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Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Inflation Continues to Plague Markets!

Market Analysis
Kutna Hora Czech Republic

With inflation continuing to plague markets, based on the most recent CPI numbers, the Fed is most likely going to continue hiking interest rates, which is bearish for the markets.

In my last weekly market outlook video, I mentioned that the long-term trend is still bearish, and we should either by waiting to short, or short-term trading positions if going long (to ride the bullish momentum early last week).

Now that the market bears are back in full force, we have started to initiate short positions, and I expect to be adding more short positions on pullbacks as prices continue to fall.

Stay tuned for more updates in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Kutna Hora Czech Republic

[Photo: Kutna Hora, Czech Republic – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 120922

Weekly Market Outlook (12 September 2022)
? FOMC on 21 Sept – more rate hikes coming
? Ethereum merge in a few days
? Long-term bearish for stocks, crypto, REITs, commods, etc
? Short-term bullishness (swing trading opportunities)

 

Weekly Portfolio Update

Trading Signals Portfolio 120922

Weekly Portfolio Update (12 September 2022)

Not having much positions now as I am overseas, and the market direction is not very clear yet.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals AUDUSD 130922

AUDUSD Crossing 0.69137
Aussie vs. US Dollar
Break swing high

 

Trading Signals NZDCHF 130922

NZDCHF Crossing 0.58200
NZ Dollar vs. Swiss France
TP1 for short positions

 

Trading Signals Inflation CPI 130922

Inflation is STILL rising.

8.3% CPI even with a 10.6% decline in the gas index.

And winter is coming. pic.twitter.com/S7xicZ6eop

— Ryan Selkis ? (@twobitidiot) September 13, 2022

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals SP500 and Nasdaq 120922

Stock indices (S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100) are still in a long-term bear trend, but short-term bullishness provides swing trading opportunities.

Use a smaller timeframe to enter on pullbacks, with a tight stoploss.

 

Trading Signals Stocks News 140922

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-09-14-2022-11663139340

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 120922

As the merge approaches (in about 3 days), watch out for the critical zone for Ethereum (ETHUSD) to see if the downtrend resumes after the merge.

 

Trading Signals ETH news 110922

https://cointelegraph.com/news/ethereum-ready-for-the-merge-as-last-shadow-fork-completes-successfully

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Kutna-Hora-Czech-Republic.jpg 1536 2048 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-15 23:28:042022-09-18 00:49:39Weekly Market Wrap: Inflation Continues to Plague Markets!
Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Is the Market Oversold?

Market Analysis
Siem Reap Cambodia

After the large sell-off last week in stocks and crypto, it won’t be surprising if we see a short-tern rebound the upcoming week.

Overall, the long-term trend is still bearish.

The key figure to watch is still inflation, and how aggressively the Fed will hike rates on 21 September.

Many of short trades have hit TP1 or TP2, so it was a good idea to take profits before the rebound happened.

Now, we can either trade the short-term momentum, or just stand aside and wait for the long-term bear trend to resume before taking new short positions.

I have placed all the triggers and trade alerts in my “Daily Trading Signals”, so you will know when it happens. Stay tuned!

 

Siem Reap Cambodia

[Photo: Siem Reap, Cambodia – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly Market Video 020922

Weekly Market Outlook (02 September 2022)
? FOMC on 21 Sept – more rate hikes coming
? Bullish for USD
? Bearish for stocks, crypto, REITs, commods, etc

 

Weekly Portfolio Update

Trading Signals Portfolio 020922

Weekly Portfolio Update (02 September 2022)

 

Trading Signals investing categories 040922

Recession Results: How investment categories perform going into a recession, and during it.

 

Trading Signals investing news 040922

https://www.wsj.com/articles/recessions-investments-best-worst-performers-11662061934

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals Strength 020922

Holding about 75% of my assets in USD at the moment.

 

Trading Signals CHFJPY 070922

As mentioned in our last video, the CHFJPY finally broke out to new highs. Congrats!

 

Trading Signals DXY 070922

The Dollar Index (DXY) continues to make new highs!

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals stock news 080922

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-09-08-2022-11662636970

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 040922

Following up on Ethereum (ETHUSD), it has formed a bearish pinbar near both the EMAs, making it a good shorting opportunity.

I might not have internet for the next few days, but I will be taking this short and placing a stoploss.

All the best!

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Siem-Reap-Cambodia.jpg 720 960 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-09 01:52:052022-09-10 13:29:15Weekly Market Wrap: Is the Market Oversold?
Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Will We Be Seeing New Lows Very Soon?

