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Will the Stock Market Crash or Continue Going Up for Another 10 Years?

Since the crash of 2008, and the recovery which started in 2009, the stock markets (especially the US markets), have been on a steady uptrend.

Chart: S&P 500 index (weekly chart)

Many of us have heard about the 10 year cycle, where the market is supposed to crash once every 10 years, for example the Asian markets during the 1997 currency crisis, and the global markets in 2007 during the subprime crisis.

However, in 2017, we did not see any significant crash or correction, which have led many analysts to rethink the theory.

Now, it is 2018, so should we be expecting a delayed crash, or are we experiencing a structural change in the markets?

If we observe the supercycles of major human technological innovations, we see that each major wave of progress is driven by a major technological innovation, such as the steam engine in the 1700’s or the internet and IT advancements in the 1900’s.

And based on the cycles, we could be in the early stages of the 6th wave, which is going to be driven by the upcoming huge advancements in applications of big data, artificial intelligence, virtual reality, augmented reality, internet of things, and blockchain technology.

Source: The Market Oracle

This means that we could be on the cusp of a super bull market, if these technological advancements are able to create a quantum leap in productivity for businesses and a huge jump in the standards of living across the globe. All these would translate into stronger stock prices, which instead of crashing the market, would propel it to new heights.

However, there are also major concerns:

  • Unequal gains across companies: the major tech companies may soon dominate all industries via the application of new technologies.
  • High unemployment: If machines take all the jobs, what are humans going to do?
  • High debt and leverage of US and European economies
  • Political risks: clash of superpowers (US and China)

In summary, many retail investors are wary of entering the stock market now because it is at all time highs and has already “gone up a lot” since 2009, hence they are waiting for a “big crash” before going in. However, this big crash may not come if successful widespread application of new technologies and innovation are able to drive a quantum leap in productivity.

P.S. I talked about this during my previous FB live session here, and there are many new exciting topics that we discuss every week!
Official FB page: https://www.facebook.com/synapsetrading/

P.P.S. Next week, I will be heading to Silicon Valley to explore the latest technologies and innovation at some of the biggest tech companies, join me for live updates here:
My personal FB: https://www.facebook.com/iamrecneps
My Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/iamrecneps/

Cheers! 😀

I’m Back from One Month of Travelling – Exciting Times Ahead!

At last, I’m back! After one month of travelling the US, Mexico and Cuba, I’m back in Singapore and just in time for the Great Singapore Sale! 😀

Here are some photos of my travels, and I will be adding more when I have time in this album:
https://www.facebook.com/iamrecneps/media_set?set=a.10153508321583430.1073741836.530303429&type=3

travel map

usa mexico cuba

wallstreet bull

 

How has the market fared while I was gone?

The great plunge in global equity markets (especially China) was great for my forex short positions, as well as my Gold long positions.

2015-08-24 16.27.41

 

What about the Singapore markets?

All I can say that we were prepared a long time ago, and I have documented the proof below on the STI chart.

straits times index 300815

 

1st warning – http://synapsetrading.com/2015/06/good-value-investors-know-how-to-buy-at-the-right-price-right-time-do-you/
NAC event in front of 2000+ people – http://synapsetrading.com/2015/07/thank-you-for-the-overwhelming-response-at-nac-2015/
2nd warning – http://synapsetrading.com/2015/07/is-this-the-right-time-to-buy-gold-now/
3rd warning – http://synapsetrading.com/2015/07/sti-index-artistic-charts-expanding-triangle-pattern/
Last warning just before my trip – http://synapsetrading.com/2015/07/chinas-stock-market-8-5-crash-where-was-the-precise-turning-point/
Blog post on why I loaded up on Gold – http://synapsetrading.com/2015/07/is-this-the-right-time-to-buy-gold-now/

Is this the best time to enter the market NOW? Which counters?

I am looking forward to great and exciting times ahead in the market for bargain hunters, and I will be sharing all my secrets and stock picks next week in my final sharing session for this quarter.

Check availability: http://synapsetrading.com/events/training-workshops/

Don’t miss this last chance to find out how you can take advantage of this rare market correction, which may not last long!

This is also a last call for those who are keen to sign up for our top-rated mentoring program, where I impart all my skills to a selected group of 20 people.
http://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program/

See you there! 😀

Good Value Investors Know How to Buy at the Right Price & Right Time – Do You?

Today, after the Greek saga over the weekend, the STI plunged another 40 points, continuing its steady move downwards.

I know of many people who claimed to be value investors, and they told me that if a stock drops, they will happily buy more. But they sounded a bit shaky today when I spoke to them.

Thankfully, I have already liquidated most of my portfolio, so I’m just watching from the sidelines. And thankfully, I have also given my readers (and private forum members) ample time and warning to avoid the most recent big crash.

My Recent 2 Blog Posts on the STI:

http://synapsetrading.com/2015/06/a-startling-discovery-what-has-been-brewing-in-the-sti-for-the-past-5-years/
http://synapsetrading.com/2015/05/revealed-accurate-predictions-for-the-sti-direction-where-will-this-drop-end/

I always hear investors talk about the “right price” to buy, but I seldom hear them talk about the “right time”.

To me, the price is right when the time is right. 😀

 

straits times index sti 290615 synapse network

straits times index sti 290615

sgx sea of red 290615