Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Hagia Sophia Turkey

Now that the bears are back in action, the market has switched from “potential reversal” mode back to “risk off” mode, and the stock market has resumed its decline.

In last week’s market outlook video, we mentioned that the best trading opportunities will be shorting the stock/REITs market.

Over the past 2 weeks, we have seen some stock indices drop by more than 10%.

Will we see new lows before the year is over?

We will be adding more shorts on any pullbacks, but doing it in a way to maximise returns and minimise risk.

Want to join us in our big short of the year?

Check out out “Daily Trading Signals” private Telegram group for real-time entry signals!

 

Hagia Sophia Turkey

[Photo: Hagia Sophia, Turkey – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly market outlook 181222

Weekly Market Outlook (18 December 2022)

After the false breakout for stocks on the bullish CPI data, prices made a U-turn back down.

During the FOMC, the Fed hinted that a pivot is not so soon, which added to the bearishness.

There is a good chance of seeing new lows in the stock market.

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals portfolio 181222

Weekly Portfolio Updates (18 December 2022)

Added more short positions for stocks, and will continue adding more next week on any pullbacks.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals AUDCHF 201222

AUDCHF – Price is moving in our favour, can continue to hold for more downside! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals AUDJPY 201222

AUDJPY – Wow we did not expect it to hit our target in one day with 300+ pips profit! Congrats! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals CADJPY 201222

CADJPY – Strong downside breakout!

Headlines: “Nikkei 225 falls more than 2% after Bank of Japan widens yield target range, yen strengthens”

 

Trading Signals NZDCHF 181222

Can consider going long on NZDCHF during a tight stop below the 2-bar reversal.

 

Trading Signals WTIUSD 181222

Crude Oil (WTIUSD) on a long-term downtrend, and now has a pullback shorting opportunity.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals REET 171222

The long-awaited breakdown for Global REITs (REET) finally came as well, after running into the top of the trend channel.

It also formed a rising wedge just before the breakdown, which added to the bear conviction.

Congrats to those who joined in the shorts! 💰🔥💪🏻

I will be continuing to add more shorts, hopefully prices break new lows by the end of the year.

 

Trading Signals Inflation 211222

Biggest inflation movers of 2022.

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

2022 09 12 15 31 31

Last week, it was an eventful week filled with exciting news release, such as the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the FOMC rate announcements.

The CPI showed a lower than expected rate of inflation, so the markets rallied, but it turned out to be a false breakout as prices closed back down by the end of the day.

The next day, the FOMC announced rate hikes in line with expectations, but showed no signs of pivoting any time soon, so the bear market resumed (as we predicted), and prices started heading south.

There is a good chance of prices hitting new lows before the end of the year, so I will gradually accumulate more shorts as my profits (buffer) increase.

If you missed out on the excellent shorting opportunity last week, fear not, because there will be more pullback opportunities to short soon.

Join us for real-time updates and daily trading opportunities in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!

 

2022 09 12 15 31 31

[Photo: Iskanderkul Lake & Waterfall, Tajikistan – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 131222

Weekly Market Outlook (11 December 2022)

2 major pieces of news this week:
13 Dec – CPI data
14 Dec – FOMC

Stock market indices are at crucial points, so I have placed price triggers so that we will know the moment any breakout occurs.

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals portfolio updates 131222

Weekly Portfolio Updates (11 December 2022)

With unclear direction on the stock market, the best strategy now is to hold bonds for high yields.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals NZDCHF 141222

NZDCHF is forming a tight consolidation above the support level, can consider going long with a tight stop below the support level.


Trading Signals CHFJPY 131222

Following up on CHFJPY, it has gone up +399 pips profit since we made the call. Congrats to those who went long! 💰🔥💪🏻

Now, we will continue to hold and see if it can break out of the huge bull flag and make new highs.

 

Trading Signals EURAUD 141222

Exactly as predicted for EURAUD, congrats to those who went long! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals EURCAD 131222

Following up on EURCAD, it is up +673 pips profit since our call! Congrats to those who went long! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Trading Signals USDSGD 151222

Strong rebound on USDSGD as predicted, congrats to those who traded the bounce! 💰🔥💪🏻

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

market poll 171222

A market poll we did last week, and it seems almost 1/2 thought that the market will make new highs, while about 1/3 thought the market would make new lows.

 

Trading Signals all 3 markets 151222

After a false breakout a few days ago on the CPI data, all the 3 US stock indices (Dow Jones US30, Nasdaq 100 US100, S&P 500 US500) are now resuming the downtrend.

I have added more short positions. Will we see new lows before the year is over?

