earnings season

earnings season

For subscribers of our “Daily Trading Signals”, we now also include a “Weekly Market Report”, where we provide a weekly deep-dive on the market, including fundamentals, technicals, economics, and portfolio management:

Click here for last week’s market report (1 May 2023)
Click here to subscribe for the latest market report (8 May 2023)
Click here to see the archives of all our past market reports

 

Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week, stock markets ended on a high note due to a strong jobs report and impressive first-quarter results from Apple. The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite all rose significantly, with 253,000 jobs added in April and unemployment dropping to 3.4%.

Although the labor market recovery is ongoing, with downward revisions to previous months and mixed results, investors seemed optimistic that a recession is not imminent.

The Federal Reserve’s weekly balance sheet showed the biggest plunge in 14 years, reflecting the impact of the banking crisis and quantitative tightening. In Europe, the ECB raised policy rates by 25 basis points in response to the worst inflation in four decades, with plans to accelerate its Quantitative Tightening program.

Despite assurances of a stable banking system, regional bank stocks declined as investors expressed concern about the impact of regional banking problems on the broader economy.

Oil prices tumbled due to concerns that higher interest rates might slow the economy and curb energy demand, while corporate profit margins dropped less than expected despite inflation and aggressive interest-rate hikes.

The Federal Reserve raised policy rates amid these economic uncertainties, and the Eurozone grappled with record-high inflation in the services sector, prompting the ECB to maintain rate hikes as it approached its policy meeting.

This week, investors should look out for earnings reports from several major companies, including PayPal, Airbnb, The Walt Disney Company, Electronic Arts, Toyota, and Honda.

These reports could provide insights into the performance of various sectors and the impact of current economic conditions.

Additionally, important economic data will be released with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) for April, which may reveal more about the ongoing inflationary trends.

Another key event to watch is the Bank of England’s (BoE) policymaker meeting on interest rates scheduled for Thursday. This meeting could offer clues regarding the central bank’s monetary policy stance amid rising inflation concerns.

Lastly, the U.K.’s gross domestic product (GDP) reading on Friday will provide further information on the country’s economic performance, potentially influencing markets and investor sentiment.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Subscribe for real-time alerts and weekly reports:
👉🏻 https://synapsetrading.com/daily-trading-signals

USDCHF 080523

USDCHF – First TP hit for 230+ pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

Trend is still very bearish, so it is a good idea to hold onto half the short positions to see if it can go lower.

 

WTICOUSD 080523

Crude Oil (WTICOUSD) – Finally hit our TP giving a +16.5% profit in less than 2 weeks! Congrats to those who took this trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

trading Signals CADJPY 040523

CADJPY – Following up, the breakout turned out to be a false breakout, as prices quickly fell back into the range.

If this long bearish bar closes near the lows, we can consider re-entering the short trade.

 

trading Signals XAUUSD 040523

Gold (XAUUSD) – If you have any long positions, this might be a good time to take some profits, since it is very near the the major resistance level.

 

trading Signals NZDCHF 040523

NZDCHF – Going for another leg of profits, after pulling back to test the breakout and 20-EMA.

Before reading this guide, the first thing you will need to do is to open an Interactive Brokers (IBKR) account, before you can start trading.

 
margin loan rates table

Investing in the stock market can be an excellent way to grow your wealth over time, but it can also be costly if you’re not careful. One of the biggest expenses when investing is trading costs, such as commissions and fees. Fortunately, there are ways to minimize these costs, and choosing the right online broker is an important part of the equation.

When comparing online brokers, you’ll want to look at a variety of factors, such as account minimums, investment options, and customer service. But one of the most important considerations should be trading costs.

Some online brokers charge flat fees for trades, while others charge a percentage of the trade’s value. Depending on the size and frequency of your trades, one option may be more cost-effective than the other.

Another cost to consider is margin fees. Margin trading can be a powerful tool for experienced investors, but it can also come with high fees. Interactive Brokers is one online broker that stands out in this regard.

According to a recent report from StockBrokers.com, Interactive Brokers has the lowest margin fees of any online broker. Margin fees can add up quickly, especially if you’re making frequent trades, so this can be a significant advantage for traders looking to keep their costs low.