Market Analysis
Tokyo Japan

As I mentioned in my “Weekly Market Outlook” video for subscribers, almost every asset class is very bearish, as you can see from my “Weekly Portfolio Update” snapshot.

This bearishness can be observed in various price patterns, as well as technical indicators and market psychology.

Every week, I publish my full portfolio allocation so there is 100% transparency on my positions and holdings.

At that point, I was short on equities, REITs, and crypto, and all these have plunged a lot since the Fed announced that it will continue to fight inflation (aka. hike rates).

As we continue to stack positions, this could turn out to be the biggest trade of the year if prices continue to drop and hit new lows. I will be monitoring and placing alerts for new shorting opportunities.

Stay tuned in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Tokyo Japan

[Photo: Tokyo, Japan – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekday Market Outlook 280822

Weekly Market Outlook (28 August 2022)
? Inflation target of 2%
? CHFJPY – bullish
? GBPCHF – bearish
? EURUSD – bearish
? Commodities – neutral/bullish
? Stocks – bearish
? Crypto – bearish

 

Weekly Portfolio Update

Trading Signals Portfolio 310822

Weekly Portfolio Update (28 August 2022)

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals strength 290822

As mentioned in the video, USD is currently the strongest currency.

Trading Signals DXY 010922

Following up on the US Dollar Index (DXY), it is forming a small bullish base, getting ready to push new highs.

 

Trading Signals GBPCHF 310822

Following up with the H4 chart of GBPCHF, we can see that shortly after our short entry, prices started to fall.

We are nearing TP1 soon, which is at the prior swing lows, after which we can close half and hold the remaining half for TP2.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 260822

Following up on the USDSGD, it has hit our TP level, and for now, we can either stay out or stay short, since the short term price momentum is bearish.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 US500 310822

Both the S&P 500 (US500) and NASDAQ 100 (US100) have broken below their support levels, and are looking bearish.

Look to initiate or add short positions on pullbacks.

 

Trading Signals US100 US500 010922

Following up on the NASDAQ 100 (US100) and S&P 500 (US500), both have continue to fall as predicted, after we entered our short positions (circled red).

Both are nearing TP1, and hopefully will reach TP2 by the end of the year. ????

 

Trading Signals stock news 270822

Stocks plummeted Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole speech the central bank won’t back off in its fight against rapid inflation.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/25/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals BTCUSD 310822

Taking profit on my Bitcoin (BTCUSD) shorts to wait for the next pullback to short again! ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 310822

Taking profit on my Ethereum (ETHUSD) shorts to wait for a next pullback to short again! ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD BTCUSD 270822

After a long wait on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD), it finally broke out of the bear flag pattern and made new swing lows.

Will it head all the way down to test new lows? I will continue holding my short positions, and add more as price continues to decline.

Looks like it will be an exciting weekend! ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 010922

In last week’s market outlook video, I mentioned that Crypto was very bearish, and I had huge short positions on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD).

It was followed by a huge crash, which I took profits and posted the screenshots.

Now, we are seeing some bearish pin bars, but I will wait for prices to break below yesterday’s low before initiating new shorts.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Tokyo-Japan.jpg 720 960 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-03 01:14:392022-09-03 01:15:24Weekly Market Wrap: Will We Be Seeing New Lows Very Soon?
Spencer Li

The Travelling Trader: Time to Explore Central Asia!

Living Your Best Life, Travel & Lifestyle
central asia travelling trader

After 3 years of not being able to travel due to Covid, I am now ready to embark on my next adventure!

In fact, I have also sold my house, so I’m not sure how long I will be on the road. (Until property prices come back down lol)

This trip will bring my total country tally to 70+ countries, let’s see how many I can hit by the end of the year.

As per usual, I will continue to provide market updates, as long as I have an internet connection.

Let’s all build up our warchest and get ready for the big sale!

View this post on Instagram

A post shared by Spencer Li (@iamrecneps)

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A post shared by Spencer Li (@iamrecneps)

View this post on Instagram

A post shared by Spencer Li (@iamrecneps)

 

thumbnail an unofficial guide to living our best life beyond financial freedom

If you are excited to get more life hacks, also check out: “Beyond Financial Freedom: An Unofficial Guide to Living Your Best Life”

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/central-asia-travelling-trader.png 1524 2054 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2022-09-02 12:03:262022-12-16 16:35:09The Travelling Trader: Time to Explore Central Asia!
Spencer Li

How to Stake on Proof-of-Stake Blockchains for Passive Crypto Income

Blockchain & Crypto
How to Stake on Proof of Stake Blockchains for Passive Crypto Income thumbnail

What Is Crypto Staking, and How Do You Earn Passive Income From It?

