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3 Major Catalysts for Cryptocurrencies in 2018 – Time to Buy Now?

Since the highs in December 2017, Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies have seen a sharp decline, and agile traders/investors have mostly exited to await better buying opportunities. This includes myself, and after cashing out my profits in early 2018 (after the double top reversal), I have been waiting for the past few months for a timely opportunity to get back into the market.

Despite the volatility, I am still optimistic for the long-term potential of Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies, hence it is important to know which catalysts will likely move the prices for 2018, and when is the optimal time to get into the market.

1. Increased Regulation

At first glance, this might seem like a bad thing, as many countries around the world (China, Australia, Taiwan, Philippines, US, etc) start to clamp down on Crypto-related activities, or impose some kind of restrictions and controls. And prices reacted to such news of regulation negatively as expected, with a prolonged downtrend lasting several months.

However, what most people don’t realise is that such regulation is actually a good thing in the long run, and necessary for Cryptocurrencies to become more “mainstream” and widely adopted. Which means that while we can expected prices to fall, it is also a good catalyst to enable us to buy these assets at lower prices in the future. Timing is key.

2. Institutional Funds

Once their is sufficient regulation and prices are low enough, institutional investors (hedge funds, asset managers, etc) are likely to come into the market. This is where the big moves are going to come from, as we saw from the dotcom boom. And recently, we have heard some news/rumours that big names like George Soros, Rothschild, Rockefeller, etc are starting to come into the market.

If we look at the graph below, we can see that a major trend is usually driven by institutional investors, which means that despite the meteoric rise of Cryptocurrencies over the past few months, it is still nowhere near a bubble, since the “real big money” from institutional investors have not started to pour in yet.

Imagine a future where fund managers and pension funds all include Cryptocurrencies as one of the asset classes in their portfolios, together with stocks, bonds, gold, etc. This will definitely create a huge demand for it, and push up prices faster than we have ever seen.


3. Scale & adoption

One major debate is whether Bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies) can serve its purpose as a global currency with a stable store of value, and cheap & fast transactions. Currently, it is not there yet, and how fast it can get there will depend on how well the product can be improved. The volatility will naturally decrease over time as the market cap increases, but the speed and cost of transactions will depend on innovations and improvements from developers.

Is it a Good Time to Buy Now?

Personally, I have starting accumulating it for the past week or so, as evinced by the recent charts I have been posting. Looking at the chart below, we can see that prices have corrected from $19k+ to around $7k, where there is strong support, forming a potential double bottom.

And if the regulation starts to tone down and more institutional investors start coming it, this will be a pretty good confluence of factors to expect a further increase in prices.

 

I will be happy to continue accumulating as prices and fundamentals continue to improve. Stay tuned! 😀

 

What are Some of the Most Popular Crypto Brokerages?

To start trading, you will need to open a brokerage account. Here is a blog post on account opening: http://synapsetrading.com/2018/01/new-video-askspencer-anything-episode-2/

There are 2 types of accounts, and you will need one of each. The first is a “Fiat exchange” brokerage account, which allows you to change your money (SGD, USD) into the major coins like Bitcoin & Ethereum. If you only plan to hold these coins, then you will not need a “Coin Exchange” brokerage account.

To transfer your SGD to Coinhako, you need to go through xfers, as Coinhako does not have a SGD bank account. If you want to buy other coins, also known as Alt Coins, you will need to open a “Coin Exchange” brokerage account. This will allow you to exchange your major coins into Alt Coins, eg. Ripple, Monero, Litecoin, etc. Do note that you cannot fund these “Coin Exchange” brokerage accounts directly with cash, hence the need for “Fiat Exchange”. To make withdrawals, you will need to sequentially reverse the process.

List of Most Popular Crypto Brokerages:

 

How come I can’t find certain coins on my brokerage account?

To see which exchange has which coins, you can go to this website and click on the coin you wish to buy. https://coinmarketcap.com/coins/

Click on the “markets’ tab, and you can see which exchanges offer the coin.

Follow-up on Bitcoin Short: When is A Good Time to Buy? (Bonus: ETH Analysis)

In my last blog post here, I called for Bitcoin to drop from its current $13k+ to between $8k and $10k, using the measurements of the swing counts.

Now, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below $10k, but I am not planning to catch a falling knife, so I will wait for the fall to end and the dust to settle, before entering the “post dot-com landscape) and buying up coins for cheap.

One of my readers also suggest an analysis for ETH, and I have posted the analysis here inside the “Live Trading Network”, which you can gain lifetime free access with just one click.

Thanks, see you soon!

Chart of the Day: Detailed Bitcoin Analysis

Based on the latest chart of Bitcoin, it looks like it is undergoing a major correction.

After hitting highs of almost $20k, it has started to form a corrective pattern between $12k and $17k, and there could be more to come.

After the first initial move down (the blue sell arrow) which was mentioned in our previous blog post, there was a corrective a-b-c wave, which could be a corrective wave within a larger corrective wave, with the 2 pink rectangles being wave a and wave c respectively.

If that is the case, the end of wave c will be around $9k, which is quite close to where the old trendline is.

Lastly, we also pulled out a Fibonacci Retracement on the whole price history of Bitcoin, and drew in a red rectangle to indicate the 50-61.8% retracement range. For major corrections, this is where it usually ends. If it breaks below the red rectangle, then it becomes a reversal instead of a correction. The red rectangle is between $7.5k and $10k.

For conservative long-term investor, you can wait to accumulate inside the red rectangle.

However, if price goes above point c (around $17k), then it would invalidate the pattern, and the uptrend would likely continue to surpass $20k, so I am prepared to buy on a break above $17k as well.