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While most currencies exhibited a risk-on bullishness, the STI was experiencing intraday distribution (refer to top chart). This is in line with my forecast for the week, and I am expecting some profit-taking from the big players. My short call on Noble should be hitting its target soon, probably this week.

I started off the day with two big winners riding long on the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. I also wanted to short EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY, but a bullish spike when Spain requested for aid negated the setup. Instead, I shorted EUR/JPY after the spike. Let’s see how it turns out tomorrow.

Today, as I was looking through some of my previous trades, I realised that I could greatly improve my results by exiting trades once I knew they were wrong instead of waiting for them to hit my stoploss. Of course, this will require some judgment, but there are some simple guidelines which be easily applied. I will share more in my next seminar.

 evening star signals turn to the downside

After the rebound for Noble, it is now setting up an evening star pattern, which is a short-term psychological pattern signalling an exit by the smart money. This trade was triggered last Friday, and I am expecting the SG markets to open down tomorrow after the bad news (or rather lack of good news) on the US markets. Since the US markets are closed tomorrow, there will be much apprehension in the SG markets, as evinced by the extremely low volume last Friday. I will be watching for more short opportunities. Good luck trading!

Commodities on the riseCurrently, I am long on indofood, and you can see from the chart that it is in a nice uptrend channel with quite some space to its next level of resistance at 2.58. Olam recently exhibited a similar pattern.

indofood

Noble seems to be the laggard in the commodities sector, but it has found decent support, also exhibiting a double bottom test, followed by a pullback. This double bottom pullback pattern is very bullish, plus it has just broken out of the price channel.