Breakout Trading: How to Tell a Real Breakout From a False One
About half of all breakouts slip back within a week. 26 years of S&P 500 and gold data show which ones held, and the 4 filters that sort real from false.
Entries by Spencer Li
Mean Reversion Trading: How It Works, Why It Wins Often, and How It Loses Big
Mean reversion bets that a stretched market snaps back. 26 years of S&P 500 data show how often it does, and what happens in the cases where it keeps going.
What Is Trend Following? How the Strategy Works, and Why It Feels Wrong Most of the Time
Trend following joins moves that have already started and rides them. How it works, why it loses about half its trades, and the losing streaks to expect.
Should You Wait for the Candle to Close? Why the Close Is the Price That Counts
Over 26 years of daily data, about 4 in 10 moves above a 20-day high on the S&P 500 closed back below it. What waiting for the close costs, and what it saves.
When Resistance Becomes Support: How Role Reversal Works, and When It Fails
Why a broken resistance level often turns into support, how often price comes back to test it, and the 3 checks that separate a real flip from a failed one.