Market analysis and insights on Stocks, ETFs & REITs!

Trading Mastery Program (TMP) – Batch Q2 2017 is Ready to Transform their Lifestyle!

Last week, we concluded another exciting run of our “Trading Mastery Program”, where we imparted our powerful “lifestyle trading” strategies to empower another batch of traders to create a 2nd source of income from the forex markets by spending 15 minutes a day.

I will be taking a long break from training, so we will not be having anymore “Trading Foundation Workshops”, but I have scheduled another 2 more sessions this year to clear our waiting lists for the “Trading Mastery Program”.

We will also be opening a few seats to the public for each session, on a first-come, first-serve basis. for those who are keen, you can reserve your slot via this link: http://wp.me/P1riws-31L

 

Training Feedback from Attendees:

“Very informative. The feedback from the homework submission is very helpful as it helps to confirm the concept & understanding. The concepts are broken down into simple parts, easily understandable with great support.” – Clemence Wang

“I’m very new to trading and this training gave me a lot of important insights & strategies to become a good trader.” – Larry Tan

“I feel that the course provided a clear and proven methodology to trade effectively. The tools provided are also very supportive.” – Janie, AXA

“The concepts taught by Spencer are easy to follow!” – Jiawei

Very informative and interactive training conducted in a right pace.” – Eugene Chng

Awesome course and wonderful post-course support even before the course ends.” – Eddy

Excellent training.” – Quek Boon Kiat

“A very complete training program that give a good coverage on trading and practical setups that are easy to understand and apply. The mindset portion is very important to ensure that we are profitable in the long term. Thank you.” – Alan

“The training was very well-done. The flow in the course is good, and very informative and detailed with a good overview of the entire market. The ending with mindset and psychology summarized it nicely. The case studies were also very useful in allowing us to apply the principles involved.” – Sherilyn Tan

“Good program structure, clear flow of progress on how to become a good trade, deep learning with a top-down approach.” – Nguyen Son Tung

Systematic and methodical.” – Wei Ming

“The course is conducted well. Able to see charts with different perspective and understand the behavior of the market and apply the correct method.” – CW Tay

“Having being a complete newbie to trading, Spencer’s course resources have made it easy for me to understand.” – Jaxon

“The program is systematic and provides good fundamental knowledge for traders who aspire to be profitable.” – Min Lun

“The concepts taught by Spencer are easy to understand.” – Gary

“A comprehensive workshop that gives insights to trading. The money management strategy is very good advice.” – Richard Ching, Nanyang Polytechnic

 

Register Early to Avoid Disappointment!

We will also be opening a few seats to the public for each session, on a first-come, first-serve basis. for those who are keen, you can reserve your slot via this link: http://wp.me/P1riws-31L

Good luck to all the new “future millionaires”, and see you all at the top! 😀

Why I am Planning to Liquidate my Full Portfolio of Singapore Stocks

Announcement: I will be taking a long break to focus on my trading and coaching of existing students (as well as several new exciting projects), but before that I will be conducting one last session of the “Trading Foundation workshop” on 18 May 2017 and the last run this quarter of the “Trading Mastery Program” on 27 & 28 May 2017.


It has been a while since my last update on the Singapore markets (as well as my SG portfolio holdings), largely because the market doesn’t move much, so I only check on them once in a while.

Interestingly, I noticed that the STI has had an impressive run, coming off a low of 25xx to break past the 3000 level in the past few months. However, is this move sustainable?

Taking a closer look at this weekly chart which shows the historical prices over the last 20 years or so, one thing which stands out is that the market has been in a 7 YEAR sideways stagnation.

If we look back at the whole history of the index, this is somewhat unprecedented.

Which could explain why popularity in this market (as well as trading volumes) has been waning. In short, it does seem like a dying market.

Not to mention that during this same time period, the US stock markets have been steadily creeping up.

If we look at the most recent red shaded circle, that is where the current price is, and it seems to be running into massive headwinds. This means that the potential upside could be quite limited.

If we observe the large sideways range that prices have been moving in, the price is now at the top of the range. And we know that the best strategy in a range is to “buy low, sell high”, which means that the odds do not favour much more upside, unless there is some new strong positive price catalyst.

However, a cursory glance at recent news headlines seems to be painting a rather gloomy picture, with muted growth forecasts and ominous employment statistics. This tell me that downside catalysts are more likely that upside ones. In other words, there is more chance of a negative shock rather than a positive shock for prices.

