Tag Archive for: weekly market analysis

Thumbnail Federal Rates

Thumbnail Federal Rates

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week’s Federal Reserve meeting and subsequent press conference, alongside the release of updated economic projections, reinforced a dovish tilt in monetary policy.

Keeping the fed funds rate steady, the Fed signaled a multiyear rate-cutting cycle starting this year, with expectations to lower the rate to around 3.1% by 2026.

This announcement was met positively by the markets, driving stocks to new highs and softening Treasury yields.

The Fed’s upgraded economic outlook for 2024-2026 and continued assertion that inflation will gradually decrease bolstered confidence in a stable financial environment.

Additionally, global central banks, including the Bank of Japan’s historic rate increase, highlighted a global shift towards adjusting monetary policies.

This broadening market leadership, spurred by the anticipation of rate cuts and improved economic growth, suggests a healthy dynamic for continued investment opportunities.

This week, amidst a shorter trading period due to the Good Friday holiday, the financial markets are poised for a series of important updates.

Key among these are new inflation figures, insights into consumer sentiment, developments in the housing market, and a selection of significant corporate earnings reports.

Despite the holiday closure, the late-week release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be closely watched.

This data, crucial for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, will indicate if inflation is continuing its expected decline.

Additionally, the spotlight will be on earnings announcements from notable companies, including GameStop, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Cintas, Carnival, and Jefferies Financial Group, providing a pulse on various sectors of the economy as investors gauge market health and future trends.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals Gold part 1 210324

Trading Signals Gold part 2 210324

Gold (XAUUSD) – Just 2 days after i posted this, we saw an impressive 3% breakout!

Congrats to those who bought! 💪🏻🔥💰

 

Trading Signals DBA part 1 200324
Trading Signals DBA part 2 200324

Agriculture ETF (DBA) – Following up on this weekly chart, prices have gone up 10% since the breakout. Can continue to hold and accumulate on pullbacks. 💪🏻🔥💰

 

 

Trading Signals PHO part 1 210324

Trading Signals PHO part 2 210324

Water Resources ETF (PHO) – Following up on this, prices just broke new highs as predicted, and we are up about 12% from our first buy-in! 💪🏻🔥💰

Looking to add more now since there was a good small price consolidation followed by a controlled breakout, meaning there is still room for more upside.

 

Stock picks from our members:

Trading Signals DOV 170324

Dover (DOV) – A very strong stock as seen on the weekly chart, and currently testing new ATHs.

A good idea to wait for a pullback before or after the breakout for a lower risk entry.

 

 

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Thumbnail design for 17 March 2024

Thumbnail design for 17 March 2024

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week marked the one-year anniversary of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, a pivotal moment that briefly ignited a banking crisis, unsettling the financial markets and leading to the downfall of several regional banks.

Reflecting on the tumultuous period, the contrast couldn’t be starker a year later; from the depths of a bear market and the worst year on record for bonds, the markets have rebounded into a robust bull rally reminiscent of the 1990s. This turnaround highlights the critical importance of maintaining a steady investment approach during periods of market panic.

The banking sector, which was at the heart of last year’s crisis, has seen significant improvements, with 2023’s challenges largely in the rearview mirror.

Interest rates have moderated, easing the unrealized losses in banks’ bond portfolios, and while the sector still navigates cyclical challenges like loan delinquencies, the systemic threats have subsided.

On the broader economic front, the resilience of the U.S. economy continues to shine through, defying the gravitational pull of prior rate hikes.

With the Fed shifting its stance towards potential rate cuts, the outlook for the banking system and the broader financial landscape appears markedly more stable than just a year ago, offering a steadier footing for continued growth and investment opportunities.

This week, attention is pivoted towards Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Fed’s interest rate decision on Wednesday, expected to hold steady, shaping market sentiment in the near term.

Additionally, the looming deadline on Friday for the passage of several crucial government spending bills poses the threat of a governmental shutdown, should legislative action falter.

On the corporate front, a slate of earnings reports is anticipated from key players across various sectors, including Micron Technology, General Mills, Nike, FedEx, and Xpeng. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s annual Global Processing Unit Technology Conference for AI developers, starting Monday with a keynote from CEO Jensen Huang, is set to spotlight innovations and possibly influence tech market dynamics.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Here is an example of our Solana trade which we started accumulating since $74 and rode it up to $200+, giving us a +176% profit to date!

solana SOL 1 daily trading signals 180324

solana SOL 2 daily trading signals 180324

solana SOL 3 daily trading signals 180324

solana SOL 4 daily trading signals 180324

 

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Thumbnail design for 10 March 2024

Thumbnail design for 10 March 2024

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week provided nuanced signals regarding the U.S. labor market’s trajectory, as the unemployment rate slightly increased, indicating a subtle cooling phase.

Despite surpassing job growth expectations with 275,000 positions added in February, a downward revision of the previous month’s figures and a tick up in unemployment to 3.9% hinted at an evolving labor dynamic.

