What are Price Chart Patterns How do they Form

What are Price Patterns & Chart Patterns?

Price patterns, or chart patterns as some people call them, are shapes and formations formed by price movements on the price chart.

By understanding the underlying psychology of how and why they form, it gives traders a deeper understanding of the intentions of various market players (buyers and sellers), and how their battle plays out on the chart.

From a more practical standpoint, it allows you to predict which side will likely win the battle (completion of the pattern), and prepare to take action (learning how to anticipate as the pattern is forming) when the odds are stacked in your favour.

How Do Price Patterns Form & Why are they Important?

As the market moves between the 3 main trends – uptrend, downtrend and sideways, prices have to transit from one trend to another, and these transitions are what leads to the price and chart patterns being formed.

3 main market trends

So by studying the patterns, and also understanding the context in which they are formed, it will enable us to make useful predictions as to the most likely outcome of prices once the pattern is completed.

In other words, it gives us high probability predictions of future outcomes, which we can use to tilt the trading odds in our favour.

 

swing counts to identify trend

It is also useful to understand swing counts, and how you can use them to identify the current trend of the market.

These will work hand-in-hand when breaking down and understanding chart patterns as well.

 

thumbnail the definitive guide to trading price chart patterns

If you would like to learn all the different price chart patterns, also check out: “The Definitive Guide to Trading Price Chart Patterns”

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As I slowly edge towards my mid-life crisis (just joking!), I want to thank all my friends and family who have always been there for me as my pillar of support.

BIRTHDAY WISHES!

With no opportunities to travel this year, i have had more time to reflect on life, and here are some of my musings:

  • Finding a life partner has been the top of my priority, and though it hasn’t been easy or successful, I have learnt quite a lot in a short period of time. In this area, it is useful to talk to people who have successful relationships and to learn from them.
  • Many people tend to neglect sleep, but optimising it can improve all areas of your life, by boosting your energy, mood, etc. Aim for a consistent sleep cycle of 6-10 hours, depending on each individual. Invest in stuff to make your sleep better, such as mattresses, pillows, diffuser, blackout curtains, white noise, etc.
  • Meditate daily to improve concentration, clear your mind, enhance your focus, and enjoy many more health benefits. Start with 5 minutes a day, and slowly increase to 1 hour a day. If it feels like a waste of time, think of it as sharpening your axe instead of using a blunt axe to chop a tree.
  • Do not neglect your health as well. The main areas of focus are physical exercise, stamina (cardio), flexibility, and most importantly, nutrition/diet. Aim to eat healthy, and take note of caloric surplus/deficit if you want to increase/decrease your weight.
  • Learn useful skills, and take up fun/creative hobbies, for example driving, cooking, dancing, learning a new language, coding, etc.
  • Read widely. The more I read, the more I realise I do not know. Stay humble, stay hungry. This year, I have focused my readings on relationships, philosophy, and psychology. for less serious reads, I also enjoy science fiction.
    • Philosophy helps one ponder the meaning of existence, and sheds some light on the fabric of reality. Most people blindly accept what has been spoon-fed to them, and do not stop to think for themselves and question whether it is indeed true.
    • Psychology helps one understand other people, and more importantly oneself.
  • When people near the end of their life, the thing they cherish most are relationships. These should be cultivated throughout your life. Learn to listen and help others, and be present. There are many levels to relationships – learn to connect with people on a deeper level.
  • The only way to be content is to embrace gratitude. Instead of wanting more, learn to give and contribute. Life is not a competition, there is no prize for struggling to reach the top in everything. The journey matters more.

Once again, thanks for all the birthday treats and gifts, and I will compile them below:

 

 

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thumbnail an unofficial guide to living our best life beyond financial freedom

If you are excited to get more life hacks, also check out: “Beyond Financial Freedom: An Unofficial Guide to Living Your Best Life”

skillsfuture feedback 2270621

Last weekend, we conducted another online workshop on the basics of trading and investing, and since it is a SkillsFuture Credit-Eligible Course, participants could use their SkillsFuture credits to pay for the course instead of cash.

Thanks for the support! ?

During the 9 hours of training, participants learnt portfolio strategies to build and protect their wealth, as well as trading skills like market-timing, chart-reading and risk management to improve their trading results.

Here is some of the feedback and learning points from participants, after our hands-on market analysis session to find trading opportunities in the market.

If you are keen to learn more using your SkillsFuture credits, you can check out our courses:

P.S. To ensure optimal learning, we have capped the maximum class size.

Register early to avoid disappointment!

Trading & Investing Skills

What is a SPAC and is it a Good Investment

You have probably come across the term SPAC and wondered, “what is a SPAC”?

SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, have been championed as a way to “democratize access to high-growth companies” while “dismantling the traditional capital market.”

In other words, they allow companies to raise money more easily, while at the same time giving investors a way to invest in these companies. However, it also comes with higher risk.

In this post, I’m going to talk about what a SPAC is, the difference between a SPAC and an IPO, and the benefits and risks of investing in SPACs.

SPAC

 

What Does ‘Going Public’ or “IPO” Mean?

Before we can answer the question of “what is a SPAC”, we first need to understand the traditional IPO way of listing a company.

No matter how big or small, every company needs one thing to thrive in the market: capital.

Yes, every organization requires funds to sustain operations, pay staff, repay loans, etc.

But what happens when a company’s profits fall short of expectations, or it needs more capital?

They raise money. For many private companies, going public has become the most attractive way to raise capital.

When a formerly private company decides to go public, it opens the door for new investors to invest in the company. In other words, it is selling its shares.

The investors obtain ownership of a tiny slice or share of the company by paying a specified sum. This is beneficial to both the company and the investors—while the company raises capital from investors, the investors receive a portion of the company’s profits in the form of dividends.

Going public is a win-win situation for both sides.

What we are calling “going public” is actually known as an Initial Public Offering (“IPO”). So, when a private company offers its shares to the public for the first time, that is called an IPO.

What’s the Downside?

While going public can work wonders for private companies, the process of filing for an IPO is exceedingly time-consuming.

So, if you need to raise capital urgently (say, to pay off debts), using the traditional route of IPO filing can be incredibly inconvenient.

Furthermore, there is a laundry list of disclosures that you must consider. You will be required to reveal your prospects, finances, and the whole shebang.

Before you get to pitch to your future investors, you will need to work with investment banks, risk assessors, and underwriters.

In other words, you must pass multiple checkpoints before you can list your company on the stock market.

Because there are checkpoints (and so many of them), the risks of rejection are higher. Not to mention the significant cost that companies must incur to become fully functional private enterprises.

How would you bear the costs if you are already cash-strapped?

Overall, there are many drawbacks to going public the old-fashioned way.

Isn’t there a more efficient way to go public? There is, of course.

This is where SPACs come into the picture.

What are SPACs?

So, what is a SPAC?

SPACs, Special Purpose Acquisition Companies, are an efficient and quick alternative for private companies to go public.

A SPAC is formed by a group of investors, business owners, industry experts, financial market experts, and high-network individuals. These individuals of high value help private companies become public without going through the traditional IPO process.

SPACs are also called “blank check companies” or “shell companies.” This means that these companies do not sell or produce any product or service; they have no commercial operations.

How do they make money then?

Well, SPACs raise capital through IPO, and the money they make is further invested in ‘acquiring’ a private company.

The funds raised by SPACs are collected in a trusted account until the SPAC finds a suitable company to acquire and invest in. This trusted account is called an interest-bearing account as all the members of the SPAC receive a certain amount of interest from the money collected in the bank account until they find a suitable company to acquire.

Another thing to keep in mind is that a SPAC cannot look for an ideal company to acquire forever. Every SPAC has to find a suitable firm within 24 months.

What if the SPAC does not find an ideal company to acquire in this period?

In this case, the money collected in the account is returned, and the SPAC is considered non-existent.

However, if the SPAC acquires a company within 24 months, there are two options that its founders have: they can either:

  1. Redeem their SPAC shares and book a profit or
  2. They can convert their SPAC shares into the shares of the newly acquired company.

Going public through SPAC benefits both the SPAC’s founders and the firm acquired.

The firm goes public and is listed, gaining access to liquidity. The SPAC members, on the other hand, become shareholders in the acquired company.

Now that we answered the question of “what is a SPAC”, let us look at the pros and cons of SPACs.

Benefits of SPACs

There are numerous benefits to going public through SPACs. Let’s have a look at some of them:

Quick and streamlined IPOs

Securing capital through SPACs is extremely easy and quick.

While IPOs usually take anywhere from 12 to 18 months, a SPAC merger takes only 3 to 6 months. So, if a company is in urgent need of money, going public via SPACs is the way to go.

Furthermore, any company can raise funds through SPACs irrespective of its size and experience. Growing companies usually find it hard to access liquidity due to the lack of a proven track record, but this is not an issue when a company chooses the SPAC route.

Cheaper IPOs

The cost of going public through an IPO is quite high. Small companies struggle to pay this amount because they lack the capital.

As a result, going public remains a pipe dream for many.

However, if they go public in a non-traditional, SPAC way, they will easily attract a large pool of valuable public investors.

