Back from my Myanmar Trip – New Insights on the Commodities Market

Last month, I took a trip to Myanmar for a holiday, and was hosted by a friend who was working for a major commodity trading firm.

It was a great week of chilling by the pool (which was 10 steps away from my room), enjoying sunsets, and trying out the local delicacies.

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I also got the chance to trade the FOMC with the company of some good Myanmar beer. :p

As expected, the interest rates were not raised, which means we will have to observe October and November carefully. In addition, the recent NFP was not good, which makes December more likely.

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After some serious back-of-the-napkin analysis, as well as some insightful discussions with my friend, I came to the conclusion that commodities may not recover that quickly, based on technical and fundamental factors.

I have attached below the chart of the CRB commodities index ETF, which is listed on SGX.

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crb commodities index

 

I will be keeping an eye on this, as I have some commodity-related counters in my portfolio, and it might be a good opportunity for the long-term.

Stay tuned for my monthly portfolio update for September coming up real soon! 😀

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About the author

Spencer Li is a trader, investor and entrepreneur who currently manages his own portfolio of stocks, REITs, currencies, cryptocurrencies, properties, and businesses. As a former professional in private equity and proprietary funds, he has over 10 years of market experience, and has been featured on more than 20 occasions in the media. As an international speaker and avid globetrotter, he has travelled to over 50 countries to spread his knowledge.

 

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