Understand behavioral science and psychology to boost your consistency

3 Crucial Lessons From Jesse Livermore – The Greatest Stock Trader of All Time

Jesse Livermore is known to be the most prolific stock trader. Several books have been written about him and his trading track record is legendary. His profits were so great that he was reported to have owned mansions in various places around the world, each fully staffed, complete with limousines and steel-hulled yacht for his holidays.

Some of you might have read that Livermore was worth $100 million after shorting the 1929 great market crash.

Above: Some of the books about Jesse Livermore, available in major bookstores.

What Guidelines Did Jesse Livermore Follow As A Trader?

Among the many quips he had about trading and investing, I’ve picked out some of the key ones that could make or break your trading account.

While many complain about the difficulties in trading forex, stocks, or commodities, there is a good minority that makes consistent profits in the markets.

What sets Jesse Livermore apart from his peers?

 

  1. Buy rising stocks and sell falling stocks.

The above seems obvious, but many people fail to adhere to this rule. Many people like to ‘pick tops’ and ‘pick bottoms’. Now, professional traders do occasionally try to pick tops and bottoms, but they do so with very strict risk management, and always have a contingency plan for when the trade doesn’t work out.

Beginners often makes the mistake of trying to trade against the trend. While this can be profitable for some, talk to anyone in the trading industry and they will tell you that trend-following is the major money-making strategy that every trader uses. It’s simple, easy to add positions on, and it’s stress free. The problems come when beginners make a buck from trading with the trend, and start to explore ‘new ways’ to trade and invest.

 

2. Keep trades that show a profit, end trades that show a loss.

Jesse Livermore is famous for his humongous profits, but behind every profitable trader is the admirable ability to deal with a string of losses. It’s one thing to know that you need to cut losses, but it’s another to actually cut your losses when you are wrong. George Soros famously quips that it is not how many times you win or lose, it’s how much you make when you win, and how much you lose when you are wrong.

Cutting losses is a psychologically hard thing to do in modern society. We’re ingrained to be always correct, and never admit that you messed up, because it reflects badly on you as a person. However, with investing, no one is marking you for the number of losses; the profit that you make is the final report card that matters, and that’s where we want to be focusing on.

 

3. Never average losses by buying more when your stock has fallen.

Too many people refuse to be wrong on their investments or trades.

I have heard of people say this statement: “Even if the stock drops a lot, I’ll just keep it because I’m buying for ownership and dividend cashflow, not just for capital gains.” Sure, but what happens if the stock you hold drops by 70%? 80%? You’ll buy more?

Buying more when the stock has fallen is a sure-way to get your trading account to zero. It’s taking more risk when the odds are against you.

 

Think About This: Which of These 3 Guidelines Have Brought You Losses in the Past?

Many traders soon realize early in their career, that their trading accounts could have been profitable if not for silly mistakes. Avoiding these silly mistakes requires experience, maturity, the correct knowledge, and of course, proper mentoring.

I was lucky to be mentored by veteran traders early on in my trading career. Their advice, based upon thousands of hours of market experience, contributed greatly to who I am today, and I never fail to mention, during trading seminars or public events, that by tapping on their experience, I was able to quickly attain a level of success that kept me profitable.

If you’re currently struggling as a trader, ask yourself this question: “Which mistakes have I been making?”

Acknowledging trading mistakes is a continuous process of learning and growing.

 

Ever Wondered What Trading Methodology Jesse Livermore Used?

The next step for every aspiring trader is to actually take action. Making more trades is the key to success, and consistency can only be bred by constant and directed effort towards your goals.

If you would like to learn the trading method which Jesse Livermore (as well as many other legendary traders used), do drop by for our next workshop where we will share the strategies which professionals have been using for over 200+ years to gain consistent returns.

 

Wishing you all the best in your trading journey! 😀

3 Biggest Financial Regrets of Retirees in Singapore – And How to Avoid Them!

Every person has regrets, and as one gets older, it is inevitable that one would start regretting certain things. And when it comes to finances, what exactly do our seniors quip about? What decisions did they make that they regret the most? And most importantly, what crucial advice would they give to those looking to retire comfortably in the future?


REGRET #1: NOT SAVING MONEY WHEN YOUNG

This is one of the most common regrets that is universal to all seniors across the world, with older folk lamenting that they should have saved when they were younger. In fact, saving $10,000 in your twenties adds up a lot more than saving in your 40’s or 50’s. Compounding works to your favour the earlier you start. Expenses also start to rack up as you age, therefore it is much harder to save when you are older.

1

Property, health spending, and raising a family take up most of your money, and saving money gets a lot harder when the children are begging for you to get the latest mobile device  for their birthdays.

Gambling and entertainment eats away at your nest egg, so stay clear of them! It’s never too late to start getting your money habits sorted out.

