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Tag Archive for: market crash

Spencer Li

Weekly Market Wrap: Market Crash for Stocks & Crypto!

Market Analysis
chernobyl

chernobyl

For our weekly market wrap, we go through some of the trade calls and analysis from last week, which gives us valuable insights for the week ahead.

We cover 3 main markets with a total of 200+ counters, so we will never run out of trading opportunities:

  • Forex, CFDs, commodities, bonds
  • US stocks, ETFs, global stock indices
  • Cryptocurrencies, crypto indices

By covering a broad range of markets, we can focus our attention (and capital) on whichever market currently gives the best returns.

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? emoji

 

Forex Market Highlights

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Stock Market Highlights

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trading signals SP500 291121

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Crypto Market Highlights

trading signals crypto analysis 061221

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trading signals Avalanche AVAX 011221

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trading signals Terra LUNA 021221

Click here to receive all these signals in real-time for only $67 a month! You will get several signals a day, and even taking just 1 trade the whole month can easily cover the fee, so what are you waiting for? emoji 2

Good luck, and may next week bring more excellent profits! emoji 3

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/chernobyl.png 635 852 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2021-12-06 07:07:452022-03-15 16:13:27Weekly Market Wrap: Market Crash for Stocks & Crypto!
Spencer Li

Market Crash: Is it Better to Sell Everything or Hold On? (For Your Long-Term Investment Portfolio)

Investing & Portfolio Management
market crash hold or sell

Recently in this stock market crash I have been getting this question a lot, and I think it applies not just to this market crash, but to all large market corrections in general.

So, is it better to sell everything in your investment portfolio, or to hold on till the market recovers?

In this video, I share my thought process on how I make my investment decisions for my long-term investment portfolio, and I offer you two important pieces of advice which you can use to strategize your own investment portfolio.

In deciding whether to cash out, you need to determine if you are using an active or passive investing strategy.

If your portfolio strategy is passive investing like dollar-cost averaging, or annual rebalancing of an all-weather portfolio, then whether the market is up or down should not have an impact on your strategy, and there is no reason to change your portfolio strategy and panic sell just because there is a market crash.

If your investing strategy is more active, such as value investing, or asset rotation, and you are good at it, then by all means follow your strategy of rotating your assets into safe haven products like cash or bonds.

The problem that most people face is that they do not have a portfolio strategy in the first place. And if this is the case, then should you hold on to what you have, or sell it in case it goes lower?

In the past 50 years, the market has only corrected 30% or more about 5 times, and only 50% or more about twice. So we need to think about this in terms of a trade-off between upside vs. downside potential.

If the market has already corrected 30%, and you did not manage to liquidate your portfolio earlier, at this very point in time, how much lower can it go? Another 20-30% more?

But if you sell off and it recovers to the previous highs before you can buy back in, the gains you will miss out are 40-50%.

So you need to decide if the downside risks you are avoiding is worth the potential gains that you could miss out on.

Another major consideration is whether you are currently adding to your portfolio (cash inflow), or drawing out from your portfolio (cash outflow). This will determine how aggressive your portfolio strategy is, and I will talk more about it in the video.

Enjoy the video, and remember to “like” and “subscribe”!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/market-crash-hold-or-sell.png 522 1012 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2020-03-18 22:45:462022-12-21 03:05:58Market Crash: Is it Better to Sell Everything or Hold On? (For Your Long-Term Investment Portfolio)
Spencer Li

How to Profit from a Stock Market Crash (Panic Sell or Buy the Dip?)

Investing & Portfolio Management
profit from market crash

What Should You Do in a Stock Market Crash?

Last updated: 3 July 2026 · By Spencer Li, CFTe


In a stock market crash, the best thing most people can do is follow a plan they wrote before the crash, not react to the one happening in front of them. Modern corrections are sharp and vicious, partly because so much volume now comes from momentum-based algorithms that all sell in the same direction at once. That speed is exactly why panic decisions go wrong. So the answer is not a clever trade. It is three calm steps: protect what you have first (cut risk, raise cash, respect your stops), then wait for the selling to exhaust itself instead of catching the falling knife, then scale in slowly once price stabilises rather than going all-in on day one. A crash is one of the few moments where good assets go on sale, but only the prepared trader gets to treat it as an opportunity. Everyone else is busy being shell-shocked.

Here is how to think about it, step by step.

Why do market crashes feel so fast and brutal now?

Years ago a correction could grind lower over weeks. Today a lot of the market is traded by momentum-based algorithms (automated systems that buy strength and sell weakness). When price breaks, these systems all lean the same way at the same time, so selling feeds on selling. The move that used to take a month can happen in a few days.

This matters for you in one practical way: there is far less time to think mid-crash than there used to be. If your plan only exists in your head, the move will be over before you have finished deciding. Hence, the real work happens before the crash, not during it.

What is the best strategy in a falling market?

Personally, I split it into three jobs, in order. Defence first, patience second, offence last.

StepWhat you doWhy it mattersCommon mistake
1. ProtectCut risk, raise cash, honour your stopsYou cannot buy the bottom if you are wiped out before itAveraging down into a position that keeps falling
2. WaitLet the selling exhaust itself before actingSharp crashes overshoot, then snap backCatching the falling knife on day one
3. Scale inAdd slowly as price stabilises, not all at onceA crash puts good assets on sale, but the bottom is only clear laterGoing all-in too early, with nothing left to add

Notice that two of the three steps are about not acting. That is deliberate. In a fast market the trader who does less, but does it on purpose, usually beats the one who is reacting to every red candle.

Do note that, this is a framework, not a signal. The specific levels, stops, and sizing depend on your system and your timeframe. The point is to have those rules written down before you need them.

How do you turn a crash into an opportunity?