 

Trading Signals CPI news 141222

CPI with economist forecasts

 

Trading Signals FOMC news 121222

https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/12/fomc-preview-50bp-hike-increase.html

 

Trading Signals fed news 161222

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/fed-rate-decision-december-2022.html

 

Trading Signals US stocks bonds return 121222

US Stocks vs Bonds Returns 1926-2022

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals crypto news 131222

US prosecutors consider filing criminal charges against Binance and CZ for possible money laundering and sanction violations

Those with money in Binance, might want to start moving it out just in case:

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-justice-dept-is-split-over-charging-binance-crypto-world-falters-sources-2022-12-12/

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for?

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

2022 09 17 16 03 35

Last week, we anticipated that there would not be much action in the markets since the big news (CPI, FOMC) would only be happening this week.

That turned out to be true.

We also indicated that the best trading opportunities for last week were: Gold, Bonds (TLT), and possible USD rebound.

That turned out to be true as well, allowing us to make some quick profits.

We also found some excellent forex trades along the way, to add to the profit pile.

This week, we are expecting more exciting opportunities, and possibly a clearer trend direction, which will allow us to take larger trading positions for the medium/long-term.

Come join us in the “Daily Trading Signals” private Telegram channel for real-time signals and trading opportunities!

 

2022 09 17 16 03 35

[Photo: Samarkand, Uzbekistan – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals Weekly market outlook 041222

Weekly Market Outlook (04 December 2022)

Not much news this week, with all the big news next week.

Fed has signalled a slowing of rate hikes, which has been priced in last week,

But can markets really turn bullish while rates are still increasing (and kept at such high levels) for one more year?

Best trades this week are: Gold, Bonds (TLT), and possible USD rebound.

Additional point regarding divergence of US stock indices: for a bullish trend reversal to work, all 3 indices need to turn bullish, not just 1 or 2.

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals Weekly portfolio 051222

Weekly Portfolio Updates (04 December 2022)

Took some small short positions on stocks after the last week’s bullish run up.

If the Fed makes some bearish comments, the rebound might be short-lived.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals currency strength comparison 051222

Currency strength comparison

Trading Signals EURCAD 051222

Following up on the EURCAD, it is up 481 pips profit since our call, congrats to those who went long! ????

 

Trading Signals USDJPY 051222

Following up on the short trade on USDJPY, it has hit the profit target at the support level! ????

The RSI is now in the oversold region, so it is likely to have some rebound.

 

Trading Signals AUDJPY 051222

Looks like a giant rising wedge breakdown for AUDJPY, and if prices stay below the 200-EMA, it is an additional sign of bearishness.

Good chance that it will continue falling to the next support level.

 

Trading Signals CHFJPY 051222

Confluence of support for CHFJPY, at the previous resistance-turned-support level, and the channel line of the trend channel.

Major trend is still bullish, so this is a potential larger pullback again the major trend.

 

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 051222

Following up on Gold (XAUUSD), it has rebounded off the support zone as predicted, and is now hovering slightly above all 3 EMAs.

If it can hold above that, and form a small consolidation zone, prices have a good chance of heading higher.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals TLT bond 051222

Following up on the 20-yr Bond ETF (TLT), the price recently crossed above the 20 & 50 EMAs.

If prices can stay above those 2 EMAs, and build a small base, it has a good chance of breaking higher.

We need to wait for a consolidation or pullback before entering because prices are now a bit overbought (refer to RSI).

 

Trading Signals Dow news 051222

The Dow is beating the broader market to a degree not seen in nearly a century.

With the Fed set to keep raising rates into next year, investors and strategists say the Dow could continue to lead the market.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/dow-shines-as-higher-rates-squeeze-nasdaqs-tech-stocks-11670099206

 

Trading Signals Fed monthly meeting 041222

This is the final monthly employment report before the Fed’s two-day meeting on Dec. 13 and 14, in which the central bank is expected to raise its fed funds target rate by a half percentage point. A 50 basis point increase would mark a slowing from the prior 75 basis point rate hikes set by the central bank.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/01/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

 

Trading Signals inflation news 051222

https://www.wsj.com/articles/must-inflation-be-brought-down-all-the-way-to-2-11670162817

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Antalya Turkey

Last week, the Fed mentioned that they will be slowing down the interest rate hikes, and the market reacted positively to this news.

This was a bit different from what I was expecting, but the rule of trading is to go with the flow of the market and trade according, which means that if my positions are on the wrong side, I am ready to close them and switch sides.

As I mentioned in last week’s video, in such choppy markets, we should not be taking large positions, instead we should be saving most of our ammunition for when the trend becomes clear.

If the Fed decides to slow the rate hikes, this could hint that the market has already bottomed, but on the other hand, even keeping rates at current elevated levels for a year could trigger a recession, so which is the more likely outcome for the stock market?

I will be covering that in this week’s market outlook video, as well as the direction for all major asset classes.

