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Tag Archive for: singapore stocks

Spencer Li

Why I am Planning to Liquidate my Full Portfolio of Singapore Stocks

Market Analysis
straits times index sti 140517

 

It has been a while since my last update on the Singapore markets (as well as my SG portfolio holdings), largely because the market doesn’t move much, so I only check on them once in a while.

Interestingly, I noticed that the STI has had an impressive run, coming off a low of 25xx to break past the 3000 level in the past few months. However, is this move sustainable?

Full Portfolio of Singapore Stocks

Taking a closer look at this weekly chart which shows the historical prices over the last 20 years or so, one thing which stands out is that the market has been in a 7 YEAR sideways stagnation.

If we look back at the whole history of the index, this is somewhat unprecedented.

Which could explain why popularity in this market (as well as trading volumes) has been waning. In short, it does seem like a dying market.

Not to mention that during this same time period, the US stock markets have been steadily creeping up.

If we look at the most recent red shaded circle, that is where the current price is, and it seems to be running into massive headwinds. This means that the potential upside could be quite limited.

If we observe the large sideways range that prices have been moving in, the price is now at the top of the range. And we know that the best strategy in a range is to “buy low, sell high”, which means that the odds do not favour much more upside, unless there is some new strong positive price catalyst.

However, a cursory glance at recent news headlines seems to be painting a rather gloomy picture, with muted growth forecasts and ominous employment statistics. This tell me that downside catalysts are more likely that upside ones. In other words, there is more chance of a negative shock rather than a positive shock for prices.

In light of all these factors, I am planning to cash out most or all of my profits, and wait for more favourable odds to redeploy my capital. As a trader and investor, timing is always key.

Good luck, and trade wisely! 😀

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/straits-times-index-sti-140517.png 1004 1697 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2017-05-14 06:57:272022-03-07 16:51:55Why I am Planning to Liquidate my Full Portfolio of Singapore Stocks
Spencer Li

Dangerous Myths About Trading that Could be Affecting Your Profitability

Beginner's Guide
Dangerous Myths About Trading that Could be Affecting Your Profitability

If you listen frequently to the mainstream media, or take advice from friends and family who are not traders themselves, they might give some good-intentioned but ill-informed advice, which could harm your trading results.

Such dangerous myths about trading might seem to be “common knowledge” because they keep getting repeated frequently, but have you stopped to consider whether they are really true?

Here are some common myths:

  • Trading is very risky because you can lose all your capital
  • Forex is more risky than stocks
  • Leverage increases your risk
  • You need a lot of capital to start trading
  • You need to trade very often if you want to make more money
  • You need to monitor prices and charts 24/7
  • Brokers are out to hunt your stoploss

Do these sound familiar?

Today, I will tackle 3 of the most common myths.

 

MYTH #1: TRADING WITH LEVERAGE INCREASES YOUR RISK

(Reality: Trading with leverage reduces capital required, but risk can be kept the same.)

The media handles the idea of leverage very poorly, because it often sensationalizes the trader who over-leverages and blows everything.

The idea is simple: I have $100, and I leverage so that I can trade $500 or $1000 of stock/forex. I make one bad trade, and I’m wiped out.

This is true for the person without proper risk-management. After all, the temptation of leverage is to dump all your money into one trade, max out the leverage, and hopefully you make 500% on one trade and can call it a day. The truth is, these lucky trades do happen in reality. Eventually though, the trader with his newfound wealth (and greed), piles his money into another trade, and loses everything.

Leverage kills the person who abuses it. It’s like fire; it can cook food for people, or it can kill people.

Leverage, in practice, actually keeps you disciplined. In forex trading, using leverage is actually a standard practice. When you use leverage, you are actually committing less margin to a trade, and you can get comfortable with trading by committing as little margin as possible. Here’s what I mean:

For example, suppose you have a stop loss of -$10 and a target profit of +$30, and you make a trade of unknown size X.

1:100 leverage – Margin committed for X lots = $102.50 (I’m making this up)

1:500 leverage – Margin committed for X lots = $20.50 (five times smaller)

In the case of higher leverage, you stay comfortable because even though the stop loss is -$10, you see that the margin committed on your account is only $20.50. This allows you to not have to see the wild fluctuations in margin requirement, and keep your trading size small.

Also, trading with higher leverage allows you to take multiple positions with little capital. With as little as $500, you can take 3-5 forex positions with leverage, risking anywhere from $5 to $20 or so for each trade. This is a great way to start for aspiring forex traders.