This is attributable to the fact that SPACs price their IPOs at only $10 per share. And this amount is set in stone.

As a result, many public investors can purchase the shares, and the company receives the money it needs.

Liberty

SPACs are much more liberal when it comes to pricing the stocks.

They give a chance to the target company that they wish to acquire to negotiate and set the price of their stocks.

This is not possible in the traditional IPO process.

When a company goes public in the traditional manner, it is expected to set a price that is neither too high nor too low.

This means that there is a risk that the company will not receive the amount that it is worth. However, the valuation risk in SPAC IPOs is minimal.

Access to operational expertise

The founders of SPACs are highly skilled and experienced individuals, and they choose a target company from the industry they themselves belong to.

This means when a small, growing firm gets acquired, it receives access to its founders’ expertise.

Secondly, the professionalism of the SPAC founders boosts credibility and ensures returns and investor confidence.

Potential Risks for Investors

Though SPACs have been considered a risk-free route for companies to go public, there are a few risks for investors. Here are some of those:

Longer waiting period

As mentioned above, SPAC founders have up to 24 months to find the target company they will acquire. If you invest in a SPAC, you will have to wait that long before seeing any actual returns and earning your return on investment.

The unfortunate thing is that there is a possibility that a SPAC will not find its ideal to-be-acquired company within this time frame. For investors, it simply means a waste of two valuable years that they could have used to seize some profitable opportunities.

No guarantee of what your returns will look like

When a SPAC is formed, the founders have no knowledge of the company that they will acquire in the future. As a result, investors have no idea what their returns will be or whether they will obtain a higher return on investment.

Furthermore, SPAC founders are constantly under pressure to find their target company before the deadline, which is two years.

They often accept a terrible deal in the rush because they are afraid of not bagging any deal at all. This bad deal has a direct impact on the returns received by investors.

High chances of fraud

One of the primary reasons many private companies opt to go public through SPACs is fewer checkpoints and lenient screening.

The target company may not meet certain requirements due to a lack of stringent protocols and scrutiny.

This does not bode well for investors. If the target is of poor quality, the returns will be nothing to write home about.

Sole reliance on sponsors’ reputation

Investors must take a risk and invest based on the reputation and image of the sponsors in the market.

They become enthralled and eager to invest when they see the high-profile sponsors who launched the SPAC.

Aside from the sponsors’ reputation, there is no substantial document on which they can rely. As a result, they encounter a slew of roadblocks after investing.

Concluding Thoughts

SPACs are the biggest thing on Wall Street right now.

While it is an excellent opportunity for private companies to go public and raise much-needed funding, investors should weigh the pros and cons before investing to ensure that the deal is profitable for all parties involved.

Personally, I am not a big fan of SPACs, because I prefer to have more control over my investments, instead of giving a blank check to someone and hope that they pick a good investment on my behalf.

Now that I have shared all about SPACs and their pros and cons, what do you think of them? Do you think SPACs are a good investment? And if someone asks you “what is a SPAC”, will you be able to give them a quick summary?

Let me know in the comments below.

the 4 main types of trading strategies

In trading, despite the countless different strategies and setups that are used by traders all over the world, all these strategies can actually be traced back to these 4 core types:

  • Break (trading breakouts)
  • Swing (trend-following)
  • Bounce (counter-trend, mean reversion)
  • Turn (market reversals)

Each strategy type has its pros and cons, so in the future, when someone shares a trading strategy with you, you will instantly be able to see which category that trading strategy falls under, and hence deduce the pros and cons of the strategy.

 

types of trading strategies

1. Break (Trading Breakouts)

Breakouts happen when the market is in the ranging phase, and there is no clear trend in the market. As both the bulls and bears fight to gain control of the market, at some point either side wins, and prices break out of the sideways range and starts moving explosively in one direction.

2. Swing (Trend-following)

When the market is trending or starting to trend, it makes sense to ride the trend. Trend-following strategies are designed to detect the start of such trends, and get you in on them, as well as getting you out once the trend is over.

3. Bounce (Counter-trend, Mean Reversion)

Occasionally, there might be exceptionally strong short-term movements in the markets, such as a price spike on a news announcement, or a climatic buying or panic selling. When that happens, prices usually become overbought/oversold, and prices will have a rebound back to “normal” levels.

4. Turn (Market Reversals)

All markets and products follow certain large economic or trend cycles, which means that no matter how strong the trend, at some point it will exhaust the move and lead to a change in direction. This usually results in major turning points in the markets.

 

thumbnail beginner guide to trading and TA

If you would like to learn how to get started in trading, also check out: “The Beginner’s Guide to Trading & Technical Analysis”