Chong Kemin Valley Kyrgyzstan

While we saw some strong rebound in the markets due to lower inflation numbers (and hope of a pivot), I feel it is only a matter of time before the relief rally runs out of steam.

The recent news headlines do not seem bullish:

  • UK officially entering a recession
  • Japan seeing the highest inflation in 40 years
  • Many tech companies laying off large numbers of staff
  • US retail sales higher than expected (sign of inflation not coming down)
  • US initial jobless claims decreasing

Hence, the chance of a Fed pivot seems unlikely at this point.

However, the market is always right, so I will still trade based on the price action as it unfolds.

I have placed price triggers at various critical levels, so we will receive the alerts once the opportunity arises.

Join us in our Daily Trading Signals Telegram channel to receive these real-time alerts!

 

Chong Kemin Valley Kyrgyzstan

[Photo: Chong-Kemin Valley, Kyrgyzstan – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 141122

Weekly Market Outlook (13 November 2022)

After the CPI showed slowing inflation, the stock markets shot up drastically, but this does not necessarily mean a reversal of the long-term trend.

2 ways to trade this market:

1. Wait for short-term momentum to weaken and run into strong S/R levels, then enter in the direction of the LT trend

2. Ride the short/medium-term momentum by entering on pullbacks on smaller timeframe

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Weekly portfolio 141122

Weekly Portfolio Update (13 November 2022)

Not much changes.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals EURCAD 151122

Very nice inverse H&S reversal for EURCAD, plus it broke the bear trendline at the same time.

Can look to go long on pullbacks.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 141122

USDSGD has dropped quite steeply the past few weeks, and might be somewhat oversold.

Even though it is in the middle of the wider range, and might drop all the way to the bottom of the range, we can still aim to trade the rebound (red rectangle), and then use a trailing stoploss.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 161122

Following up on USDSGD, we have seen 4 doji bars (with 1 being a bullish hammer), which suggest a slowing in the bearish momentum.

The RSI is also in the extreme oversold zone.

Odds of a rebound are high.

I would suggest taking a long position with a SL at around 1.36.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals NADSAQ100 141122

Critical zone here for the NASDAQ 100 (US100), whether it can muster enough strength for a larger move up, and break past the trendline.

 

Trading Signals NADSAQ100 weekly 141122

To better illustrate what I meant by following the long-term trend, this is the weekly chart of the NASDAQ 100 (US100).

You can see that when prices go up or down, there will be moves against the main trend (red circles) that range from 15-25%.

The key is to wait patiently and find the optimal point (most reward and lowest risk) to enter the market and ride the long-term trend.

 

Trading Signals NADSAQ100 171122

So far we have seen one shooting star (bearish pinbar) on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), when it tried to break above the trendline.

Now, it is at a crucial point because it is at the top of the LT bearish trendline, but the ST price action recently just broke above the small consolidation (yellow rectangle).

If prices fall back into the small consolidation (break the red line), then i would consider adding back my short positions.

 

Trading Signals REET 141122

Similar situation for the Global REITs ETF (REET) which is a benchmark for global real estate.

 

Trading Signals amazon layoff 121122

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/14/amazon-reportedly-plans-to-lay-off-about-10000-employees-starting-this-week.html

 

Trading Signals inflation cooldown news 111122

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-inflation-cooldown-is-finally-here-11668097915

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ftx hacked 121122

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/11/12/ftx-crypto-wallets-see-mysterious-late-night-outflows-totalling-more-than-380m

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

2022 09 11 21 36 37

This week was a crazy week, which saw the collapse of FTX, one of the largest crypto brokerages.

This will likely have more domino-effect impact on various crypto markets in the weeks to come, and not in a good way.

On the plus side, the recent CPI data shows a slowing of inflation, which caused stock markets to spike and the USD to plunge.

Is this sufficient for a Fed pivot (or at least a slow in rate hikes), which could hint at a market bottom?

Find out in my “weekly market outlook” video tomorrow, which I will post in my Daily Trading Signals private Telegram channel!

