Cryptocurrencies have gained mainstream popularity in recent years, prompting many traders to consider whether they should focus solely on crypto markets or try to balance trading in both crypto and forex markets. This article explores the similarities and differences between these two asset classes to help you make an informed decision.

Similarities Between Crypto Markets and Forex Markets

To begin trading in either market, you’ll need a trading account and a modern device with a stable internet connection. If you already have experience trading forex, you’ll find it relatively easy to learn the basics of crypto trading, and vice versa. Both markets offer widely available charts and fast execution, allowing you to focus on your trading strategies.

Like forex, crypto markets are driven by the balance of supply and demand. Prices rise when buyers outnumber sellers and fall when sellers outnumber buyers. Therefore, you can use familiar indicators and chart patterns when trading in both markets.

Differences Between Crypto Markets and Forex Markets

While crypto and forex trading may appear similar on the surface, several key differences set them apart.

Number of Available Instruments

In forex trading, most traders focus on major currency pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and a few others. Some traders may venture into exotic currency pairs, which include a major currency paired with the currency of a developing economy.

In contrast, there are over 11,000 different cryptocurrencies, with the number continually growing. While some, like Bitcoin and Ethereum, are widely traded, many others are only familiar to dedicated crypto enthusiasts. The sheer number of cryptocurrencies provides a broader range of instruments in the crypto market, though it’s impossible to track them all. As a result, traders must create a focused watchlist of coins to monitor.

Liquidity

The forex market is extremely liquid, with trading volumes exceeding $6.6 trillion in 2019. This high liquidity means that regardless of your position size, you can easily buy or sell a currency pair with minimal slippage. This ensures that you can exit a trade at a price close to what you see on the screen.

In contrast, the total market cap of cryptocurrencies is under $2 trillion, with Bitcoin alone accounting for more than 45% of this value. Most cryptocurrencies lack the liquidity seen in Bitcoin, making it challenging to execute trades at desired prices for lesser-known coins.

Huge Differences Between Coins

The vast number of cryptocurrencies leads to significant differences between various coins. Traders interested in lesser-known cryptocurrencies must delve deeply into their fundamentals. Given the impossibility of tracking all opportunities in the crypto market, traders typically focus on a select few coins they understand well, creating a watchlist similar in size to that of a typical forex trader.

Volatility

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, with prices capable of making large swings in short periods. For example, Bitcoin started the year at $29,000, surged to $65,000, dropped to $30,000, and then rebounded to $45,000, all within a few months. Such drastic movements are uncommon in forex markets, where volatility is generally lower, except in exotic pairs. While forex offers more controlled risk, crypto markets present greater profit potential due to their volatility.

Profit Potential

Crypto markets have gained popularity because they offer opportunities for significant profits. However, this comes with increased risk, as many coins may lose value or even become worthless if their underlying projects fail or if capital shifts to more established coins.

In forex, traders can enhance their profit potential by using leverage, which allows them to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital. However, leverage also increases risk, so it’s essential to manage exposure carefully.

Market Hours

The crypto market operates 24/7, while the forex market is open 24 hours a day, five days a week. This difference has a significant impact on lifestyle. Forex traders can take weekends off, while crypto traders must stay connected to the market at all times, as cryptocurrencies often experience significant movements during weekends.

Although both markets are open 24 hours, forex market activity follows a regular pattern driven by institutional traders, whereas the crypto market is still largely influenced by individual traders and small crypto firms, with institutional involvement gradually increasing.

Security

Crypto markets are still in their early stages, and regulations are being developed worldwide. Crypto traders face counterparty risks, including the possibility of scams and hacking incidents. For example, hackers recently stole $600 million from Poly Network, although some of the funds were later returned.

In contrast, the forex market is heavily regulated, reducing the risks for traders. However, forex traders should still verify their broker’s reputation and ensure they are operating under appropriate regulations.

Concluding Thoughts

When deciding between crypto and forex trading, consider your financial goals, available capital, trading style, and lifestyle preferences.

The best approach is to try both markets with small accounts to see which one aligns with your needs. After a few months of trading, you’ll have a clearer understanding of which market suits you best.

Remember, you don’t have to choose between crypto and forex trading exclusively. You can take advantage of the opportunities in both markets to diversify your trading strategies and potentially maximize your returns.

When comparing forex and the stock market, the most significant difference lies in what you are trading. Forex, or foreign exchange, is a market for buying and selling currencies, whereas the stock market deals in shares, representing ownership in a company. Your choice between trading currencies or stocks should primarily depend on your interest in the specific asset, but other factors also come into play.

