Trakai Lithuania

After a strong market rally that last lasted the past few weeks, we have started to see prices come down last week.

Is this just another pullback in the new bull market, or is this the resumption of the bear market?

Either way, it does not matter, because our plan was to take short positions near the top (which we did), and now that we are currently in the money, we can use a trailing stoploss to manage our profits as prices continue to head down.

Just last night, we have already seen crypto prices drop more than 10% in one day, putting the price of Ethereum (ETHUSD) at $1625. For reference, we shorted it near the $2000 level.

Another of our big wins recently is the leveraged long position in USD, which still has potential to make new highs.

Over the medium/long term, I have a more bearish bias, which is why I have accumulated a net short position (about 20% of my total portfolio) on various asset classes.

For more real-time trading updates, and exclusive access to my ongoing portfolio allocations, you can join my “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram group.

See you on the inside!

 

Trakai Lithuania

[Photo: Trakai, Lithuania – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 1 180822

Portfolio updates:
? Holding a lot of cash, mostly in USD.

? Bearish on crypto, gold, real estate, commodities and stocks

? Closed all long positions after the recent strong bull rally, and decided to take some small short positions instead

 

Trading Signals Portfolio 2 180822

Currency holdings update:
? Rotated back mostly into USD, since it looks like it is going to continue trending up

? Closed long positions on AUD, NZD and GBP and took profit.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals USDSGD 160822

Might be a good time to start loading up on USDSGD for more USD bullishness.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 180822

Following up on Gold (XAUUSD), it is now starting to tip over. Can consider taking a short position with a tight SL.

 

Trading Signals WTI 170822

Crude Oil (WTI) seems to be bearish after breaking down from its large rectangular range.

This could lead to a reduction of inflation pressures.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

 

Trading Signals DXY 170822

Looks like the US Dollar Index (DXY) is getting ready for another run-up.

 

Trading Signals REET 180822

Global REITs (REET) have retracted back to the neckline, which is strong resistance, and which also confluences with the 200-EMA.

Took small short positions with a tight stoploss above the neckline.

 

Trading Signals US100 120822

Shooting star candle formed yesterday on NASDAQ 100 (US100), will need to watch what happens today.

In the short-run, breaking above yesterday’s candle would be bullish, whereas breaking below would be bearish.

 

Trading Signals US100 180822

Critical point for the NASDAQ 100 (US100)

 

Trading Signals US500 180822

We have hit the top of the trendline for S&P 500 (US500), and the RSI oscillator is showing an overbought signal.

There might be some correction soon.

 

Trading Stock Futures 180822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-08-19-2022-11660905556

 

Trading Signals SP500 180822

 

Trading Signals Daily News 130822

Nasdaq now up 23% off its low. Congratulations, we now have the average bear market rally. Across 26 bear market rallies from 1929-1932 and 2000-2002, the average is 23%. After 2000, there were two 40%+ bear market rallies and one 50%+ rally before the market bottomed.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 180822

Took a small short trade on Ethereum (ETHUSD) near the $2000 round number resistance.

Not sure how far it can go, and it might find support at the 20-EMA, so this is most likely a very short-term swing trade.

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 120822

Taking profits on my Ethereum (ETHUSD) longs, since prices have run up quite a bit.

In this current choppy environment, it is better to go for many small wins than one big win.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

what are blockchains and cryptocurrencies thumbnail

Why are blockchains touted as the next big thing in the financial industry and potentially a major game-changer?

If you have heard of blockchain technology, chances are you know it has something to do with bitcoin, decentralised finance or cryptocurrency.

And while those two things have become inextricably linked, they are not the same.

That’s why it is crucial to understand how they work now so that you can take advantage of that potential — both as an entrepreneur and a consumer.

In this blog post, I will tell you everything you should know about how blockchain technology works and what its impact could be going forward.

 

what are blockchains and cryptocurrencies infographic

 

History of Blockchains

Blockchain technology has a long and complicated history.

It was first conceptualized in 1991 by a group of researchers trying to create a system for timestamping digital documents so they could not be tampered with.

But it was not until 2008 that blockchain really came into its own when Satoshi Nakamoto first introduced the concept of blockchains in a white paper entitled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.

In this paper, Nakamoto described how a decentralized ledger could be used to record and verify transactions instead of the unstable traditional banking system.

Since then, blockchain has been hailed as a revolutionary new way of handling data.

What is a Blockchain?

At its simplest, blockchain is a digital database or ledger of transactions.

When someone uses cryptocurrency to buy something, they broadcast their transaction to the entire network of computers running the software.

These computers then race to verify the transaction, and the first one to do so adds it to the chain of past transactions or “block.”