 

2022 09 11 21 36 37

[Photo: Dushanbe, Tajikistan – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 091122

Weekly Market Outlook (07 November 2022)

CPI data on 10 Nov is expected to be the main market mover this week, best not to take any major positions ahead of this news.

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Weekly Portfolio 081122

Weekly Portfolio Update (07 November 2022)

Largest position is now short-term T-bills, which are giving 4+% risk-free returns.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals USDSGD 081122

USDSGD Crossing 1.40143
Break swing low

 

Trading Signals WTICOUSD 101122

WTICOUSD Crossing 85.061
Crude Oil
Break swing low

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals ARKK 121122

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) which represents high growth tech stocks broke new lows yesterday, putting it now at a major support level.

IF this level breaks, it will be hitting lows last seen in 2017. Not looking good.

 

Trading Signals Chinatech stocks 071122

Rebound on China tech stocks (3067) has happened as predicted! Congrats to those who followed, it was a quick 10-15% profit over a few days! ????

 

Trading Signals inflation news 121122

BREAKING!

US headline #inflation fell to 7.7% in October, 7.9% expected.

US core #CPI fell to 6.3%, 6.5% expected.

Rally coming!

 

Trading Signals Layoff news 051122

Layoffs announced in the last day:
– Lyft 13% of workers
– Opendoor 18%
– Stripe 14%
– Chime 12%
– Twitter 50%
– Morgan Stanley (% unknown)

—-

Delivery Hero is laying off as we speak. Don’t have numbers yet. Also, Pleo (expense management) let go 15% of staff.

Lyft, Stripe, CloudKitchens all doing layoffs today. OpenDoor, Chime, Dapper Labs, Gem, MessageBird, Kry this week.

Source: Twitter (GergelyOrosz, GRDecter)

 

Trading Signals treasury yields news 051122

Compared to a month ago, the expected peak interest rate has gone up, but the duration to the peak has shifted from 2.5yrs to 1yr.

This suggests they are expecting the Fed to aggressively hike so the peak can be reached faster, but the peak keeps getting higher.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals crypto BTCUSD ETHUSD 101122

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD) having huge selldowns after the FTX fiasco.

There is likely a lot more selling/iquidations/margin calls coming up, so it is better not to try and catch the falling knife at this point.

 

Trading Signals binance deal breaks 101122

https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/ftx-turmoil-causes-crypto-concern-sending-token-prices-sliding-2022-11-09/

 

Trading Signals bankless FTX 101122

Summary of the whole saga: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/the-shocking-collapse-of-the-ftx

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Jokulsarlon Glacier Lagoon Iceland

We had 2 major pieces of new last week, which was the FOMC and the NFP.

The FOMC hiked rates by 0.75%, which was in line with expectations, but they also maintained the hardline stance of aggressively increasing rates till inflation is tamed, and would rather overshoot than undershoot, because (they think) they can remedy by cutting rates if a recession happens.

The NFP data showed that although jobs increased, it seems to be reaching a gradual turning point, which suggested that the rate hikes are working to reverse the trend.

As mentioned in last week’s video, I expect the bearish trend to resume soon, with new lows perhaps as early as next week.

Besides the short position on stocks, there is also something which we have been accumulating steadily, and is now deeply in the money, with lots more room to continue going up.

What do you think this is?

Find out in our Daily Trading Signals private Telegram channel!

 

Jokulsarlon Glacier Lagoon Iceland

[Photo: Jokulsarlon Glacier Lagoon, Iceland – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly Market Outlook 301022

Weekly Market Outlook (31 October 2022)
? 2 Nov: FOMC interest-rate decision
? 4 Nov: October NFP jobs report
? 8 Nov: mid-term elections
? 10 Nov: CPI (inflation data)

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Weekly portfolio 301022

Weekly Portfolio Update (31 October 2022)

Increased fixed income (bonds) allocation slightly, went net positive on crypto allocation.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals forex pairs 301022

Comparison of all major forex pairs YTD

(Note that I have put the USD as the numerator for all pairs to enable easy comparison.)