Market Trading Hours

Market hours can significantly influence your trading approach and the time you need to monitor the markets.

The forex market operates globally, allowing trading 24 hours a day, five days a week. This constant availability offers numerous trading opportunities but also carries the risk of market movements occurring while you are not actively monitoring it. A robust risk management strategy, including the use of stops and limits, is essential to protect your trades from unnecessary losses.

The best times to trade forex are when the market is most active, typically during the overlap of two trading sessions. For example, the GBP/USD pair sees increased activity when London and New York sessions overlap between 12 pm to 4 pm (London time), offering higher liquidity, faster transactions, and potentially lower spreads.

In contrast, share trading is generally limited to the specific opening hours of the stock exchange where the shares are listed. However, many exchanges now offer extended trading hours, allowing traders to act on news events even when the market is closed.

Market Influences

Another key difference between forex and stock trading is the factors that move market prices. While both markets are driven by supply and demand, the specifics vary.

In stock trading, you focus on factors directly impacting a particular company, such as its debt levels, cash flows, earnings, and broader sector health. Economic data, news reports, and overall market sentiment also play significant roles.

Forex trading, on the other hand, involves a broader set of influences, as you must consider the macroeconomic factors of multiple countries. This includes analyzing unemployment rates, inflation, GDP, and political events in the countries whose currencies you are trading. Since forex involves buying one currency while selling another, understanding the performance of both economies is crucial.

Liquidity

Liquidity, or the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold, is another important factor.

Forex is the largest financial market in the world, with extremely high liquidity, frequently seeing daily turnovers in the trillions of dollars. However, liquidity can vary depending on the currency pair and the time of day, with major pairs like EUR/USD generally being the most liquid.

The stock market, while still highly liquid, sees fewer daily trades compared to forex. Blue-chip stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Facebook are usually the most liquid, with a large number of buyers and sellers available. However, liquidity can decrease significantly when dealing with less popular or smaller-cap stocks.

Volatility

Volatility measures the likelihood of significant and unforeseen price changes in a market.

Forex markets are known for their high volatility due to the ease of trading and the large volume of transactions. While forex prices often trade within small ranges, they can change rapidly, especially in response to political, economic, or social events. Traders must stay informed about global events to manage the risks associated with this volatility.

The stock market tends to have more stable price patterns that can be tracked over time, though it is not immune to volatility, particularly during times of political or economic uncertainty. For instance, the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced sharp declines in March 2018 due to trade tensions between the U.S. and China.

Trading in volatile markets can present opportunities for profit but also comes with increased risks, necessitating careful management to avoid unnecessary losses.

Leverage

Leverage allows traders to gain greater exposure to the market with a smaller amount of capital, which is a common feature in both forex and stock trading.

Leverage is more frequently associated with forex trading, often with much higher ratios, sometimes up to 200:1 in certain countries. While leverage can amplify returns, it also increases the potential for significant losses, making it a double-edged sword.

Regardless of the market, understanding your exposure and the associated risks is essential when trading on leverage.

Going Long or Short

When choosing between forex and the stock market, it’s important to consider whether you can short-sell – a strategy that involves profiting from a market’s decline.

Forex trading inherently involves shorting one currency while buying another, giving traders easy access to falling markets.

In stock trading, traditionally, investors could only take long positions, benefiting from a rise in a company’s stock value. However, with the advent of derivative products like CFDs (Contracts for Difference), traders can now go long or short on stocks, enabling them to capitalize on market movements in either direction.

Concluding Thoughts

Ultimately, the decision to trade forex or stocks depends on your personal preferences, risk tolerance, and trading style.

If you prefer a fast-paced environment with ample short-term trading opportunities, forex might be the better choice, especially for day traders, scalp traders, or swing traders. On the other hand, if you’re interested in short to mid-term trends with potentially lower volatility, the stock market may be more suitable.

Understanding the nuances of each market and aligning them with your financial goals will help you make an informed decision.

The foreign exchange (forex) market is the global hub where banks, institutions, and individuals engage in buying, selling, and exchanging currencies. As the largest financial market worldwide, it recorded an impressive daily trading volume of $7.5 trillion in 2022. This market, comprising banks, central banks, commercial companies, hedge funds, retail forex brokers, and individual investors, has grown over sevenfold in daily trading value since the early 2000s.

