Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Trading is not about staring at the screen the whole day. Nor is it gambling on quick punts hoping to get-rich quick. Rather, trading is an intellectual game – a game where one understands the charts and the markets, and makes an intelligent guess as to where prices are moving next. Of course, this is easier said than done, for it requires discipline, patience, risk management, psychology, and a good understanding of behavioral analysis.

Once a trader is familiar with these, all is left is to put it into practice, by confidently taking trades. This will allow you to create the trading lifestyle you desire, giving you the freedom to choose your timeframe, holding period, risk appetite, markets, and products. There are no shortcuts to trading, but the rewards are worth it.

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Today, I shared this AUD/USD trade, using a leisurely 1-hour timeframe for my chart selection, and since no special software is needed, all you need is an iPad to key in your trades, which can be done anywhere. After observing the price behavior carefully, I felt that the time was ripe, so I went in to harvest my 82 pips from the market. As long as you bother to do your homework, the opportunities will also be there in the market.

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This afternoon, the EUR/USD had a failed probe which lead to a Big Swing. Using one of the simple behavioral analysis setups, I took 3 intraday swing trades which netted me $2366 profits during this 9 hours of trading. I have decided to take all my profits, as I prefer to go to sleep without having to worry about my positions. Tomorrow will be another fresh day for me to use these setups over and over again.

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Before I forget, the best part is I did not have to watch the screen all the time scrutinizing every minute or second, just to hope for a quick punt, rather I can plan and execute my trades at my own free time, and take some “big swings” at the golf driving range while waiting for my trades to play out. Remember, trading is not a gamble or a quick punt, it is a professional game, and a special lifestyle. Cheers!

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During the seminar Q&A session, someone asked me about my view on the AUD/USD, as shown in the slide below.

My reply was that it would bounce up in the short-run, then get ready to short for a big move down. This played out almost perfectly as predicted, but of course it would still require your timing skills to enter and exit at the right time to capture the turning points and the big swings that followed.

Such price movements are not hard to predict, once you understand the concept of market behavior and how the Big Boys play the markets. In my next sharing session, besides the usual stocks analysis, I will also be covering a bit on forex and how behavioral analysis can be applied without volume.

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The EUR/USD is currently exhibiting Type 2 trend behaviour on the H1 & H4 timeframes, meaning that greater care is need to time your entries and exits. This new trader managed to time it pretty well, shorting the EUR/USD just as it was near the turning point, catching over 90 pips in just 40 minutes.

This trade basically combines behavioral analysis and the important concept of trading zones, which are areas of high probabilities that the Big Players will start stepping in. We can use this to our advantage.

This kind of setup works for all markets as well, and next week, when I give my preview, I will be showing how entry-timing and timely profit-taking works for both stocks and forex to maximise returns. I will also be providing a market outlook on the stock and forex markets, and sharing some exclusive trade ideas which you won’t find on the blog.

If you are interested to find out more, please register here.

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Recently, there have been some good moves in the stock market, but let’s not forget the forex markets as well. This is a good short trade on the GBP/USD that we did together from start to finish, and I am glad that my students could successfully complete this trade together with me, and I hope these small victories for them will add up and give them more confidence.

In this trade, although they did not manage to capture the full trade, 100 pips on 2 contracts is still about US$2,000, which is still pretty decent for a new trader for a single trade.

Tomorrow morning, on Saturday, I will be having a re-run of the full-house seminar we had last Wednesday – “The Art of Market Timing”, and I hope to take the chance to share more examples which I have prepared. For those who managed to get seats, see you tomorrow!

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