Market analysis and insights on Forex & Commodities!


On this weekly chart of USD/JPY, we can see that the USD has not touched the 20-EMA in quite a while, and has also bounced off the bottom of the channel. Since there is still much bearish pressure, there is a good chance that it will try to test the old lows of 82.85. USD has been weakening against the Yen, which led to the BoJ intervening to prevent a further strengthening of the Yen, by buying USD and selling Yen. An overly strong Yen makes Japanese exporters less competitive in the global market.
On this weekly chart of EUR/SGD, we can see a double bottom trend reversal pattern, after the down trendline was violated. However, given the prior strong downtrend, the bull flag might fail and go into a consolidation instead. This might simply be a 2-leeged pullback before resuming the downtrend. .

Currently, I am long on indofood, and you can see from the chart that it is in a nice uptrend channel with quite some space to its next level of resistance at 2.58. Olam recently exhibited a similar pattern.

Noble seems to be the laggard in the commodities sector, but it has found decent support, also exhibiting a double bottom test, followed by a pullback. This double bottom pullback pattern is very bullish, plus it has just broken out of the price channel. 

EUR/SGD - going down
The Euro is going down, and is showing extremely weak technicals, which underlie the festering Greece debt fundamental problems. This is the first test of the 20-EMA after staying away for quite a long time, showing the bearish pressure. It also coincides with a breakout below the support of 1.92 and a pullback. On an unrelated note, it seems that my holiday here in Europe is getting cheaper and cheaper. I will be timing my exchange of SGD to EUR near the support levels.