Tag Archive for: how to trade

the 3Ms of trading

The 3Ms of Trading are Methodology, Money Management, and Mindset, and they each play a crucial role in your success in trading.

As a trader, you will need to master all 3 Ms, but you also need to know the relative importance of each factor.

In this post, I will explain how each factor affects your trading success, and which factors you should be focusing on to improve your trading.

3Ms of Trading

 

What to Focus on in Trading?

Having studied many professional traders, I found that there are 3 crucial factors that have led to their success.

All these market wizards have found success because they have understood and mastered the 3Ms of trading – Method, Money and Mindset.

Method (methodology): Process by which a trader enters into the market, using either technical or fundamental inputs to make their decision

Money (risk management): This includes capital allocation, risk parameters (drawdown limits), risk-to-reward calculations (entry price, profit target, stoploss)

Mindset (psychology): Market psychology the most important part of trading, and determines how well you can execute your trading plan in the markets in real time

To many new traders who know of these 3Ms, they tend to make the mistake of giving equal weightage to all 3 parts (refer to above), or even worse, almost 100% weightage to the “Method”.

The psychology (mindset) is the hardest part of trading because emotions like greed and fear run wild once your money is at stake in the market.

Hence, your degree of rational analysis is only limited to how well you can manage your psychology.

Without the execution, the plan is useless. The money and risk management is also essential because it ensures your survival and consistency in the markets.

After all, the number one rule is capital preservation.

“Don’t focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.” – Paul Tudor Jones

 

Methodology (10% Focus)

Methodology refers to your method of analysis, your strategy, your setups, basically the basis on which you make your buying and selling decisions.

As we will be covering in greater detail in other blog posts, I will not be elaborating too much on this here.

For now, all you need to know is that the most common tools used to make such decisions are technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or some combination of both.

Money Management (30% Focus)

Money management, or risk management, refers to how well you use your trading capital, to maximize your returns, while at the same time minimizing your risk.

This includes your capital allocation per trade, such as the 2% money management rule, and also things like risk paramaters for each trade, such as maximum drawdown limits.

This means that for each trade, you will need to decide on the entry price (EP), stoploss price (SL), and target profit (TP) before you make each trade, so that you will be able to calculate the reward-to-risk (RR) ratio to decide whether it is worth taking the trade.

reward to risk ratio

To be profitable in trading, all you need is a good balance between the win ratio (aka. hitrate) and the reward to risk ratio, to ensure that you have a net positive expectation on every trade.

For example, if you have a 40% win ratio, and your reward/risk ratio is 2, you will still end up net profitable in the long run.

 

mathematics behind trading

Mindset (60% Focus)

The mindset, or trading psychology, is definitely the most important aspect of trading, and it is also the hardest to master.

This will determine how well you can make good decisions under stress, and consistently execute your trading plan without getting swayed by emotions.

Thinking accurately requires a certain level of self-awareness, so that we can avoid any behavioral biases that skew our rational thinking and decision-making process.

 

Summary

In conclusion, to be successful in trading, you need to master all the 3Ms, but the problem for most traders is they only tend to focus on 1 or 2 factors, and neglect the rest.

As a result, they might become very good at analysing charts (methodology), but remain poor at money management and trading psychology.

To improve your trading, the faster way to do so is to work on whatever you are weakest at, because that has the most room for improvement.

Now that I have shared the 3 important elements of trading, which do you think you are lacking the most, and will have the biggest impact on your trading if you work on improving it?

Let me know in the comments below.

 

thumbnail beginner guide to trading and TA

If you would like to learn how to get started in trading, also check out: “The Beginner’s Guide to Trading & Technical Analysis”

How to Start Trading for Beginners 1

On a day to day basis, the price of every financial product moves up and down, for example you hear about stock prices moving up, or oil prices crashing, for different currencies appreciating or deprecating against one another.

At its core, learning how to trade is simply being able to make a profit from capturing these price moves.

If you buy a stock and it moves up, and you sell it at a higher price, you would have captured that price move and made a profit.

Do this multiple times successfully, and you would be able to make a full-time living off it.

Of course, not every trade is going to be profitable, because sometimes you might get it wrong.

