Lima Peru

Last week, our focus shifted from crypto and stocks to the forex market, where several strong trending moves were taking place.

Stocks and crypto have been moving largely in tandem, and are currently having a rebound against the larger downtrend.

How long will this rebound last, and when will the downtrend continue?

Stay tuned on our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel to find out!

 

Lima Peru

[Photo: Lima, Peru – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals Strength Currency 030622

With oil and commodities on an uptrend, it is no surprise the commodity-linked currencies are at the top.

 

Trading Signals GBPCAD 030622

Product: Forex
Name: British Pound / Canadian Dollar
Ticker: GBPCAD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: The strong downtrend continues after a small pullback. We can try to continue riding the trend.

EP: Current price, or on pullbacks
SL: 1.599
TP: 1.532

 

Trading Signals AUDJPY 030622

Product: Forex
Name: Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen
Ticker: AUDJPY
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: There was a nice pullback to the support level in the form on a large bull flag.

Though it is a bit late because price has moved quite a bit from the flag breakout point, we can still look to enter on pullbacks.

EP: Enter on pullbacks
SL: 91.00
TP: 99.00

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals Oil News 310522

https://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-prices-hit-two-month-high-as-china-eases-lockdowns-11653933068

 

Trading Signals tech dead 300522

 

Trading Signals US100 020622

Product: US Stock Index
Name: NASDAQ 100
Ticker: US100
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: The rebound is pretty strong, and on this 4-hour chart, it has formed a double bottom, broke out, and formed a bull flag at the breakout point.

We can consider taking a short-term trade by going long now with a tight stoploss.

EP: Current price
SL: $12420
TP: $13520

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get 5-10 signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals stocks 120322

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Last weekend, we conducted another online workshop on the basics of trading and investing, and since it is a SkillsFuture Credit-Eligible Course, participants could use their SkillsFuture credits to pay for the course instead of cash.

Thanks for the support! ?

During the 9 hours of training, participants learnt portfolio strategies to build and protect their wealth, as well as trading skills like market-timing, chart-reading and risk management to improve their trading results.

Here is some of the feedback and learning points from participants, after our hands-on market analysis session to find trading opportunities in the market.

If you are keen to learn more using your SkillsFuture credits, you can check out our courses:

P.S. To ensure optimal learning, we have capped the maximum class size.

Register early to avoid disappointment!

 

skillsfuture feedback 310522 1 skillsfuture feedback 310522 2

Seljalandsfoss Hvolsvollur Iceland

Last week, we saw a continuation of the existing trends, but since these trends have been running for quite a while, it is likely we will have a short-term rebound, even if the longer-term trends remain intact.

We saw weakness in the USD, and strength in commodities like good, oil, agriculture, etc. This is in line with the inflationary pressures we have been observing.

The most interesting thing is the rebound in stock prices, but it is likely only temporary before the major downtrend continues.

Crypto markets are facing huge weakness after the Luna/UST saga, and have somewhat decoupled from stocks for the last week.

 

Seljalandsfoss Hvolsvollur Iceland
[Photo: Seljalandsfoss, Hvolsvöllur, Iceland – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals Currencies Strength 260522

Currencies strength update

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 270522

Product: Forex
Name: US Dollar / SG Dollar
Ticker: USDSGD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up on this, after hitting the TP near the top, it has come back down, and is now setting up a trading opportunity in the opposite direction.

EP: current price
SL: 1.3786
TP: 1.355 to 1.350

 

Trading Signals WTIUSD 270522

Product: Commodities
Name: Crude Oil
Ticker: WTIUSD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: With the decrease in supply due to the Russian-Ukraine war, oil prices are steadily heading up after the initial spike. It is possible that it could test new highs.

EP: current price, or on pullbacks
SL: $110
TP: $130, or new highs!

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 270522

Product: Commodities
Name: Gold (spot)
Ticker: XAUUSD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: With the USD falling and markets facing uncertainty, this could be bullish for gold.

EP: current price
SL: $1835
TP: $1905, $1990, $2060

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals bond news 220522

https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-dare-to-dip-back-into-bonds-11653080577

 

Trading Signals Davos Market News 270522

“Here [in Davos] everybody’s pessimistic,” says Standard Chartered Chairman José Viñals. “But when I ask them how their business is doing, the picture is wonderful. It may be that the business reality catches up with the [very negative] macro-political reality.”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/davos-elite-cant-agree-about-the-economy-and-neither-can-markets-11653568913

 

Trading Signals US100 270522

Product: US Stock Index
Name: NASDAQ 100
Ticker: US100
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Updating the trade parameters since the previous TP has already been hit.