USD is the strongest currency, followed by SGD, CAD and CHF.

JPY is the weakest currency by a large margin.

 

Trading Signals AUDNZD 041122

The AUDNZD has traded in a wide range for many years. Recently, it tried to break out of the range but failed and went back down.

It might head back to test the bottom of the range, so we can look to short on pullbacks.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 301022

AUDUSD is having a bullish rebound, you can either take a short-term trade to the red zone, or wait for price to reach there for a shorting opportunity.

 

Trading Signals DXY 301022

Entry zone for long positions on the US Dollar Index (DXY), with a SL below.

 

Trading Signals EURUSD 301022

EURUSD is consolidating near the major 1.000 level, which is now resistance. The red zone would be a good shorting opportunity, with a SL around 1.0100.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 031122

After yesterday’s FOMC, where we saw the USDSGD spike down, but shortly after recovered and went back up.

As mentioned in the last video, that’s a strong sign that the price action remains bullish, and will likely test new highs.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals major markets 301022

Comparison of all major markets YTD

Most markets are down for the year, the only 2 which are positive are the US Dollar Index (DXY) and the general Commodity Index (GCC).

 

Trading Signals China Tech stocks 301022

Climatic selling on China tech stocks (3067) suggests a possible rebound, which would bring prices back to test the prior resistance.

 

Trading Signals US100 041122

The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is coming back down after the Fed signalled that they will continue with future rate hikes.

 

Trading Signals FOMC 041122

New sentence in the FOMC statement signals more increases but hints at possibly smaller increments.

 

Trading Signals hike 031122

 

Trading Signals SP500 news 021122

 

Trading Signals apple 041122

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 291022

Bull flag forming on Ethereum (ETHUSD) on smaller timeframe. Taking a small long position to see how it goes. Can put a SL around $1450 area.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Tasmania Australia

Recently, there has been a lot more volatility in the market, as seen even in the major stock indices, where fluctuations of 2-5% a day have become the norm.

In the absence of major news, the market has been reacting strongly on any minor news, making it hard to take short-term trading positions that are technical-driven.

As I mentioned in last week’s video, there is likely to be a rebound, so the best option was to stay out or take short-term long positions.

Now, that the rebound is in progress, the big question is when it will end, and whether it might be the start of a market bottom.

I will be touching on that in this week’s market outlook video, and as well as my strategy to capitalise on that.

If you are keen to join us, check out our Daily Trading Signals Telegram channel.

See you on the inside!

 

Tasmania Australia

[Photo: Tasmania, Australia – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 251022

Weekly Market Outlook (25 October 2022)
? Next rate hike in about 8 days
? Investors exit China stocks
? Long-term bearish for stocks, crypto, REITs, commods, but short-term sideways
? Long-term bullish for USD

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Weekly Portfoilio 251022

Weekly Portfolio Update (25 October 2022)

Not much change from last week, since markets have not moved much.

 

Trading Signals Asset classes 281022

Interesting read: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/10/which-asset-class-is-more-attractive-right-now-stocks-or-bonds/

Does this mean that as long as inflation stops rising, the stock market might start seeing a bottom?

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals AUDUSD 251022

Another nice bear flag on AUDUSD, possible to take a short with SL (stoploss) above the swing high, and ride the trend downwards.

 

Trading Signals EURJPY 251022

Following up on EURJPY, there was an excellent pullback opportunity for a low-risk entry, with SL below the 2 pin-bars.

Even now, we can still look to enter on any pullbacks on smaller timeframes.

 

Trading Signals GBPUSD 221022

GBPUSD getting ready to resume the downtrend. Taking some short positions.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 211022

Gold (XAUUSD) has now hit the previous swing low, congrats to those who have shorted! ????

Now would be a good time to take half profits, and see if the remaining half can drop all the way to the next support level.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals TLT 211022

20+ year treasury bond ETF (TLT) is down 45% from all-time highs, and might continue to fall further.