Last updated: 2026-06-14 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


Crypto staking is when you lock up coins you already own to help run a proof-of-stake blockchain, and you get paid a reward for doing it. Think of it as putting your crypto to work instead of letting it sit. You commit your coins to the network, the network uses them to validate transactions, and in return you earn more of that coin, often somewhere in the range of 4 to 8 percent APY (annual percentage yield, the yearly return including compounding). The process is mostly passive once set up: you deposit, you stake, you wait, you withdraw. The catch is that “passive” does not mean “risk-free”, your coins are locked, the yield is paid in a volatile asset, and the underlying network can fail in ways a savings account never will.

So staking is real income, but it is income with strings attached. Here is how it works, how to actually do it, and where it goes wrong.

What is proof of stake, and how is it different from mining?

To understand staking you first need to understand the system it belongs to. A blockchain needs a way for strangers who do not trust each other to agree on which transactions are real. That agreement mechanism is called a consensus algorithm (a shared set of rules everyone in the network follows to validate transactions and block fraud).

The famous one is proof of work (PoW), the system Bitcoin uses. Miners race to solve hard math problems, and the winner earns the right to add the next block. It works, but it burns a lot of electricity and expensive hardware.

Proof of stake (PoS) replaces that race with a stake. Instead of competing on computing power, validators lock up their own coins as collateral. The network then picks who creates the next block based partly on random selection and partly on how much each validator has staked. No mining rigs, no power bill, no math race. You earn by holding and committing coins, not by burning energy.

The term “proof of stake” was coined by a Bitcointalk forum user called QuantumMechanic. The core idea was simple: it is wasteful to make everyone compete on raw processing power, so let people put skin in the game with their coins instead.

Proof of Work (PoW)Proof of Stake (PoS)
How you qualifySpend computing power to solve mathLock up (“stake”) your own coins
Who adds the next blockWhoever solves the puzzle first (a miner)A validator chosen partly by stake size, partly at random
Main costHardware plus electricityThe coins you tie up (opportunity cost)
Energy useHighLow
Barrier to entryExpensive rigsJust hold and stake coins
Example chainsBitcoinEthereum, Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), Polkadot (DOT), Algorand (ALGO)

The key line to remember: in PoW you earn by working, in PoS you earn by committing capital. That is why staking feels closer to earning interest than to running a business.

The basic staking terms you need

Before going deeper, here is the vocabulary, defined plainly:

  • Stake is the amount of cryptocurrency you have locked into the network.
  • Stakeholder is the person doing the staking (you).
  • Validator is a node that creates new blocks on the blockchain.
  • Block reward is the crypto paid to a validator for creating a new block.
  • Delegated proof of stake (DPoS) is a version where you hand your staking power to a validator who stakes on your behalf, so you do not have to run a node yourself.

How does the network decide who earns the reward?

Validators are not picked at random alone. A node has to stake a minimum amount of coins before it can even be considered for the validator role, and the bigger the stake, the higher the odds of being chosen to forge the next block.

A simple example makes this concrete. Say John contributes $100 to the network and Cindy contributes $500. Cindy’s chance of being picked to forge the next block is five times higher than John’s. More stake, more turns, more rewards. The system is weighted toward those who commit more capital, which is the whole point: it aligns the people securing the network with the people who have the most to lose if it breaks.

Do note that the stake is always worth more than what the validator earns in transaction fees. That gap is deliberate. It keeps the validator financially motivated to behave, because misbehaving puts a larger pile of their own money at risk than they could ever gain by cheating.

How do you actually stake your crypto?

The mechanics are straightforward. Here is the sequence:

  1. Find a supported wallet or exchange that offers staking for the coin you already hold.
  2. Deposit your tokens into that wallet or exchange.
  3. Check the minimum. Some networks require a set amount before you can participate. To stake directly on Tezos you need a minimum of 8,000 Tezos (XTZ). Running your own Ethereum validator calls for 32 ether (ETH). Many exchanges let you stake far smaller amounts by pooling, which is how most beginners start.
  4. Choose how much to stake and for how long. Your reward depends on the amount staked, how long you stake it, and the specific rules of that network.
  5. Wait. Once deposited, the process is passive. You earn without doing further work.
  6. Withdraw when you are done, subject to any lock-up or unbonding period the network enforces.
NetworkTypical minimum to stake directlyNotes
Tezos (XTZ)8,000 XTZLower via delegation or an exchange
Ethereum (ETH)32 ETH to run a validatorFar less via pooled or exchange staking
Many othersNone to smallExchange staking often has no hard floor

A note on yield: there are coins offering an APY of 4 to 8 percent or higher. That is attractive next to a bank, but read it honestly. The percentage is paid in the coin, not in cash, so if the coin’s price drops 20 percent, your 6 percent yield has not saved you. Lock-up rules vary too. Some networks need a minimum staking period (say 30 days), others have none. As a rule, the longer you stake, the more you earn, but the less flexible you are if the market turns.