But low margin fees aren’t the only thing to consider when choosing an online broker. You’ll also want to look at other factors like account minimums, investment options, and customer service.

For example, some online brokers require a minimum balance to open an account, while others have no minimums. If you’re just starting out as an investor, a low or no minimum balance requirement can be a big advantage.

Investment options are another important consideration. Some online brokers offer a wide range of investment options, including stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and more. Others may specialize in a particular type of investment, such as cryptocurrency.

Finally, customer service can make a big difference when it comes to choosing an online broker. You’ll want to look for a broker that offers responsive customer support, preferably 24/7. You should be able to get help when you need it, whether you have a question about your account or need technical assistance.

In conclusion, if you’re looking to invest in the stock market, it’s important to choose the right online broker to minimize your trading costs.

Interactive Brokers is one option to consider, as it offers some of the lowest margin fees in the industry.

If you found this guide useful, you might also want to check out our full list of guides for Interactive Brokers!

Before reading this guide, the first thing you will need to do is to open an Interactive Brokers (IBKR) account, before you can start trading.

 
IBKR is offering clients the opportunity to earn interest on long-settled cash balances, with accounts of over USD 100,000 receiving full interest rates, and smaller accounts receiving rates proportional to their size.

Clients with both large long and short cash positions can subscribe to an auto-swap program that authorizes IBKR to execute forex transactions, improving overall interest rate benefits/costs.

This program is only available to qualifying investors with cash balances of at least USD 10 million or equivalent, or those who qualify as an Eligible Contract Participant (ECP) in the US. Interest accrues daily and IBKR posts interest payments on a monthly basis on the third business day of the following month.

Please note that balances held in JPY or RUB may receive a negative rate, while other currencies may receive 0% interest.

 

Global interest rate

If you found this guide useful, you might also want to check out our full list of guides for Interactive Brokers!

image first republic and recession 1

For our “Daily Trading Signals”, we have now also included a “Weekly Market Report”, where we provide a weekly deep-dive on the market, including fundamentals, technicals, economics, and portfolio management:

Click here for last week’s market report (24 April 2023)
Click here to subscribe for the latest market report (31 April 2023)
Click here to see the archives of all our past market reports

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Subscribe for real-time alerts and weekly reports:
👉🏻 https://synapsetrading.com/daily-trading-signals

image first republic and recession 1

Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week, the potential of generative AI technology to boost revenues for tech giants like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet created a buzz in the market. Despite the growth slowdown in their cloud-computing services, shares of these companies have outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. Microsoft’s plans to adopt OpenAI’s ChatGPT technology, Alphabet’s share increase, and Amazon’s AI plans announcement contributed to their stock performance.

On the other hand, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded 11 regional banks, highlighting the increased instability in the banking sector due to higher interest rates and recent bank failures. This exposed weaknesses among regional banks and raised concerns over the commercial real estate market.

In the stock market, S&P 500’s trading at 18 times its 12-month forward P/E estimates has led institutions to reduce exposure to economically-sensitive sectors in anticipation of a potential U.S. recession. Insider buying in the financial sector signals optimism, but analysts urge caution as other factors can influence stock performance. As the first quarter US earnings season unfolds with mixed results, hedge funds have increased their net short position in S&P 500 index futures, showing skepticism about Wall Street’s recovery. However, some analysts argue that equities still offer better returns than bonds and have the potential for earnings growth.

This week, as earnings season marches on, investors will keep a close eye on reports from major companies such as Pfizer, Starbucks, Uber Technologies, AMD, Qualcomm, Apple, Royal Dutch Shell, BP, and ConocoPhillips. Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholders’ meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, will draw attention to Warren Buffett’s insights and investment strategies.

In terms of economic indicators, updates on the labor market will come in the form of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), ADP’s National Employment Report, and the April nonfarm payrolls report.

In addition, central to financial discussions this week will be the Federal Reserve’s two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, commencing on Tuesday. Market participants will be eager to learn the outcome of Wednesday’s interest rate decision, which is anticipated to be the final rate hike in the current tightening cycle. As these events unfold, investors will be looking for hints on how companies and the economy will navigate the ongoing challenges posed by inflation, interest rates, and potential slowdowns in growth.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

AUDCHF 280423

AUDCHF – Following up, it has hit the first TP with 170+ pips profit! 💰🔥💪🏻

Since price action is still bearish, can consider closing half and letting the other half trail.