This is a good leading indicator for stocks, so I will be keeping an eye to see when it bottoms.

 

Trading Signals inflation news 221022

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/10/why-isnt-inflation-falling/

 

Trading Signals Meta news 271022

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/26/facebook-parent-meta-earnings-q3-2022.html

 

Trading Signals tech stocks china 221022

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/24/alibaba-tencent-shares-plummet-as-xi-jinping-tightens-grip-on-power.html

 

Trading Signals yield curve 261022

Currently, the yield curve is pricing in a Fed pivot in 1 years time.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 261022

Recently, Ethereum (ETHUSD) has broke out of the narrow range, and there is no telling whether this is a real or false breakout, so the best options are to:

1. stay out
2. take small long positions on pullbacks on smaller timeframes

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Thumbnail What is Tether USDT and is it a good investment

Entering the world of cryptocurrencies is like stepping into a new dimension, with products such as stablecoins, NFTs, DeFi, Bitcoin, and many more coming out every single day.

It’s hard to keep up with everything, even for the most experienced traders. That’s why it’s important to know what you’re doing and where you’re headed before jumping in.

One of the most interesting but underrated products on the market today is stablecoins.

For those who don’t know, a stablecoin is a cryptocurrency that is pegged to an asset with a stable value.

The most popular and well-known stablecoin is Tether (USDT).

In this blog post, I’m going to cover the basics of stablecoins, before going in depth on what Tether (USDT) is, how it works, and whether or not it is a good investment.

 

Infographic What is Tether USDT stablecoin and is it a good investment

 

What is a Stablecoin?

A stablecoin is simply a digital asset that is pegged to a stable asset, such as the U.S. dollar.

The main advantage of a stablecoin is that it allows traders to avoid the volatility of the crypto markets while still enjoying the benefits of blockchain technology.

Also, with stablecoins, you can be sure that the value of your money will not fluctuate.

Why are Stablecoins Useful?

Stability is one of the essential features of any currency.

If a currency’s value fluctuates too much, it is impossible to use it in everyday life.

Stablecoins are pegged to an asset that is highly stable and unlikely to experience rapid changes in price over short periods.

Their stability makes them useful as a holding currency for saving, investment and transactions.

Now that you are armed with the right information about stablecoins, let’s move on to Tether (USDT).

What is Tether (USDT)?

Tether is a digital currency introduced by Bitfinex, a cryptocurrency exchange platform.

It is a tether-based stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar.

In simple words, one USDT is equal to one U.S. Dollar.

This means that if you have one Tether coin, then its value will remain the same, and you can use it as a substitute for USD currency.

The main function of Tether is to provide a stable alternative to traditional cryptocurrencies, which tend to be more volatile.

This helps  protect you from market volatility, so if you are worried about the security of your funds, then you can use Tether as a safe haven to hold your funds.

How Does Tether (USDT) Work?

Tether (USDT) works in the same way as other cryptocurrencies do.

You can transfer your Tether coins to another person or use them to purchase goods or services.

You can also store your USDT in a digital wallet, which is similar to a bank account.

As with other cryptocurrencies, all transactions for USDT are recorded on the blockchain and cannot be counterfeited.

Furthermore, the company behind Tether guarantees that every USDT is backed by a U.S. dollar held in reserve.

This means you can always redeem it for the cash value of the currency.

If you want to convert your USDT back into fiat, all you need to do is contact customer support and request a refund.

Reasons for Investing in Tether (USDT)

As we all know, Tether is one of the most popular stablecoins on the market.

It offers investors a secure alternative to volatile cryptocurrency investments while also providing opportunities for arbitrage and hedging.

Here are some of the smart key reasons why you should invest in Tether:

1. High Stability

Tether is a highly stable coin, so you know what you’re getting in terms of value.

It doesn’t fluctuate much and can be used for a variety of purposes, including as an investment, a store of value, or simply as a means to pay for goods and services online.