Why stake at all?

The appeal is simple. Proof-of-stake chains let you earn passive income just by holding coins in a wallet. There is no mining hardware to buy, no electricity bill, no complex math to solve. That makes staking far more accessible than mining ever was, you can start with what you already own.

There is a structural argument too. PoS networks tend to be more censorship resistant than PoW ones. In a PoW system a small group of miners can, in principle, choose to censor certain transactions. In a PoS system the say is spread across everyone who holds and stakes coins, which makes it harder for any single party to block or refuse transactions.

What are the risks and problems with staking?

This is the part the “earn passive income” headlines skip, so I will not. Staking has real downsides.

  • Scale and maturity. No PoS system today scales to the level of Bitcoin or Ethereum’s track record, and many are not yet as decentralized or battle-tested as the most advanced PoW systems. Newer consensus designs (such as Casper) aim to close that gap, but “aim to” is doing work in that sentence.
  • Validator downtime. If a validator fails to show up and do its job, that can cause problems. The usual fix is choosing networks or pools that keep a large set of backup validators.
  • Security trade-offs. PoS can be less secure than PoW in specific ways. Because the network’s power is spread across all users rather than concentrated in miners, a PoS system can be more exposed to a Sybil attack (where an attacker spins up many fake identities to gain control). It can also be vulnerable to a 51 percent attack, where one entity controls more than half the staked currency.
  • Forks. A blockchain is technically at risk of a fork if two valid blocks are created at the same instant and one gets built on before enough validators confirm it. Depending on your setup, that can affect rewards.
  • Lock-ups. To manage some of these risks, many projects use vaults that lock stakeholder deposits until they are periodically released and rewarded. That protects the network, but it means your coins are not liquid the moment you want out.

One common workaround for the hassle is delegated proof of stake, where you delegate your stake to another party who stakes on your behalf. It lowers the effort, at the cost of trusting whoever you delegate to.

Where the human edge comes in

Here is the honest framing. A platform will show you a glowing APY number in a second, that part is free and getting freer. What it will not do is tell you whether locking your coins for 30 days is worth giving up the ability to sell into a crash, or whether an 8 percent yield on a coin that could halve is actually a good trade. The percentage is the easy part. Sizing the position, judging the lock-up against your own risk tolerance, and deciding whether this network deserves your capital at all, that is judgment, and it is the first of the Five Edges no dashboard can supply for you.

Staking is a tool. Whether it belongs in your portfolio, and at what size, is a decision only you can make.

FAQ

Is crypto staking really passive income?
Mostly yes, once it is set up. After you deposit and stake your coins, you earn rewards without doing further work. But “passive” is not the same as “safe”. Your coins are usually locked, the yield is paid in a volatile asset, and the network itself carries risk a bank account does not.

How much can you earn from staking crypto?
Many coins offer an annual percentage yield (APY) of 4 to 8 percent or higher. Remember that the reward is paid in the coin you staked, so the real return depends on what that coin’s price does while your funds are locked.

Do you need a minimum amount to stake?
It depends on the network. Staking directly on Tezos needs 8,000 XTZ, and running your own Ethereum validator needs 32 ETH. Most exchanges and pools let you stake much smaller amounts, which is how most beginners start.

Is staking safer than mining?
Staking is easier and cheaper than mining, with no hardware or electricity cost. “Safer” is not the right frame though. Proof-of-stake networks carry their own risks, including Sybil attacks, 51 percent attacks, validator downtime, and lock-up periods that stop you exiting when you want.

What is the difference between staking and delegated proof of stake (DPoS)?
Staking can mean running your own validator, which takes a minimum holding and some setup. Delegated proof of stake lets you hand your staking power to a validator who stakes on your behalf, so you earn rewards with less effort, in exchange for trusting that delegate.


Now that you know how staking works and where it can bite, would you stake your own crypto? And do you think the reward-to-risk profile beats what you can find in traditional finance? Let me know in the comments.

And if you want the bigger picture on crypto and DeFi (decentralized finance, the ecosystem of financial apps built on blockchains), read the pillar: The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies.

Want a calmer way to approach any market? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact routine I use to scan once a day and trade any market in 15 minutes, the same discipline that keeps me from chasing a shiny yield number.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Crypto and trading carry risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies (pillar) · What is DeFi and how does it work · Proof of work vs proof of stake explained

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
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