A crash is the rare moment when quality goes on discount. The catch is that “cheap” can always get cheaper, so opportunity only exists if you have kept the means to act: cash in reserve, a clear shopping list, and the patience to buy in stages instead of betting everything on calling the exact low.

So the opportunity is real, but it belongs to the prepared. If you spent the whole drop fully invested and frozen, there is nothing to take advantage of with. That is the quiet difference between traders who dread crashes and traders who wait for them.

Where the human edge comes in

An algorithm can sell faster than you, and in a crash it will. It is not trying to outrun the machines on speed. The edge is judgment and discipline: deciding in advance how much risk you will carry, sitting on your hands while the knife falls, and scaling in on a plan instead of on adrenaline. The machine supplies the panic. You supply the patience. That is the first of the Five Edges, and it is the part no system can trade for you.

FAQ

What should you do during a stock market crash?
Protect your capital first (cut risk, raise cash, honour your stops), wait for the selling to exhaust itself rather than buying on the first big down day, then scale in slowly as price stabilises. Decide these rules before the crash, because modern corrections move too fast to plan mid-drop.

Why are stock market crashes so sharp these days?
A large share of volume is driven by momentum-based algorithms that all sell weakness at the same time. That clustering makes corrections faster and more violent than older, slower sell-offs.

Should you buy during a crash?
A crash can put good assets on sale, but only if you have kept cash in reserve and buy in stages instead of going all-in at once. “Cheap” can get cheaper, so scaling in beats trying to pick the exact bottom.

Should you sell everything when the market crashes?
Panic-selling the whole portfolio at the lows is usually the costliest move. A planned approach, trimming risk on the way in and keeping rules-based stops, tends to beat an all-or-nothing reaction.


That is the short version: in a crash, the plan you wrote in calm beats any move you invent in panic. Which of the three steps is weakest for you right now?

For the full routine behind this, read the pillar: The Definitive Guide to Swing Trading.

Want a plan ready before the next drop? Grab the free 15-Minute Swing Trading Starter Kit. It is the exact routine I use to scan once a day and trade any market in 15 minutes, crash or calm.


About the author. Spencer Li is the founder of Synapse Trading and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) with 15 years of trading across stocks, forex, crypto, commodities, and bonds. His trade log is public, 404 trades, losses left in. He teaches low-risk swing trading in 15 minutes a day, one system for any market.

Education, not financial advice. Synapse Trading is not licensed by MAS to advise on investment products. Trading carries risk of loss; past performance is not indicative of future results.


Related

Definitive Guide to Swing Trading (pillar) · How to manage risk in trading · Trading psychology and discipline

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/profit-from-market-crash.png 522 1012 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2020-02-28 21:14:532026-07-06 03:04:32How to Profit from a Stock Market Crash (Panic Sell or Buy the Dip?)
Spencer Li

Is Your Portfolio Anti-Fragile? (Does it Fare Well During a Market Crash?)

Investing & Portfolio Management
does your portfolio fare well in crisis

In a bull market, everyone is a genius because it does not take any skill to get great returns.

However, the real test of your portfolio is during a market crash or crisis. How will it fare if the stock market drops 50%?

If your portfolio is anti-fragile, it will actually benefit from such market volatility, and give you opportunities to buy assets on discount.

Enjoy the video, and remember to “like” and “subscribe”!

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/does-your-portfolio-fare-well-in-crisis.png 521 1014 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2020-02-25 13:04:342022-12-21 03:15:01Is Your Portfolio Anti-Fragile? (Does it Fare Well During a Market Crash?)
Spencer Li

Will the Stock Market Crash or Continue Going Up for Another 10 Years?

Market Analysis
stock market crash

Since the crash of 2008, and the recovery which started in 2009, the stock markets (especially the US markets), have been on a steady uptrend.

Stock Market CrashChart: S&P 500 index (weekly chart)

Many of us have heard about the 10 year cycle, where the market is supposed to crash once every 10 years, for example the Asian markets during the 1997 currency crisis, and the global markets in 2007 during the subprime crisis.

However, in 2017, we did not see any significant crash or correction, which have led many analysts to rethink the theory.

So, in 2019-2020, should we be expecting a delayed crash, or are we experiencing a structural change in the markets?

Stock Market Crash 2

If we observe the supercycles of major human technological innovations, we see that each major wave of progress is driven by a major technological innovation, such as the steam engine in the 1700’s or the internet and IT advancements in the 1900’s.

And based on the cycles, we could be in the early stages of the 6th wave, which is going to be driven by the upcoming huge advancements in applications of big data, artificial intelligence, virtual reality, augmented reality, internet of things, and blockchain technology.

Stock Market Crash 3Source: The Market Oracle

This means that we could be on the cusp of a super bull market, if these technological advancements are able to create a quantum leap in productivity for businesses and a huge jump in the standards of living across the globe. All these would translate into stronger stock prices, which instead of crashing the market, would propel it to new heights.

However, there are also major concerns:

  • Unequal gains across companies: the major tech companies may soon dominate all industries via the application of new technologies.
  • High unemployment: If machines take all the jobs, what are humans going to do?
  • High debt and leverage of US and European economies
  • Political risks: clash of superpowers (US and China)

In summary, many retail investors are wary of entering the stock market now because it is at all time highs and has already “gone up a lot” since 2009, hence they are waiting for a “big crash” before going in.

However, this big crash may not come if successful widespread application of new technologies and innovation are able to drive a quantum leap in productivity.

0 Comments/by Spencer Li
https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/stock-market-crash.jpg 667 1000 Spencer Li https://synapsetrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/logo.jpg Spencer Li2018-05-20 18:36:452022-03-07 16:19:54Will the Stock Market Crash or Continue Going Up for Another 10 Years?
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