Trading Price Patterns with the Trend

When looking for price patterns on your chart, it is important to take note of the context in which the patterns appear.

The most important context is probably the trend.

In an uptrend, you want to be looking for continuation patterns, which will give you a good opportunity to get onto the trend, whereas if the trend has been going on for a long time, and you feel that there is a high chance it might be coming to an end soon, then you will want to be looking out for reversal patterns.

For example, if you see a weak reversal pattern (eg. pattern is small relative to the trend) in a strong trend that is relatively new, the odds of a successful reversal are rather slim, so it would be more prudent to continue observing before diving into the trade, or even wait for the reversal pattern to fail and use it as a chance to enter the trend.

trend trading with triangle patterns

Looking at the chart example above of a triangle pattern, although the pattern is technically neutral and can break out in either direction, the odds favour an upside breakout because of the prior uptrend.

Hence when assessing any chart pattern, we need to take into account the prior trend, as well as the context in which the pattern occurs.

 

thumbnail the definitive guide to trading price chart patterns

If you would like to learn all the different price chart patterns, also check out: “The Definitive Guide to Trading Price Chart Patterns”

Continuation Price Patterns vs Reversal Price Patterns

There are 2 categories of price patterns, mainly continuation patterns and reversal patterns.

Continuation patterns, are their name suggests, usually leads to a continuation of the prior price trend.

You are likely to see them in the middle of a trend, when the price is taking a pause, and forms a consolidation to build up the strength for the next leg of movement.

Reversal patterns, on the other hand, usually leads to a reversal or change in the existing trend.

You are likely to see them after a prolonged trend (which has a high chance of coming to an end), when the price is exhausted in one direction and is getting ready to change direction.

Do note that it is much harder to change the direction of an existing trend, hence reversal patterns tend to be larger, and take longer to form and complete.

 

Here is a slide which gives an overview on all the patterns and how they are classified.

main types of price patterns

 

Next, let’s dive straight in, and study the different types of price patterns!

Just a quick refresher, there are 2 main types of chart patterns – continuation chart patterns and reversal chart patterns.

Continuation patterns continue the existing trend,

eg. downtrend > price pattern > downtrend,
or uptrend > price pattern > uptrend;

whereas reversal patterns change the existing trend,

eg. downtrend > price pattern > uptrend,
or uptrend > price pattern > downtrend.

 

The Trend Affects the Type of Patterns

The type of pattern that is formed generally depends on how far the trend has progressed.

If the trend is in the early stages, it tends to be stronger, so you only get small consolidation patterns, such as the bull flag, bear flag, or pennants.

If the trend is in the later stage, you start to see larger patterns, such as the rectangles and triangles (ascending triangle, descending triangle, symmetrical triangle).

 

Continuation Chart Patterns

The patterns highlighted in blue, such as the rectangle and symmetrical triangle, are considered neutral patterns, meaning they do not have a directional bias, and prices can break out of either side once the pattern is completed.

On the other hand, the patterns highlighted in red have a bearish bias (descending triangle, bear flag), while those highlighted in green have a bullish bias (ascending triangle, bull flag).

HOW TO TACKLE EACH CONTINUATION PATTERN

The main idea behind continuation patterns is that after the pattern is completed, the trend is expected to continue.

Hence, the best strategy involves finding continuation patterns in the middle of strong trends, and waiting for the opportunity to enter the trade once the trend resumes.

 

THE TREND AFFECTS THE TYPE OF PATTERNS

As we mentioned earlier in the introduction to continuation patterns, the type of pattern that is formed generally depends on how far the trend has progressed.

If the trend is in the early stages, it tends to be stronger, so you only get small consolidation patterns, while as the trend gets weaker, you start to see larger patterns.

Finally, as the trend enters the late stage, we will start to see even more trend uncertainty and volatility, which eventually leads to a reversal.

Some patterns, such as the head and shoulders pattern, will reverse and existing trend, whereas others like the cup and handle pattern kickstarts a new trend from a ranging market.

 

Reversal-Chart-Patterns

 

The patterns highlighted in red have a bearish bias (double top, head and shoulders, expanding triangle, rising wedge), while those highlighted in green have a bullish bias (double bottom, inverted head and shoulders, cup and handle, falling wedge).

Reversal patterns usually result in a change in the direction of the trend (bullish pattern reverses downtrend, or bearish pattern reverses uptrend), so if you see a contradicting pattern (bullish reversal pattern in an uptrend, or bearish reversal pattern in a downtrend), then the pattern you see is more likely to be a continuation pattern rather than a reversal pattern.

 

HOW TO TACKLE EACH REVERSAL PATTERN

The main idea behind reversal patterns is that after the pattern is completed, the trend is end, and change direction. Hence, the best strategy involves finding reversal patterns in the late stage of trends (which are exhausted), and waiting for the opportunity to enter once the current trend ends and a new one begins.

