Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Upcoming Earnings Season & Inflation Data!

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The upcoming week will see the beginning of the earnings season, with reports from major banks and financial institutions, including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, BlackRock, and PNC Financial Services. Earnings for S&P 500 companies are projected to fall by 6.6%, marking the largest quarterly decline since Q2 2020.

The Federal Reserve will release meeting minutes from its most recent policy meeting on Wednesday, and markets will be watching closely on the tone and words used, to provide guidance for future rate policy direction.

Inflation reports for March will be released, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for Wednesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. Prices are projected to have risen by 0.3% in March, while year-over-year CPI is expected to be up just over 5%. The PPI is anticipated to remain unchanged from last month, with an annual increase of 3.1%.

The U.S. Census Bureau will report on March retail sales on Friday, providing a key update on consumer spending. Sales are projected to have fallen by 0.4% last month and are expected to rise 4% to 6% this year.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Spring 2023 annual meetings will begin on Monday in Washington D.C. These events will gather global leaders to discuss issues such as the world economic outlook, poverty eradication, economic development, and aid effectiveness.

 

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[Photo: Zion National Park, USA – See my full travel photo log!]

 

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly Market Outlook 020423

Weekly Market Outlook (02 April 2023)

📌 Markets seem to be expecting Fed cutting rates in Q3 this year (4 months time)
📌 Stock markets are bullish in the short-run
📌 USD is weakening, while Gold & Crypto (ETH breakout) is gaining strength
📌 GPB is bullish while CAD is bearish
📌 Looking to accumulate long-term bonds (TLT) in my portfolio
📌 Bearish on Crude Oil and Commodities

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals weekly portfolio 020423

Weekly Portfolio Updates (2 April 2023)

Even though stocks rallied slightly, bonds (TLT) rallied as well, providing a buffer against our short positions.

I also decided to add some commodity (DBC) short positions, since I don’t think this oil rally is sustainable if demand drops.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals AUDCAD 060423

AUDCAD – Finally the TP is hit, giving a whooping profit of 350+ pips! Congrats to all who took the trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals AUDNZD 060423

AUDNZD – Breaking down from range, in line with the downtrend. Probably heading to test prior lows.

 

Trading Signals CADCHF 060423

CADCHF – Following up on this, it is the 2nd time pricing are testing the neckline.

 

Trading Signals EURCAD 060423

EURCAD – Following up on this, and what I said in the video, the pullback after the breakout is a good low-risk entry.

 

Trading Signals GBPCAD 060423

GBPCAD – Great low-risk opportunity for a long trade.

 

Trading Signals WTICOUSD 060423

Crude Oil (WTICOUSD) – Prices spiked up due to production cuts, but the overall trend is still down.

If prices close back down into the price channel, the downtrend is likely to continue.

I am looking for shorting opportunities on this, and commodity ETFs like DBC.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 060423

NASDAQ 100 (US100) – There might be enough momentum to push it to test the prior swing high, but don’t see much more bullish catalysts for it to break above that.

Also seeing some price divergence on the RSI.

 

Trading Signals 3 month relative peformance 020423

3 months relative performance.

 

Trading Signals banks 060423

Top U.S. banks by uninsured deposits.

 

Trading Signals stock indexed performance 040423

 

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 060423

Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Breakout of small ascending triangle, looking to gun for $2000. 🚀

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

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Spencer Li

A Day in the Life of a Trader

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Thumbnail A day in the life of a trader

Are you curious about what it’s like to be a trader? I know I was when I first started out. The fast-paced, ever-changing markets were daunting, but also incredibly exciting. 

As a trader, I rely on a wide range of tools and technologies to stay informed and make informed trading decisions. From trading platforms to charting software and high-speed data feeds, each tool plays a critical role in helping me navigate the markets.

And when it comes to strategies and techniques, there are so many different approaches to choose from. Whether it’s technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or news trading, every trader has their own style and preference. It’s all about finding what works for you and sticking to it.

In this video collaboration with XM Global brokerage, I’ll take you through a day in the life of a trader, from pre-market preparation to end-of-day analysis, and share some useful tools to help in your trading journey.

 

What is the day-to-day schedule of a trader like?

The day-to-day schedule of a trader can vary depending on the type of trading they do and the market they specialize in. 