In light of all these factors, I am planning to cash out most or all of my profits, and wait for more favourable odds to redeploy my capital. As a trader and investor, timing is always key.

Good luck, and trade wisely! 😀

P.S. I will be taking a long break to focus on my trading and coaching of existing students (as well as several new exciting projects), but before that I will be conducting one last session of the “Trading Foundation workshop” on 18 May 2017 and the last run this quarter of the “Trading Mastery Program” on 27 & 28 May 2017.

3 Crucial Lessons From Jesse Livermore – The Greatest Stock Trader of All Time

Jesse Livermore is known to be the most prolific stock trader. Several books have been written about him and his trading track record is legendary. His profits were so great that he was reported to have owned mansions in various places around the world, each fully staffed, complete with limousines and steel-hulled yacht for his holidays.

Some of you might have read that Livermore was worth $100 million after shorting the 1929 great market crash.

Above: Some of the books about Jesse Livermore, available in major bookstores.

What Guidelines Did Jesse Livermore Follow As A Trader?

Among the many quips he had about trading and investing, I’ve picked out some of the key ones that could make or break your trading account.

While many complain about the difficulties in trading forex, stocks, or commodities, there is a good minority that makes consistent profits in the markets.

What sets Jesse Livermore apart from his peers?

 

  1. Buy rising stocks and sell falling stocks.

The above seems obvious, but many people fail to adhere to this rule. Many people like to ‘pick tops’ and ‘pick bottoms’. Now, professional traders do occasionally try to pick tops and bottoms, but they do so with very strict risk management, and always have a contingency plan for when the trade doesn’t work out.

Beginners often makes the mistake of trying to trade against the trend. While this can be profitable for some, talk to anyone in the trading industry and they will tell you that trend-following is the major money-making strategy that every trader uses. It’s simple, easy to add positions on, and it’s stress free. The problems come when beginners make a buck from trading with the trend, and start to explore ‘new ways’ to trade and invest.

 

2. Keep trades that show a profit, end trades that show a loss.

Jesse Livermore is famous for his humongous profits, but behind every profitable trader is the admirable ability to deal with a string of losses. It’s one thing to know that you need to cut losses, but it’s another to actually cut your losses when you are wrong. George Soros famously quips that it is not how many times you win or lose, it’s how much you make when you win, and how much you lose when you are wrong.

Cutting losses is a psychologically hard thing to do in modern society. We’re ingrained to be always correct, and never admit that you messed up, because it reflects badly on you as a person. However, with investing, no one is marking you for the number of losses; the profit that you make is the final report card that matters, and that’s where we want to be focusing on.

 

3. Never average losses by buying more when your stock has fallen.

Too many people refuse to be wrong on their investments or trades.

I have heard of people say this statement: “Even if the stock drops a lot, I’ll just keep it because I’m buying for ownership and dividend cashflow, not just for capital gains.” Sure, but what happens if the stock you hold drops by 70%? 80%? You’ll buy more?

Buying more when the stock has fallen is a sure-way to get your trading account to zero. It’s taking more risk when the odds are against you.

 

Think About This: Which of These 3 Guidelines Have Brought You Losses in the Past?

Many traders soon realize early in their career, that their trading accounts could have been profitable if not for silly mistakes. Avoiding these silly mistakes requires experience, maturity, the correct knowledge, and of course, proper mentoring.

I was lucky to be mentored by veteran traders early on in my trading career. Their advice, based upon thousands of hours of market experience, contributed greatly to who I am today, and I never fail to mention, during trading seminars or public events, that by tapping on their experience, I was able to quickly attain a level of success that kept me profitable.

If you’re currently struggling as a trader, ask yourself this question: “Which mistakes have I been making?”

Acknowledging trading mistakes is a continuous process of learning and growing.

 

Ever Wondered What Trading Methodology Jesse Livermore Used?

The next step for every aspiring trader is to actually take action. Making more trades is the key to success, and consistency can only be bred by constant and directed effort towards your goals.

If you would like to learn the trading method which Jesse Livermore (as well as many other legendary traders used), do drop by for our next workshop where we will share the strategies which professionals have been using for over 200+ years to gain consistent returns.

 

Wishing you all the best in your trading journey! 😀

Trading Mastery Program (TMP) – Batch Q1 2017 is Ready to Tackle the Big Boys!

Last month, we concluded another exciting run of our “Trading Mastery Program”, where we imparted our powerful “insider” fund trading strategies to empower another batch of traders to gain an unfair advantage in the market.