 

thumbnail the definitive guide to trading price chart patterns

If you would like to learn all the different price chart patterns, also check out: “The Definitive Guide to Trading Price Chart Patterns”

What are Price Chart Patterns How do they Form

What are Price Patterns & Chart Patterns?

Price patterns, or chart patterns as some people call them, are shapes and formations formed by price movements on the price chart.

By understanding the underlying psychology of how and why they form, it gives traders a deeper understanding of the intentions of various market players (buyers and sellers), and how their battle plays out on the chart.

From a more practical standpoint, it allows you to predict which side will likely win the battle (completion of the pattern), and prepare to take action (learning how to anticipate as the pattern is forming) when the odds are stacked in your favour.

How Do Price Patterns Form & Why are they Important?

As the market moves between the 3 main trends – uptrend, downtrend and sideways, prices have to transit from one trend to another, and these transitions are what leads to the price and chart patterns being formed.

3 main market trends

So by studying the patterns, and also understanding the context in which they are formed, it will enable us to make useful predictions as to the most likely outcome of prices once the pattern is completed.

In other words, it gives us high probability predictions of future outcomes, which we can use to tilt the trading odds in our favour.

 

swing counts to identify trend

It is also useful to understand swing counts, and how you can use them to identify the current trend of the market.

These will work hand-in-hand when breaking down and understanding chart patterns as well.

 

thumbnail the definitive guide to trading price chart patterns

If you would like to learn all the different price chart patterns, also check out: “The Definitive Guide to Trading Price Chart Patterns”

2021 07 03 18.16.19 scaled

As I slowly edge towards my mid-life crisis (just joking!), I want to thank all my friends and family who have always been there for me as my pillar of support.

BIRTHDAY WISHES!

With no opportunities to travel this year, i have had more time to reflect on life, and here are some of my musings:

  • Finding a life partner has been the top of my priority, and though it hasn’t been easy or successful, I have learnt quite a lot in a short period of time. In this area, it is useful to talk to people who have successful relationships and to learn from them.
  • Many people tend to neglect sleep, but optimising it can improve all areas of your life, by boosting your energy, mood, etc. Aim for a consistent sleep cycle of 6-10 hours, depending on each individual. Invest in stuff to make your sleep better, such as mattresses, pillows, diffuser, blackout curtains, white noise, etc.
  • Meditate daily to improve concentration, clear your mind, enhance your focus, and enjoy many more health benefits. Start with 5 minutes a day, and slowly increase to 1 hour a day. If it feels like a waste of time, think of it as sharpening your axe instead of using a blunt axe to chop a tree.
  • Do not neglect your health as well. The main areas of focus are physical exercise, stamina (cardio), flexibility, and most importantly, nutrition/diet. Aim to eat healthy, and take note of caloric surplus/deficit if you want to increase/decrease your weight.
  • Learn useful skills, and take up fun/creative hobbies, for example driving, cooking, dancing, learning a new language, coding, etc.
  • Read widely. The more I read, the more I realise I do not know. Stay humble, stay hungry. This year, I have focused my readings on relationships, philosophy, and psychology. for less serious reads, I also enjoy science fiction.
    • Philosophy helps one ponder the meaning of existence, and sheds some light on the fabric of reality. Most people blindly accept what has been spoon-fed to them, and do not stop to think for themselves and question whether it is indeed true.
    • Psychology helps one understand other people, and more importantly oneself.
  • When people near the end of their life, the thing they cherish most are relationships. These should be cultivated throughout your life. Learn to listen and help others, and be present. There are many levels to relationships – learn to connect with people on a deeper level.
  • The only way to be content is to embrace gratitude. Instead of wanting more, learn to give and contribute. Life is not a competition, there is no prize for struggling to reach the top in everything. The journey matters more.

Once again, thanks for all the birthday treats and gifts, and I will compile them below:

 

 

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thumbnail an unofficial guide to living our best life beyond financial freedom

If you are excited to get more life hacks, also check out: “Beyond Financial Freedom: An Unofficial Guide to Living Your Best Life”

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Last weekend, we conducted another online workshop on the basics of trading and investing, and since it is a SkillsFuture Credit-Eligible Course, participants could use their SkillsFuture credits to pay for the course instead of cash.

Thanks for the support! ?

During the 9 hours of training, participants learnt portfolio strategies to build and protect their wealth, as well as trading skills like market-timing, chart-reading and risk management to improve their trading results.

Here is some of the feedback and learning points from participants, after our hands-on market analysis session to find trading opportunities in the market.

If you are keen to learn more using your SkillsFuture credits, you can check out our courses:

P.S. To ensure optimal learning, we have capped the maximum class size.

Register early to avoid disappointment!

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