Market analysis, insights and trading ideas on various markets and products!

Breakout to New Lows

Breakout to new lows on the daily chart
Expecting more opportunities to the downside

Breakout to New Lows 2

Intraday wedge breakdown which coincided with news release…
Stars in Alignment: Price, Pattern, Time

Breakout to New Lows 3

An intraday double bottom near support after a long decline.
A pullback after the double bottom provided another long opportunity.
Let’s see if it can hit the top where the arrow is.

Wedge Breakdown

Shorted on wedge breakdown, target at where the arrow is.
Level is 1.0360.

Initiate Longs

Initiated longs in anticipation of inverted H&S breakout
Took partial profits near neckline, and added longs after breakout
Exited all positions on weakness

Intraday Trading with Price Action

Using 3 timeframes of 5-min, 1-hour and 1-min, this is a simple way to pinpoint entries and exits to scalp the EUR/USD, as well as take longer term intraday swing positions.

From the chart, it is obvious the price action is contained in a downwards sloping channel, which means that most opportunities will have a short bias, since the edge lies in that direction – the path of least resistance.

In total, there were at least 20 good entry opportunities which provided a scalp/swing ranging from 4 to 16 ticks (each tick is USD 12.50 per contract), for those who are thinking of trading intraday. I am waiting for it to pull back to the top of the channel for another opportunity to catch another major swing down.

Another Breakdown

After my previous post, the EUR/USD has continued downwards and hit my profit target, where I took profit on my accumulated shorts and watched to see if the next support would be broken.

Despite the bullish news in the evening today, which caused a major spike up on most equity and Euro-related forex futures, the EUR/USD gave up its gains and went back into negative territory.

Watching the price action throughout the day, I knew that while retail traders might be going long for a breakout play, professionals were already taking the chance to liquidate their longs and were initiating short positions.

I started scaling in shorts after the major spike, and managed to get in most of my positions near the day high. I used the 5-minute charts to scale out my positions and take profit as price started to break down.

Now, I am still net short, and I am waiting to see if price manages to convincingly break the support for another leg down.

Stayed tuned in the Synapse forum!

Cheers
Spencer