Understanding the Forex Market

Unlike other financial markets, the forex market is decentralized, functioning through a global network of computers and brokers. Forex brokers often act as market makers, setting buy and sell prices for currency pairs, sometimes differing from the most competitive market bids.

As an OTC market, the forex market facilitates direct trading between parties, supported by brokers. Interbank trading plays a significant role, impacting exchange rate fluctuations as major banks trade currencies for various purposes, such as hedging risks and adjusting balance sheets.

In October 2023, North America’s OTC foreign exchange market had an average daily trading volume of $1.021 billion.

Forex Market Operations

The forex market operates continuously from Monday morning in Asia to Friday afternoon in New York, unlike other markets that close in the late afternoon EST. However, some emerging market currencies may have short breaks during the trading day.

History of the Forex Market

Before World War I, currencies were tied to precious metals like gold and silver. This system was abandoned during the Great Depression and World War II, leading to the creation of the Bretton Woods Agreement. This agreement established the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank and pegged international currencies to the U.S. dollar, replacing gold. However, in 1971, President Richard Nixon ended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, leading to free-floating exchange rates determined by market forces.

Since then, the forex market has undergone significant changes due to technological advancements, regulatory updates, and global economic events. The U.S. dollar continues to be the dominant reserve currency worldwide.

Forex Currency Pairs

In the forex market, currencies are traded in pairs, where one currency is quoted against another. For example, in the EUR/USD pair, the euro is the base currency, and the U.S. dollar is the quote currency. The exchange rate shows how much of the quote currency is needed to purchase one unit of the base currency.

Recent Developments in Forex

The introduction of electronic trading platforms in the 1990s transformed the forex market, making it more accessible, efficient, and liquid. Key regulatory changes, such as the launch of the euro in 1999, significantly impacted currency trading. Economic crises, including the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, have also led to increased volatility in currency markets.

Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CAD dominate global forex transactions due to their economic and political significance. While emerging market currencies like the Chinese yuan (CNY) and Indian rupee (INR) have gained traction, they still trail the most traded currencies.

Cryptocurrencies have introduced a new aspect to the forex market, though they represent a small fraction of daily trading volumes. Despite their growing popularity, cryptocurrency trading remains minimal compared to the vast amounts traded in traditional fiat currencies.

Types of Forex Markets

The forex market can be categorized into three main types: spot, forward, and futures markets.

1. Spot Forex Market: This market involves the immediate exchange of currencies at the current exchange rate. It accounts for the majority of daily forex transactions, with significant participation from commercial and investment banks.
– Features include ease of access, decentralization, immediate settlement, and real-time rate reflection.

2. Forward Forex Market: In this market, two parties agree to exchange currencies at a predetermined future date and price. These contracts are typically used for hedging and can be customized, although they are less liquid.
– Key characteristics include hedging opportunities, customization, privacy, and counterparty risk.

3. Futures Forex Market: Futures markets are similar to forward markets but are traded on centralized exchanges, offering greater liquidity and transparency while reducing counterparty risk.
– Features include exchange-trading, margin requirements, and public price availability.

Other Forex Markets

Options Market: This market allows traders to buy or sell currency options, giving them the right, but not the obligation, to exchange currency at a specified rate before a set date. It is used for both hedging and speculative purposes.
Swap Market: In the swap market, two parties exchange cash flows in different currencies, often used by banks to manage currency exposure and liquidity.

Forex Market Examples

Spot Market Example: A trader exchanges $1,000 for euros at an exchange rate of 1.08, anticipating that the dollar will weaken. If the exchange rate later rises to 1.10, the trader profits from the change in currency value.
Swap Forex Example: Two banks in different countries agree to swap currencies and later return them at an agreed rate, managing currency exposure and ensuring liquidity.

Types of Forex Trading

Hedging: Used to protect against unfavorable currency movements, common among multinational corporations.
Speculation: Involves taking risks to profit from short-term currency fluctuations.
Arbitrage: Exploits price differences in different markets to make a profit.
Interest Rate Differences: Capitalizes on varying interest rates between countries.
Diversification: Forex trading can diversify a portfolio, reducing risk by spreading investments across different asset classes.

Pros and Cons of Forex Trading

Advantages:
– 24-hour market with high liquidity and low transaction costs.
– Leverage can amplify gains significantly.

Disadvantages:
– Less regulation increases counterparty risk.
– High volatility and leverage can lead to substantial losses.

Can You Get Rich by Trading Forex?