However, some general activities that traders typically engage in include:

  • Pre-market preparation: Traders usually start their day by reviewing news and market data that may impact their trades. They also analyze their trading strategies and review their portfolio positions.
  • Market open: The first few hours after the market opens are typically the busiest for traders. They execute trades based on their analysis and strategy.
  • Monitoring: Throughout the day, traders monitor the markets and track the progress of their trades. They may adjust their positions or exit trades as needed.
  • Research: Traders spend time researching and analyzing market trends and news, as well as studying the performance of different companies and sectors.
  • Networking: Traders often build relationships with other traders and brokers to gain insights and market information that can help inform their trades.
  • End of day analysis: At the end of the day, traders review their performance and analyze their trades to identify areas for improvement.

Overall, the schedule of a trader is fast-paced and can be demanding, requiring a high level of focus, discipline, and adaptability.

What tools and technologies do traders use?

Traders use a wide range of tools and technologies to help them analyze markets, identify trends, and execute trades. 

Some of the most common tools and technologies used by traders include:

  • Trading platforms: These are software applications that allow traders to access financial markets, view real-time prices and charts, and place trades.
  • Charting software: Traders use charting software to create visual representations of price movements and identify patterns in the market.
  • News feeds: Traders rely on news feeds to stay up-to-date with the latest developments in the markets, including economic data releases, corporate announcements, and geopolitical events.
  • Algorithmic trading systems: These are computer programs that execute trades automatically based on pre-set rules and parameters.
  • Risk management software: Traders use risk management software to monitor and control their exposure to market risks, including volatility, liquidity, and counterparty risk.
  • Electronic trading networks: These are online platforms that connect traders with each other and with liquidity providers, allowing them to trade directly with one another without the need for a broker.
  • Mobile trading apps: Traders use mobile trading apps to access the markets and manage their trades from their mobile devices.
  • High-speed data feeds: Traders require real-time market data to make informed trading decisions. High-speed data feeds provide up-to-the-millisecond pricing information that traders use to execute trades.

What are some strategies and techniques used by traders?

There are various strategies and techniques used by traders, and different traders may prefer different methods depending on their personal preferences and risk tolerance. 

Here are some common strategies and techniques:

  • Technical analysis: This involves studying price charts and using technical indicators to identify trends, patterns, and potential trading opportunities.
  • Fundamental analysis: This involves analyzing economic and financial data, such as company earnings reports, economic indicators, and news events, to make trading decisions.
  • Trend following: This involves identifying the direction of a trend and entering trades in the same direction, hoping to ride the trend for profit.
  • Scalping: This involves making numerous trades over a short time frame to take advantage of small price movements.
  • Swing trading: This involves holding positions for a few days or weeks, aiming to capture price movements within a longer-term trend.
  • Position trading: This involves holding positions for several months to a year or more, taking a long-term view on the markets.
  • News trading: This involves taking advantage of market volatility caused by news events, such as interest rate changes, economic data releases, and geopolitical events.
  • Arbitrage: This involves taking advantage of price differences between different markets or assets to make a profit.

Traders may also use various risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders to limit losses, using leverage to amplify gains, and diversifying their portfolio to reduce risk.

My trading journey and challenges

My trading journey has been a rollercoaster ride, filled with ups and downs. When I first started trading, I was filled with excitement and optimism. I was eager to learn and I spent countless hours reading books, attending seminars, and watching educational videos. However, as I started trading with real money, I quickly realized that things were not as easy as they seemed.

One of the biggest challenges I faced was my emotions. I found it difficult to stay disciplined and stick to my trading plan. I would often get too caught up in the moment and make impulsive decisions, which led to losses. It took a lot of self-reflection and practice to develop the mental fortitude required to be a successful trader.

Another challenge I faced was finding a reliable trading strategy that worked for me. I tried out several different approaches, from day trading to swing trading, but I struggled to find a consistent method that produced the results I was looking for. It wasn’t until I discovered price action trading that I finally found a strategy that resonated with me.

Despite the challenges, I persisted in my trading journey, and over time I learned to manage my emotions and stick to my trading plan. I also became more confident in my trading abilities as I saw my profits grow. Looking back on my journey, I am proud of the progress I have made and the lessons I have learned. Trading is not easy, but with the right mindset and approach, it is possible to succeed.

Looking for a professional trading platform to give you an edge? 

XM Global is a leading brokerage company that is dedicated to providing traders with a seamless and efficient trading experience, providing access to more than 50 currency pairs. As a trusted platform for many traders, XM is committed to helping traders improve their skills and succeed in the trading world.

