Weekly Market Wrap: Will We Be Seeing New Lows Very Soon?
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As I mentioned in my “Weekly Market Outlook” video for subscribers, almost every asset class is very bearish, as you can see from my “Weekly Portfolio Update” snapshot.
This bearishness can be observed in various price patterns, as well as technical indicators and market psychology.
Every week, I publish my full portfolio allocation so there is 100% transparency on my positions and holdings.
At that point, I was short on equities, REITs, and crypto, and all these have plunged a lot since the Fed announced that it will continue to fight inflation (aka. hike rates).
As we continue to stack positions, this could turn out to be the biggest trade of the year if prices continue to drop and hit new lows. I will be monitoring and placing alerts for new shorting opportunities.
Stay tuned in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!
[Photo: Tokyo, Japan – See my full travel photo log!]
For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.
We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:
- Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
- US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
- Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices
By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.
Table of Contents
Weekly Market Outlook Video
Weekly Market Outlook (28 August 2022)
? Inflation target of 2%
? CHFJPY – bullish
? GBPCHF – bearish
? EURUSD – bearish
? Commodities – neutral/bullish
? Stocks – bearish
? Crypto – bearish
Weekly Portfolio Update
Weekly Portfolio Update (28 August 2022)
Forex & Commodities Market Highlights
As mentioned in the video, USD is currently the strongest currency.
Following up on the US Dollar Index (DXY), it is forming a small bullish base, getting ready to push new highs.
Following up with the H4 chart of GBPCHF, we can see that shortly after our short entry, prices started to fall.
We are nearing TP1 soon, which is at the prior swing lows, after which we can close half and hold the remaining half for TP2.
Following up on the USDSGD, it has hit our TP level, and for now, we can either stay out or stay short, since the short term price momentum is bearish.
Stock & Bond Market Highlights
Both the S&P 500 (US500) and NASDAQ 100 (US100) have broken below their support levels, and are looking bearish.
Look to initiate or add short positions on pullbacks.
Following up on the NASDAQ 100 (US100) and S&P 500 (US500), both have continue to fall as predicted, after we entered our short positions (circled red).
Both are nearing TP1, and hopefully will reach TP2 by the end of the year. ????
Stocks plummeted Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole speech the central bank won’t back off in its fight against rapid inflation.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/25/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html
Crypto Market Highlights
Taking profit on my Bitcoin (BTCUSD) shorts to wait for the next pullback to short again! ????
Taking profit on my Ethereum (ETHUSD) shorts to wait for a next pullback to short again! ????
After a long wait on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD), it finally broke out of the bear flag pattern and made new swing lows.
Will it head all the way down to test new lows? I will continue holding my short positions, and add more as price continues to decline.
Looks like it will be an exciting weekend! ????
In last week’s market outlook video, I mentioned that Crypto was very bearish, and I had huge short positions on Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
It was followed by a huge crash, which I took profits and posted the screenshots.
Now, we are seeing some bearish pin bars, but I will wait for prices to break below yesterday’s low before initiating new shorts.
Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!
Spencer is an avid globetrotter who achieved financial freedom in his 20s, while trading & teaching across 70+ countries. As a former professional trader in private equity and proprietary funds, he has over 15 years of market experience, and has been featured on more than 20 occasions in the media.
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