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Last week, we had an epic week, with stock indices swinging up and down on alternate days, giving swing traders one of the best opportunities to trade.

Yields plunged (which meant bonds spiked), Gold was up, and oil was also bearish.

In this post, I will be giving an update on 2 of my largest positions:

  • Short position on Crude Oil
  • Short position on S&P 500

 

Short position on Crude Oil

For those of you following my last blog post or my Telegram channel, you will know that I have been stacking my short positions in oil for quite a while, and recently with the price war OPEC, Russia and the US are having, prices are on a downward spiral.

Just today, prices plunged 25-30% in one day!

I have taken the chance to cover my positions, and recently initiated a long position at $30, as I feel that it is a bit oversold, and prices are very near the lows back in 2003 and 2016, so maybe negotiations might start again to push prices back up.

 

Short position on S&P 500

For those who have been following closely, you will also know that I have been short on the stock market, using the S&P 500 as a benchmark.

At the first sign of decline, I posted this predictive roadmap, which has turned out be be uncannily accurate.

 

Simply by following this, my students and I have managed to stay one step ahead in the market, and we have been profiting handsomely both from long and short positions.

As I mentioned in my last trading video, you need a solid trading plan if you want to be able to make money from the markets, instead of chasing price movements blindly.

 


This is where we are the moment in the roadmap, and I am still holding my short positions.

Is this a good time to start buying?

In the long run, I am still bullish on stocks, so I will keep looking for good buying opportunities.

The challenge, however, is avoiding large drawdowns.

So I will want to wait for the dust to settle before buying, and not attempt to catch a falling knife.

If you look at the chart below, since the 1970s, there have only been 3 times when the market corrected to 50% or more, so such super crashes are actually pretty rare.

So maybe a 20-25% correction this time might be more likely, I will see when we get there, since I am still short at the moment.

 

 

Overall, the last 2 months have been pretty fantastic, with 39.81% portfolio gains in February, and 25.8% returns so far in March.

These gains large larger than normal, due to market conditions, but it would allow me to chill for the rest of the year. 😄

Remember, it’s not how many shots you make, but how many shot actually hit the target. One good shot is all is needed to make the kill.

 

Going forward, this week the market is looking bearish now, and the level of fear is increasing. This will present us with excellent trading opportunities.

If you would like to avoid missing out on any of such awesome trades (which we deliver on a daily basis), then you should definitely check out our training program & trading signals bundle:
https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

See you on the inside!

Last week, we saw the stock market decline for every day of the week, crashing about 15% from all-time highs, making it the sharpest decline in history.

This huge spike in volatility was excellent for short-term traders, and might also be an opportunity for bargain hunters looking to buy stocks cheaper.

I also made a short video talking about the different approaches to tackle the market crash:

The Start of the Decline

The first 2-3 days of decline was sparked after fears of a worldwide contagion of the Covid-19 virus, which saw a gap down on the S&P 500.

I started to post warnings about not trying to pick the bottom or to start buying, because I knew that a larger move was likely to come.

 

How Far Can this Crash Continue?

As the crash continued, I consulted my charts to plot a possible long-term roadmap, which would see a continued decline to about 15-20%, followed by a rebound and period of consolidation.

 

If there is a strong second wave of selling, we could see a larger sell-off to the bottom of the trendline, or the 200-moving average of the weekly chart.

 

At the same time, we also started initiating short positions on Crude Oil and AUD/JPY.

How to Catch a Falling Knife (Successfully)

On Friday, I predicted that there would be a rebound towards the closing, since there was no meaningful pullback after 6 consecutive days of selling, and also traders would likely close their short positions going into the weekend.

So I started accumulating long positions as the market tested new lows, and true enough, there wasn’t much further decline and even had a bullish surge into the closing minutes.

I took the chance to liquidate some of my positions to lock in my profits for the weekend.

 

Overview of Trading Results for Friday

Overall, it was a once-in-a-lifetime exciting chance to trade such volatility, and also a great learning experience for my students as we got to observe and discuss it together in real-time.

My trading portfolio booked a net 39.52% gain, with most of the profits coming from just 3 positions:

  • Short on AUD/JPY
  • Short on Crude Oil
  • Catching the bottom of S&P 500

 

Going forward, next week is going to be an excellent week for bargain hunting, and I have already posted my target portfolio allocation for my students so that we can be on the lookout for buying opportunnities.

If you would like to avoid missing out on any of such awesome trades (which we deliver on a daily basis), then you should definitely check out our training program & trading signals bundle:
https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

See you on the inside!

In the wake of US air strikes which killed a top Iranian General, tensions between the two countries are expected to flare up, leading to more instability and potential conflict.

 

Amidst the chaos, there are 2 major trading opportunities:

 

  1. Crude Oil

A real-time entry signal was triggered on our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel, giving a timely entry into Crude Oil just before the large price surge.


 

We also shared some analysis in our free Telegram channel, together with some news reports.

 

2. Defense Stocks

The other large move was in defense stocks, and we shared our analysis of Lockheed Martin (LMT), one of the major stocks to break to new highs.

Other defense stocks include Northrop Grumman (NOC), L3Harris Technologies (LHX), and Raytheon (RTN).

We will be monitoring these counters and posting our analysis in the Telegram channel if we see any good opportunities.

Stay tuned!

Yesterday, oil prices spiked after crude oil facilities located in Saudi Arabia was attacked by terrorists, shutting down up to 5% of global crude oil output.

This was a large 10-20% move in prices, and was an easy trade to ride on the trend and momentum.

 

There were 3 entry opportunities, 2 of which were flagged out in our “Daily Trading Signals”.

 

If you are inside our Free Telegram Channel, you would have seen that Crude Oil (WTIUSD) is currently on a weak bull trend, which means that we should be looking for opportunities to go long and ride on the uptrend.

 

For those subscribed to our premium “Daily Trading Signals”, the precise signal for entry came at 6.00am, when prices made a new 44-day high, and within 3 minutes had spiked to an 83-day high.

There are usually 5-10 trading signals a day, or even more, but the important thing is to trade consistently on the signals and manage your risk well, so that you can take advantage of all these opportunities.

Good luck, and trade well!

I’m finally back from my holiday! 😀

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Before leaving for my holidays last week, I conducted a monthly workshop, where I shared some of the best trading opportunities for the week that I would be away.

Some of them included going long on the STI (Stratits Times Index), going long on Crude Oil, and going long on the AUD/USD.

 

DAILY TRADE ALERTS:

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GOING LONG ON THE STRAITS TIMES INDEX (STI)

Amazingly, we managed to go long on the STI at the exact turning point, and almost immediately, the STI rocketed 75 points within the next few days. How did we managed to spot the turning point with such uncanny precision?

synapse network 190416

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sti 190416

 

GOING LONG ON CRUDE OIL

Crude oil prices soared on hopes of the talks, and applying the “buy on rumour, sell on news” principle, we managed to take our profits near the high before the talks. Eventually, the talks did not turn out well and prices gapped down.

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LONG POSITION ON AUD/USD

We are still holding onto this position to ride it for a larger profit. 😀

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HOW DID I MANAGE TO DO IT??!??!

If you would like to find out how I manage to make money consistently from the markets with 15 minutes a day using just my mobile phone from anywhere in the world, join me for a free training workshop next week: https://synapsetrading.com/events/training-workshops/

See you there! 😀