Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Sakari Resources

This is the weekly chart of Sakari, and we can see that it has had 10 consecutive weeks of decline. This shows that it is obviously on a downtrend, although the possibility of a pullback is quite high seeing how extended the move is. That said, new lows are expected after the pullback, since the support of 1.57 has been broken. The next support I can find is at 0.73, but that is very far, so a trailing stoploss is recommended instead if one chooses to short on the pullback. I will be watching it closely.

initiate shorts

initiate shorts

After a climatic plunge and a small 3-bar pullback, Olam broke to new lows on increased volume. This looks bearish, so I took a short position @1.720 with a stop @1.755. Let’s see how it fares tomorrow. If it takes out my stop, then it will enter a narrow range or have a larger pullback. The R/R is in my favour.

Source: http://www.facebook.com/groups/synapseforum/ 

Bearish Swings

This is the CRB Commodity Index, which I shared in the private mentoring forum on Monday to show that the Commodity sector is still on a downtrend. I hope no one tried to catch falling knives like Olam, Sakari etc. Sometimes, a dead cat bounce can look like the start of a new trend, but I prefer to trade with the established trend.

Forex: EUR/USD

Today, it was an easy day to trade, since the trend was clearly down, and there was an excellent SPZ entry at around 2230, where price tested the EMA and trendline. The EMA was tested again at around midnight, providing another chance to short. I think the rest of the day is likely to be ranging or a slight upward retracement. Calling it a day for now.

descending triangle

Spent the night scalping the EUR/USD for a couple of hours, and the best trading opportunities were centred around the obvious descending triangle, which broke out strongly and went past the traditional target projection.

The old problems in Europe are starting to surface again, putting pressure on the stock indices, as well as the EUR/USD. Overall trend is bearish.