Weekly Market Wrap: Rate Hikes, Big Tech Earnings, Crypto Surge!
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In last week’s NFP (non-farm payroll) report, the US added 517,000 jobs in January, higher than expected and pushing the unemployment rate down to 3.4%, its lowest since 1969.
Job growth was revised higher for November and December, adding an additional 71,000 jobs.
The strong job growth may not be welcomed by the Federal Reserve, which is looking to slow job gains and wage growth to reduce inflation and pause its interest rate hike campaign.
The Federal Reserve raised its interest rate target by 0.25% last week, and plans to continue raising rates with the aim of bringing inflation down to 2%.
However, investors believe the Fed may cut rates back to current levels by the end of next year.
The recent surge in crypto saw a rebound in Bitcoin and Ether by 51% and 47% respectively.
The shift in trading patterns shows a pullback from retail investors and a rise in the influence of institutions such as hedge funds.
The Big Tech Earnings Season saw a decline in revenue growth compared to 2021 with combined growth of only 7% for Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Facebook, compared to 28% in 2021.
The companies are engaged in significant headcount reductions, costing more than 50,000 jobs.
The time for a correction or pullback may be as soon as next week.
Stay tuned for more real-time updates in our “Daily Trading Signals” Telegram channel!
[Photo: Bukhara, Uzbekistan – See my full travel photo log!]
For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.
We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:
- Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
- US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
- Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices
By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.
Table of Contents
Weekly Market Outlook Video
Weekly Market Outlook (29 January 2023)
📌 Wednesday: FOMC
📌 Friday: NFP
Portfolio Highlights
Weekly Portfolio Updates (29 January 2023)
Not much changes, since the market has not moved much.
Forex & Commodities Market Highlights
AUDCAD – rebounding off strong resistance, good for a short trade with SL above the prior swing high.
AUDCHF – Also another short trade after running into strong resistance.
Stock & Bond Market Highlights
Stock sector comparisons for 2022
The Federal Reserve raised rates. Chair Powell says it’s ‘premature’ to declare victory against inflation.
In 2007. the Fed and major banks were predicting a soft landing. We all know how that turned out. Will this time be different?
Wow quite a large deviation from expectations!
Wonder if this will lead to a more aggressive stance on rate hikes.
Traders have never been this bearish on Treasuries.
Crypto Market Highlights
ETHUSD Crossing 1694.81
Break swing high
(Charts posted in Telegram channel)
Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits!
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Spencer is an avid globetrotter who achieved financial freedom in his 20s, while trading & teaching across 70+ countries. As a former professional trader in private equity and proprietary funds, he has over 15 years of market experience, and has been featured on more than 20 occasions in the media.
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