For the past 2 months, the Covid-19 virus (Wuhan virus, Coronavirus) which originated in China was highly contagious, but it managed to remain mostly in China, hence the global community as a whole did not seem that worred about it, as seem by how the Us markets continued to run up.
However, it now seems that the virus is speaking to other countries quickly, with outbreaks in South Korea, Italy, and the Middle East (Iran), sparking fears that this might go out of hand and create a global pandemic.
Spread of the Covid-19 Virus
As we can see from the map, the virus has spread to most of the developed economies, thankfully sparing Africa and South America.
It would be disastrous if the virus did get there, as they are battling many other problems and other diseases (eg. Ebola).
The cases are still growing daily at an alarming rate, but at least it is no longer exponential.
The risk, however, is that clusters of outbreaks in various parts of the world might cause another exponential spike in cases.
Bearishness in Aussie Dollar (AUD)
Safe haven assets like Gold, Bitcoin and USD have been strong, while currencies like NZD, EUR and AUD have weakened the most.
Gold as a Hedge Against Stock Declines
Gold is a good hedge against a crash in the stock market, because it is viewed as a safe haven asset, especially when the crash is happening.
Since the stock market is at all time highs, we have advised our students to add Gold to their investment portfolio.
Gold has since rallied strongly, and will likely continue to outperform.
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See you on the inside!