 

MYTH #2: BROKERS ARE OUT TO HIT YOUR STOP LOSSES

(Reality: You get stopped out because of the market, not because of the broker.)

Many people who have been trading for some time get convinced that the broker wants them to be stopped out of their positions. I’ve heard of this and seen it happen: the trade hits your stop loss, then immediately goes in your favour and flies in the direction you want, and then you beat yourself up and say “I was supposed to make $XYZ on this trade but I got stopped out because of the stupid broker!”

The truth is, the broker has better things to do than to keep hunting the stoploss on your account.

At least, this is for brokers who want to remain in business over the long-term. How do brokers make money? They make money only if you keep trading. Why would any broker want you to stop trading? They would actually want you to be profitable, because for every trade you make, they get a small cut from the spread (also known as the bid-ask spread). Essentially, they want you to love trading and trade so much and so often that they get large revenues from spreads.

Why in the world would the broker want to stop you out?The reason why we get stopped out, is because we are bad traders.

Professionals are buying or selling exactly where your stop loss is placed, because they know that the average investor would place their stop loss there.

The solution to not getting stopped out, is to first acknowledge that trading involves some positions getting stopped out. Being right 40-50% of the time is already sufficient for you to be profitable, so don’t be surprised if half your positions get stopped out.

One example is a sideways market. Beginners love to enter on sideways markets because it presents many signals in both directions. However, professionals are buying and selling at the extremes of the sideways markets, causing beginners to get stopped out repeatedly, while professionals make money repeatedly.Remember that there is another trader on the other side who is filling your order; if you are losing money, it is because someone else is taking money from your account, and putting it in their account.

MYTH #3: FOREX IS MORE RISKY THAN STOCKS

(Reality: Risk is independent on the product, and forex actually requires less capital.)

In the forex market, you can ‘get a feel of the game’ by risking a few dollars per trade. By trading the smallest lot size (0.01 lots), you can easily make many trades and rack up trading experience by “trading live” without incurring hefty losses. By learning to make many decisions and experiencing all the different conditions of the market, you would become seasoned enough to trade a bigger size, and fine-tune your own trading strategy to become profitable in the long-run.

Many traders discover they have certain characteristics about themselves that hinder success. In trading a ‘live’ account with a small sum of money, they are putting in some skin in the game, and getting used to the ups and downs of their account. The best part about forex is that there are no fixed commission charges (stocks tend to have a fixed minimum fee regardless of trade size), making the ‘tuition’ fees a lot less than trading in stocks.

Another great thing about forex is that thee market is open 24/7 on weekdays, so you can decide when to trade based on your schedule. That helps people who have busy working schedules: trading in the middle of the night, or during lunch, on a daily basis, works out to a trading schedule that accommodates your lifestyle needs.

Lastly, with regards to price movements, stocks tend to see bigger gaps between days. Here’s what I mean:

 

forexForex pairs/currency futures tend to have less gaps between bars; bars close and open at roughly the same price.

 

stockMost stocks have gaps between the candlesticks/bars, due to the opening and closing of the market every day.

 

Gaps make the analysis a little more complex, because you have to take into account the size of the gap along with the actual candlestick printed on the chart. Forex allows you to employ technical analysis more simply, and learn how to read price action without the distraction of having to figure out what the gap means.

 

thumbnail beginner guide to trading and TA

If you would like to learn how to get started in trading, also check out: “The Beginner’s Guide to Trading & Technical Analysis”

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Dangerous-Myths-About-Trading-that-Could-be-Affecting-Your-Profitability.png 720 1280 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2017-02-22 16:34:232021-10-04 18:22:21Dangerous Myths About Trading that Could be Affecting Your Profitability
Spencer Li

Exploring the Wonders of Europe: Ireland, Iceland & UK!

Travel & Lifestyle
fb album ireland iceland uk

In October, I embarked on a 2-week trip with my sister to Ireland, Iceland and the UK, and it was an amazing trip! 😀

In 2 days, I will be going for another 2-week trip, this time covering Dubai, South Africa and Lesotho. (Yes, this is a country!)

Of course, I will continue trading as I travel, and continue supporting my students and traders. Stay tuned for my market updates!

To see the full photo albums for this trip, please visit: https://synapsetrading.com/travel-log/

 

Here are some photos from my last trip:

fb-album-ireland-iceland-uk


Once again, to see the full photo albums for this trip, please visit: https://synapsetrading.com/travel-log/

Enjoy! 😀

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/fb-album-ireland-iceland-uk.png 954 770 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2016-12-20 03:40:082020-02-13 02:15:54Exploring the Wonders of Europe: Ireland, Iceland & UK!
Spencer Li

More Results & Positive Reviews for our “Trading Foundation Workshop” – Last Run is Next Week!