The new block is then broadcast to the network and verified by more computers, and so on.

Each block contains a cryptographic hash of all the previous transactions, and each new block is linked to the one before it via cryptography, creating a “chain.”

How Does Blockchain Technology Work?

It can be difficult to understand how blockchain works by looking at its front-end alone.

The best way to describe blockchain technology is via an analogy…

Imagine a collection of people (nodes) connected by a peer-to-peer network they all possess access to.

Each person has a ledger book (a permanent, public record of all the transactions that take place on the network), and every time someone wants to make a transaction or record one in their ledger, they must first present it to everyone else so everyone can read and mathematically verify it.

Once everything checks out, each person updates their own ledgers with what has been written down.

As soon as this happens, each node checks to see if anyone has rejected the entry — if no one did, it is complete!

If someone did, this entire process starts over again until there is consensus across all nodes.

How is a Blockchain Different from a Typical Database?

A typical database is more vulnerable to data breaches and hacking because it is centralized, meaning all the data is stored in one place.

On the other hand, a blockchain is decentralized, meaning the data is spread across multiple computers across the decentralized network.

This makes it much more difficult for hackers to access and tamper with the data.

Why is Blockchain Technology Popular?

Blockchain technology is popular because it is seen as a more secure and transparent way to store and share data.

In theory, blockchain technology is highly secure as it is impossible to hack into multiple nodes at once without significant resources.

It also provides transparency by ensuring all records are shared with everyone on the network while preventing any tampering through encryption keys that change with every block of information added to the chain.

This makes it ideal for storing sensitive information like financial transactions.

Plus, since blockchain is decentralized, there is no need for third-party regulatory authorities like a government or bank to verify or approve transactions.

This makes the process faster and more efficient.

As we make our way to ‘Web 3.0’, one of the most popular applications of blockchain technology today is in the form of non-fungible tokens (NFTs).

NFTs are digital assets that are unique and cannot be replicated. They can be used to represent anything from art and collectibles to digital experiences and gaming items.

Because of their unique nature, NFTs have become extremely popular in recent years. In 2021 alone, the market for NFTs surpassed USD 40 Billion.

How to Process Transactions on a Blockchain?

Blockchain-based systems use what is called a hash function to encrypt transaction data. A hash function is a mathematical algorithm that takes input data of any size and converts it into output data of a fixed size.

The output of a hash function is commonly referred to as a hash or hash value.

In a blockchain, every transaction is stored in a block.

Each block has its own cryptographic hash and timestamp, as well as other data that may be specific to that block.

The blocks are stacked on top of each other, creating a digital ledger or chain of blocks.

This process is done through cryptography, which provides security and tamper-proofing for every block in the chain.

The hash from each block is used to create another cryptographic hash for each subsequent block, forming an unbroken chain and linking it all together.

For a new block to be added to the chain, miners must solve a complex mathematical problem.

This problem is known as the proof of work. Once a miner solves the proof of work, they can add the new block to the chain and they are rewarded in cryptocurrency for doing so.

The pieces of data stored in one block cannot be changed without changing all subsequent blocks; doing so would invalidate all following hashes and require massive amounts of computing power just to make a single change.

Types of Blockchains

Blockchain networks can be either public or private.

A public blockchain network is a decentralized network that anyone can join.

Bitcoin and Ethereum are examples of public blockchain networks.

A private blockchain network is a permissioned network where only approved participants can join.

Private blockchain networks are often used by businesses to create shared databases.

There is also a federated or consortium blockchain. In this type of blockchain, there is no one central authority.

Instead, a group of companies or organizations (known as a consortium) come together to form the network.

Each member of the consortium operates a node and has a vote in decision-making.

This type of blockchain is often used in industries where multiple parties must securely share data or conduct transactions, such as banking or supply chain management.

How to Invest in Blockchains?

There are several ways to make your first blockchain investment.

The most common way is to buy Bitcoin or Ethereum on a cryptocurrency exchange such as Coinbase or Binance.

Alternatively, you can purchase blockchain-based security on a traditional stock exchange, such as the Nasdaq.

Finally, you can invest in a blockchain startup through an initial coin offering (ICO) or a token sale.

When it comes to investing in blockchain technology, there are a few things you should keep in mind:

  • The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. This means that prices can fluctuate wildly from day to day, and you could lose a significant amount of money if you are not careful.
  • You should only invest as much money as you are comfortable losing. Remember, there is always a risk of losing your entire investment when dealing with cryptocurrencies.
  • Finally, make sure you do your research before investing in any blockchain-based project. There are a lot of scams out there, and it is important to know what you are getting yourself into before putting any money down.

 

What are the Implications of Blockchain Technology?