While forex trading can be highly profitable, particularly for those with significant capital and expertise, it is also very risky. Individual traders must be well-prepared and disciplined to succeed.

Getting Started with Forex Trading

To begin trading forex, it is essential to develop a solid understanding of the market and create a trading strategy. Most forex accounts can be opened with as little as $100, but investing more may be necessary to effectively implement trading strategies and cover associated costs.

Concluding Thoughts

Forex trading offers flexibility and significant potential rewards but comes with considerable risks. Successful trading requires a disciplined approach, robust risk management, and continuous learning. While forex trading can be highly rewarding, it is crucial to approach it cautiously and with a well-informed strategy to mitigate the inherent risks.

Last weekend, we conducted another online workshop on the basics of trading and investing, and since it is a SkillsFuture Credit-Eligible Course, participants could use their SkillsFuture credits to pay for the course instead of cash.

Thanks for the support!

During the 9 hours of training, participants learnt portfolio strategies to build and protect their wealth, as well as trading skills like market-timing, chart-reading and risk management to improve their trading results.

Here is some of the feedback and learning points from participants, after our hands-on market analysis session to find trading opportunities in the market.

If you are keen to learn more using your SkillsFuture credits, you can check out our courses:

P.S. To ensure optimal learning, we have capped the maximum class size.

Register early to avoid disappointment!

 

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Thumbnail banner weekly market wrap x3

Thumbnail banner weekly market wrap x3

For subscribers of our “Daily Trading Signals”, we now also include a “Weekly Market Report”, where we provide a weekly deep-dive on the market, including fundamentals, technicals, economics, and portfolio management:

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Market Recap & Upcoming Week

Last week was marked by significant financial and technological achievements with tech giants Google and Microsoft posting impressive earnings. Both companies showcased enhanced revenue growth and profitability for the quarter ending in June. A highlight was the resurgence of Google’s main advertising business after two quarters of decline, and Microsoft’s cloud and enterprise software sectors exceeded Wall Street expectations despite a global slowdown in tech spending.

Additionally, the duo’s commitment to generative AI technology was noteworthy. With Microsoft’s proactive adoption of this technology, its stock experienced a 46% surge since the start of the year. Google-parent Alphabet, meanwhile, saw a moderate 39% stock increase this year, further boosted by a 6% jump after their recent earnings report.

Meanwhile, on the stock market front, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record with its 12th consecutive day of gains, significantly assisted by a surge in 3M shares. Despite 3M reporting a quarterly loss due to a litigation settlement, the company’s shares rose 5.3% after it announced improved margins and an increase in its yearly earnings expectations.

The U.S. Federal Reserve also raised interest rates by 0.25% in response to ongoing inflation, marking the highest policy rate in 16 years. Internationally, rumors of a possible shift in Japan’s longstanding bond yield repression policy caused minor upheaval in U.S. markets, triggering a rise in Treasury yields and a reversal rally in the S&P 500. This speculation, if confirmed, could signal a more restrictive policy stance in Japan, potentially disrupting international trades tied to Japanese markets.

As the earnings season carries on, the market eagerly anticipates reports from tech giants such as Apple and Amazon. These high-profile companies’ financial results will need to significantly exceed expectations to drive share prices further. Given their current near-all-time-high status, any average earnings reported could potentially lead to a decrease in share prices.

Investors also await economic data, including the June JOLTS report and ADP’s National Employment Report, as well as the July nonfarm payrolls report to get insights into the state of the labor market. Adding to the roster of vital data is a series of PMI readings from S&P Global and the ISM, which will offer indications of the health of the manufacturing sector.

Investors will also keep an eye on the eurozone’s inflation and GDP numbers, potentially influencing international investment decisions. Finally, the Bank of England’s interest rate decision will be critical as markets globally adjust to changing monetary policy signals.

Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Subscribe for real-time alerts and weekly reports:
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Trading Signals USDSGD 280723

USDSGD – Prices were unable to break the support despite multiple tries, this is a sign of bullishness.

 

Trading Signals NZDCAD 280723

NZDCAD – Prices are now halfway to the TP, will continue holding. 💪🏻

 

Trading Signals US100 280723

NASDAQ 100 (US100) – Prices tried breaking higher but got rejected and closed lower. This shows a lack of buying conviction and could lead to a small correction.

 

Trading Signals 3067 280723

China tech stocks ETF (3067) – Following up, prices have broke above the mini ascending triangle, and are likely to test the prior swing high.