Reservations for our next intake are open, and you can start reserving your seats before they run out!
Find out more: http://wp.me/P1riws-31L

 

Training Feedback from Attendees:

“This course helped me identify weakness of my trading strategy and being able to time it to make it much better.” – Dominic

“If you are looking to gain strong fundamentals in technical and price action, attend this course! Spencer’s methods are well-calculated and systematic. Comprehensive course material and really liked live Q&A on google sheets. Food was great too!” – Ian

“The course started slow and went into climactic with all the swing, turn, break, & bounce. While overwhelmed with the new information, I believe there will always be support from this team!” – Tan Wei Peng

“The course note is very organized. The post-program schedule is useful. Spencer is able to clearly explain the fundamentals and setups well. Making the course easy to comprehend and execute.” – Tan Jiansen

“The training was comprehensive in covering the setups.” – Quek Boon Kiat

“The course provided very good foundation on price action trading strategy and Spencer displayed professionalism and knowledge in conducting the course. The emphasis on the right psychology and trading plan was very useful.” – Tong Kai Meng

“A very informative workshop for beginners. Chart reading is simplified, so are the steps for trading. It gives people realistic expectations of trading and also confidence to enter trading.”

“The course is structured and easy to understand. Gives me the knowledge necessary to do trading with increased confidence.” – Alan

“This is a great course for beginner or experienced traders. Is clear, simple and easy to understand.” – Francis

Fantastic program, simply the best. Professional. The quiz is superb!” – Syed, Rolls-Royce

“It breaks things down & simplifies information for you to use.” – John Goh

“This mastery program definitely enhanced my knowledge on forex.” – Terrance Tan

“An excellent course for beginner and advance traders. It brings you back to the fundamentals of a good trader and at the same time provide insights for advanced traders.”

“Appreciate that the materials are concise, simple to understand, and actionable. The resources are also made available to us after for reference. More importantly, there is a community to reach out to.” – Li Seng

“Overall, very structured. This course filtered out all the noise regarding trading and made taking the first step much easier! Structured and with actionable follow-up plan, this course is highly recommended!” – Twain, Ferocity

 

Register Early to Avoid Disappointment!

Reservations for our next intake are open, and you can start reserving your seats before they run out! Find out more: http://wp.me/P1riws-31L

Good luck to all the new “future millionaires”, and see you all at the top! 😀

Here are 5 Reasons Why Singaporeans May Never Get to Retire Despite working Harder

As the cost of living continues to increase year after year, you probably would have spent some time pondering about your financial security. You probably would have heard stories of or personally experienced a company downsizing, a pay cut, the loss of your job, mounting expenses, or just a sudden realization that the world isn’t such a stable place.

No matter when you discover this truth, it is critical that you come to terms with it. Only by knowing the truth can you deal with the reality of financial troubles ahead. Last year was marked by uncertainty, and it probably is just the tip of the iceberg of what can happen going forward.

1For most people, wages will never be enough to sustain their lifestyle at retirement.
Source: media.cagle.com

Talk to any taxi driver and he will probably complain to you about any of the following:

  • Rising healthcare costs
  • Rising petrol costs
  • Rising food costs
  • Rising housing costs
  • Instability in the economy

These money issues are real. However, before we go into the solutions, we have to understand where these problems come from.

 

1. Low Interest Rate Environment

A low interest rate environment means that you need to go beyond your bank deposits to preserve your wealth.

However, despite having more mobile phones than people in Singapore, we are painfully ignorant in financial matters. We are educated, but not wise; we are connected with each other, but disconnected with reality.

Truth be told, most people have no idea how to even match up to the bank interest rate, much less beat the bank interest rate. The average level of financial literacy in Singapore is still shockingly low. To be a decent investor, it would be necessary to at least understand basic financial instruments, financial asset classes, methods of speculation/investment, and simple risk management.

Financial literacy is the first step to fighting inflation. You don’t necessarily need to know exotic strategies like statistical arbitrage, premium collection on SPY options, futures pairs trading, spread betting, or betting on changes in the yield curve. But a basic understanding of market cycles and trading principles will make a large difference in one’s investment results.

2. CPF Alone May Not Be Sufficient

In years of economic boom, Singapore tends to experience inflation of 4-5%. The CPF ordinary account grows at 2.5%, which means your money’s losing value when the economy grows. Counting on CPF alone may help you get by, but would it really sustain the lifestyle you desire? Even if the inflation rate falls to 1-2% a year, very few Singaporeans can say they are able to retire comfortably.

It is more prudent to have something besides CPF to fall back on.