To further assist traders in their trading journey, XM provides ongoing EN Live Education sessions with experts and global instructors around the world. They have 2 rooms, one for beginners and one for advanced traders, and both rooms are live everyday from 3PM – 12 AM SGT to cover a wide variety of topics to help traders improve their trading. These live education sessions are also a great opportunity for traders to learn valuable insights and strategies that can help them achieve their trading goals.

For traders looking for a reliable and trusted trading platform, XM is the ideal choice. Sign up now using the link below to join their EN Live Education and learn from some of the well-known experts in the industry.

Schedule: Monday – Friday (3PM – 12AM SGT)

Refer here for more information: https://www.xm.com/english-education-schedule 

Concluding Thoughts

In summary, trading is not without its challenges. It can be difficult to stay disciplined and stick to your trading plan when the markets are constantly in flux. And finding a reliable trading strategy that works for you is easier said than done.

But despite the challenges, being a trader is incredibly rewarding. I’ve learned so much over the years and have seen my profits grow as I become more confident in my trading abilities. 

Now that I have shared all about the daily life of a  trader, is this something that you would consider doing full time?

Also, for those who are actively trading, what are some challenges you face in your trading?

Let me know in the comments below.

If you are keen on any partnerships or sponsored content, check out:
🤝 https://synapsetrading.com/?p=28772

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Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Is the Recession Cancelled Already?

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Last quarter, markets grappled with the unintended consequences of pandemic-related decisions, including high inflation and an unanticipated banking crisis. This crisis resulted from aggressive lending, a two-tiered stress test system, and a sharp rise in interest rates impacting bond prices.

Inflation remains persistently high, and the likelihood of a recession has increased. Despite these concerns, the stock market ended Q1 2023 up approximately 6%. The market is currently factoring in a mild recession, a lessening of inflation, and the expectation that the banking crisis will be managed and contained.

However, rising international tensions present a wild card that could quickly shift the market’s outlook.

In the upcoming week, investors should watch inflation, the banking crisis, and any developments related to international tensions, while remaining patient as long-term investors.

For more real-time updates and trading opportunities, check out our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

2022 10 02 16 22 35

[Photo: Antalya, Turkey – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 280323 1

Weekly Market Outlook (26 March 2023)

📌 Markets seem to be expecting a quick crash/recession followed by Fed cutting rates in Q3 this year
📌 Stock markets are confused
📌 USD is weakening, while Gold & Crypto is gaining strength
📌 Looking to accumulate long-term bonds (TLT) in my portfolio
📌 Bearish on Crude Oil and Commodities

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Portfolio 280323

Weekly Portfolio Updates (26 March 2023)

Added more bonds (TLT) to my portfolio.

 

Trading Signals Assets performance 280323

Some of the top performing assets in the past few months. First Citizens shares jumped 45% yesterday upon its buyout of SVB. 🤯

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals EURAUD 290323

EURAUD – Following up on the H4 chart of our previous buy signal, it has now locked in 300+ pips profit!

Congrats to those who took the trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals commodities ETF 280323

Commodities ETF (DBC) – Following up, prices have pulled back to test the breakout level of the descending triangle.

Watch closely for shorting opportunities when the short-term price action turns bearish.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals SP500 300323

S&P 500 (US500) – Prices have been creeping up slowly, but volume has been drying up.

 

Trading Signals TLT bond 280323

US 20-yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) – If the Fed is not going to raise interest rates much more, then it is very unlikely for this to break new lows.

In fact, the market is expecting the Fed to start cutting rates in Q3 or Q4 this year, which would mean higher bond prices.

My plan is to gradually accumulate this and hold it till the end of the year.

 

Trading Signals most sectors negative 280323

In the past month, most sectors and indices are negative, including the 5 leading sectors.

 

Trading Signals BTC explode 260323

Breaking: Credit Default Swaps (CDS), insurance on default on Chrales Schwab EXPLODE.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals ETHUSD 280323

Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Prices finding some support here.

 

Trading Signals Binance 290323

Is Binance the Next Collapse?

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

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Spencer Li

SkillsFuture Beginner Investing & Trading Course (Last Few Intakes!)

Last weekend, we conducted another online workshop on the basics of trading and investing, and since it is a SkillsFuture Credit-Eligible Course, participants could use their SkillsFuture credits to pay for the course instead of cash.

Thanks for the support!

During the 9 hours of training, participants learnt portfolio strategies to build and protect their wealth, as well as trading skills like market-timing, chart-reading and risk management to improve their trading results.

Here is some of the feedback and learning points from participants, after our hands-on market analysis session to find trading opportunities in the market.

