Weekly Market Wrap: Big Tech Earnings Season Starts!
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Market Recap & Upcoming Week
The U.S. economy showed robust signs of strength last week, with the S&P PMI exceeding expectations, signaling potential stabilization in the manufacturing sector.
Services PMI also indicated continued economic vigor, especially in consumer-driven sectors. U.S. GDP growth for the fourth quarter surpassed predictions, hinting at enduring resilience in consumption despite higher interest rates.
However, some moderation is expected ahead, maintaining a soft-landing scenario.
Inflation trends also support a favorable outlook, as core PCE inflation dipped below 3% for the first time since 2021, strengthening the “Goldilocks” narrative of cooling inflation with sustained growth.
All eyes are now on the Fed’s upcoming meeting, where rates are expected to hold, but future cuts are likely, with market expectations aligning with the Fed’s cautious approach to returning to neutral rates.
Historically, markets have fared well when the Fed begins cutting rates in a non-recessionary period, suggesting potential for positive market performance ahead.
Investors are bracing for a critical week as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision looms, with all eyes on Fed Chair Jerome Powell for potential signals regarding future rate adjustments.
Alongside the Fed’s announcement, the job market comes under the spotlight with forthcoming data on job openings, private payroll figures, and the comprehensive monthly employment report, offering insights into the labor market’s robustness.
The earnings season hits a peak with several industry behemoths set to unveil their financial performance.
Tech leaders like Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, and Meta are queued up throughout the week, providing a snapshot of the tech industry’s health.
Additionally, pharmaceutical majors Pfizer, Merck, and Novo Nordisk will reveal their earnings, as will energy giants ExxonMobil and Chevron, promising a week rich in financial disclosures and market-moving news.
Daily Trading Signals (Highlights)
Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) – Just broke out to new all-time highs, after a nice accumulation pattern on the weekly chart. Accumulating more of this. 💰🔥👍
Nvidia (NVDA) – Following up on our previous trade call, prices have hit our first target of $600! 💰🔥👍
Zooming out on the weekly chart, we see that the trend is still very strong, and a possible optimistic target is close to $850, which means we can look to enter on any pullbacks or consolidation.
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) – Strong breakout on the weekly chart to new ATHs.
On the daily chart, we saw a selldown on huge volume, but prices got pushed back up, suggesting that there are also a lot of buyers.
Can consider taking a long position with a tight stop below the pinbar (around $140), and target around $190.
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Spencer is an avid globetrotter who achieved financial freedom in his 20s, while trading & teaching across 70+ countries. As a former professional trader in private equity and proprietary funds, he has over 15 years of market experience, and has been featured on more than 20 occasions in the media.
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