Last week, we saw a surge in the USD and CAD, and continued weakness in the JPY. This caused many of our existing positions to hit our profit target, allowing us to lock in profits. Soon, I will be posting the newest forex opportunities in the signals chat.

The stock markets continue to decline as predicted, with a few bull traps (small rallies) to lure in “value investors”, before breaking to new lows. Since I am net short, this means that the more the market goes down, the more profits we make on our positions.

The crypto markets are exhibiting choppy sideways movement, which is great for swing trading. It also allows me to hedge my long-term investment positions, which have made me additional profits while waiting for the long-term bull trend to resume.

 

[Photo:  Sarajevo, Bosnia & Herzegovina – See my full travel photo log!

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

• Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
• US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
• Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Forex Market Highlights

Currency comparisons

 

Product: Forex
Name: Aussie Dollar vs Canadian Dollar
Ticker: AUDCAD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Small rising wedge (bearish) after running into major resistance at the top of the wide range.

EP: 0.938
SL: 0.953
TP: 0.918, 0.900

“Took profit at 0.918. Thanks for the call!”

 

 

Product: Forex
Name: Aussie Dollar vs Canadian Dollar
Ticker: AUDCAD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up on this, our first TP has been hit and it is now 295 pips in the money! ????

EP: 0.938
SL: 0.953
TP: 0.918, 0.900

 

Product: Forex
Name: US Dollar / SG Dollar
Ticker: USDSGD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up from the last analysis, it has finally hit our TP, netting a profit of 378 pips! ????

The next possible level to look at is $1.400.

EP: 1.370 to 1.375, or any pullbacks
SL: 1.365
TP: Near 1.400

 

Commodities Market Highlights

Product: Commodity Index Fund
Name: WisdomTree Enhanced
Ticker: GCC
Exchange: NYSE

Analysis: Looking at the weekly charts for a change to see the long-term trends, I realise this has gone up 130% since the bottom, and is now at the top of the large trend channel.

I have closed about 1/3 of my long positions, and will continue to monitor to see if the uptrend ends.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Product: Bond ETF
Name: ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Ticker: TLT
Exchange: NASDAQ

Analysis: Looking at the long-term weekly chart of this bond ETF, it seems to be at a major support level.

Is it possible that the market has already fully priced in all potential future rate increases for this cycle?

Not starting to buy yet, just giving a heads-up while keeping an eye on it.

 

Product: US Stock Index
Name: NASDAQ 100
Ticker: US100
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up on the Nasdaq, prices have finally hit our TP! ????

With prices making new lows, it is likely the downtrend will continue.

The next major support is around 12400, let’s see how prices react once it gets there.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Closing some of my hedges (taking profit) for BTC and ETH! ????

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get 5-10 signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

With various financial markets in the decline, we are now in “risk-off” mode, and the key idea is to play defensive, not offensive.

In this week’s special edition, I have done a comprehensive comparative analysis of various asset classes, as well as various stock sectors, to see which are the leaders and laggards.

And most importantly, I have also shared my full current portfolio allocation, and my strategic reasons for such an approach.

So far, it has worked pretty well, giving me a YTD positive return, while most financial markets are in the red.

[Photo:  Brod, Kosovo – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

• Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
• US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
• Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Portfolio Highlights

Currently, this is quite a defensive portfolio given the current market conditions, and had managed to stay positive even as most markets have crashed this year.

? Bulk of returns come from yield farming, which gives about 60% returns.

? About 44% is in cash, which is ready to be deployed once the crash is over and the dust has settled.

? Still bullish on crypto and commodities in the long term.

? Net short on stocks since they are currently in a downtrend. As stocks continue to fall, I will reduce the commodities allocation as well, because it will be the next in line to fall.

 

Comparison of various asset classes for 2022 (YTD):

? GCC (commodities ETF) is my best performer, up about 25% this year, and up about 50% from last year lows.

? Have closed and taken profits on my TLT (bonds) short position, which has dropped about 15% this year, and about 30% from last year highs.

? Tech related ETFs like 3067 (China tech), METV (Metaverse), ARKG, ARKK are some of the worst performers this year. I currently hold a small percentage of ARKK and ARKG, buying in small amounts as they drop further.

? I have hedged by shorting main stock indices like US100 and US500, so overall I am net negative in stocks. The reason for this is I feel high growth stocks have already dropped about 70% from ATHs, whereas NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 have only dropped about 20+% from ATHs.

? Some of my other stock ETFs are doing ok, like PPA (weapons) and CIBR (cybersecurity).

Going forward, will need to be more selective in picking the right asset class and even sub asset class.

 

Forex Market Highlights

With stock markets crashing, it is now back to “risk-on” mode, where flight to safety to gold and USD occurs. (Correction: Should be “risk-off” mode.)

 

Commodities Market Highlights

Following up on GCC, it has broken out of the symmetrical triangle and started to head up.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Comparing the various stock sectors within the US stock market, from top to bottom:

XLE = energy (+37.81%)
XLU = utilities
XLP = consumer staples

XLB = materials
XLV = healthcare
XLRE = real estate
XLI = industrial
XLF = financial

US500 = S&P 500
XLY = consumer discretionary
XLK = technology
XLC = communication services
XBI = biotech (-29.70%)

 

Many stock counters have started making new lows, or are very close, such as:
– Adobe
– AMD
– Coinbase
– Disney
– Meta
– Google
– Microsoft
– Netflix
– Nvidia
– Roblox
– Sea
– Shopify
– Snap
– Snowflake
– Twilio
– Uber
– Zoom

Many of these would be good short trades, alternatively you can just short the stock indices.

 

On the other end, the strongest stocks on my list are:
– Apple
– Johnson & Johnson
– Coca Cola
– Mastercard
– Visa
– Tesla

Seems like the tech stocks are the ones getting slaughtered, whereas those more related to consumables or retail services are doing better.

 

Product: US Stock Index
Name: NASDAQ 100
Ticker: US100
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up on the Nasdaq, prices have continued to fall as predicted, which is why I am currently net short on stocks.

I won’t be surprised if prices test the previous swing low or make new lows, so I won’t be going long until the strong bearish momentum comes to a stop.

EP: 14689, or on pullbacks
SL: 15311
TP: 13018+

Crypto Market Highlights

Following up on Ethereum (ETHUSD), it has pulled back to the $3000 level as predicted, and when it recently tried to break lower, price was immediately rejected and it closed back above $3000.

This is a bullish sign, and may be a good signal that the short-term trend is turning bullish, and ready to resume moving upwards.

 

Product: Cryptocurrency
Name: Ethereum
Ticker: ETHUSD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up, Ethereum is trading in a small range hovering around the $3000 support.

From here, I see 2 possible scenarios:

1. Break out from here and head up

2. Break down to test the $2800 level near the trendline support, before heading up.

At this point, I would still be net long, but reduce/hedge my positions slightly so that I can buy more should it dip down to $2800.

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get 5-10 signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!