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What Are Some of the Biggest Problems with Crypto Trading Platforms?

After trading cryptocurrencies for almost half a year and coaching many others to do the same, I had realised that many new traders seem to face the same gripes about the limited trading platforms. This issue is extremely prominent if traders are used to other platforms such as forex or stock brokerages.

Here are some of the biggest complications about the existing platforms:

  1. Long waiting period for account opening, verification, or funding
  2. Misleading and unfriendly user-interface
  3. Expensive trading fees and wide spreads
  4. High charges by banks for fund transfers

When cryptocurrency was first introduced in 2010, only a handful of specialised exchanges offered trading services. Throughout the years, cryptocurrency trading grew larger in number and size. Comparing the existing functions and complexities of Forex to any other cryptocurrencies brokerages, there is still a huge room for improvement for cryptocurrencies. As of today, many emerging companies are out in the market, competing to resolve the problems consumers are facing.

While browsing the net, I came across many new promising brokerages, and I had a chat with some of them to find out more about where the industry is headed.

One of them is Cryptaw, a new brokerage that aims to provide simplicity and reliability for Bitcoin trading. When I spoke with the management, they told me that  “Singaporeans should not pay a premium for cryptocurrency.”

On Cryptaw’s website, which they have just launched this month, they have made some really bold promises which could potentially disrupt cryptocurrency brokerage industry:
– Direct SGD Deposit
– Low trading fee of 0.6%*
– Simple user interface
– Fast account verification within 3 working days

If Cryptaw is able to address the 4 big issues, it will make it a lot easier not only for new traders (of which many are still waiting weeks/months for their accounts to get verified), but also for existing traders who can benefit from a simpler execution platform.

*Original trading fee of 1.2%. User will be able to enjoy discounted trading fee with promo codes and referral codes. Users will be able to enjoy 50% off trading fee until 3 Aug 2018

[Note: This is a sponsored post by Cryptaw.]

Cryptocurrencies & The 50-Year Kondratiev Wave Cycle

About 2 weeks ago, I attended a talk by one of my former professors (SMU), and it was on the topic on cryptocurrencies and the upcoming technological disruption. She mentioned about Kondratiev waves and the 50-year cycles, and I went on to do some research on how Cryptocurrencies fit into this wave, and how long it is likely to last according to this model.

“In economics, Kondratiev waves (also called supercyclesgreat surgeslong wavesK-waves or the long economic cycle) are hypothesized cycle-like phenomena in the modern world economy. It is stated that the period of a wave ranges from forty to sixty years, the cycles consist of alternating intervals between high sectoral growth and intervals of relatively slow growth.” – Wikipedia

 

After the global financial crisis in 2008, the market bottomed in 2009, and since then we saw the start of a new major cycle, which could last till 2050/60. This means that we are still in the early stages (fast growth stage) of a big long-term trend. This trend consists of not just cryptocurrencies, but also things like blockchain, AI, VR/AR, machine learning, etc.

 

Will it Crash Like the Dot Com Bubble?

In every phase of innovation, it will start off with radical innovation, where a new technology is introduced. This will be a period of experimentation and flux, as many new products come into the market. Cryptocurrencies are currently in this stage, which is why prices are so volatile.

As you might be aware, there are 3 main types of coins: currency, platform, and applications. Some people also include a 4th type called privacy coins, like Monero and Zcash, which are meant to allow completely anonymous transactions. Some examples of currency coins include Bitcoin, Litecoin & Bitcoin Cash, and their main purpose is to serve as a virtual currency. However, Bitcoin behaves more like an asset rather than a currency now, since people are buying it for capital appreciation rather than to use it for transactions. Platform coins refer to ones like Ethereum, which do not directly provide a function to the consumer, but allow applications to be built on their platform. Lastly, applications are like the iphone apps, which serves a particular function for the end user.

After the market has gone on long enough to enter the bubble stage, the next phase of innovation is the “shake out” phase, where the market gets rid of “useless” or bloated/weak products. This will typically be the part associated with a market crash, but it is also possible that the bubble deflates slowly instead of bursting.

In an early stage boom, the application coins will tend to proliferate, and there will be a lot of them. This means that this class of coins would be the most risky to invest in, because a lot of them will be the first to die out when the market crashes.

 

 

After the dust settles, the ones who survive will likely become the dominant players (Facebook, apple, Amazon), and it is worth noting that the best products/technology may not necessarily be the ones that survive, rather it is the one with the widest adoption. Do keep this in mind when building your Crypto portfolio and deciding which coins to invest and hold for the long-term.

After the crash, the trend may take a while to resume, but it will be more majestic than before. The next phase involves incremental innovations, where products are further refined, such as improvements in the products, or new applications for existing products, etc.

So Should I Buy Now?

Although we know we are at the early stages of a mega-trend, we also have to keep in mind the “shake out” phase which has not occurred yet.

If you are willing to hold through that and capture the subsequent big upside, then you will not need to worry so much about timing the market now. But if you prefer to take a more cautious approach, you can wait till the “shake out” is over before entering the market.

And lastly, if you prefer the best of both worlds, you can use swing trading to capture the short/medium-term moves in the market, while waiting for the “shake out”, and then going all-in when the dust settles. Whichever approach you choose, just make sure you don’t miss out on this 50-year wave, because it is literally once in a lifetime. 😀