 

REGRET #2: NOT INVESTING TIME WELL

Back in the 1980’s, investing was a lot harder to learn without the internet. Now, it is an excuse to say that it is difficult to be financially educated. With kids these days being able to build a website from scratch (without supervision), I’m sure you will be able to find something to do that will bring you dividends in the long-run.

Most people complain about not knowing what to invest in. That is a reasonable complaint, but…

The reason why most people can’t invest money, is that they don’t even invest time to learn how to invest.

timeTime is sacred; use it wisely, and use it on what matters.

If your financial vocabulary includes any of the following:

  • buying blue-chip stocks for the long-term
  • mutual fund investments
  • investment-linked insurance policies

…you are missing out on a large chunk of the pie. A good diversified portfolio includes much more than just stocks. In fact, holding just stocks can be very risky, as seen during the 2008 financial crisis where most blue-chip stocks plunged by 60-80%.

Multi-asset class, multi-instrument investing is the norm now. If you’re not involved, it’s time to get started.

Another common misconception is that learning how to trade or invest is very time-consuming, but that is actually not true. Like any skill, it might take a while to learn it at first, but after a few weeks, you will soon get the hang of it and it will only require a few minutes a day to manage your finances and investments.


REGRET #3: SPENDING TOO MUCH ON THE CHILDREN

Many parents will look back on their days as young parents and quip that they should have spent less. Some of the bad outcomes include spoilt children, children who expect a lot but don’t contribute, and many more.

Among the many unnecessary expenses, parents could do well to reduce spending in any of these areas:

  • Extra-curricular lessons, like ballet, music, swimming (especially if the child is not enjoying them!)
  • Tuition lessons (the school system in Singapore is honestly quite robust)
  • Expensive pre-school education (they won’t remember what happened anyway)
  • Expensive holidays (we don’t remember them 1 year from now)
  • Toys that are thrown away 3 months later (we prefer iPads, honestly)
  • Expensive food at fancy restaurants (food, is still food)
  • Overseas university education (a local degree can be equally profitable for your child)
  • Expensive child-care services (reasonably priced ones will do the same)
  • A domestic helper / maid (teaching the kids to take care of the house makes more sense)

1We sometimes put too much of a premium on university education. Pay what is fair and reasonable; don’t go about spending half a million on a university degree.

Many parents have money but very little time for the children. Ask any child and you would know that he/she would much prefer spending time with their parents than having expensive holidays in Paris, Dubai, or Tokyo.

On hindsight, you would always know better. But hey, take the advice of our seniors, and spend what really matters; our time.

For what use is all these cool stuff, cool experiences, premium lessons and holidays, if we don’t get what truly matters?

WANT TO BUILD A 2ND SOURCE OF RETIREMENT INCOME?

P.S. If you are keen to start building a second source of income (besides your job) to protect yourself from the upcoming economic recession and start saving up for your retirement, I would like to invite you to join us for our next 3-hour foundation workshop, where you will learn how to generate monthly returns of 3-5% (one student has been making 10% every month for the past 15 months!) using a handful of simple strategies.

The World’s 7 Greatest Currency Trades Ever Made – Key Lessons & Insights

Have you ever wondered, what are some of the most epic forex trades that went down in history? And more importantly, what crucial insights and lessons can we learn from these legendary traders?

1) ANDY KRIEGER – $300 MILLION PROFIT

Andy Krieger is a somewhat unknown trader who made his name at Bankers Trust. He was watching currencies in 1987 after the Black Monday crash, and he saw an opportunity for arbitrage in some overvalued currencies. He became famous because he shorted a few hundred million dollars worth of Kiwi (New Zealand’s currency), and he shorted so much that his position was said to exceed the money supply of New Zealand as a nation.

Andy shorted so much currency that there was not enough currency in circulation to support the short.

The kiwi fell tremendously while he was shorting it and made $300 million for Bankers Trust. Legend has it that a worried New Zealand government official called up Krieger’s bosses and made threats to him. Krieger later left the firm to work for George Soros in his quantum fund.

 

2) STANLEY DRUCKENMILLER – $2 BILLION TRADE

Stanley Druckenmiller made this historic trade as a trader working for George Soros’ Quantum Fund. He went long on the German mark because of the fall of the Berlin Wall, and the undervaluation that was going on during the reunification between East and West Germany. Legend has it that Stanley initially bet a few hundred million dollars, until Soros told him to raise the bet to $2 billion. That year, the Quantum fund brought in 60% returns.

Stanley is a rather unknown person, but the fact that George Soros hired him is worth noting.

Another trade that Stanley made was in the 1990s. He was buying German bonds, because he expected investors to move from British bonds to German bonds. It was also during the period where Soros broke the Bank of England.

3) GEORGE SOROS – $1 BILLION PROFIT IN THE POUND

George Soros became famous because he shorted the pound aggressively, in fact, so aggressively that he borrowed heavily and make $1 billion in the process.