As the technology behind Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, blockchain has the potential to revolutionize the way we interact with the digital world.

With its distributed ledger system, blockchain offers a new way of storing and verifying data that is more secure and transparent than traditional methods.

In addition, blockchain could help reduce fraudulent activities, such as identity theft and money laundering.

Ultimately, this could lead to a more efficient and trustworthy online ecosystem.

Concluding Thoughts on Blockchain

Overall, blockchain technology is a way to store and transmit information in a secure, decentralized manner.

Blockchain technology can provide greater transparency and security for online transactions by using a distributed database.

Additionally, blockchain technology has the potential to streamline many business processes and reduce costs.

However, the full potential of blockchain technology has yet to be realized.

As the technology continues to evolve, we can expect to see even more innovative applications of blockchain technology in the future.

Now that you know a little more about how blockchain technology works, what do you think of it?

Do you think it has the potential to revolutionize our financial ecosystem?

And besides the finance world, what other real-world applications do you foresee it being used for?

Let me know in the comments below!

 

thumbnail the ultimate guide to blockchain and crypto assets

If you would like to learn more about crypto & DeFi, also check out: “The Ultimate Guide to Blockchain & Cryptocurrencies”

Milan Italy

The latest CPI data showed that inflation was almost flat for the month of July, which suggested the possibility that inflation had peaked, and might be turning down soon. But is this scenario likely?

Since there are so many factors that affect inflation, it is really impossible to tell at this point, so a simple way is to wait for the next 2-3 months and see if the CPI continues to make new lows, or proceeds to make new highs.

Because long-term trends like these take months or years to play out, so trying to predict the trend using 1 month of data is not very useful.

If we look at risk assets like stocks and crypto, they have all rallied a lot since the lows, so I’m not sure how much more they can go from these levels even if the Fed decides to keep the current interest rate levels at status quo.

This is because the impact of increased interest rates are still gradually taking effect throughout the economy, and might lead to further bearish impact. And the Fed is also unlikely to start cutting rates so soon either.

At this point I am more inclined to look for potential shorting opportunities in the stock market, but I will not pull the trigger until the trade signals are given.

Stay tuned!

 

Milan Italy

[Photo: Milan, Italy – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 110822

On the forex front, the USD has weakened considerably in recent weeks, which is why I hedged my USD exposure by diversifying in these other currencies.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 110822

This AUDUSD trade is almost 400 pips profit! ????

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 110822

This NZDUSD trade is now 300+ pips profit! ????

 

Trading Signals USDCHF 110822

This USDCHF trade is now 150+ pips profit in the money! ????

 

Trading Signals ICLN 090822

Keeping an eye on the Clean Energy ETF (ICLN) weekly chart as a potential long-term investment, since the US is looking to reduce its reliance on oil.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 090822

Not much change on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), so we need to exercise patience and not act rashly if the market is not moving much. If price start breaking lower, we can get ready to short.

 

Trading Signals economy 080822

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/08/the-michael-scott-economy/

 

Trading Signals stock news 110822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/feds-inflation-battle-is-far-from-won-11660144110

 

Trading Signals Bed Bath and Beyond News 090822

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/08/bed-bath-beyond-shares-jump-30percent-as-message-board-mentions-soar.html

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 110822

Looking at Ethereum (ETHUSD), the short and medium term trend is actually pretty bullish, with prices above the 20 and 50 EMA.

We can also see where the 20 and 50 EMA crossed over in the red circle.

As long as the momentum is bullish, I would avoid going short, and either stay out, or take small swing trades (buying on pullbacks and selling after small moves).

Do note that prices are still below the 200-EMA, hence long term trend is still bearish, and I have not switched into aggressive accumulation mode.

 

Trading Signals crypto news 100822

https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2022/08/07/opening-the-floodgates-crypto-braced-for-a-10-trillion-earthquake-as-the-price-of-bitcoin-ethereum-bnb-xrp-solana-cardano-and-dogecoin-swing/

 

Trading Signals Fatman Terra 110822

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Berlin Germany

Over the last 3-4 weeks, we have seen an impressive rally in the stock market, with the main US stock indices rallying 15-20% from the recent lows.

However, in the long run, the Fed is planning to continue raising interest rates, which is bearish for stocks, so I am not sure how long more this rally can sustain.

Personally I have decided to take some small short positions, to see if the market starts tipping over. I have also placed alerts to tell me when the downtrend resumes so that I can add more short positions.

Stayed tuned for more updates in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Berlin Germany

[Photo: Brandenburg Gate, Berlin, Germany – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 030822

Portfolio Updates (03 Aug 2022)

Very defensive portfolio now, since most markets have rallied within a bear trend, and it is not clear if the rebound will continue or the bear trend will resume.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 020822

USD continues to weaken, with other currencies starting to gain strength.

