Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Thumbnail design for 10 March 2024

Thumbnail design for 10 March 2024

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week provided nuanced signals regarding the U.S. labor market’s trajectory, as the unemployment rate slightly increased, indicating a subtle cooling phase.

Despite surpassing job growth expectations with 275,000 positions added in February, a downward revision of the previous month’s figures and a tick up in unemployment to 3.9% hinted at an evolving labor dynamic.

This slight shift, alongside moderating wage growth from 4.5% to 4.3% year over year, suggests a gradual move towards balancing the labor market, potentially easing inflation pressures in the process.

These developments align with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony hinting at a nearing confidence threshold for initiating rate cuts, with markets now anticipating approximately four rate reductions in 2024.

Observations from the manufacturing and services sectors, as well as the January JOLTS report, further underscored the labor market’s moderation, with both employment indexes contracting and job openings decreasing to 8.9 million from a high of 12.2 million.

Such trends bolster the Fed’s inclination towards a more accommodative policy stance as early as June, potentially supporting a continuing, though possibly more tempered, market advancement.

Despite a slight retreat in stock indices and a rise in bond markets last week, the overarching market sentiment remains optimistic, underpinned by expectations for ongoing inflation moderation, forthcoming Fed rate cuts, and a generally resilient labor market.

As the financial landscape navigates through these adjustments, investors are advised to view potential market volatility as an opportunity to enhance and diversify their investment portfolios.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

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amd 4 daily trading signals 110324

 

Trading Signals Discussion 3
Trading Signals Discussion 4

 

Trading Signals Discussion 2

 

Trading Signals Discussion 1

 

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thumbnail image 4 March 2024 webp

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

The past week saw continued momentum in the stock market, with the S&P 500 marking notable gains and several global indexes hitting all-time highs, reflecting robust market confidence.

Despite a rise in rates, equities showed resilience, buoyed by strong Q4 corporate earnings, AI enthusiasm, and solid economic growth indicators.

However, the bond market experienced losses, adjusting to renewed rate hike expectations and economic data suggesting a moderated yet persistent inflation path.

The market’s performance underscores opportunities for diversified investment strategies, focusing on sectors poised for growth as the Fed’s policy shifts.

This week, the focus shifts to a mix of political events and economic indicators that could sway market dynamics.

The political arena will be highlighted by the President’s State of the Union address, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, and the Super Tuesday primary elections, each potentially offering new directions or insights into policy and economic forecasts.

These political milestones are complemented by crucial economic updates, with Friday’s jobs report spotlighting February’s employment trends, closely preceded by data on private sector payrolls and job openings.

In the corporate world, the week is rich with earnings reports from key players across various sectors.

Retail giants Target, Costco, and Ross Stores are scheduled to unveil their earnings, providing a glimpse into consumer spending trends.

Additionally, the tech sector will also be under the microscope, with CrowdStrike and Broadcom among the companies reporting their financial performance.

These reports, coupled with the week’s political and economic events, could offer investors valuable indicators of market health and consumer confidence.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading SIgnals BTCUSD 270224

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bitcoin is also on a strong upward trajectory, easily clearing the $55k level and a good chance it will hit the $60k level soon, which will put it near the previous ATHs of $69k. 🔥

 

Trading SIgnals AMD 270224

Trading SIgnals AMD 080324

Congrats! Yup $225 does sound like a good price target.

 

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thumbnail image for 26 Feb 24

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week, the stock market’s momentum continued, with the S&P 500 reaching a new record high, underscoring a strong start to 2024 with a 24% gain since October.

This rally, fueled by the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a resilient economy, is noteworthy for its breadth and the substantial role of consumer spending.

Despite concerns over concentrated leadership, particularly in tech sectors buoyed by AI enthusiasm, and the potential for market volatility, the underlying strength in earnings and economic fundamentals suggests the bull market has room to grow.

This week, anticipation builds for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release on Thursday, a critical indicator for both the Federal Reserve and market participants monitoring inflation trends.

The Fed’s assessment of this data, along with subsequent remarks from several of its officials, will be keenly observed for insights into future monetary policy directions amidst ongoing economic evaluations.

Furthermore, an array of corporate earnings reports is on the horizon, with notable companies across various sectors, including Workday, Lowe’s, Salesforce, Paramount Global, Anheuser-Busch InBev, and Dell Technologies, poised to share their quarterly performance.

Additionally, forthcoming updates on the housing market and consumer confidence will offer further clues on the economic landscape, potentially impacting investor sentiment and market movements.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

DTS ethereum 270224

Trading Signals ETHUSD 140224
Trading Signals ETHUSD 210224

Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Finally managed to break the $3000 level! 🚀🚀🚀

Using a rough projection, will consider taking some profits at $3200.

DTS ethereum2 270224

Great call on ETH, i have been buying with you since around $2000 as well. Do you think this cycle it can surpass the previous price high?