Prices are having a small rebound but there is still a higher chance of prices going down further after the rebound.

So far, NASDAQ has corrected 30% from ATHs while S&P 500 has corrected 20%. That is still very small compared to the run up for the past 10-20 years.

EP: Current price, or on pullbacks
SL: $12750
TP: $11540, $11000

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 270522

Product: Cryptocurrency
Name: Ethereum
Ticker: ETHUSD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up, Ethereum is now at the critical price level. Our trade call remains the same.

If prices break below this level, then it will be quite dangerous. The overall price pattern does not look that bullish.

On the other hand, when we look at the long-term weekly chart, we can see 8 consecutive weeks of price decline, which suggests at least a potential technical rebound.

The weekly 200-EMA also provides some potential support. The weekly RSI is also very near the oversold zone.

In short, the trend is uncertain but there is a high chance of a rebound in the short/medium-term.

EP: Current price
SL: $1650
TP: $2600+

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get 5-10 signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals stocks 120322

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Tugela falls south africa

Last week, the stock market continued to fall, so we continued to hold onto our short positions. I am not sure how much more it will fall, so I will just use a trailing stoploss to lock in profits as it continues to fall.

We also decided to add some long-term bond positions, since bond prices have dropped significantly, and we profited from our shorts on the way down.

Crypto remains a wild card, so I am holding a small position (with lots of cash on the side to add more later on), while waiting for a clearer bullish sign to appear.

Overall, we are thankful our portfolio is positive for this year, given the many wild fluctuations in various markets. This is the importance of diversified portfolio allocation, and not putting all your eggs into one basket (one asset class).

 

Tugela falls south africa

[Photo:  Tugela Falls, South Africa – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 200522

Portfolio updates:

? Still holding a lot of cash because now is the time to play safe and make small gains instead of swinging big.

? Overall still net long crypto and net short stocks, but started buying up growth stocks that have gone down the most.

? Decided to take a long position in bonds which is a bit contrarian since most people are expecting interest rates to go up and bonds to go lower. But I have already profited a lot from the move down from the top, so I am willing to start accumulating at this price.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals Commodities 200522

Wheat, corn, soybean, rapeseed and palm oil prices have rallied since Russia invaded Ukraine, with wheat and corn prices up around 60% and 30%, respectively, since the beginning of 2022.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-a-sour-market-agricultural-commodities-are-still-tasty-11652961848

 

Trading Signals WEAT 190522

Product: Commodity Index Fund
Name: Teucrium Wheat Fund
Ticker: WEAT
Exchange: NYSE

“The Fund is an actively managed, long only, diversified agricultural ETF that provides futures price exposure to corn, wheat, soybean, and sugar markets.”

Analysis: Looking at the long-term weekly charts, the ongoing war and inflation has driven prices up.

EP: $11 to $13
SL: $10
TP: $17+

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals Compare Stock Market 1 200522

Comparing all the stocks in my watchlist against the S&P 500. Thinking if I should start buying some of the worst performers to hold for the long run.

 

Trading Signals Compare Stock Market 200522

Comparing the various stock sectors within the US stock market, from top to bottom:

XLE = energy (+47.53%)
XLU = utilities
XLP = consumer staples
XLB = materials
XLV = healthcare
XLI = industrial
XLF = financial
US500 = S&P 500 (-18.13%)
XLRE = real estate
XLK = technology
XLC = communication services
XLY = consumer discretionary
XBI = biotech (-38.94%)

 

Trading Signals Stock Market Top heavy 200522

Eight companies are to blame for nearly half the stock market’s decline this year—and the pain doesn’t end there.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-market-is-top-heavy-but-carnage-is-widespread-11652935180

 

Trading Signals TLT Bond ETF 190522

Product: Bond ETF
Name: ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Ticker: TLT
Exchange: NASDAQ

Analysis: Looking at the long-term weekly charts, it has dipped into the oversold area on the RSI, which suggests at least a medium-term rebound.

Further interest rate increases are generally bearish for bonds, but it is hard to say how much “predicted increase” has already been priced in.