But after making say 50-100 trades, if you are able to consistently make money, then it means you might have a winning trading system for how to trade in the markets.

If you have ever been to a casino, you will know that over the long run you will lose money because the odds are against you.

Although the casino’s edge is very small, over the long run and over a large number of transactions, it adds up to huge profits.

Knowing how to trade is somewhat similar.

If you can find an edge (through your analysis), exploit it over a large number of trades (money management), and can do it consistently without letting your emotions get in the way (mindset), then you will have a chance to become very successful in trading.

 

thumbnail beginner guide to trading and TA

If you would like to learn how to get started in trading, also check out: “The Beginner’s Guide to Trading & Technical Analysis”

Warning to Beginners Avoid the Indicator Trap

It is easy to see why retail traders find indicators appealing because of their ease of use and clear-cut signals. In fact, many new traders think they know all about trading because they have learnt a few basic indicators that generate simplistic buy/sell signals. This kind of thinking is dangerous because it shuts them off from learning real trading skills like price action and behavioral analysis.

 

Indicator Trap

 

What are indicators and how are they derived?

There are only five pieces of information we can get from charts: the open, high, low, close and volume. A skilled trader can interpret this in terms of market behaviour of psychology instead of processing it as a bunch of numbers. Indicators, on the other hand, attempt to use shortcut calculations to give meaning to these numbers. As a result, they can never be faster than reading the actual raw data. Manipulating data may also mask its information quality and granularity, causing you to miss out essential essential details.

Do professionals use them?

The answer is minimally. If you go to any bank/fund or professional trading arcade, and observe the traders who trade there, you will notice that their charts are mostly blank. This is not coincidence, because such a chart setup is optimised for reading price action, with as little distractions as possible. If you don’t believe me, go check it out yourself. As said by the famous Leonardo Da Vinci, “Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”

The dangers of using indicators without real trading skills

Many traders, especially beginners, are drawn to indicators, hoping that an indicator will show them when to enter a trade. what they don’t realise it that the vast majority of indicators are based on simple price action. Oscillators tend to make traders look for reversals and divergences, and when the market is trending strongly (best chances to make money), they will be repeatly entering counter-trend and losing money. By the time they come to accept that the market is trending, it will be too late to get a good entry to recoup their losses. Instead, if you were simply looking at a blank chart, it would be obvious when a market is trending, and would not be tempted by indicators to keep looking for reversals.

Common heuristics such as “buy when this line crosses this line” or “sell when this is in the overbought region” are some overly simplistic ways of using indicators. Trading in this manner does not give you any understanding about the market. It does not answer the “why” question, such as why this line crossing that line generates a buy signal. Quite often, one may also get conflicting signals from different indicators, and without an understanding of price action, one has no way of resolving the conflict.

Are indicators really needed for your decision-making?

Some pundits recommend a combination of time frames, indicators, wave counting, and Fibonacci retracements and extensions, but when it comes time to place the trade, they will only do it if there is a good price action setup. Also, when they see a good price action setup, they start looking for indicators that show divergences or different time frames for moving average tests or wave counts or Fibonacci setups to confirm what is in front of them.

In reality, they are price action traders who are trading exclusively off price action but don’t feel comfortable admitting it. They are complicating their trading to the point that they certainly are missing many, many trades because their over-analysis takes too much time, and they are forced to wait for the next setup. The logic just isn’t there for making the simple so complicated.

So… Should I be using indicators at all?

The best solution for the retail investor would be to first master a firm foundation of price action and behavioral analysis, and subsequently, should he choose to use indicators, should remember that as their name suggests, they are not “entry/exit signallers”, but merely “indicators”.

Therefore, it is a matter of how you use indicators, and one should always keep in mind that indicators are there to aid you in reading the price action, and not act as a substitute for it. You can think of indicators as the training wheels of a bicycle – you will want to remove them once you learn how to ride properly.

Trading always involves uncertainty, and trying to find comfort in the certainty of indicators will lead to constant indecision, second-guessing and parameters-tweaking.

 

thumbnail beginner guide to trading and TA

If you would like to learn how to get started in trading, also check out: “The Beginner’s Guide to Trading & Technical Analysis”