News & Events
2016 09 01 20.46.42

Thank you everyone for attending my “Trading Foundation Workshop” last night, and I was surprised to see such a large crowd despite the recent Zika outbreak. ✌️ I had a great time conducting this 3-hour 5-part training, and imparting all the essential skills for new traders and investors to get started in the financial markets. ?

I was also glad to have time to log in to my live trading accounts to show my current trades, and make some new trades along the way. I believe that real trading is still the best way to learn. ?

I will be conducting one last session next week on 07 September 2016 (Wednesday), and I think there are still a handful of seats left, so do grab yours before they are all sold out! ?

Check availability: https://synapsetrading.com/trading-foundation-workshop/

 

A photo posted by Spencer Li (@iamrecneps) on Sep 1, 2016 at 5:46am PDT

 

HERE ARE SOME SNIPPETS OF THE FEEDBACK WE RECEIVED:

“The explanation is very clear, professional, and Spencer’s communication skill is two-thumbs up!” – Indra, China Construction Realty Pte Ltd

“Clearly delivered, learned a lot in this short 3 hours. Good for beginner.” – Ng Zi Kai

“Very simple yet concise trading foundation course that beginner traders should attend before they start their trading journey.” – Adrian

“Great for a starter learning the fundamentals of trading.” – Nora

“Good foundation program. Should include more examples.” – Jason

“Good job on social trading service!” – Tan Wei Peng

“Good!” – Poh Yong Seng

“Nice pace, quiz was entertaining!” – Jonas Lim

“Good beginner’s course!” – Huiwen, BFG

“He is a nice person.” – Yip Kok Wei, NTUC Income

“Good presentation, we were having fun. Thank you!” – Cecil

“Simple and easy to understand for beginners with little background.” – Kaishu

“Great detail of information on the foundation of trading, good for beginners.” – Jackson Sin

Read more results & feedback:  https://synapsetrading.com/testimonials/#workshop

RESERVE YOUR SEATS NOW!

Once again, seats are filling up fast, so sign up via the link below:

Check availability: https://synapsetrading.com/trading-foundation-workshop/

Thanks, and see you there! ?

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/2016-09-01-20.46.42.jpg 2048 2048 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2016-09-04 04:30:072019-12-26 03:13:25More Results & Positive Reviews for our “Trading Foundation Workshop” – Last Run is Next Week!
Spencer Li

Another Full-house Session for the “Trading Foundation Workshop”!

News & Events
Photo 24 8 16 9 39 06 PM

Thank you everyone for all the great feedback for this 3-hour “Trading Foundation Workshop” that I created to help new traders and investors get started in the markets! ??? We just concluded a session last Wednesday, and we will be having our second last session next Wednesday on 31 August 2016.

Check availability: https://synapsetrading.com/trading-foundation-workshop/

 

A photo posted by Spencer Li (@iamrecneps) on Aug 25, 2016 at 11:41pm PDT

 

HERE ARE SOME SNIPPETS OF THE FEEDBACK WE RECEIVED:

“I find Spencer is very humble and sincere in sharing his knowledge & skills. He is so young but so wise and wants to make a positive difference in people’s lives!” – Diana Ang

“Timely organized. Will recommend this to others.” – Jason

“Feels that the method is very simple and trusty for profit.” – Ming Yao

“Thanks for sharing. Will recommend this to others.” – Tien Long

“I learn something new that can incorporate into my trading skill.” – Chong Yang

“Will recommend this to others. Provides good fundamentals. Useful sharing.” – Raymond & Lindy

“I will recommend this program to others.” – Sean

“Heard of this workshop during an event, will definitely recommend to others now that I have attended.” – Ng C.P.

“Good teacher. Complexity simplified into an easily digestible format. Thanks and see you soon during your quarterly course.” – James, JLT

Note: The original handwritten copies of these reviews can be found here, together with thousands of other reviews, feedback, testimonials and results:  https://synapsetrading.com/testimonials/

RESERVE YOUR SEATS NOW!

Once again, seats are filling up fast, so sign up via the link below:

Check availability: https://synapsetrading.com/trading-foundation-workshop/

Thanks, and see you there! ?

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Photo-24-8-16-9-39-06-PM.jpg 2448 3264 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2016-08-27 18:36:102019-12-26 03:13:35Another Full-house Session for the “Trading Foundation Workshop”!
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