At that time, Britain wanted to keep the value of the pound above 2.7 German marks, a key feature of the fixed exchange rate mechanism. Many speculators began to take up short positions in the expectation that this fixed exchange rate would not hold.

This was the famous ‘broke the British bank’ trade that shot George Soros to stardom.

Britain even raised its interest rates to double digits to try to attract investors and prop up the buying in its currency, however, the British government soon realized that it would lose lots and lots of money trying to keep the value of the pound. Soros made $1 billion for his fund on this trade.

 

4) PAUL TUDOR JONES – $100 MILLION PROFIT SHORTING BLACK MONDAY

The U.S stock market experienced its largest 1-day percentage decline ever on Black Monday of 1987. This was the most shocking fall the world had seen at that point, and even up to today, no 1-day decline has ever matched Black Monday.

Betting on a black swan event netted Paul Tudor Jones $100 million in profits.

1The 22.6% drop in the Dow in 1987 has not been rivaled even up to 2017.
Source: stock-market-crash.net

Paul Tudor Jones shorted the stock market, tripling his money, and making US$100 million on that trade while the Dow Jones plummeted 22%.

 

 

5) ANDREW HALL – $100 MILLION PROFIT BETTING ON OIL

While working for Citigroup, Andrew Hall predicted a 5-year bull-run in oil from 2003-2008, and made the appropriate trades. Oil went from $30 to $100, and Hall brought with him $100 million as part of his compensation plan.

Andrew Hall made it big on oil in his career at Citigroup.

jAndrew Hall at a conference in September 2016.
Source: Forbes

Aside from this brilliance, he reportedly bought 1 million barrels of physical oil in 2009, and stored it, hoping that oil would rise greatly. It did, and from 2009-2011, oil went from $50 to $100. However, his oil fund hasn’t been doing well in the past 5-6 years, and he has had to repeatedly explain the lack of profits to investors.

 

6) DAVID TEPPER – $4 BILLION PROFITS BUYING BANK STOCKS

David Tepper’s strategy was simple; buy low, sell high. In early 2009, he scooped up big banks like Citigroup and Bank of America, and saw them quadruple and triple in value from their bottoms in 2009.

Nothing spectacular; buy low, sell high.

These trades earned $7 billion for Tepper’s hedge fund. His personal compensation was $4 billion.

 

7) LOUIS BACON – 86% RETURNS BETTING SADDAM HUSSEIN WOULD INVADE KUWAIT

Louis Bacon went long on oil, short on stocks in the 1990s because of this geopolitical situation. Later, he also correctly bet that the U.S. would quickly defeat Iraq and the oil market would recover.

Bacon’s event-based bets rewarded him handsomely.

1Louis Bacon explaining what he knows best; geopolitical event trading.
Source: Quotesgram

His hedge fund returned 86% that year because of these trades. Although his strategy is somewhat unconventional, he has excelled in it and carved a niche for himself.

 

AFTER READING THIS, WHAT’S NEXT?

Many of these traders had decades of trading experience under their belts. Although they all seem like they had a great stroke of luck or a brief moment of brilliance, the preparation and practice that they went through was thorough and gruelling.

I hope that these stories of real traders would motivate you to continue at your game, brush up your skills, engage the financial markets, and stay up-to-date with what’s going on.

P.S. If you are keen to learn the strategies that professional traders are using and experience some practical live trading, I would like to invite you to join us for our next workshop.

In our previous workshop, during the live trading segment, one new trader made US$200+ from following our USD/SGD short trade, while Spencer made US$454 on the same trade and over US$1,200 of profits in total during the workshop.

Come join us for our next hand-on workshop, where you will learn 4 easy strategies to tackle any market (stocks, forex, CFDs, etc), and how you can apply them with as little as 15 minutes a day to make 20-40% annual returns consistently.

 

 

RESEARCH SOURCES & REFERENCES

investopedia.com/articles/forex/08/greatest-currency-trades.asp
commodityhq.com/education/5-legendary-commodity-investors/
businessinsider.com/greatest-trades-in-wall-street-history-2013-2
ibtimes.com/top-10-greatest-trades-all-time-253039
cabotwealth.com/daily/options-trading/the-greatest-options-trade-i-ever-saw/

3 Little-Known But Powerful Life Principles That the Top 10% of Rich People Apply Daily

Wealth has little to do with your age. Insteadmaturity is the key factor in living successfully and accumulating wealth. I’ve seen 40-somethings and 50-somethings behave like school children, and 20-somethings with nothing in their pockets but with an attitude that would put accomplished men to shame.

The latter are the superstars of tomorrow. But what is the defining difference between these 2 groups of people?

The answer lies in their life principles, and here are 3 essential life principles that are adopted by all the world’s richest and most successful people.

