Blog: Market Analysis

Now that the S&P 500 is at the crucial 200-day moving average level, will it be able to break though and make new highs?

What are some of the bullish and bearish catalysts for the stock market going forward?

Also, check out our Telegram poll (800+ votes) to see which direction people expect the market to go in the next 6 months.

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Market Overview

There are only a few products that are trending strongly, while most markets are in a sideways range.

This means that we should be expecting to take shorter trades (lower RR), or go down to smaller timeframes to pinpoint entries and exits.

The 200-Day Moving Average

Traditionally, the 200-day moving average serves as a good gauge of the market’s long-term trend.

If prices are above the 200-day moving average, then it is bullish, and if prices are below the 200-day moving average, then it is bearish.

Now, we see the S&P 500 poised exactly at the 200-day moving average.

Will it be able to clear the hurdle?

New Highs or New Lows?

Recently, I did a market poll on my Telegram channel (check it out if you want to take part, or see the latest results), and the results are as follows:

Interestingly, about 40% are bullish, compared to 30% who are bearish, but the difference is not much.

And if you look at it another way, about 60% think that the market won’t be making new highs (new lows or sideways).

Here are some bullish and bearish catalysts I could think of:

Tensions Between HK, USA & China

One major issue that could dictate market movements in the coming weeks is new national security laws which China plans to impose on HK, and how the US is going to react.

Relations between the US and China are already strained because of trade and the Covid virus, and this could become a proxy battle.

Join our Last 2 Skillsfuture Workshops!

Last weekend, we conducted another full-house Skillsfuture workshop, with 40 pax of new traders & investors, as well as some of my past students who sat in to help out.

There were so many sign-ups that we had to turn some people away, and ask them to join the next intake on 30 & 31 May. Although the next class is still 2 weeks away, it is already almost full, so before my license expires on 18 June, I will open one final class on 13 & 14 June to accommodate this influx of demand.

This fully subsidised Skillsfuture workshop will give you the skills and roadmap to build a second source of income to plan for early financial freedom, by building an all-weather portfolio that can perform well in any market conditions, and also market timing skills to create additional cashflow from short/medium-term trades.

Dates:
30 & 31 May 2020 (6pm to 10pm)
13 & 14 June 2020 (6pm to 10pm)

Click here to check availability:
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P.S. According to Skillsfuture regulations, the maximum intake is capped at 40 slots, so we will not be able to add new slots once all are filled up. Register early to avoid disappointment!

P.P.S. Your slot is only confirmed after you have completed payment and submitted the confirmation to the organiser. If you registered but did not complete payment & submission, your slot is still up for grabs to the next person who completes it.

? First-come, first-serve!
? See you soon! ?

Spencer is an avid globetrotter who achieved financial freedom in his 20s, while trading & teaching across 70+ countries. As a former professional trader in private equity and proprietary funds, he has over 15 years of market experience, and has been featured on more than 20 occasions in the media.

Market Analysis – Which Tech Stocks to Buy? (Shopping List)

As tech stocks continue to surge, while the S&P 500 and the general economy lags behind, it is important to select the right sectors and stocks to invest in.

Also, as the US gradually opens its economy and talks of a new potential vaccine surfaces, will these be able to boost the V-shaped recovery of the stock market?

And more importantly, which specific stocks are the best to invest in?

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Market Overview

While most of the markets are sideways or in weak trends, we see that a few things continue to remain strong, such as Gold, the US dollar, and the NASDAQ.

Upcoming News for the Week

How is the Economy Faring?

There seems to be a large disparity between various sectors, and last week several famous fund manager like David Tepper and Stanly Druckenmiller said that they feel the market is too expensive at current levels.

Some good news on the virus front, with a potential vaccine being found. It might still take months before we see an end product, but at least this gives us some hope.

As the US gradually reopens its economy, so far we have not seem any sharp spike in cases, so that is a good sign. However, since there is a delay between infections and testing, only time will tell.

Is Gold Starting a New Super Trend?

We have been getting some solid buy signals for Gold, and the charts show that it has potential to break new highs.

NASDAQ vs. S&P 500

There is a curious divergence on the NASDAQ versus the S&P 500, which is due to the fact that tech stocks have fared much better and recovered faster than the rest of the economy.

Since this divergence could persist or even widen, it makes sense that we should continue focusing our investments in tech counters.

Since my visit to Silicon Valley and various offices there in 2018, I have been very bullish on the tech sector.

Choosing the Right Sectors to Invest In

Looking at where the big money is flowing, Warren Buffett is selling off the airlines and financial stocks, while the Saudi sovereign fund is buying up huge chunks of US stocks.

Best Tech Stocks to Invest In

Here is the shopping list of my favourite tech stocks, which I plan to buy and hold for the long-term.