This slight shift, alongside moderating wage growth from 4.5% to 4.3% year over year, suggests a gradual move towards balancing the labor market, potentially easing inflation pressures in the process.

These developments align with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony hinting at a nearing confidence threshold for initiating rate cuts, with markets now anticipating approximately four rate reductions in 2024.

Observations from the manufacturing and services sectors, as well as the January JOLTS report, further underscored the labor market’s moderation, with both employment indexes contracting and job openings decreasing to 8.9 million from a high of 12.2 million.

Such trends bolster the Fed’s inclination towards a more accommodative policy stance as early as June, potentially supporting a continuing, though possibly more tempered, market advancement.

Despite a slight retreat in stock indices and a rise in bond markets last week, the overarching market sentiment remains optimistic, underpinned by expectations for ongoing inflation moderation, forthcoming Fed rate cuts, and a generally resilient labor market.

As the financial landscape navigates through these adjustments, investors are advised to view potential market volatility as an opportunity to enhance and diversify their investment portfolios.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

amd 1 daily trading signals 110324

amd 2 daily trading signals 110324

amd 3 daily trading signals 110324

amd 4 daily trading signals 110324

 

Trading Signals Discussion 3
Trading Signals Discussion 4

 

Trading Signals Discussion 2

 

Trading Signals Discussion 1

 

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thumbnail image 4 March 2024 webp

thumbnail image 4 March 2024 webp

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

The past week saw continued momentum in the stock market, with the S&P 500 marking notable gains and several global indexes hitting all-time highs, reflecting robust market confidence.

Despite a rise in rates, equities showed resilience, buoyed by strong Q4 corporate earnings, AI enthusiasm, and solid economic growth indicators.

However, the bond market experienced losses, adjusting to renewed rate hike expectations and economic data suggesting a moderated yet persistent inflation path.

The market’s performance underscores opportunities for diversified investment strategies, focusing on sectors poised for growth as the Fed’s policy shifts.

This week, the focus shifts to a mix of political events and economic indicators that could sway market dynamics.

The political arena will be highlighted by the President’s State of the Union address, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, and the Super Tuesday primary elections, each potentially offering new directions or insights into policy and economic forecasts.

These political milestones are complemented by crucial economic updates, with Friday’s jobs report spotlighting February’s employment trends, closely preceded by data on private sector payrolls and job openings.

In the corporate world, the week is rich with earnings reports from key players across various sectors.

Retail giants Target, Costco, and Ross Stores are scheduled to unveil their earnings, providing a glimpse into consumer spending trends.

Additionally, the tech sector will also be under the microscope, with CrowdStrike and Broadcom among the companies reporting their financial performance.

These reports, coupled with the week’s political and economic events, could offer investors valuable indicators of market health and consumer confidence.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading SIgnals BTCUSD 270224

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bitcoin is also on a strong upward trajectory, easily clearing the $55k level and a good chance it will hit the $60k level soon, which will put it near the previous ATHs of $69k. 🔥

 

Trading SIgnals AMD 270224

Trading SIgnals AMD 080324

Congrats! Yup $225 does sound like a good price target.

 

daily trading signals education 060324

 

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thumbnail image for 26 Feb 24

thumbnail image for 26 Feb 24

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week, the stock market’s momentum continued, with the S&P 500 reaching a new record high, underscoring a strong start to 2024 with a 24% gain since October.

This rally, fueled by the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a resilient economy, is noteworthy for its breadth and the substantial role of consumer spending.

Despite concerns over concentrated leadership, particularly in tech sectors buoyed by AI enthusiasm, and the potential for market volatility, the underlying strength in earnings and economic fundamentals suggests the bull market has room to grow.

This week, anticipation builds for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release on Thursday, a critical indicator for both the Federal Reserve and market participants monitoring inflation trends.

The Fed’s assessment of this data, along with subsequent remarks from several of its officials, will be keenly observed for insights into future monetary policy directions amidst ongoing economic evaluations.

Furthermore, an array of corporate earnings reports is on the horizon, with notable companies across various sectors, including Workday, Lowe’s, Salesforce, Paramount Global, Anheuser-Busch InBev, and Dell Technologies, poised to share their quarterly performance.

Additionally, forthcoming updates on the housing market and consumer confidence will offer further clues on the economic landscape, potentially impacting investor sentiment and market movements.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

DTS ethereum 270224

Trading Signals ETHUSD 140224
Trading Signals ETHUSD 210224

Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Finally managed to break the $3000 level! 🚀🚀🚀

Using a rough projection, will consider taking some profits at $3200.

DTS ethereum2 270224

Great call on ETH, i have been buying with you since around $2000 as well. Do you think this cycle it can surpass the previous price high?

 

DTS nvda2 270224

DTS nvda 270224

Trading Signals NVDA 230224

Nvidia (NVDA) – Strong gap up on great earnings, getting very close to our first target of $850! 💪

 

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