 

EURAUD 280423

EURAUD – Our TP for this has hit with 630+ pips total profit. Congrats to those who took this trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

Price momentum is still strong, so if you want to leave a small position to run you can do so as well.

 

Trading Signals GBPCAD 250423

GBPCAD – Prices resuming upward move, let’s see how far it can go!

 

Trading Signals GPBUSD 280423

GPBUSD – Following up, prices are starting to head up after consolidating for the past month or so.

 

Trading Signals US30 260423

Dow Jones Index (US30) – Good low risk high reward shorting opportunity near the top of the price channel.

 

Trading Signals WTICOUSD 280423

Crude Oil (WTICOUSD) – Since it failed to hold new highs, prices might come back to test the bottom of the range.

pexels expect best 351264

For our “Daily Trading Signals”, we have now also included a “Weekly Market Report”, where we provide a weekly deep-dive on the market, including fundamentals, technicals, economics, and portfolio management:

Click here for last week’s market report (17 April 2023)
Click here to subscribe for the latest market report (24 April 2023)
Click here to see the archives of all our past market reports

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Subscribe for real-time alerts and weekly reports:
👉🏻 https://synapsetrading.com/daily-trading-signals

 

pexels expect best 351264

Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week, concerns grew about the historical trend of stocks rallying after the Federal Reserve finishes raising interest rates, as earnings growth falters and stocks look expensive relative to history. Elevated inflation may continue to weigh on earnings in the coming quarters.

Microsoft’s Bing is challenging Google in the lucrative search market, raising the cost of retaining this business. This comes as global online advertising is in a slump, and traffic acquisition costs (TAC) reached nearly $49 billion last year.

Tesla’s operating margin declined due to aggressive price cuts and inflation in materials.

The Walt Disney Company is expected to lay off thousands of employees starting next week as part of its cost-cutting initiatives. Economists are predicting a recession later this year as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, which businesses and consumers haven’t experienced in 15 years.

In other news, Goldman Sachs reported an 18% decrease in first-quarter profit, while Morgan Stanley saw a 19% drop in Q1 profit due to a slowdown in deal-making.

Meanwhile, China surprised economists with strong 4.5% growth in the first quarter despite its housing market crash and a conservative monetary stance.

This week, investors should closely monitor the earnings reports from major tech companies, including Apple, Amazon, Google parent Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms, as well as other noteworthy companies like Coca-Cola Company, McDonald’s, Visa, Mastercard, and ExxonMobil, among others.

These reports will provide valuable insights into the performance and future prospects of these industry giants.

Additionally, keep an eye on the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for February, new and pending home sales for March, and the BEA’s advance estimate for the first-quarter GDP to get a clearer picture of the current state of the economy.

Furthermore, don’t miss the key update on inflation with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge—for March. This indicator will help assess the extent of inflationary pressures in the economy and potentially influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals CADCHF 210423

CADCHF – Congrats on hitting the first TP! 💰🔥💪🏻

High chance of another leg down, so can close half and use a trailing SL.

 

Trading Signals NZDCHF 210423

NZDCHF – Prices have fallen to support, and hit the profit target for 287 pips profit! Congrats to those who took this trade! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals CADJPY 210423

CADJPY – A potential range trading opportunity.

 

Trading Signals AUDCHF 210423

NASDAQ 100 (US100) – Stocks have been very flat the past 3 weeks, with the trading range here of only roughly 3% from top to bottom.

In addition, the last 5 bar bodies are super tiny and with long shadows, suggesting much indecision.

Will need to wait for a breakout of the range before any trades can be taken.

 

Trading Signals US100 200423

NASDAQ 100 (US100) – Stocks have been very flat the past 3 weeks, with the trading range here of only roughly 3% from top to bottom.

In addition, the last 5 bar bodies are super tiny and with long shadows, suggesting much indecision.

Will need to wait for a breakout of the range before any trades can be taken.