Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Having just returned from reservist, I did a quick review of all my trades and positions, and noticed some interesting observations.

1. USD/JPY hitting our TP
Firstly, the USD/JPY has finally hit 100, after my numerous previous post predicting this magnetic number, and calling for a buy. This is a good milestone to take some profits off the table.

https://synapsetrading.com/more-easy-trades-on-the-usdjpy-buying-with-the-big-boys/
https://synapsetrading.com/usdjpy-nearing-our-predicted-price-target-of-100/
https://synapsetrading.com/follow-up-on-usdjpy-up-300-pips-since-our-last-call/

https://synapsetrading.com/usdjpy-chance-to-hop-on-the-super-swing/
https://synapsetrading.com/usdjpy-will-it-really-reach-100/

 

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2. Breakout on the STI and other Blue Chips
There have been breakouts on the Straits Times Index and other bluechips, fortunately we saw it coming and were able to take long positions before the breakouts started.

https://synapsetrading.com/straits-times-index-how-i-predicted-the-breakout/

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3. Croesus Retail Trust IPO
This IPO was a surprise windfall for many of us, and personally I’m not a big fan of IPOs, since I don’t have much time to research, but fortunately we were tipped off by one of our trainers. This was a good punt, netting us a quick 20% profit in a single day.

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Last week, I was having Army training in camp, so I didn’t have much trades, since I was limited to taking those hands-free trades. Still, it was a pretty good week, as most of my trades turned out well, netting a decent profit for me while I was out in the jungle serving my country. Unfortunately next week I will be having a 4D3N outfield exercise and will not be able to enter new trades, except for my existing positions.

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Without further ado, here are some of my trades from last week, starting with some forex trades. I went short on 1 lot of AUD/CAD for 190 pips, raking a profit of US$1884 after price hit my TP while I was away from my screen. I only realised it after one of traders in the network mentioned it in our private forum.

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Genting was an interesting trade, because it first tried to form a classical head-and-shoulders breakout to the wrong side, before triggering our long setup. Our TP of 1.63 was hit after a few strong moves, and price promptly reversed after hitting our TP.

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Next week, the STI will drop to test the conviction of weak buyers the coming week, which would provide good entry opportunities for shrewd market-timers. I will be holding onto my shorts on Indofood Agri, as per my previous call to go short. I am looking forward to my next seminar once I return back from my Army training, and I will be able to share more about these recent trades.

I will be away for ICT (Army in-camp-training) the next 2 weeks, so I thought I’ll share one last awesome trade before I go. This was a well-timed trade on the GBP/USD using a simple market-timing technique taught during the course, and as you can see the R/R ratio is very good because a well-timed entry allows one to enter near the market turning point, keeping risk low and the upside unlimited.

I will be sharing more on this and how it can be used for stocks as well, immediately after I return from my National Service. You can read about the details here:
https://synapsetrading.com/new-seminar-the-art-of-market-timing/

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A classical “pump-and-dump” campaign, sucking in buyers for the smart money to unload their profitable longs, and leaving many punters trapped in their losing positions when they buy on greed and exuberance. Smart traders would have shorted as the big boys were cashing out (red arrow), and there is still more downside to go. I will be holding these shorts for a bit more profit.

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For this of you who remembered my call to buy Raffles Medical way back in July 2012 when it was just trading at $2.60, it has now soared up as high as $3.50, netting an investment return of over 50%.

For those who think that trading and behavioral analysis only works for short-term trading, you are gravely mistaken. I understand that this is a common misunderstanding, but in actual fact, because market and price behavior is manifested in charts of all timeframes, it will naturally work for both long-term and short-term trades.

 

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