FIRSTLY, IT’S NOT WHAT YOU HAVE IN YOUR POCKET, BUT WHAT ATTITUDE YOU HAVE IN YOUR HEAD.

Attitude makes the difference. I have met employers, bosses, CEOs over the years and one thing I’ve noticed is that many of them do not mind hiring fresh graduates, as long as they want to learn. Many people come straight out of school expecting a $4,000 salary and posh benefits, but the truth is, these jobs no longer exist. Instead, the business world is a harsh hustle and the reality may shock comfort-seekers and fun-loving teenagers.

Money is not the solution to your financial difficulties. It’s your mentality towards wealth and life in general.

aSource: Quotefancy.com

Of course, in capitalism, money speaks. But when you have nothing to your name, it’s your willingness to change and your enthusiasm that attracts the money eventually.

Entrepreneurs are people who create money out of thin air. They see a problem, and find a way to

If someone is hiring a trader, I want to see at least 5 years of dedicated self-study to the subject, outside of the classroom. I want him to be proficient in all asset classes, conversant with financial jargon, and at least know who Yellen and Largade is.

When an aspiring trader tells me that the FOMC rate caused a bull spike and reversal on the yen yesterday despite the announcement being ambiguous, I’m sold.

Rich people have raw passion, and I believe every successful entrepreneur would say the same.

What kind of attitude do you have?

SECONDLY, LEARN TO SERVE INSTEAD OF BEING SERVED.

Many people, young or old, squirm at the idea of having to serve someone more experienced than them. After all, they would say to themselves “I could jolly-well do what my boss is doing. Why is he paid 3 x of my salary?”

“That’s because he’s the boss, silly you.”

This is the truth: your boss did something, and had something that got him there. He paid his dues and did what it takes to get to where he deserves.

 

1Would you ‘wash someone else’s feet’ in order to learn and get where you want eventually?
Source: enemyofdebt.com

And learning to serve is a great way to buy into the shoes of high-rolling elites. Many wealthy people are humble, hardworking, honest, eager to learn, and much much more. When they see the same qualities they once had, you’re in.

Serve your boss. Look out for what the company you are in wants. Help others around meet performance goals. Learn to work for a vision greater than yourself, and don’t beat yourself up for having low pay initially.

When you serve, you grow as a person, you grow in maturity, you expose yourself to different experiences, and you’ll instantly stand out from the crowd.

 

LASTLY, BE FAITHFUL WITH LITTLE, AND YOU’LL BE GIVEN MORE.

I’m surprised by how many people I meet, fresh out of university, who have studied Economics, Finance, Corporate Accounting, Complex Derivatives, and many other subjects, but fail to manage their own income and expenses.

A person who manages his expenses at the age of 18 is impressive. People don’t look only for great results; the person’s habits will show.

I’ve seen youngsters who can pull out spreadsheets detailing their monthly income and expenses for the past 5 years, filed into category, along with savings plans, % completion on their financial goals, and many other cool details. These are the ones that will get ahead.

If you can’t manage $1,000 a month, don’t think that things will get better when you have $4,000 a month. If you are faithful with little, you will be faithful with much.

Have you ever heard of lottery winners striking it rich, and then lose it all because they were bad financial managers?

 

izI ain’t no saint, but Mother Teresa has some great wisdom on this issue.
Source: izquotes.com

 

Budget faithfully, keep to your current level of income, and stick to it. But always seek to grow your level of earning power.

TRUTH BE TOLD, MANY PEOPLE DON’T LIKE TO DO THE ABOVE 3 POINTS.

Sadly, I’ve also met adults in their 40s-50s who have lost hope. When the family comes, the kids come, and the crushing mortgage comes, the cracks will show in their financial discipline. These habits are formed over many years, and the lack of discipline and a humble attitude is to blame.

Keep at your inner-game and you’ll be much closer to your financial goals than you imagine.

Cheers! 🙂

P.S. To help you kickstart your journey to greatness, we have compiled a comprehensive list of all the best resources we have, because we always believe in giving value, since value will multiply, and when people like what they get, they will definitely come back for more.

P.S.S We will be conducting our quarterly intake of the Trading Mastery Program this coming weekend on 18 & 19 March, and if you want to join us please inform us asap so that we can book lunch and prepare the training materials for you. The fastest way is to drop us an SMS/Whatsapp at 97724280. See you soon!

Guest Speaker at SMU Open House – Alumni Sharing

Yesterday, I was invited to speak at the SMU Open House, as an Alumni of the School of Accountancy and School of Business. It was a great honour to contribute back to my Alma Mater, and inspire the next generation of students to greater heights.

Full photo album for the event:

Once again, a big thanks to SMU for inviting me back, and also to the professors who have supported me along the way, and everyone else who turned up to support me yesterday! Cheers! 😀