EP: Current price
SL: $112
TP: $145+

 

Trading Signals Twitter 180522

Product: US Stock
Name: Twitter
Ticker: TWTR
Exchange: NYSE

Analysis: Keeping an eye on this to see if the deal goes through.

Price is in a downward sloping channel.

The original offer price was $54.20, making the current price about a 30% discount. (if the deal does go through and at the original price.)

 

Crypto Market Highlights

 

Trading Signals best yields crypto 200522

Best yields in the crypto bear market

https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/best-yields-in-the-crypto-bear-market

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get 5-10 signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals stocks 120322

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Yellowstone National Park Wyoming USA

Last week, the biggest news dominating the headlines is the depegging of UST and the crash of Terra LUNA token, which went from a high of $100+ to almost $0 in a few days.

This caused a lot of funds as well as retail investors to lose significant sums of money, especially since many were staking UST on Anchor protocol for 20% APY, which seemed like a very good deal.

I mentioned during my last Skillsfuture course that the risk of depeg was real, and they should either hedge it (by shorting the UST perp futures), or switch to some better yield farming strategies with much better returns and lower risk. Hence, I managed to dodge this bullet by not having any exposure to UST or LUNA.

Overall, I have the bulk of my portfolio in cash, with a net short position on equities.

For the week ahead, I have posted in my “Daily Trading Signals” some potential buying opportunities in the stock market.

 

Yellowstone National Park Wyoming USA

[Photo:  Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming, USA – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals portfolio 100522

In the past few weeks, we have seen huge declines in various markets, and thankfully the bulk of my portfolio is market neutral (not affected by market movements).

Yield farming continues to generate returns, while crypto losses (which are sometimes hedged) are balanced by gains in the stock market (net short position), so overall my portfolio is still positive.

There are also gains from the appreciation of the USD (against the SGD), since the bulk of my portfolio is in USD assets.

Now, the strategy is to continue to ride on the downtrend (swing trade and hedging), while waiting for the dust to settle so that I can buy more stocks/crypto when the times comes.

 

Forex Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength 110522

USD remains on top, as it is viewed as a safe haven when everything else is crashing.

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 100522

Product: Forex
Name: US Dollar / SG Dollar
Ticker: USDSGD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up from the last analysis, it has resumed the uptrend after pulling back to test the breakout level.

EP: 1.370 to 1.375, or any pullbacks
SL: 1.365
TP: Near 1.400

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals REET 070522

Product: REIT ETF
Name: iShares Global REIT ETF
Ticker: REET
Exchange: NYSE

Analysis: With interest rates heading up, it is no surprise REITs are heading down.

After breaking down from a long consolidation rectangle, prices are expected to reverse to a downtrend.

EP: Current price, or on pullbacks
SL: $27.50
TP: $23.50 to $24.50

 

Trading Signals US100 070522

Product: US Stock Index
Name: NASDAQ 100
Ticker: US100
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up on this, last night it broke new lows and continued heading down as predicted. Getting pretty close to the first TP.

EP: Current price, or on pullbacks
SL: $13,635
TP: $12,400, $11,000

 

Trading Signals US100 100522

Product: US Stock Index
Name: NASDAQ 100
Ticker: US100
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Following up on this, the first TP has been hit! ????

Now, it looks like it can continue heading downwards to get to the 2nd TP.

EP: Current price, or on pullbacks
SL: $13,635
TP: $12,400, $11,000

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHPERP 100522

Taking some profits from Ethereum (ETH) hedging short positions! ????

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 100522

Product: Cryptocurrency
Name: Ethereum
Ticker: ETHUSD
Exchange: N/A

Analysis: Initially I thought that crypto might be able to break free of the correlation with tech stocks, but it seems for now they still move very much in tandem.

Hence, Ethereum has not been spared the recent large drawdown.

The next major support level is the light green rectangle, where prices are currently at, and which might lead to some rebound.

Since the trend is uncertain, I will avoid adding more positions for now, and carefully hedge existing positions.

 

Trading Signals Luna removed 130522

Trading Signals terra luna explained 130522

Sorry for the multiple articles on UST and Luna, it is currently the biggest news in the Crypto market and has large ramifications. Many retail investors became broke overnight.

Here is one of the best overview explanations: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/ust-luna-meltdown-what-happened?s=r

 

Trading Signals TERRAUSD 120522

The Terrablock has officially halted and UST has remained de-pegged from the US Dollar since 9th May 2022.

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get 5-10 signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals stocks 120322

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!