This makes it a go-about choice for those who want to protect their wealth from market volatility while still having access to the benefits of blockchain technology.

2. Transparent

Tether is very transparent in its accounts and reserves, and it has audited financials provided by Tether Limited.

No doubt Tether is one of the most transparent cryptocurrencies on the market today.

The company provides an audit report that details how much USDT there is in circulation and where it came from, which means you can rest assured your money isn’t being used for anything unethical.

3. Liquidity

The next most important thing to look for when choosing a stablecoin is liquidity.

When you want to convert USD into Tether, and Tether back into USD, it should be easy and quick.

You don’t want to have to wait days or weeks for your money!

Tether has maintained high levels of liquidity since its inception in 2014, which means you can be confident that you’ll be able to cash out of USDT whenever you need it.

4. Accepted on Many Exchanges

Many exchanges accept Tether, so it’s easy to trade with other cryptocurrencies.

Tether is the most widely accepted stablecoin in the world.

Many exchanges accept Tether as a way to deposit funds, so if you want to buy other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum, you can deposit USDT into your brokerage account, then use that to buy other cryptocurrencies.

5. Security

Tether is 100% transparent, which means that you can see all of the transactions on their website.

This is paramount because it makes it easy for people to know how much money there is in circulation and how many tethers are being held by each exchange.

6. Reliable

Tether is a reliable cryptocurrency because it’s one of the most stable in the market.

It doesn’t fluctuate like other cryptocurrencies, which makes it great for people who want to make long-term investments or get stable yields via yield-farming, but also want to preserve the capital.

7. Decentralized

Tether is decentralized, which means that there is no central authority controlling its supply or price.

This makes it easier for anyone to use cryptocurrency without having to worry about regulations or restrictions from governments.

8. Quick and Easy

Tether is very easy to use because it can be used just like fiat currency.

Anyone who wants to buy Tether will only need a wallet and an internet connection; this makes it more convenient than other cryptocurrencies that require complicated mining procedures.

 

Risks of Investing in Tether (USDT)

Just with any stablecoin, there are risk associated with investing in USDT.

One of the main risk for cryptocurrencies is always the risk of getting hacked, but so far Tether (USDT) has been safe in this aspect, with no major hacking incidents related to the blockchain.

The other major risk for stablecoins is the risk of depegging, since the token is pegged to the US Dollar.

If depegging occurs, like what happened to Terra USD (UST), then the token can rapidly spiral to zero.

However, Tether has a healthy reserve to defend the peg, and the price has not deviated significantly from the peg before, so this risk is not too high as well.

How to Buy Tether (USDT)?

To buy Tether, you will need to register an account on an exchange that supports USDT, such as Bitfinex, Binance, or Huobi.

Once you have your exchange account set up and verified, you will be able to purchase Tether with either fiat currency or another cryptocurrency.

For more information about brokerages, you can check out our list of tools & resources.

The Future of Tether (USDT)

Tether, or USDT for short, is issued on the Omni Layer, a blockchain platform that is compatible with multiple cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ethereum.

Each USDT unit you go for is backed by one U.S. dollar held in reserve by Tether Limited.

And with its recent expansion into Ethereum and other blockchain platforms, Tether’s future looks bright.

Concluding Thoughts

Tether is currently the go-to option for many people looking to use stablecoins, as it’s an ideal way to store your hard-earned money without having to worry about it losing value.

Furthermore, the fact that it’s backed by USD makes it a more stable option than other cryptocurrencies.

However, if you are looking for higher yields on stablecoins, then there are other stablecoins which offer higher yields, but also come with higher risk.

So in a sense, Tether (USDT) is like the blue-chip of stablecoins in the crypto universe.

Now that you know all about stablecoins and Tether (USDT), do you think they are good investments?

What do you think are some good strategies to profit from stablecoins such as USDT?

Let me know in the comments below.

 

thumbnail the ultimate guide to blockchain and crypto assets

If you would like to learn more about crypto & DeFi, also check out: “The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain & Cryptocurrencies”