing, and a bit of psychology under uncertainty. It is the same skill that separates a good trader from a well-read one, and it is the first of the Five Edges no model trades for you.

FAQ

What is the difference between a soft fork and a hard fork?
A soft fork is backward-compatible, so old nodes keep working and the chain stays unified; it is used for routine upgrades. A hard fork is not backward-compatible, so it creates a permanent second chain, and holders end up with coins on both. SegWit was a soft fork; Bitcoin Cash was a hard fork.

Do I get free coins from a hard fork?
Effectively yes. After a hard fork you still hold your original coin on the legacy chain and can claim the new chain’s coin as well, so you hold the asset on both chains. Whether the new coin holds any value is a separate question entirely.

Is Bitcoin Cash a hard fork or a soft fork?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a hard fork. It split from Bitcoin in mid-2017 and raised the block size limit from 1 MB to 8 MB, later to 32 MB.

What is a UASF versus a MASF?
A user-activated soft fork (UASF) switches on new rules at a set block height once a majority of mining power signals support. A miner-activated soft fork (MASF) activates at an agreed block number triggered by miners, with a built-in delay, and is usually less disruptive.

Should I sell before a fork or hold through it?
There is no one answer, and this is not advice. A soft fork rarely requires you to do anything. For a contentious hard fork, the real question is whether you want exposure to a new, untested chain or would rather reduce risk through the event. Check how your exchange handles the fork before deciding.


So, the next time a coin you hold announces a fork, you will know which kind it is and what it asks of you. Would you sell your tokens and buy back after the split, or hold straight through it? Let me know in the comments below.

And if you want the full picture on how blockchains, coins, and DeFi fit together, read the pillar: The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies.

Want a system instead of more crypto trivia? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact routine I use to scan once a day and trade any market, crypto included, in 15 minutes.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

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0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Thumbnail-What-are-Blockchain-Forks-How-do-they-Affect-Your-Trading-Platform.png 720 1280 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-28 13:57:072026-07-06 00:31:56What are Blockchain Forks & How do they Affect Your Trading Platform?
Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: The Bears are Back in Full force!

Market Analysis
Melbourne Australia

After the rate hike last week, and the continued hawkish tone of the Fed, the market bears are now back in full force!

As we mentioned in our video last week, the long-term trend is still bearish, so the short-term rebound of the market was an excellent shorting opportunity.

And those shorts have paid off, when markets plunged after the FOMC, and all shorts are deeply in the money now. If the markets continue to fall, this could end up being our most profitable month this year!

Next week, the strategy largely remains the same, which is to accumulate more short positions on any pullbacks.

Stay tuned for more profitable trading opportunities in our Daily Trading Signals Telegram channel!

 

Melbourne Australia

[Photo: Melbourne, Australia – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly market outlook video 170922

Weekly Market Outlook (17 September 2022)
? High CPI numbers bad for risk assets
? FOMC on 21 Sept – more rate hikes coming
? Long-term bearish for stocks, crypto, REITs, commods, etc

 

Weekly Portfolio Update

Trading Signals Portfolio 170922

Weekly Portfolio Update (17 September 2022)

Currently bearish on stocks and REITs, accumulating short positions. Most of cash is held in USD since it is the strongest.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals AUDUSD 170922

AUDUSD Crossing 0.66701
Aussie vs. US Dollar
Break new lows!

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 170922

USDSGD Crossing 1.41091
US Dollar vs SG Dollar
Break new highs!

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 210922

USDSGD breaking new highs, which is why I have been advocating holding USD for the past few months. ????

 

Trading Signals EURUSD 210922

Like I mentioned many times before, EURUSD is a good short on pullbacks.

 

Trading Signals DXY 210922

US Dollar Index (DXY) poised to continue heading up, as markets eye the FOMC tonight.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals bond yield news 190922

U.S. investment-grade bond yields are the highest since 2009, at an average 5.14%. pic.twitter.com/XIuQELONAY

— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) September 19, 2022

 

Trading Signals fed hike rate news 210922

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/fed-set-big-rate-hike-waters-get-choppy-worlds-central-banks-2022-09-21/

 

Trading Signals fomc news 210922 1

https://www.investing.com/analysis/fomc-meeting-preview-100bps-unlikely-but-longer-rate-hike-path-in-play-200630031

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 190922

ETHUSD Crossing 1350.76
Ethereum
Break swing low

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Melbourne-Australia.jpg 1512 2016 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-23 10:52:172022-09-24 02:41:44Weekly Market Wrap: The Bears are Back in Full force!
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