Alibaba (BABA)
Tesla (TSLA)
VISA (V)
Mastercard (MA)
Facebook (FB)
Amazon (AMZN)
Mircrosoft (MSFT)
Apple (AAPL)
Google (GOOG)
Disney (DIS)
Nvidia (NVDA)
Shopify (SHOP)
Paypal (PYPL)
Salesforce (CRM)

Start Your Trading Journey Today!

If you are interested to start your journey with our closely-knit community, click here: https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

Here is some feedback from our students:

“Spencer has simplified a system which allow us to identify trade opportunities from the chart. The step by step identifying the market and setups helps making technical analysis simpler to understand.” – Siong Boon

“You make it so easy to trade, just by following the 4 setups.” – Tan Jiansen

“Course is awesome with key examples and setups to start trading!” – Robert Tan

“Gd. Anyone who want to trade profitably should attend this program.” – Jason Tan

“I learn how to read charts more accurately without tedious drawing of charts and proper money management techniques. 2 thumbs up!” – Joel

To read feedback form all our past students, click here: https://synapsetrading.com/testimonials/

See you on the inside! ?

Market Analysis – Economy is Tanking But Stock Market is Rising?

As various countries started loosening the lockdown to save the flailing economy, we get news reports of new infections starting to surge.

At the same time, we see multiple asset classes surging in the market, creating a stark contrasting reality.

The big question is, which is leading and which is lagging? (Economy vs. Financial markets)

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5 Bullish Asset Classes

It is quite rare to see so many asset classes perform so strongly, especially when the economy is not doing well, and this is probably due to excess liquidity.

In addition, many of these asset classes usually move in opposite directions from one another, which makes it all the more strange.

Here are the 5 asset classes:

NASUSD – Nasdaq stock index
XAUUSD – Gold
USDIDX – US Dollar index
TNOTEUSD – 10-year treasury bond
BTCUSD – Bitcoin (not listed above)

V-shape Recovery for the Stock Market?

The stock market (especially the Nasdaq) has already recovered almost all its losses for the year, but will it be able to chug ahead and make new highs?

According to the Wall Street Journal, here are 5 reasons why the stock market is rallying so strongly despite the economy not doing well.

On the other hand, we are also seeing a large outflow of funds from stock markets, so could this be investors starting to take profits after the recent strong rally?

Will Lockdowns End Soon to Save the Economy?

Last Friday we also had the NFP (non-farm payroll), and although it was slightly better than expected, the numbers still do not look good, unless they find a way to reopen the economy safely.

Several countries have started to loosen the lockdowns and get the economy back to normal, but it seems like a tricky balancing game / whack-a-mole, because any small outbreak can trigger new lockdowns all over again.

Over in Russia, the outbreak seems to be getting worse as well.

Taking My Profits for Bitcoin at $10,000

Recently, Paul Tudor Jones mentioned in an interview that he is bullish on the stock market, and buying Bitcoin to hedge against inflation.

If you have been following our Bitcoin trades, we have been accumulating since $4,000+, and we have taken profits at $10,000 last week, so we will be waiting for lower prices to buy again.

This is one of our best trades this month, with a profit of more than 100%. This shows that you do not need to be making many trades a day, but rather be patient and wait for the best opportunities, then strike when the iron is hot. Congrats! ???

Start Your Trading Journey Today!

If you are interested to start your journey with our closely-knit community, click here: https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

Here is some feedback from our students:

“I signed up for the training course just 2 weeks ago, and i am still quite new to trading. Took some trades on the daily signals that Spencer posts daily, and very happy to have made 17% returns so far and covered back my course fee.” – Sandy

“I followed Spencer and bought Bitcoin, and have made more than 50% returns although I entered a bit late. Very impressed by the accurate timing.” – Kai

“I am very happy to be part of this community because the members are very kind and answer all my newbie questions to help me understand.” – MK

To read feedback form all our past students, click here: https://synapsetrading.com/testimonials/

See you on the inside! ?

Market Analysis – Is the 2nd Wave of Sell-offs Coming?

While the US economy looks to be slowly re-opening, we are seeing a lot of bearish news in the market.

Will there be a 2nd wave of infections, and a 2nd wave of market sell-offs?

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Market Overview

Looking at the various markets, it looks like this week going into risk-off mode, where traders take on defensive positions, and possibly shorts on the stock markets.

Stock Markets – Next Wave of Selling?

While the US is gradually re-opening its economy and easing restrictions, this might lead to a new wave of infections, since their cases and death rates are still rising, which shows that they have not totally got it under control.

Also, tensions between the US and China have been escalating, as the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo saying that there was a “significant amount of evidence” connecting the coronavirus to a lab in the Wuhan region of China.