Stay tuned, and see you in our Daily Trading Signals private Telegram channel!

 

Antalya Turkey

[Photo: Antalya, Turkey – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market outlook 281122

Weekly Market Outlook (27 November 2022)

NFP is this Friday, so all eyes on this data. Strong jobs might actually be bad for the market.

Unrest in China is another bearish factor for global markets.

Either stay flat, or take small short positions.

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals weekly portfolio updates 271122

Weekly Portfolio Updates (27 November 2022)

Added more US T-bills to my portfolio, since the markets are quite flat, and yields are above 4.5%.

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals EURCAD 291122

Following up on the EURCAD, if there is follow-through on today’s strong white bar, there is a good chance of prices continuing higher.

 

Trading Signals AUDJPY 021222

AUDJPY Crossing 91.797
Euro vs Japanese Yen
Break swing low

 

Trading Signals EURAUD 301122

EURAUD Crossing 1.55769
Break swing highs!

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 291122

The NASDAQ 100 (US100) still hovering at resistance, but get ready to short once it breaks the red level.

 

Trading Signals US100 301122

Finally the action is starting on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), after breaking back into the range.

Added on more short positions, but still not going all-in yet because of NFP this Friday.

 

Trading Signals Employment news 021222

This is the final monthly employment report before the Fed’s two-day meeting on Dec. 13 and 14, in which the central bank is expected to raise its fed funds target rate by a half percentage point. A 50 basis point increase would mark a slowing from the prior 75 basis point rate hikes set by the central bank.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/01/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

 

Trading Signals SP500 news 261122

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/11/the-sp-500-is-not-the-economy/

 

Trading Signals Fed news 011222

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/30/fed-chair-jerome-powell-says-smaller-rate-hikes-could-come-in-december.html

 

Crypto Market Highlights

Trading Signals BTCUSD 291122

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) still looking bearish, with prices forming a small bear flag after breaking new lows.

 

 

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!

Cappadocia Turkey

Last week, the markets were pretty quiet, after the sharp rebound in the previous weeks.

It seems like the rebound has run out of steam, and there is no major news to influence the direction of the market either way.

The direction might only be clearer after the next major news announcement (NFP, CPI, FOMC), so it is best not to take any large bets in the meantime.

That said, on the forex and crypto front, there were many good swing trading opportunities.

There is a good chance that price might break out next week, so I have placed price triggers to alert me (and all my subscribers) the moment any breakout happens.

Stay tuned in our Daily Trading Signals private Telegram channel!

 

Cappadocia Turkey

[Photo: Cappadocia, Turkey – See my full travel photo log!]

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? Trading Signals Commodity 050322 emoji

 

Weekly Market Outlook Video

Trading Signals weekly market ooutlook vdeo 221122

Weekly Market Outlook (20 November 2022)

Best trades this week are shorting crypto and going long on USD rebound.

Stocks have been flat almost 2 weeks, so I have placed price alerts for when it breaks out of either side.

 

Portfolio Highlights

Trading Signals portfolio updates 221122

Weekly Portfolio Updates (20 November 2022)

Bought some long-term fixed income (TLT), and more short-term fixed income (T-bills).

 

Forex & Commodities Market Highlights

Trading Signals EURCAD 241122

Following up on EURCAD, there was a perfect long pullback opportunity as we mentioned, and prices have started heading up.

Will continue to add longs on any pullback, or pullbacks on a smaller timeframe.

 

Trading Signals NZDUSD 241122

Very strong price action for NZDUSD, after breaking out of the bearish price channel.

If it can break and stay above the 200-EMA, good chances of prices making new highs.

 

Trading Signals USDJPY 241122

With the USD weakening, we see a nice bear flag forming on the USDJPY, which will likely take prices lower to the next major support level, which coincides with the 200-EMA.

 

Trading Signals XAUUSD 231122

Gold (XAUUSD) rebounding off strong support, with 2 major resistance levels ahead that can serve as targets.

 

Stock & Bond Market Highlights

Trading Signals US100 241122

Following up on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), it is forming a small bull flag.

Currently, the price action looks bullish, so I would either stay out or take a short-term long position.

If it breaks below the price alert set at 11500, then I will look to short.

Trading Signals goldman 221122

Trading Signals SP 500 221122

S&P500: Morgan Stanley YE 2023 Price Targets

Trading Signals inflation news 251122

Once inflation breaks above 8%, they find, “reverting to 3% usually takes 6 to 20 years, with a median of over 10 years.”

Only 30% of the time in the past 52 years has inflation peaked between 8% and 10% and then gone back down. In the other 70% of the time, once it’s made it over 8% it had risen above 10%.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/history-says-inflation-could-persist-for-a-decade-11668642697

 

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!