 

DTS nvda2 270224

DTS nvda 270224

Trading Signals NVDA 230224

Nvidia (NVDA) – Strong gap up on great earnings, getting very close to our first target of $850! 💪

 

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blog post thumbnail 200224

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week’s economic updates presented a mixed picture, with January’s CPI and PPI data coming in higher than expected, causing concern among investors.

Despite this, the overall trend still points towards a favorable direction for inflation, with headline CPI at 3.1% year-over-year, slightly above forecasts but lower than the previous month.

Core inflation remained sticky at 3.9%. On the other hand, PPI inflation showed a year-over-year increase, suggesting that while producer prices are above expectations, they’ve decreased from the highs of 2022.

The data suggests inflation is moderating, albeit with complexities such as the significant role of shelter and rent in CPI figures.

Amid these inflation trends, the market’s expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have been adjusted, now anticipating fewer cuts starting possibly in June.

This adjustment aligns more closely with the Fed’s cautious approach, waiting for clearer signs of sustained inflation reduction.

Despite initial market reactions to the inflation reports, there’s a sense of stability as the focus shifts to the upcoming PCE inflation data, the Fed’s preferred inflation metric.

This data, along with the ongoing strength in the labor market and consumer spending, albeit with some signs of slowing, will be crucial in shaping the Fed’s policy direction in the coming months.

This week promises significant developments for investors and policy watchers, starting with a pause on Monday due to the Presidents Day holiday.

Post-holiday, the financial landscape buzzes with anticipation for a series of earnings reports from major companies such as Nvidia, Walmart, Home Depot, and Palo Alto Networks, alongside Intel’s inaugural conference highlighting its foundry business expansions.

These events are poised to offer fresh insights into corporate health and industry trends, potentially influencing market directions.

Adding to the week’s importance, the Federal Reserve is set to release the minutes from its January policy meeting, a move eagerly awaited for clues on future interest rate decisions.

This disclosure, along with speeches from Fed officials, will shed light on the central bank’s current economic assessments and monetary policy outlook.

Furthermore, the government’s discussions on new student loan repayment schemes are on the agenda, potentially impacting broader economic perspectives and consumer sentiment.

 

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals COIN 100224

Coinbase (COIN) – After correcting almost 40% in the last few weeks, prices have reach a major support level.

Seems like a good low risk entry opportunity with a stoploss around $110, and first target around the previous high.

 

Trading Signals COIN 170224

Coinbase (COIN) – Wow this is one of our best trades this year, in just 7 trading days, we made 50% returns!

Congrats to everyone who took this trade with us! 👏🔥💰

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD 140224

Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Wow just broke new highs, very strong bullish momentum now.

Congrats to everyone who has been holding with us since $2000+! 💰🔥👍

 

Trading Signals ETHUSD2 5 140224

Trading Signals ETHUSD3 140224

 

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blog post thumbnail 120224

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week marked a significant milestone with the S&P 500 crossing the 5,000 threshold, signaling a robust market despite recent economic uncertainties.

This achievement reflects a market that has shown remarkable resilience and strength, moving beyond the recession fears that dominated headlines a year ago.

The surge in interest for “Taylor Swift” over “recession” in financial search trends illustrates a shift in public focus, underscoring a more optimistic growth and inflation outlook.

Despite the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, the consumer sector has remained vibrant, supported by strong discretionary spending, although there are emerging signs of consumer fatigue.

The overall economic environment suggests a slowdown but not a downturn, with sectors like housing and manufacturing showing signs of recovery as the Fed prepares to pivot towards rate cuts.

The job market’s robust performance, highlighted by unexpected payroll growth, further supports the narrative of a resilient economy.

This labor market strength, coupled with a decline in consumer credit growth and a normalization in mortgage-delinquency rates, paints a picture of a healthy but cautious consumer backdrop.

This week promises to offer crucial insights into the state of inflation and consumer spending in the U.S. economy.

The spotlight will be on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Tuesday, which could influence Federal Reserve decisions if inflation shows signs of persisting or declining.

Additionally, Thursday’s retail sales data will provide a glimpse into consumer behavior at the start of the year, reflecting on the broader economic health.

The homebuilder confidence index will also be released, offering further indications of the housing market’s momentum amidst ongoing economic shifts.

On the corporate front, a series of earnings reports are anticipated, with market participants keenly awaiting figures from major players such as Coca-Cola Co., Cisco Systems Inc., and Stellantis NV.

These reports could not only shed light on individual company performances but also provide broader insights into various economic sectors.

As these developments unfold, investors and analysts will be closely analyzing the data to gauge the potential impact on market trends and monetary policy decisions.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

Trading Signals CON 100224

Coinbase (COIN) – Following up on this trade, we are currently up +20% profit!

Congrats to those who took this trade with us! 💰🔥💪

 

Trading Signals NET 100224

Cloudflare (NET) – Following up on this trade call, we are now up over +40% profit!

Congrats to those who took this trade with us! 💰🔥💪

 

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