Some solutions include:

  • being willing to downgrade your apartment
  • holding structured deposits (can yield 4% or more)
  • holding high-dividend stocks

However, these strategies will probably only help in wealth preservation, not wealth creation.

For wealth creation, you need far more investment sophistication and dedication.

Doing a refresher for the setups before we embark on live trading! 💪💰🔥 #tradingarcade #realtraders

A post shared by Spencer Li 🇸🇬 Synapse Trading (@iamrecneps) on

 

3. Zero Inflation Could Be the Norm

A world of zero inflation is good for the average consumer (he thinks he won’t be paying more for his food/car/house/petrol), but it’s bad for wages.

Truth be told, when inflation suffers, it is normally a terrible situation for the economy to be in. Remember the productivity drive a few years ago? The government aimed for 2% productivity growth every year, because inflation was terribly low and the country had to do something about it.

sgInflation has fallen and fallen, and has even turned negative in 2015 and part of 2016.
Source: tradingeconomics.com

Stagnating or falling wages can become the norm. With wages in peril, it is even more essential to generate additional streams of income, or risk falling into financial destitution.

Examples of shrinking professions include:

  • F&B services
  • Marketing professionals (yes! because the supply has caught up with demand in recent times)
  • Insurance Agents
  • Property Agents
  • Logistics professionals (yes! because the supply has caught up with demand due to the euphoric onslaught of e-commerce firms)

If you have children, the best thing you can do is to advise them regarding these trends. Don’t be so concerned about their math scores, science scores, or whatever score; look to give them training in these skills, and to explore their interests in these areas.

 

4. Persistently High Property Prices

This is good news for existing property owners, but bad news for new property buyers. Singapore will continue attracting rich foreign buyers because that’s our value proposition as a nation. This problem keeps worsening as long as our property is affordable to wealthy investors from overseas. The government is likely to step in if property prices start falling.

The issue with high property prices is that most people end up taking 20 to 30-year loans and live with debt for most of their adult life. This keeps the economy stagnant and unable to experience growth like we’ve seen in the 1980s and 1990. A debt-ridden adult is much less likely to splurge. With an entire generation of people living with huge mortgage loans, we won’t see fantastic growth in a very long time.

Opening speaker for SMART Expo SG 2017! Thanks to everyone who came down to support! 😄 #suntec #property #guestspeaker

A post shared by Spencer Li 🇸🇬 Synapse Trading (@iamrecneps) on

 

5. Rising Medical Costs and Falling Government Support

Take note: it’s not the government’s fault; blame it on falling birth rates. With a smaller workforce, tax revenues will fall and Singapore will be less able to provide for its elderly.

Singapore will age, and more and more sick people will depend on a smaller proportion of working adults in this country. It’s inevitable that the government cannot support the large number of elderly who will reside in our hospitals and hospices. It’s the same ‘graying’ problem that Japan is facing.

Falling government support, along with higher demand for doctors and strained infrastructure will cause medical bills to rise. Sure, it’ll be great for healthcare stocks, but healthcare spending on the elderly is not expansionary. Basic health economics would differentiate between healthcare spending that improves economic well-being (vaccinations on children, basic sanitation etc.), and healthcare spending that does not improve economic well-being. We’ll be seeing a lot of spending that does little to boost the economy.

 

So, “What Should I Do?”

The fact that you’re reading this shows that you are concerned for your financial future. Keep learning, reading, and exploring ways to combat this reality. After all, people perish for the lack of knowledge, not the lack of determination. Acquiring the right investment skills, financial management practices, and general knowledge will help protect you and your family from financial destitution.

My greatest hope is that you, the reader, would be motivated to start educating yourself financially, and to get your hands dirty in the investment world.

Cheers, and see you all soon! 😀

P.S. If any of you are keen to start learning about trading, I strongly recommend you join us for our next “Trading Foundation Workshop”, where you will learn 4 easy strategies to tackle any market (stocks, forex, CFDs, etc), and how you can apply them with as little as 15 minutes a day to make 20-40% annual returns consistently.

In our previous workshop, during the live trading segment, one new trader made US$200+ from following our USD/SGD short trade, while Spencer made US$454 on the same trade and over US$1,200 of profits in total during the workshop.

 

 

RESEARCH SOURCES & REFERENCES

www.blog.linkedin.com/2016/10/20/top-skills-2016-week-of-learning-linkedin
www.cnbc.com/2016/10/20/the-top-10-skills-that-will-get-you-hired.html