If you are keen to learn more using your SkillsFuture credits, you can check out our courses:

P.S. To ensure optimal learning, we have capped the maximum class size.

Register early to avoid disappointment!

 

skillsfuture feedback 290323 2 skillsfuture feedback 290323 1

0 Comments/by
Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Is the Banking Crisis Just the Tip of the Iceberg?

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Last week saw an array of significant events unfold in the global banking and financial sectors, with concerns over Deutsche Bank, rising inflation, and China’s economic recovery dominating headlines.

Deutsche Bank’s shares slid 8% after a sudden spike in default insurance costs raised concerns among investors. While analysts insisted that Deutsche Bank was not the next Credit Suisse, panic spread throughout the markets, leading to a short banking crisis. As a result, $100 billion was pulled from banks, though the overall banking system was deemed sound and resilient.

European leaders scrambled to address the banking crisis and stabilize markets. The upcoming week will feature congressional hearings on SVB (Silicon Valley Bank), which have been affected by the same concerns plaguing Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse.

The Federal Reserve bumped interest rates up by 25 basis points, marking the first rate hike since the pandemic began. Investors weighed the implications of this decision, as well as ongoing bank troubles, leading to mixed market reactions.

The US dollar and Swiss franc were identified as the weakest major currencies, while the yen rose in value. Investors now await a key inflation report (core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index) this coming week, as concerns about inflation and its impact on monetary policy persist.

A Chinese Communist Party official stated that the foundation of China’s economic recovery was not solid enough, leading to concerns about the country’s stability. In response, Citi labeled China a relative safe haven amid market uncertainty.

Oil prices fell as the US held off on refilling its strategic petroleum reserve, while gold prices gained on the back of the Federal Reserve’s hint at a pause in rate hikes.

For more market updates and real-time trading opportunities, check out our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

Kusadasi Turkey 1

[Photo: Kusadasi, Turkey – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly Market Outlook 170323

Weekly Market Outlook (19 March 2023)

📌 FOMC on 22 March (Wed)
📌 80% chance of 25 bp hike
📌 Markets seem to be expecting a quick crash/recession followed by Fed cutting rates in Q3 this year
📌 Looking to accumulate long-term bonds (TLT) in my portfolio

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Weekly Portfolio Updates 190323

Weekly Portfolio Updates (19 March 2023)

Added some bonds (TLT) and high growth stocks (ARKK) to my portfolio, while adding some shorts to the Dow Jones ETF (DIA).

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals AUDCHF 170323

AUDCHF – Prices have rebounded to test the support-turned-resistance level, making it a good chance for a short position.

 

Trading Signals CADCHF 180323

CADCHF – Nice pullback to test the breakout point, providing a good shorting opportunity.

 

Trading Signals NZDCHF 170323

NZDCHF – Another potential short after pulling back to test the breakout level.

 

Trading Signals WTICOUSD 190323

Crude Oil (WTICOUSD) – Looking at the long-term weekly chart, it shows a huge downtrend channel.

Will we really see prices drop to 2020 lows?

Maybe if there is a recession, otherwise it seems unlikely.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals China Tech Stocks 230323

China tech stocks (3067) – Might be forming a possible bullish inverse head-and-shoulders reversal pattern.

Started accumulating some, but will not take large positions until the neckline is cleared.

 

Trading Signals US100 170323

NASDAQ 100 (US100) – Yesterday, after the FOMC, prices broke above the previous swing high, but closed lower by the end of the session.

Direction is not very clear but I am more towards the bearish side.

 

Trading Signals US100 240323

NASDAQ 100 (US100) – It is now 2 days in a row where prices pushed new highs, then closed back down.

From here, prices can either drop back down to test prior lows, or consolidate for a few more bars to accumulate strength to push new highs.

As mentioned before, I am more inclined to the bearish side.

 

Trading Signals weekly chart of credit suisse 180323

Weekly Chart of Credit Suisse (27 years)

 

Trading Signals Current situation 170323

Current situation and nothing adds up.

 

Trading Signals FedPut 170323

The “Fed Put” is back with assets on their balance sheet increasing $297 billion over the last week, the largest spike higher since March 2020.

 

Trading Signals Inflation 220323

Inflation vs. Recession

 

Trading Signals miss bank 170323

While everyone was distracted by SVB they missed Credit Suisse.

While everyone is distracted by Credit Suisse they’re missing Wells Fargo.

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals BTC ETH 180323

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Following up on these 2, prices have broken out strongly as predicted!

Congrats to those who took the trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

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