 

Trading Signals AUDUSD 020822

AUDUSD trade is also in the money, up 200+ pips profit! ????

 

Trading Signals GBPUSD 020822

GBPUSD trade is in the money, up 300+ pips profit! ????

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 020822

NZDUSD trade is also in the money, up 150+ pips profit! ????

 

Trading Signals USDCHF 020822

USDCHF has broken a major support level, we might see prices heading lower.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 020822

Now that the first TP for Gold (XAUUSD) is hit, it is a good idea to take at least half profits or full profits, because price is at a strong resistance level. ????

 

Trading Signals GTC 020822

The commodities ETF (GCC) looks like it might be resuming its downward swing soon.

 

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals REET 030822

Looking at the global REIT ETF (REET), I have decided to take a small short position, with a stop above the prior swing high.

 

Trading Signals US100 020822

The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is currently at a crucial price level, bear the top of the channel and at resistance.

We will need to see which way it breaks out from. I am about 65% bearish and 35% bullish.

I have placed price alerts so we will know once it breaks out from either side, and I will likely go short if it breaks the swing low.

 

Trading Signals US100 050822

The NASDAQ 100 (US100) has reached the top of the trend channel, and is also at the 200-EMA.

It has rallied an impressive 21% since the low in June. But is this a bull trap?

I am hesitant to go long at this price level, so I will watch and wait a while more. I will also want to see some bearish price action before going short.

 

Trading Signals market inflation 030822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-fear-stock-market-rally-will-be-short-lived-11659304749

 

Trading Signals tech stocks 010822

https://www.wsj.com/articles/individual-investors-ramp-up-bets-on-tech-stocks-11659221897

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 020822

Looking at Ethereum (ETHUSD), the trend for crypto is not very clear, so I will be staying out and waiting for a better opportunity.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Zakopane Poland

Last week, the stock and crypto market continued to rally, despite the rate hikes by the Fed, and the mixed bag of company earnings.

If this is indeed a bear market rally (aka. temporary rebound), stocks have gone up 10-20% from the lows, while crypto has gone up 30-100% from the lows.

We seem to have a strange situation where there is a lot of bad news – inflation, rate hikes, recession, bad earnings, companies firing staff, higher oil prices, war, etc, but the markets seem to keep rebounding higher.

So could it be a case where the experts are wrong and the market has already bottomed, or is this rally simply a bull trap before another sell-down?

Stay tuned for more real-time updates and trading opportunities in my “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Zakopane Poland

[Photo: Zakopane, Poland – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 290722

Portfolio Updates (29 Jul 2022)

 

portfolio update 300722

Portfolio Updates (30 Jul 2022)

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals strength 300722

USD seems to have weakened in recent weeks, relative to other currencies.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 280722

USDSGD Crossing 1.38216
US Dollar vs. Singapore Dollar
Reached bottom of trend channel

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 300722

After hitting the target at the bottom of the channel, the USDSGD looks like it might resume the uptrend.

I have set the alert to trigger once it breaks a new swing high.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 220722

Now that Gold (XAUUSD) has hit strong support, we could see a rebound.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals futures 270722

Stock Futures Rise Ahead of Fed Decision.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-07-27-2022-11658907223

 

Trading Signals inflation 280722

Markets largely expected the move after Fed officials telegraphed the increase in a series of statements since the June meeting. Stocks hit their highs after Fed Chair Jerome Powell left the door open about its next move at the September meeting, saying it would depend on the data. Central bankers have emphasized the importance of bringing down inflation even if it means slowing the economy.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/27/fed-decision-july-2022-.html

 

Trading Signals stock news 2 300722

The S&P just had a record two-day, post-Fed meeting rally, gaining nearly 4% today and yesterday. The second biggest post-Fed rally was in March, followed by the meeting in August 1971.

 

Trading Signals stock news 300722

https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-07-29-2022-11659080320

 

Trading Signals US100 230722

For stocks the direction of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) is also not very clear, so in times like this it is best to close positions and stay out, especially since there will be rate hikes next week.

I have placed alerts on this chart so we will know the moment prices break up or down.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 220722 1

Does Ethereum (ETHUSD) look like a potential rising 3 methods pattern?

 

trading signals rising 3 methods

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 260722

Decided to take some short positions on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD), let’s see how it turns out!

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD question 260722

SL on the chart is hit, I think now it’s bullish.

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 280722

After the failed downside breakout of Ethereum (ETHUSD), it now looks bullish. Can consider taking a small long position instead.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!