Over the weekend, during an interview with Warren Buffett, he said that he had sold all his airline holdings. While he was optimistic on the long-term outlook, he also mentioned that the pandemic has damaged some industries permanently, suggesting that the economy may not “return to normal” that quickly.

On the plus side, Gilead’s antiviral drug, Remdesivir, will be available to coronavirus patients this week.

Bitcoin – Amazing Profits in One Week!

Bitcoin was our most profitable trade last week, with an epic price surge of close to 30% in a few days.

Congratulations to all those who were following our trades! ???

Forex Market Updates

Here are a list of various potential trading opportunities for this week, including AUD/USD, CAD/CHF, CAD/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/NZD, Gold.

Start Your Trading Journey Today!

If you are interested to start your journey with our closely-knit community, click on the link below: https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

Here is some feedback from our students:

“I’m very new to trading and this training gave me a lot of important insights & strategies to become a good trader.” – Larry Tan

“I feel that the course provided a clear and proven methodology to trade effectively. The tools provided are also very supportive.” – Janie, AXA

“The concepts taught by Spencer are easy to follow!” – Jiawei

“Very informative and interactive training conducted in a right pace.” – Eugene Chng

“A very complete training program that give a good coverage on trading and practical setups that are easy to understand and apply. The mindset portion is very important to ensure that we are profitable in the long term. Thank you.” – Alan

“The training was very well-done. The flow in the course is good, and very informative and detailed with a good overview of the entire market. The ending with mindset and psychology summarized it nicely. The case studies were also very useful in allowing us to apply the principles involved.” – Sherilyn Tan

See you on the inside! ?

Market Analysis – Will We See Gold Hit $3000?

After seeing negative prices in Crude Oil futures, will oil prices stay depressed, or will they recover any time soon?

With stock markets unclear, and the US dollar fluctuating wildly, is Gold a good long-term investment now?

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Market Overview

Looking at the “Daily Trend Analysis” on our Telegram channel, we can see that the most bullish counters are Gold (XAUUSD) and the US Dollar Index (USDIDX), whereas the most bearish counters are Brent (BCOUSD) and Crude Oil (WTIUSD).

The stock markets are pretty mixed, with most indices either being in a weak bear trend, or ranging.

Can Gold Hit $3000?

According to analysts from the Bank of America, they now have an 18-month target of $3000 for Gold, which seems pretty bullish, considering we have not even cleared $2000 yet.

Normally, it is quite rare for the USD and Gold to trend strongly in the same direction, but we are seeing it now.

In the short/medium-term, since USD is a reserve currency, it is in demand when liquidity dries up, whoever with the aggressive money printing, it might decline in the long run.

As proposed by Ray Dalio, we are nearing the end of a 75-year debt cycle, which could see massive deleveraging and devaluation of the US Dollar. If that happens, then it will definitely be bullish for Gold.

This is the reason I have been actively adding Gold to my long-term portfolio.

Normally, commodities tend to lag Gold, and eventually “catch up” once inflation kicks in, however this time demand is at an all-time low.

We have had great success buying the dips on Gold, and our most recent trading positions are already in the money. ???

Will continue to hold for more upside.

How Long Will Oil Stay Cheap?

After seeing the May Crude Oil futures hit negative, traders are getting spooked for the June contracts, because they are afraid the same thing will happen if the lockdown is still in force, and demand remains low.

Looking at the virus numbers, the possibility is high.

Even if the lockdown does end, there is too much pent-up supply, and a lack of storage.

Hence prices could remain low or continue falling.

We have taken full profit on our crude oil shorts, and will not be taking any new positions for the time being, since many brokers do not allow new positions to be initiated due to the liquidity.

This has turned out to be one of the most profitable trades of the year. ???

< h2>Ranging Stock Markets

Lastly, for the stock market, I would say I am 65% bearish, and 35% bullish.

Since there are no clear signs, I will testing the waters with small positions, but will not be taking any large positions yet.

Stay tuned in our Telegram channel to continue monitoring the stock market for the right time.

Start Your Trading Journey Today!

If you are interested to start your journey with our closely-knit community, click on the link below: https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

Here is some feedback from our students:

“Great course. I have studied about candlesticks and chart patterns before attending the course. However, not able to put them together to make consistent result. This course really stitch together and show me how to combine all the knowledge that I have learnt.” – Kyaw Zaw Than

“Course was comprehensive with clear explanation for each strategy taught. Good amount of case study to discuss for better understanding.” – Ethan

“Spencer is extremely detailed and methodical in his explanation. Program is extremely comprehensive.” – Tessa Ong

“Before this I learnt a lot of strategies from books and friends – After this programme I learnt to stick to one and profit.” – Rahim, Freelance Artist

“Trading made simple with only a few setup to master and focus on. Not too much information overload.” – Jude

See you on the inside! ?